2019 Slovak presidential election

Last updated

2019 Slovak presidential election
Flag of Slovakia.svg
←  2014 16 March 2019 (first round)
30 March 2019 (second round)		 2024  →
Turnout48.74% (first round)
41.80% (second round)
  ZuzanaCaputovaPokracujeVKampani-Orez-IMG 0394-SF.jpg Maros Sefcovic MSC 2017 (cropped).jpg
Nominee Zuzana Čaputová Maroš Šefčovič
Party PS Independent [lower-alpha 1]
Popular vote1,056,582752,403
Percentage58.41%41.59%
2019 Slovak presidential election - First Round Vote Strength.svg
2019 Slovak presidential election - Second Round Vote Strength.svg
President before election

Andrej Kiska
Independent

Elected President

Zuzana Čaputová
PS

Presidential elections were held in Slovakia in March 2019. Incumbent President Andrej Kiska did not run for a second term.

Contents

Fifteen candidates contested the first round on 16 March, of which two later formally withdrew their bids before voting took place, but their names still had to remain on the ballot papers. Zuzana Čaputová of the Progressive Slovakia party finished ahead of the other candidates, receiving 40.6% of the votes, but failed to achieve the necessary threshold of 50%+1 vote from all registered voters to avoid a run-off. Maroš Šefčovič, the Vice-President of the European Commission for the Energy Union, who was running as an independent supported by the Direction – Social Democracy (SMER–SD) party, came in as the runner-up with 18.7% of the vote and earned a place in the run-off as well.

In the second round on 30 March, Čaputová was elected with 58.4% of the vote to Šefčovič's 41.6%. She became the first woman to be elected to the presidency and became Slovakia's youngest-ever president upon her inauguration which took place on 15 June 2019.

Background

Andrej Kiska was elected President in March 2014. He won the run-off with a large majority against then-Prime minister Robert Fico.

Polls indicated that he was Slovakia's most trusted politician and that he would have likely been the frontrunner in the election, had he chosen to present himself as a candidate. [1] He had originally planned to announce whether he would run for a second term in September 2018. [2] but moved it on 15 May 2018. [3] Freedom and Solidarity had announced it would support Kiska's candidacy. [4] However, Kiska announced on 15 May 2018 that he would not run for re-election, arguing that this move might end "the era of political confrontation" his country faced and citing a desire to spend more time with his family. [5] Kiska is notably pro-European. [1]

Kiska's decision had been rumoured since February 2018 and political parties had already started to look for candidates. [6] [7]

Electoral system

The President of the Slovak Republic has been elected for a five-year term, and by popular vote since the elections in 1999. [14] [15] Its role is limited, but not just ceremonial. The President has the power to nominate the Prime Minister, to veto bills (unless confirmed by a two-thirds majority), and to nominate judges on the highest tiers of the judicial branch. [16]

The President is elected through a two-round method; if no candidate reaches 50%+1 votes in the first round, the top two candidates of the first round take part in a second round. [17]

For a candidacy to be valid, the Constitution of Slovakia requires the collection of 15,000 signatures of Slovak citizens, or the support of 15 of the 150 MPs in the legislature. The candidate must be an eligible voter over 40 years old, must resign from any other conflicting public office, and is limited to two terms in office. [18]

Candidates

Candidates who claimed 15,000 citizen signatures or have 15 MP signatures by midnight of 31 January 2019 were as follows:

NameParty [19] Age [20] [21] Date of candidacy announcementDate of candidacy confirmation
Bela Bugar.jpg Béla Bugár Most–Híd 609 June 2018 [22] 6 September 2018 [23]
ZuzanaCaputovaPokracujeVKampani-Orez-IMG 0394-SF.jpg Zuzana Čaputová PS 4529 May 2018 [24] 24 January 2019 [25]
Martin Dano portrait.jpg Martin DaňoIndependent4216 February 2018 [26] 24 January 2019 [27]
Stefan Harabin.jpg Štefan Harabin Independent [28] 6118 April 2018 [29] 15 November 2018 [30]
Eduard Chmelar 2009.jpg Eduard Chmelár Independent4723 April 2018 [31] 28 January 2019 [32]
Marian Kotleba (cropped).jpg Marian Kotleba Kotleba-ĽSNS 4131 May 2018 [33] 30 January 2019 [34]
MilanKrajniakWikifoto.jpg Milan Krajniak We Are Family 4631 May 2018 [35] 11 August 2018 [36]
Frantisek Miklosko.jpg František Mikloško Independent [37] [38] 716 June 2018 [39] 25 January 2019 [40]
Maros Sefcovic MSC 2017 (cropped).jpg Maroš Šefčovič Independent5218 January 2019 [41] 31 January 2019 [42]
Slovakia politic personality icon.svg Róbert Švec Independent4227 May 2018 [43] 25 November 2018 [44]
Bohumila Tauchmannova portrait.jpg Bohumila Tauchmannová Independent601 March 2018 [45] 19 September 2018 [46]
Slovakia politic personality icon.svg Juraj Zábojník Independent5619 February 2018 [47] 13 August 2018 [48]
Ivan Zuzula.png Ivan Zuzula SKS 6431 January 2019 [49] 31 January 2019 [49]

