Nationwide opinion polling for the 1980 United States presidential election

Last updated

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1980 United States presidential election.

Contents

Presidential election

Ronald Reagan vs Jimmy Carter

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Jimmy
Carter (D)		John
Anderson (I)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [1] March 31 – April 3, 197846%50%-1%3%4
ABC-Harris [2] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 1] , 197847%46%--7%1
Gallup [3] July 7–10, 197843%52%-1%4%9
Gallup [4] December 8–11, 197835%57%-2%5%22
ABC-Harris [5] December 21–26, 197838%55%--7%17
Gallup [6] March 23–26, 197938%52%-3%7%14
ABC-Harris [7] March, 197946%49%--5%3
ABC-Harris [8] May, 197945%47%--8%2
ABC-Harris [9] June, 197951%43%--6%8
Gallup [10] June 22–25, 197949%45%-1%5%4
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197952%42%-2%4%10
ABC-Harris [12] July 28–29, 197951%44%--5%7
Gallup [13] August 3–6, 197942%47%-4%7%5
ABC-Harris [14] September 1–5, 197950%45%--5%5
Gallup [15] September 7–10, 197946%47%-2%5%1
ABC-Harris [16] September 26 – October 1, 197945%52%--3%7
Gallup [15] October 12–15, 197942%48%-3%7%6
ABC-Harris [17] November 7–10, 197942%53%--5%11
Gallup [18] November 16–19, 197941%53%-1%5%12
Gallup [19] December 7–9, 197936%60%-1%3%24
ABC-Harris [20] December 14–16, 197936%59%--5%23
Gallup [21] January 4–6, 198032%63%-1%4%31
ABC-Harris [22] January 22, 198031%65%--4%34
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198032%59%-3%6%27
ABC-Harris [24] January 31 – February 4, 198032%64%--4%32
Gallup [25] February 29 – March 2, 198034%57%-3%6%23
ABC-Harris [24] March 5–8, 198040%58%--2%18
ABC-Harris [26] March 13–15, 198040%55%--5%15
ABC-Harris [26] March 26–30, 198047%50%--3%3
Gallup [27] March 28–30, 198043%48%-2%7%5
34%39%21%1%5%5
ABC-Harris [26] April 8, 198048%45%--7%3
38%38%22%-1%0
Gallup [27] April 11–13, 198044%49%-1%6%5
34%41%18%1%6%7
ABC-Harris [28] April 25, 198042%33%19%-6%9
Gallup [29] April 26–27, 198043%47%--10%4
35%40%19%-6%5
ABC-Harris [30] April 26–30, 198039%33%23%-5%6
Gallup [31] May 2–5, 198040%47%--13%7
33%38%21%-7%5
Gallup [31] May 16–18, 198041%49%--10%8
32%40%21%-7%8
Gallup [32] May 30 – June 2, 198039%50%--11%11
32%39%21%-8%7
ABC-Harris [33] June 5–9, 198051%44%--5%7
39%34%24%-3%5
Gallup [32] [34] June 13–16, 198045%42%--13%3
33%35%24%-8%2
Gallup [32] [34] June 27–30, 198047%41%--12%6
37%32%22%-9%5
Gallup [35] [34] July 11–14, 198037%34%21%-8%3
Gallup [36] July 11–13, 198043% [lower-alpha 2] 34% [lower-alpha 3] 16%-7%9
July 14–17: Republican National Convention
ABC-Harris [37] [38] July 18–21, 198061%33%--6%28
49%23%25%-3%24
Gallup [39] August 1–3, 198045%31% [lower-alpha 4] 14%-10%14
ABC-Harris [40] August 5–6, 198057%36%--7%21
48%28%19%-5%20
August 11–14: Democratic National Convention
Gallup [41] [42] August 15–17, 198040%46%--14%6
39%38%14%1%8%1
ABC-Harris [43] August 14–18, 198042%36%17%-5%6
Gallup [44] August 15–18, 198038%39%13%-10%1
ABC-Harris [45] September 3–7, 198041%37%17%-5%4
Gallup [44] [46] September 12–15, 198041%37%15%-7%4
ABC-Harris [47] September 22, 198042%36%19%-3%6
48%46%--6%2
ABC-Harris [48] October 3–6, 198043%39%14%-4%4
Gallup [46] October 10–12, 198045%42%8%-5%3
ABC-Harris [49] October 14–16, 198042%39%12%-7%3
Gallup [50] October 17–20, 198040%41%10%-9%1
ABC-Harris [51] October 22–25, 198045%42%10%-3%3
Washington Post [52] October 26–27, 198043%39%7%-11%4
Newsweek-Gallup [52] October 29–30, 198044%43%7%1%5%4
ABC-Harris[ citation needed ]October 30 – November 1, 198045%40%10%1%4%5
CBS-New York Times[ citation needed ]October 30 – November 1, 198044%43%8%-5%1
Gallup [53] October 30 – November 1, 198046%43%7%1%3%3
Election ResultsNov. 4, 198050.75%41.01%6.61%1.63%-9.74

