Opinion polling for the 2020 Slovak parliamentary election

Last updated

In the run up to the 2020 Slovak parliamentary election , various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 Mar 2016, to the present day.

Party vote

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage–point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

A local regression graph of all polls conducted Opinion polling for the 2020 Slovak parliamentary election.svg
A local regression graph of all polls conducted
Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting intention estimates

DatePolling
firm		Sample
size		 Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO [lower-alpha 1] SNS Kotlebovci–ĽSNS [lower-alpha 2] Sme Rodina Most–Híd [lower-alpha 3] KDH MKÖ–MKS [lower-alpha 4] PS SPOLU Za ľudí Vlasť Dobrá voľba Lead
29 Feb 2020 2020 elections 18.29%6.22%25.02%3.16%7.97%8.24%2.05%4.65%3.90%6.96%5.77%2.93%3.06%6.73%
29 Feb 2020Median [1] 13.9%6.4%25.3%3.0%8.8%7.5%2.8%5.0%4.4%8.8%5.6%2.7%2.9%11.4%
29 Feb 2020Focus [2] 14.9%8.3%25.8%2.4%6.5%7.5%2.0%5.1%3.8%9.7%7.8%1.9%2.8%10.9%
20–24 Feb 2020Focus+AKO [3] 200015.6%7.0%19.1%3.4%9.8%7.2%3.9%4.8%3.5%9.4%6.6%4.1%3.6%3.5%
13–18 Feb 2020Focus+AKO [4] 200017.2%6.1%16.4%3.6%10.4%7.9%4.0%5.2%2.9%9.1%8.2%3.2%3.8%0.8%
15 Feb 2020Moratorium on opinion polls in effect
11–13 Feb 2020AKO [5] 100516.9% 6.1%15.5%5.0%10.3%7.2%4.7%5.3%3.0%9.4%8.9%1.5%4.3%1.4%
6–12 Feb 2020Focus [6] 100517.0%5.3%13.3%4.4%12.2%7.8%4.2%5.4%3.9%9.3%8.2%3.2%4.0%3.7%
3–6 Feb 2020AKO [7] 100017.3%5.8%13.5%5.1%11.8%6.4%4.5%5.3%3.2%8.7%9.5%2.2%4.1%3.8%
24–31 Jan 2020MVK [8] 112321.9%3.8%8.9%6%12.7%6.5%2.9%7.5%4.6%8.1%8.5%2.4%2.9%9.2%
23–30 Jan 2020Polis [9] 110917.1%5.2%12%5.5%11.1%6.3%4.8%5.5%3.5%9.1%10%3.9%4.6%5.1%
15–22 Jan 2020Focus [10] 101318%5.5%9%5.2%12.8%7.6%4.4%5.7%4%9.8%10.8%2%4%5.8%
15–17 Jan 2020AKO [11] 100017.1%6.7%8.4%5.9%11%7.9%4.2%5.5%3.2%10.2%10%2.3%3.4%6.1%
10–15 Jan 2020Polis [12] 114017.1%5.6%10%6.3%12.4%5.6%4.9%6%4.3%8.4%9.7%3.8%4.1%4.7%
