Graphical Summary
In the run up to the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 22 September 2015, to the 26–28 February 2019.
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | E200 | Others | Lead | Ratas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2019 | Election Results | 28.9 | 23.1 | 9.8 | 11.4 | 1.2 | 17.8 | 1.8 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 44.3 – 55.7 |
| 26–28 Feb 2019 | Kantar Emor | 26.6 | 24.5 | 11.9 | 10.1 | 1.3 | 17.3 | 2.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 46.5 – 45.2 |
| 28 Jan–24 Feb 2019 | Norstat | 29.5 | 25.7 | 10.2 | 9.2 | 1 | 16.4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3.8 | 45.1 – 46.9 |
| 7–20 Feb 2019 | Turu-uuringute AS | 24 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 49 – 43 |
| 14–20 Feb 2019 | Kantar Emor | 25.7 | 24.7 | 10.1 | 9.2 | 0.9 | 21.3 | 2 | 5.6 | 0.5 | 1 | 44 – 47.9 |
| 12–18 Feb 2019 | Faktum Ariko | 25 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 44 – 45 |
| 21 Jan–17 Feb 2019 | Norstat | 28.8 | 27.1 | 9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | 16.4 | 3 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 45.3 – 46.1 |
| 14 Jan–11 Feb 2019 | Norstat | 27.9 | 28.8 | 8.9 | 7.7 | 1 | 17 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 45.4 – 45.9 |
| 4–7 Feb 2019 | Kantar Emor | 24.5 | 26.5 | 11.5 | 8.6 | 0.7 | 18.9 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 0.7 | 2 | 46.6 – 44.1 |
| 7 Jan–4 Feb 2019 | Norstat | 27 | 28.7 | 9.1 | 7.4 | 0.7 | 17.7 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 3 | 1.7 | 45.2 – 45.4 |
| 24–29 Jan 2019 | Kantar Emor | 26.3 | 24.4 | 9.7 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 18.2 | 4.4 | 7.2 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 41.6 – 46.2 |
| 15–28 Jan 2019 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 46 – 43 |
| 7–13 Jan 2019 | Norstat | 27 | 27 | 10 | 7 | – | 20 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 44 – 47 |
| 4–8 Jan 2019 | Kantar Emor | 24.4 | 23.3 | 11.8 | 8 | 1.4 | 20.2 | 3 | 6.6 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 43.1 – 46 |
| 3–9 Jan 2019 | Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll) | 20 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 47 – 41 |
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | E200 | Others | Lead | Ratas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13–19 Dec 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS (Online poll) | 22 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 45 – 44 |
| December 2018 | Kantar Emor | 23 | 25.9 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 2 | 20.3 | 3.5 | 8.2 | – | 2.9 | 42.9 – 45.3 |
| December 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 31 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 44 – 43 |
| November 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 45 – 39 |
| November 2018 | Kantar Emor | 29 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 8 | – | 4 | 41 – 48 |
| October 2018 | Kantar Emor | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 44 – 46 |
| October 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 28 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 2 | – | 4 | 2 | 47 – 47 |
| September 2018 | Kantar Emor | 27 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 3 | – | 4.7 | 2 | 43 – 50 |
| September 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 27 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 3 | – | 6 | 1 | 45 – 46 |
| August 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 4 | – | 7 | 2 | 43 – 46 |
| August 2018 | Kantar Emor | 29.8 | 23.8 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 21.2 | 2 | – | 0.6 | 6 | 41.7 – 55.7 |
| July 2018 | Kantar Emor | 30 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 3 | – | 0.7 | 6 | 42 – 55 |
| June 2018 | Kantar Emor | 32 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 5 | – | – | 9 | 44 – 52 |
| June 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 28 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 2 | – | 7 | 1 | 41 – 50 |
| May 2018 | Kantar Emor | 32 | 21 | 11.9 | 5 | 4 | 16.7 | 3 | – | 6.4 | 11 | 37.9 – 52.7 |
| May 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 30 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 4 | – | 8 | 4 | 40 – 48 |
| April 2018 | Kantar Emor | 30 | 21.6 | 10.6 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 19.1 | 6.1 | – | 1 | 8.4 | 38 – 54.9 |
| April 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 33 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 | – | 9 | 7 | 36 – 50 |
| 8–21 Mar 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 31 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 | – | 9 | 5 | 41 – 47 |
| 8–14 Mar 2018 | Kantar Emor | 34.1 | 23.8 | 10.6 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 18.3 | 3.6 | – | 0.5 | 10.3 | 38.5 – 57.4 |
| 7–20 Feb 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 27 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 3 | – | 11 | 0 | 41 – 45 |
| Feb 2018 | Kantar Emor | 34 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 4 | – | 0 | 13 | 38 – 58 |
| 15–29 Jan 2018 | Turu-uuringute AS | 26 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 4 | – | 11 | 1 | 43 – 42 |
| 18–25 Jan 2018 | Kantar Emor | 34.2 | 20.5 | 11 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 18.4 | 4.5 | – | 1.5 | 13.7 | 36 – 58 |
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | Others | Lead | Ratas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8–14 Dec 2017 | Kantar Emor | 28 | 22 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 45 – 51 |
| 22 Nov–5 Dec 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 24 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 48 – 39 |
| 1–14 Nov 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 22 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 45 – 39 |
| 1–9 Nov 2017 | Kantar Emor | 29.0 | 26.0 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 14.4 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 3 | 48.1 – 48.5 |
| Oct 2017 | Kantar Emor | 27 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 50 – 46 |