Hypothetical Polling

Ronald Reagan vs Edward Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Edward
Kennedy (D)		John
Anderson (I)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [54] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 5] , 197842%54%--4%12
Gallup [55] May 19–22, 197836%56%-1%7%20
Gallup [3] July 7–10, 197836%59%-1%4%23
ABC-Harris [5] December 21–26, 197839%55%--6%16
ABC-Harris [7] March, 197938%58%--4%20
Gallup [56] May 18–21, 197935%56%-3%6%21
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197938%56%-2%4%18
ABC-Harris [12] July 28–29, 197936%59%--5%23
Gallup [13] August 3–6, 197932%61%-3%4%29
ABC-Harris [14] September 1–5, 197939%58%--3%19
Gallup [57] September 7–10, 197933%61%-2%4%28
ABC-Harris [16] September 26 – October 1, 197934%64%--2%30
Gallup [15] October 12–15, 197938%54%-2%6%16
ABC-Harris [17] November 7–10, 197938%58%--4%20
Gallup [19] December 7–9, 197944%49%-2%5%5
ABC-Harris [20] December 14–16, 197949%46%--5%3
Gallup [21] January 4–6, 198042%50%-2%6%8
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198048%39%-6%7%9
Gallup [58] February 29 – March 3, 198053%34%--13%19
Gallup [58] May 16–19, 198051%38%--11%13
Gallup [58] June 13–15, 198058%32%--10%26
Gallup [39] August 1–3, 198048%27%18%-7%21

Ronald Reagan vs Jerry Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Jerry
Brown (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Lou Harris [2] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 6] , 197852%40%-8%12

Ronald Reagan vs Scoop Jackson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Scoop
Jackson (D)		John
Anderson (I)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [39] August 1–3, 198046%21%20%-13%25

Ronald Reagan vs Walter Mondale

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Walter
Mondale (D)		John
Anderson (I)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [39] August 1–3, 198047%27%18%-8%20

Ronald Reagan vs Edmund Muskie

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Ronald
Reagan (R)		Edmund
Muskie (D)		John
Anderson (I)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [59] June 5–9, 198048%48%-4%0
Gallup [39] August 1–3, 198045%31%16%-8%14

George Bush vs Jimmy Carter

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		George
Bush (R)		Jimmy
Carter (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [22] January 22, 198032%62%-6%30
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198035%54%2%9%19
Gallup [25] February 29 – March 2, 198032%57%-11%25

George Bush vs Edward Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		George
Bush (R)		Edward
Kennedy (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198052%37%3%8%15

Howard Baker vs Jimmy Carter

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Howard
Baker (R)		Jimmy
Carter (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [9] June, 197946%45%-9%1
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197947%44%1%8%3
ABC-Harris [12] July 28–29, 197948%43%-9%5

Howard Baker vs Edward Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Howard
Baker (R)		Edward
Kennedy (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197936%57%2%5%21
ABC-Harris [12] July 28–29, 197934%60%-6%26

John Connally vs Jimmy Carter

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		John
Connally (R)		Jimmy
Carter (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [60] February 2–5, 197933%53%3%11%20
ABC-Harris [9] June, 197941%52%-7%11
Gallup [10] June 22–25, 197938%53%1%8%15
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197943%49%3%5%6
ABC-Harris [61] July 28–29, 197940%52%-8%12

John Connally vs Edward Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		John
Connally (R)		Edward
Kennedy (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [56] May 18–21, 197924%63%3%10%39
Gallup [10] June 22–25, 197925%67%1%7%42
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197930%62%3%5%32