10–14 Jan 2020Focus [13] 101018.7%5.4%7.7%5.1%13.6%7.1%4.0%6.0%3.7%10.5%10.3%2.3%3.3%5.1%
7–9 Jan 2020AKO [14] 100017.7%6.8%8.3%6.2%11.7%7.6%4.1%6.2%2.5%9.1%10.4%1.7%3.2%6.0%
7–11 Dec 2019Polis [15] 113118.1%5.2%9.8%7.0%12.2%5.5%5.2%6.1%5.2%9.5%10.1%2.2%2.4%5.9%
2–9 Dec 2019Focus [16] 100819.6%5.7%8.0%5.4%11.8%7.0%4.3%5.7%4.3%10.3%9.2%2.1%3.8%7.8%
1 Dec 2019Parties confirm their candidate lists. campaign officially begins
DatePolling
firm		Sample
size		 Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO [lower-alpha 5] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP PS SPOLU Za ľudí Vlasť Dobrá voľba Lead
19–25 Nov 2019AKO [17] 100018.4%6.3%7.6%6.4%10.4%7.1%3.5%6.4%2.2%12.4%12.5%2.1%3.2%5.9%
9–13 Nov 2019Polis [18] 102120.2%5.1%7.0%6.1%11.1%5.2%4.1%6.0%3.6%11.1%11.2%3.3%2.4%9.0%
30 Oct–6 Nov 2019Focus [19] 102020.0%5.0%5.7%6.8%10.3%7.0%4.1%5.7%3.5%11.7%10.6%3.0%2.9%8.3%
15–22 Oct 2019Focus [20] 102122.0%5.2%6.0%6.9%10.2%7.2%3.8%6.5%3.2%11.0%9.1%1.8%2.4%11.0%
7–10 Oct 2019AKO [21] 100020.1%6.7%5.8%6.4%12.3%5.9%3.9%5.6%3.1%12.7%12.0%1.7%7.4%
18–25 Sep 2019AKO [22] NA20%7%5.9%5.6%10.8%7.8%3.4%7.4%3.6%17.1%9.1%2.0%2.9%
11–17 Sep 2019Focus [23] 1,02721.7%6.4%6.8%6.8%10.6%7.2%4.1%6.9%3.3%13.3%6.5%2.1%8.4 %
26–29 Aug 2019AKO [24] NA19.6%9.0%7.3%7.1%10.9%7.6%3.9%6.3%3.5%15.5%8.8%4.1 %
12–20 Aug 2019MVK [25] 1,07520.7%5.5%6.9%8.5%8.1%5.5%3.8%9.4%3.4%13.3%7.9%7.4 %
13–19 Aug 2019Focus [26] 1,01020.8%7.9%6.1%7.0%11.4%6.6%4.3%7.3%3.5%14.9%5.5%5.9 %
1–7 Aug 2019Focus [27] 1,02021.8%7.0%6.0%7.0%12.1%6.3%4.7%7.5%3.4%14.0%5.0%7.8 %
19–25 Jun 2019Focus [28] 1,02320.3%7.1%5.1%7.3%12.6%7.0%4.5%7.0%3.3%15.7%5.2%4.6 %
11–18 Jun 2019Polis [29] 1,16518.3%8.5%6.3%7.6%11.4%5.0%5.1%8.2%15.0%5.2%3.3 %
1–11 Jun 2019Focus [30] 1,01719.7%8.0%6.7%7.2%12.5%7.3%4.4%7.5%3.7%17.8%1.9 %
28–31 May 2019AKO [31] 1,00018.7%10.8%6.3%7.2%14.9%7.3%4.2%8.6%2.9%18.0%0.7 %
25 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Slovakia