| 26 Sep–10 Oct 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 46 – 41 |
| 5–18 Sep 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 47 – 43 |
| 8–14 Sep 2017 | Kantar Emor | 25.7 | 23.1 | 18.7 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 16.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 47.6 – 48,6 |
| 9–22 Aug 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 24 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 46 – 42 |
| 11–17 Aug 2017 | TNS Emor | 27.6 | 22.8 | 14.6 | 3.8 | 9.4 | 17.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 41.2 – 54.2 |
| Jul 2017 | TNS Emor | 26.4 | 23.1 | 14.8 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 44.2 – 49.7 |
| 9–16 June 2017 | TNS Emor | 25.4 | 25.1 | 14.2 | 6.6 | 8.5 | 16.2 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | 45.9 – 50.1 |
| 25 May–6 Jun 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 26 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 43 – 44 |
| 17–22 May 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23.7 | 24.7 | 12.9 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 12.8 | 5.7 | 8.7 | 1 | 44.5 – 41.1 |
| 12–18 May 2017 | TNS Emor | 27.5 | 21.8 | 17.8 | 5.6 | 9.9 | 13.4 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 45.2 – 50.8 |
| 25 Apr–9 May 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 42 – 47 |
| Apr 2017 | TNS Emor | 25 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 45 – 50 |
| 28 Mar–10 Apr 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 49 – 40 |
| 1–14 Mar 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 47 – 40 |
| Mar 2017 | TNS Emor | 26 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 48 – 50 |
| Feb 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 29 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 46 – 41 |
| Feb 2017 | TNS Emor | 25 | 27 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 50 – 48 |
| 19–31 Jan 2017 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 31 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 47 – 41 |
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | Others | Lead | Ratas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 52 – 42 |
| Dec 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 32 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 55 – 34 |
| 23 Nov 2016 | Jüri Ratas' cabinet is sworn in [1] | ||||||||||
| Nov 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nov 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 29 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 12 | – | 7 | 8 | — |
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | Others | Lead | Rõivas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2016 | Taavi Rõivas loses the vote of no confidence in Riigikogu [2] | ||||||||||
| Oct 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 47 – 50 |
| Oct 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 10 | – | 11 | 1 | 44 – 45 |
| Sep 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 50 – 45 |
| Sep 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 25 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 10 | – | 11 | 1 | 44 – 45 |
| Aug 2016 | TNS Emor | 28 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 51 – 45 |
| Aug 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 13 | – | 10 | 1 | 43 – 47 |
| Jun 2016 | TNS Emor | 27 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 50 – 46 |
| Jun 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 37 – 53 |
| May 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 14 | – | 15 | 2 | 37 – 48 |
| Apr 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 46 – 50 |
| Apr 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 14 | – | 8 | 4 | 41 – 51 |
| Mar 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 13 | – | 8 | 2 | 42 – 50 |
| Mar 2016 | TNS Emor | 23 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 43 – 54 |
| Feb 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 23 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 11 | – | 7 | 6 | 41 – 52 |
| Feb 2016 | TNS Emor | 22 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 44 – 51 |
| Jan 2016 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 12 | – | 12 | 9 | 37 – 51 |
| Date | Polling firm | Ref | Kesk | SDE | I | EVA | EKRE | Green | Others | Lead | Rõivas' cabinet – Opposition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 20 | 25 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 10 | – | 11 | 5 | 41 – 48 |
| Dec 2015 | TNS Emor | 21 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 45 – 51 |
| Nov 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 17 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 9 | – | 9 | 16 | 38 – 53 |
| Nov 2015 | TNS Emor | 20 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 43 – 51 |
| Oct 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 19 | 27 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 10 | – | 8 | 8 | 41 – 51 |
| Sep 2015 | TNS Emor | 24 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 49 – 48 |
| Sep 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 21 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 6 | – | 9 | 8 | 45 – 46 |
| Aug 2015 | TNS Emor | 20 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 45 – 51 |
| Jun 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 16 | 28 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 6 | – | 8 | 10 | 43 – 49 |
| Jun 2015 | TNS Emor | 18 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 42 – 54 |
| May 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 18 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 7 | – | 8 | 13 | 40 – 52 |
| May 2015 | TNS Emor | 19 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 44 – 52 |
| Apr 2015 | Turu-uuringute AS | 22 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 7 | – | 6 | 4 | 49 – 45 |
| Mar 2015 | TNS Emor | 28 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 54 – 45 |
| 1 Mar 2015 | Election results | 27.7 | 24.8 | 15.2 | 13.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 56.6 – 41.6 |
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