Gerald Ford vs Jimmy Carter

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Gerald
Ford (R)		Jimmy
Carter (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
Gallup [1] March 31 – April 3, 197845%51%1%3%6
ABC-Harris [62] April, 197842%50%-8%8
ABC-Harris [2] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 7] , 197848%43%-9%5
Gallup [3] July 7–10, 197846%47%2%5%1
Gallup [63] September 22–25, 197840%53%2%5%13
Gallup [4] December 8–11, 197839%53%3%5%14
Gallup [6] March 23–26, 197941%48%4%7%7
Gallup [10] June 22–25, 197950%43%1%6%7
Gallup [11] [13] July 13–15, 197955%40%2%3%15
Gallup [13] August 3–6, 197948%42%4%6%6
Gallup [15] September 7–10, 197951%42%3%4%9
ABC-Harris [64] September 26 – October 1, 197955%42%-3%13
Gallup [65] October 12–15, 197947%41%4%8%6
ABC-Harris [17] November 7–10, 197950%46%-4%4
Gallup [19] December 7–9, 197939%57%1%3%18
Gallup [21] January 4–6, 198038%57%1%4%19
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198041%52%2%5%11
ABC-Harris [24] March 5–8, 198044%54%-2%10

Gerald Ford vs Edward Kennedy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Gerald
Ford (R)		Edward
Kennedy (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [54] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 8] , 197843%52%-5%9
Gallup [55] May 19–22, 197841%51%1%7%10
Gallup [3] July 7–10, 197840%57%-3%17
Gallup [56] May 18–21, 197938%52%4%6%14
Gallup [11] July 13–15, 197941%54%2%3%13
Gallup [13] August 3–6, 197935%57%3%5%22
Gallup [57] September 7–10, 197938%58%1%3%20
ABC-Harris [64] September 26 – October 1, 197940%58%-2%18
Gallup [65] October 12–15, 197942%51%2%5%9
Gallup [19] December 7–9, 197951%43%1%5%8
Gallup [21] January 4–6, 198049%44%2%5%5
Gallup [23] February 1–3, 198057%34%3%6%23

Gerald Ford vs Jerry Brown

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Gerald
Ford (R)		Jerry
Brown (D)		OtherUndecidedMargin
ABC-Harris [2] May 14–20 [lower-alpha 9] , 197852%38%-10%14

Notes

  1. ↑ Date is approximate
  2. ↑ With George Bush
  3. ↑ With Walter Mondale
  4. ↑ With Walter Mondale
  5. ↑ Date is approximate
  6. ↑ Date is approximate
  7. ↑ Date is approximate
  8. ↑ Date is approximate
  9. ↑ Date is approximate