8–10 May 2019AKO [32] 1,00019.2%13.5%6.7%8.2%13.6%9.9%5.1%7.4%2.2%13.6%5.6 %
29–6 Apr/May 2019AKO [33] 1,00019.1%13.1%9.2%8.0%13.9%8.3%5.0%6.6%2.6%13.7%5.2%
8–14 Apr 2019Focus [34] 1,02619.0%10.1%9.1%7.5%10.5%9.4%4.7%6.8%3.6%13.4%5.6%
1–2 Apr 2019AKO [35] 1,00019.7%12.9%8.6%7.6%11.5%10.7%5.0%6.9%2.6%14.4%5.3%
16–30 Mar 2019 Zuzana Čaputová wins 2019 Slovak presidential election
18–25 Mar 2019Focus [36] 1,02222.4%11.4%8.3%7.9%11.8%9.0%4.5%7.5%3.0%9.1%10.6%
21–26 Feb 2019Focus [37] 1,02221.2%11.2%8.4%7.5%11.7%9.5%5.4%6.5%3.1%9.5%9.5%
8–12 Feb 2019AKO [38] 1,00022.4%14.8%10.1%8.0%9.5%10.9%6.3%6.1%3.3%7.5%7.6%
16–23 Jan 2019Focus [39] 1,01322.5%12.3%10.0%8.0%8.4%10.4%5.8%7.0%3.4%4.9%3.5%10.2%
1–9 Dec 2018Focus [40] 1,01921.7%13.3%10.5%9.2%9.2%9.0%5.2%6.5%3.3%5.1%4.1%8.4%
27–28 Nov 2018AKO [41] 1,00023.4%15.9%7.7%9.3%9.2%10.0%5.7%6.7%2.4%5.3%3.2%7.5%
13–15 Nov 2018AKO [42] 1,00023.9%16.1%8.1%9.2%7.8%10.4%6.1%5.9%3.2%5.0%4.2%7.8%
7–14 Nov 2018Focus [43] 1,01220.9%12.0%9.5%8.0%9.8%8.1%5.9%7.7%3.6%5.3%5.0%8.9%
18–25 Sep 2018Focus [44] 1,01522.4%13.5%10.3%9.2%10.0%8.2%5.1%5.5%3.1%4.4%3.1%8.9%
30 Aug–5 Sep 2018AKO [45] 1,00021.2%16.0%9.4%10.9%8.6%9.5%6.3%7.6%3.0%4.6%2.3%5.2%
15–17 Aug 2018AKO [46] 1,00021.4%15.7%8.4%11.0%10.9%10.8%5.3%6.1%3.0%4.1%3.3%5.7%
2–9 Aug 2018Focus [47] 1,00720.7%12.2%8.7%9.4%10.1%10.0%5.7%7.1%4.1%4.2%3.3%8.5%
18–21 Jun 2018AKO [48] 1,00021.0%15.5%8.6%10.2%11.1%9.3%6.3%7.2%2.4%4.0%3.8%5.5%
4–11 Jun 2018Focus [49] 1,01521.7%12.4%10.0%9.8%9.7%8.1%5.6%6.7%4.0%3.9%2.9%9.3%
16–21 May 2018AKO [50] 1,00021.5%16.7%9.1%10.1%10.4%9.1%5.6%6.7%2.5%3.9%3.6%4.8%
24–30 Apr 2018Focus [51] 1,00520.5%13.2%9.1%10.1%9.3%9.1%5.8%6.8%3.3%3.6%2.8%7.3%
20–24 Apr 2018AKO [52] 1,00021.4%16.1%8.7%10.9%10.3%9.0%6.8%6.9%1.9%3.8%3.7%5.3%
4–7 Apr 2018AKO [53] 1,00020.7%17.1%9.1%10.7%10.0%8.6%5.6%8.6%2.7%3.2%2.8%3.6%
14–22 Mar 2018 Robert Fico resigns as Prime Minister, Peter Pellegrini is elected as replacement, end of government crisis
7–13 Mar 2018Focus [54] 1,01220.2%14.0%10.4%10.0%10.1%10.4%5.6%7.0%4.1%1.4%1.1%6.2%
21 Feb 2018 Murder of Ján Kuciak, start of government crisis
21–26 Feb 2018AKO [55] 1,00024.7%16.2%10.2%9.9%8.2%9.6%6.3%7.7%3.4%1.6%1.6%8.5%
23–28 Jan 2018Focus [56] 1,01225.5%13.1%11.4%8.6%8.1%9.0%5.7%7.4%3.9%1.9%—12.4%
14–18 Nov 2017AKO [57] 1,00024.8%17.8%12.5%8.9%8.4%9.2%5.8%0.5%7.0%4.3%7.0%
7–13 Nov 2017Focus [58] 1,01724.8%14.2%12.5%8.0%8.4%8.5%5.6%0.0%7.2%3.6%10.6%
4–11 Oct 2017Focus [59] 1,00326.2%13.8%8.5%8.1%10.1%9.4%6.0%0.0%7.3%4.2%12.4%
18–20 Sep 2017AKO [60] 1,00027.3%16.1%8.9%9.0%10.9%9.2%7.3%0.0%5.1%4.2%11.2%
11–18 Sep 2017Focus [61] 1,00026.0%14.0%9.6%8.7%10.4%9.1%6.0%0.0%6.4%4.0%12.0%
21–23 Aug 2017AKO [62] 1,00025.0%18.1%8.9%9.1%11.0%9.4%7.5%0.0%6.0%3.9%6.9%
18–23 Aug 2017Polis [63] 1,22027.3%16.8%9.0%7.2%14.2%7.2%5.2%0.0%5.5%4.2%10.5%
18–24 Jul 2017Polis [64] 1,20827.8%15.8%9.4%9.5%11.2%6.4%5.5%0.0%6.0%4.7%12.0%
14–19 Jul 2017AKO [65] 1,00025.8%16.0%9.2%10.4%10.3%8.6%7.6%0.0%6.8%3.1%9.8%
13–24 Jul 2017Focus [66] 1,02526.4%14.2%9.2%10.3%9.1%8.2%6.2%0.0%6.3%4.0%12.2%
14–19 Jun 2017AKO [67] 1,00026.0%16.1%10.0%11.7%9.7%8.7%7.0%0.0%6.0%3.1%9.9%
13–19 Jun 2017Polis [68] 1,20828.0%16.5%9.1%9.5%11.8%7.4%5.2%0.0%6.0%5.3%11.5%
31 May – 4 Jun 2017Focus [69] 1,01226.2%13.4%9.6%10.2%10.9%7.4%6.9%0.6%5.7%4.0%12.8%
13–19 May 2017Polis [70] 1,36628.8%16.0%9.3%9.3%11.1%6.8%5.2%0.0%6.2%4.7%12.8%
24–26 Apr 2017AKO [71] 1,00027.1%17.6%8.9%11.4%10.5%7.1%6.4%0.6%6.2%3.5%9.5%
20–25 Apr 2017Polis [72] 1,35327.8%14.7%11.7%9.8%11.9%7.0%5.3%0.6%5.2%5.1%13.1%
4–9 Apr 2017Focus [73] 1,00626.6%13.7%9.2%9.9%10.1%8.1%6.9%0.6%5.4%4.3%12.9%
11–17 Mar 2017Polis [74] 1,20927.5%14.5%12.2%10.3%12.2%7.0%5.4%1.0%5.5%3.4%13.0%
13–15 Mar 2017AKO [75] 1,00028.0%17.4%9.1%11.3%11.0%6.6%7.5%1.0%5.1%2.2%10.6%
18–25 Feb 2017Polis [76] 1,31127.1%13.8%12.1%9.0%13.0%8.1%5.4%1.0%5.4%3.3%13.3%
6–18 Feb 2017Focus [77] 1,51225.5%13.8%9.7%10.1%10.4%8.5%6.0%1.0%5.5%4.3%11.7%