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References

  1. 1 2 "President Would Beat Ford, Reagan". The Tampa Tribune.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Ford Leads Carter For 1980, Poll Says". The Kansas City Times.
  3. 1 2 3 4 "Kennedy Stronger Than Carter Against GOP". Rapid City Journal.
  4. 1 2 "Jimmy Carter Leading Ford And Reagan". Danville Register and Bee.
  5. 1 2 "Carter Routs Reagan In Election Poll". Asbury Park Press.
  6. 1 2 "Carter Leads, Edge Narrows". Danville Register and Bee.
  7. 1 2 "Reagan Trails Carter, Kennedy". Lansing State Journal.
  8. ↑ "Reagan Cuts Deeper Into Carter's Lead". The Minneapolis Star.
  9. 1 2 3 "Reagan Leads Carter 51-43%". The Times.
  10. 1 2 3 4 "Ford, Reagan Pass Carter In Popularity". The Indianapolis Star.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "Poll Shows Kennedy Stronger Than Carter Against GOP's Top 4". The Shreveport Journal.
  12. 1 2 3 4 "Carter Trailing Reagan, Baker". The Minneapolis Star.
  13. 1 2 3 4 5 "Carter Gaining Ground". Rapid City Journal.
  14. 1 2 "Reagan Keeps Lead Over Carter In Presidential Choice Poll". Asbury Park Press.
  15. 1 2 3 4 "President, Reagan In Dead Heat". The Miami Herald.
  16. 1 2 "Reagan's Standing Suffers Sharp Drop In Presidential Poll". Asbury Park Press.
  17. 1 2 3 "Reagan Takes Big Lead In GOP Race". Asbury Park Press.
  18. ↑ "Carter Continues Lead Over GOP". The Tampa Tribune.
  19. 1 2 3 4 "Carter Pushes Ahead As Kennedy Falters In Ford-Reagan Tests". The Miami Herald.
  20. 1 2 "Carter Takes Big Lead Over Reagan In Presidential Race Poll". Asbury Park Press.
  21. 1 2 3 4 "Carter Consolidates Lead Over GOP". The Tampa Tribune.
  22. 1 2 "Carter Holds Lead Among Candidates". Asbury Park Press.
  23. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Carter Leads 3 GOP Contenders, But Ted Trails". The Miami Herald.
  24. 1 2 3 "Republicans And Independents Pick Ford As Favorite Candidate". Asbury Park Press.
  25. 1 2 "Reagan Invites Connally Workers To Join His Effort". Des Moines Tribune.
  26. 1 2 3 "Reagan Tops Voters' List; Carter Dives". Press and Sun-Bulletin.
  27. 1 2 "Carter's Lead Over Reagan Slipping; Anderson Strong". The Miami Herald.
  28. ↑ "Reagan Leads Carter". Journal and Courier.
  29. ↑ "Anderson Strongest Among Younger Voters". The Boston Globe.
  30. ↑ "Anderson Starts To Look Like A Possible Winner". Detroit Free Press.
  31. 1 2 "Carter Outpolls Reagan 49% to 41% In Survey". The Los Angeles Times.
  32. 1 2 3 "Reagan Stretches Lead Over President Carter". The Salt Lake Tribune.
  33. ↑ "Three New National Polls Show Reagan Well Ahead". The Atlanta Constitution.
  34. 1 2 3 "Reagan Widens Lead While Anderson Slips". Danville Register and Bee.
  35. ↑ "Gallup Poll Has Reagan Maintaining Lead Over Carter". Rapid City Journal.
  36. ↑ "Reagan-Bush Ticket Leads Dems". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  37. ↑ "Poll: Reagan Leads Carter By 28 Percent". Reno Gazette-Journal.
  38. ↑ "Poll Shows Carter Third". The Boston Globe.
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 "Gallup Poll: Carter Falters But Still Leads Teddy". The Daily News.
  40. ↑ "Latest Figures: Reagan 48%, Carter 28%, Anderson 19%". The Plain Dealer.
  41. ↑ "Reagan And Carter Run Neck And Neck In Gallup". The Miami Herald.
  42. ↑ "Carter And Reagan In Dead Heat, According To Gallup Poll". The Des Moines Register.
  43. ↑ "AFL-CIO Balks On Carter Support". The News Journal.
  44. 1 2 "Latest Test Still Shows Reagan And Carter In Close Contention". The Indianapolis Star.
  45. ↑ "Carter Nixes 3-Way Campaign Debates". Philadelphia Daily News.
  46. 1 2 "Reagan Holds Narrow Lead; Anderson Dips". The Knoxville News-Sentinel.
  47. ↑ "Carter Loses Ground In Poll". The Times Herald.
  48. ↑ "Poll Reveals 3-Point Slip By Anderson". Tarrytown Daily News.
  49. ↑ "Poll Reveals 3-Point Slip By Anderson". The Buffalo News.
  50. ↑ "This Poll Puts Jimmy, Ron In Dead Heat". The Olympian.
  51. ↑ "Reagan, Carter In Tight Fight". Florida Today.
  52. 1 2 "Polls Say Its Going Down To The Wire". The Miami Herald.
  53. ↑ "Reagan Leading In Final Poll". The Pantagraph.
  54. 1 2 "Ford, Reagan Ahead Of Carter In Poll; Kennedy Leads All". Muncie Evening Press.
  55. 1 2 "Kennedy Leads All In Presidential Poll". The Montgomery Advertiser.
  56. 1 2 3 "Kennedy Holds Lead Over Ford, Reagan, Connally". Rapid City Journal.
  57. 1 2 "Ford Leading Reagan As Kennedy Opponent". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
  58. 1 2 3 "Poll Has Reagan Leading Kennedy". Rapid City Journal.
  59. ↑ "Muskie Would Tie With Reagan, Says New Harris Survey". Muncie Evening Press.
  60. ↑ "Gallup Poll". The Star Press.
  61. ↑ "Connally Trails Carter, 52-40". Lansing State Journal.
  62. ↑ "Carter Leads Ford In Pairing For 1980". Asbury Park Press.
  63. ↑ "Gallup Poll Shows Carter Would Defeat Ford Again". St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
  64. 1 2 "Poll: Kennedy Ahead Of Ford, Reagan". Asbury Park Press.
  65. 1 2 "Ford, Reagan Bite Into Kennedy Lead". The Niles Daily Star.
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