10–14 Feb 2017AKO [78] 1,00027.7%16.3%9.1%11.4%10.5%6.6%8.1%1.0%5.6%2.9%11.4%
21–27 Jan 2017Focus [79] 1,00827.9%13.2%10.2%10.1%10.2%7.4%6.4%1.0%5.3%3.4%14.7%
14–20 Jan 2017Polis [80] 1,35927.4%13.2%12.2%10.0%11.1%7.4%5.6%1.0%5.9%4.4%14.2%
2–10 Jan 2017AKO [81] 1,00027.7%13.1%8.7%12.7%11.5%7.7%6.1%1.2%7.1%3.2%14.6%
11–20 Dec 2016Polis [82] 1,27527.7%15.9%9.5%10.6%11.0%7.7%6.0%1.0%5.5%4.0%11.8%
2–9 Dec 2016AKO [83] 1,00026.8%15.8%8.0%14.1%10.1%8.4%7.0%1.1%5.5%2.9%11.0%
23–29 Nov 2016Focus [84] 1,00823.3%13.6%8.2%13.7%8.8%7.9%6.8%1.2%5.9%4.4%9.6%
3–10 Nov 2016AKO [85] 1,00027.5%15.4%8.9%14.4%10.0%6.9%6.1%1.2%5.6%3.5%12.1%
28 Oct – 7 Nov 2016Focus [86] 1,02026.9%12.1%8.0%12.8%8.4%7.5%6.7%1.6%6.3%3.9%13.1%
17–22 Oct 2016AKO [87] 1,00027.5%17.7%6.4%15.4%8.7%6.2%7.2%0.7%5.9%3.7%9.8%
15–22 Oct 2016Polis [88] 1,40927.1%14.0%8.5%14.0%10.1%6.8%8.2%0.5%4.6%3.9%13.1%
12–20 Sep 2016AKO [89] 1,00029.6%17.5%9.5%13.1%11.1%4.3%5.8%0.8%4.2%2.6%12.1%
8–14 Sep 2016Focus [90] 1,00927.7%13.5%8.2%12.6%8.3%6.8%7.7%1.4%6.0%3.6%14.2%
11–16 Aug 2016Focus [91] 1,00227.0%13.7%9.7%14.0%8.9%6.9%6.1%1.4%4.6%3.6%13.0%
22–28 Jul 2016AKO [92] 1,00029.9%17.1%7.0%14.0%11.6%5.0%6.3%1.0%4.1%2.8%12.8%
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2016Polis [93] 1,43326.2%16.6%9.0%13.5%10.7%4.8%5.4%1.1%5.1%4.5%9.6%
14–20 Jun 2016Focus [94] 1,00326.4%14.1%9.9%14.5%8.4%6.9%5.9%1.4%4.8%3.5%11.9%
4–11 May 2016AKO [95] 1,00029.8%16.2%7.1%12.4%11.7%5.8%7.1%1.8%4.2%3.4%13.6%
3–9 May 2016Focus [96] 1,00328.7%13.0%8.8%11.2%8.9%5.9%6.0%3.5%4.3%4.0%15.7%
22–29 Apr 2016Polis [97] 1,50230.7%14.5%9.5%12.2%9.8%4.2%6.0%2.0%3.9%4.2%16.2%
4–7 Apr 2016AKO [98] 1,00028.8%16.2%6.9%13.7%10.9%5.4%6.5%1.8%4.4%3.8%12.6%
11–16 Mar 2016Focus [99] 1,02327.5%12.5%10.0%11.1%8.8%7.8%5.9%3.6%4.1%4.3%15.0%
10–14 Mar 2016Polis [100] 1,09630.0%15.9%11.0%11.9%9.5%4.4%5.3%2.3%3.9%4.7%14.1%
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 28.3%12.1%11.0%8.6%8.0%6.6%6.5%5.6%4.9%4.1%16.2%

Seat projections

DatePolling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO [lower-alpha 6] SNS Kotlebovci–ĽSNS [lower-alpha 2] Sme Rodina Most–Híd [lower-alpha 3] KDH MKÖ–MKS [lower-alpha 4] PS SPOLU Za ľudí Gov.Opp.
20–24 Feb 2020Focus+AKO [101] 31143902014000191331119
13–18 Feb 2020Focus+AKO [102] 321131019150100171532118
6–12 Feb 2020Focus [103] 331025023150100181633117
24–31 Jan 2020MVK [104] 41017112412014015165298
15–22 Jan 2020Focus [105] 321016923140100171941109
10–14 Jan 2020Focus [106] 33914924130110191842108
7–11 Dec 2019Polis [107] 29816112098108151648102
2–9 Dec 2019Focus [108] 3610141021130100191746104
1 Dec 2019Parties confirm their candidate lists, campaign officially begins
DatePolling firm Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO [lower-alpha 7] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP PS SPOLU For the People Gov.Opp.
19–25 Nov 2019AKO [109] 3211131118120110212143107
15–22 Oct 2019Focus [110] 39911121813012020165199
26–29 Aug 2019AKO [111] 3215121218120100251444106
12–20 Aug 2019MVK [112] 361012151410016023145199
13–19 Aug 2019Focus [113] 361410122011012026948102
1–7 Aug 2019Focus [114] 381210122111013024950100
19–25 Jun 2019Focus [115] 35129122212012027947103
11–18 Jun 2019Polis [116] 3014108191481302595199
1–11 Jun 2019Focus [117] 34141112221301303146104
28–31 May 2019AKO [118] 31181012241201402943107
29 Apr – 6 May 2019AKO [119] 30201412221381002150100
8–14 Apr 2019Focus [120] 33181613181701202346104
1–2 Apr 2019AKO [121] 30201312181681102250100
18–25 Mar 2019Focus [122] 3920141320150130165298
21–26 Feb 2019Focus [123] 3518141219169110165694
8–12 Feb 2019AKO [124] 3523161315171010011
16–23 Jan 2019Focus [125] 40221814151910120006486
1–9 Dec 2018Focus [126] 3622181515159110906090
27–28 Nov 2018AKO [127] 3826121515169110806288
13–15 Nov 2018AKO [128] 3926131513171090806486
7–14 Nov 2018Focus [129] 34201613161310120885793
Aug 2018AKO [130] 3627141918179100006486
2–9 Aug 2018Focus [131] 37221517181810130006486
18–21 Jun 2018AKO [132] 35261517191610120006288
4–11 Jun 2018Focus [133] 39221818171410120006783
16–21 May 2018AKO [134] 36281517181510110006387
24–30 Apr 2018Focus [135] 37241618171610120006585
20–24 Apr 2018AKO [136] 36271418171511120006585
4–7 Apr 2018AKO [137] 3429151817149140006189
7–13 Mar 2018Focus [138] 3524181717189120006189
21–26 Feb 2018AKO [139] 40261716131610120006684
23–28 Jan 2018Focus [140] 432219151415101200—6882
14–18 Nov 2017AKO [141] 402820141315901106387
7–13 Nov 2017Focus [142] 422421141414901206585
4–11 Oct 2017Focus [143] 4423141417161001206882
18–20 Sep 2017AKO [144] 442614141715120807080
11–18 Sep 2017Focus [145] 4323161517151001106882
21–23 Aug 2017AKO [146] 402914141715120906684
18–23 Aug 2017Polis [147] 44271512231280906486
18–24 Jul 2017Polis [148] 462615161810901007179
14–19 Jul 2017AKO [149] 4125141716141201107080
13–24 Jul 2017Focus [150] 4424151715141001107179
14–19 Jun 2017AKO [151] 412516191514110907179
13–19 Jun 2017Polis [152] 43251414181180996585
31 May – 4 Jun 2017Focus [153] 442216171812120907377
13–19 May 2017Polis [154] 472615151811801007080
24–26 Apr 2017AKO [155] 4328141816111001007179
20–25 Apr 2017Polis [156] 42221815181180886585
4–9 Apr 2017Focus [157] 452315171713110907377
11–17 Mar 2017Polis [158] 44231916191190906981
13–15 Mar 2017AKO [159] 44271418178120807476
18–25 Feb 2017Polis [160] 43221914211390906684
6–18 Feb 2017Focus [161] 432316171814100907080
10–14 Feb 2017AKO [162] 442614181610130907575
21–27 Jan 2017Focus [163] 462217171712100907377
14–20 Jan 2017Polis [164] 442120161812901006981
2–10 Jan 2017AKO [165] 4421142018121001107476
11–20 Dec 2016Polis [166] 442515171812100907179
2–9 Dec 2016AKO [167] 422513221613110807575
23–29 Nov 2016Focus [168] 4023142315131201007575
3–10 Nov 2016AKO [169] 44241423161190907674
28 Oct – 7 Nov 2016Focus [170] 4620132214131101107971
17–22 Oct 2016AKO [171] 442810241410110907971
15–22 Oct 2016Polis [172] 462414241711140008466
12–20 Sep 2016AKO [173] 52301623190100008565
8–14 Sep 2016Focus [174] 4622132114111301008070
11–16 Aug 2016Focus [175] 472417241512110008268
22–28 Jul 2016AKO [176] 50281223198100008367
25 Jun – 1 Jul 2016Polis [177] 4529162319090907773
14–20 Jun 2016Focus [178] 462517251512100008169
4–11 May 2016AKO [179] 50271221199120008367
3–9 May 2016Focus [180] 522416201611110008367
22–29 Apr 2016Polis [181] 56261722180110008961
4–7 Apr 2016AKO [182] 49281223189110008367
11–16 Mar 2016Focus [183] 502218201614100008070
10–14 Mar 2016Polis [184] 5429202117090008466
5 Mar 2016 2016 elections 4921191514111110008169

Special pollings

This section shows polls from Median, which conducts polling more on potential gains and less on seat projections. This section will also include special polling conducted only on certain age groups, half–way polls, meaning that they are not comparable to official polling because it doesn't include all groups of population.

DatePolling firmSample
size		 Smer–SD SaS OĽaNO [lower-alpha 7] SNS Kotleba–ĽSNS Sme Rodina Most–Híd SIEŤ KDH SMK–MKP Lead
24 Jul – 20 Aug 2017Median [185] 101727.5%15.5%9.0%11.5%8.5%6.0%6.0%1.0%8.0%4.5%13.0%
15 May – 11 Jun 2017Median [186] 101728.5%15.5%10.5%11.5%8.0%5.0%6.0%1.5%6.5%5.0%14.0%
17 Apr – 14 May 2017Median [187] 107828.5%14.5%10.0%11.5%7.5%6.5%6.5%2.0%6.5%4.5%14.0%
20 Feb – 19 Mar 2017Median [188] 101827.0%16.0%10.0%10.0%9.0%6.0%7.0%1.5%6.5%4.5%11.0%
23 Jan – 19 Feb 2017Median [189] 102627.0%15.5%9.5%10.0%9.5%6.5%6.5%2.0%6.0%4.5%11.5%
1 Dec 16 – 22 Jan 17Median [190] 105825.0%15.0%10.5%11.0%8.0%5.5%7.5%2.0%7.0%4.0%10.0%
31 Oct – 27 Nov 2016Median [191] 101629.5%15.0%7.0%11.0%9.5%5.0%7.0%2.0%7.0%4.0%14.5%
Sep 2016IVO with Focus [192] 1,803 [lower-alpha 8] 11.5%23.4%11.7%10.5%23.5%7.6%2.5%0.5%2.3%1.6%0.1%
19 Sep – 16 Oct 2016Median [193] 99130.5%14.5%9.0%11.0%9.0%4.5%6.5%2.0%6.0%4.0%16.0%
22 Aug – 22 Sep 2016Median [194] 98430.5%15.0%10.5%12.5%8.0%3.5%7.5%2.0%6.0%3.5%15.5%
25 Jul – 21 Aug 2016Median [195] 1,01429.0%16.0%9.5%12.5%10.0%3.0%7.0%2.5%6.0%3.0%13.0%
Mar 2016IVO with Focus [196] 1,803 [lower-alpha 8] 13.6%18.1%13.4%10.5%18.1%7.6%2.5%0.5%2.3%1.6%Tie

Notes

  1. ↑ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name.
  2. 1 2 K-ĽSNS runs a common list with KDŽP-Aliancia za Slovensko, Národná Koalícia, Doma Dobre, and Priama Demokracia under its name.
  3. 1 2 Most-Híd runs a common list with Šanca under its name.
  4. 1 2 SMK runs a common list with Maďarské Forum, and Maďarská Spolupatričnosť under name MKO-MKS.
  5. ↑ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA under its name.
  6. ↑ OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA, Kresťanská únia, and ZMENA ZDOLA under its name.
  7. 1 2 OĽaNO runs a common list with NOVA under its name.
  8. 1 2 18–39 year olds

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