Declined to run

Withdrawn

Campaign

During the campaign, Šefčovič (a Roman Catholic) [60] spoke against any changes in LGBT rights status in Slovakia, strongly opposing both civil partnerships or same-sex adoptions. He criticised his opponent Čaputová (who is in favour of both) as a candidate who is forcing a "new ultraliberal agenda" on Slovakia, comparing the second round of elections to a referendum on such an agenda, which he considers to be "in exact contradiction to traditional Christian values". [61] [62] He also stated that "we can not support any further steps towards civil unions or same-sex adoptions because these would go precisely against our traditional Christian values", calling this stance as his "very natural position" due to his Christianity. [63] [64] According to his opinion, discussions about "such experiments bring great unrest to society". [65]

Šefčovič has also criticised his opponent Čaputová for her opinions on the European migrant crisis and related policies. He asserted the importance of a speedy deportation policy, so that "people who do not have any business here are sent to their home countries as quickly as possible". [66] Furthermore, he argued out that "it has to be Slovaks who decide who comes to our country". [65]

Štefan Harabin ran on a platform of "traditional Slovak culture based on Christianity and family, formed by a man–father and woman–mother" and rejecting "gender ideology". [67]

During the campaign Harabin accused Muslim migrants of "killing and raping European women in Germany and France" and claimed his opponents wanted to destroy Slovak culture. He also condemned NATO, European Union institutions as well as homosexuals. [68] According to Globsec, Harabin was the most favoured candidate by "pro-Kremlin disinformation channels" on Facebook, receiving 174 positive and no negative posts. [69]

Opinion polls

First round

DateAgency Iveta Radičová Andrej Danko Veronika Remišová Igor Matovič Béla Bugár Marian Kotleba Štefan Harabin Milan Krajniak Maroš Šefčovič Peter Pellegrini Eduard Chmelár Robert Mistrík František Mikloško Zuzana Čaputová Martin Daňo Marian Čaučík Other/
Abstain
16 Mar 2019First round electionN/AN/AN/AN/A3.1%10.4%14.3%2.8%18.6%N/A2.7%N/A5.7%40.6%0.5%N/A
26 Feb - 1 March 2019Phoenix Research [70] ————9.1%7.8%15.2%7.1%19.8%—5.1%—6.7%18.5%2.5%—8.2%
27–28 Feb 2019AKO [71] ————4.1%5.6%11.4%2.4%16.7%—1.5%—3.1%52.9%———
26-28 Feb 2019Focus [72] ————3.2%8.2%12.0%2.4%22.1%—2.5%—3.5%44.8%0.9%——
27 February 2019Restartup [73] ————7.6%9.1%9.8%5.2%13.5%—3.2%—5.2%37.9%2.7%——
22-25 Feb 2019AKO [74] ————5.9%4.5%11.7%6.1%17.1%—2.2%16.8%3.9%27.5%2.6%——
21-26 Feb 2019FOCUS [75] ————5.8%8.5%13.0%4.3%20.4%—2.0%13.1%4.3%26.3%0.7%——
11-23 Feb 2019Median [76] ————6.5%7.5%10.5%5.5%20.5%—3.0%15.0%5.0%23.5%1.0%——
13–19 Feb 2019MVK [77] ————7.6%7.0%8.7%3.5%32.8%—2.2%—8.9%27.6%0.5%—1.1%
13–19 Feb 2019MVK [78] ————6.3%6.5%8.3%3.1%30.3%—1.7%14.2%7.3%19.4%0.3%—2.5%
12–15 Feb 2019AKO [79] ————6.5%8.2%12.1%5.6%19.7%—3.5%18.2%2.9%17.4%2.3%—1.5%
7–12 Feb 2019Focus [80] ————7.4%8.9%13.6%6.3%20.1%—3.5%17.1%4.5%14.4%1.0%—3.1%
8–12 Feb 2019AKO [81] ————7.4%6.9%12.8%7.8%18.2%—5.0%15.8%5.5%14.7%1.7%—3.2%
28 January 2019Restartup [82] ————7.8%9.5%12.6%6.1%12.5%—3.6%16.3%6.5%10.2%3.5%——
16–23 Jan 2019Focus [83] —7.8%——10.1%8.2%11.7%7.0%16.5%—2.3%16.5%6.7%9.0%0.1%—4.1%
10–15 Jan 2019AKO [84] —7.5%——11.0%7.3%13.0%10.1%19.4%—4.3%——18.5%1.2%——
Aug–Sep 2018AKO [85] —9.7%—4.6%8.6%4.7%8.8%4.4%—11.9%10.8%12.1%7.1%6.9%2.7%1.9%5.8%
24–30 Apr 2018Focus [86] 13.9%12.1%7.8%—5.3%5.0%4.6%—2.8%—1.4%1.0%———0.5%45.9%

Second round

DateAgency Maroš Šefčovič Zuzana Čaputová
30 Mar 2019Second round election41.59%58.41%
28–29 March 2019Focus [87] 44.8%55.2%
17–19 March 2019Median [88] 39.5%60.5%
16 March 2019Focus [89] 35.6%64.4%
26–28 February 2019Focus [90] 36.0%64.0%
27 February 2019Restartup [73] 35.5%64.5%
12–15 February 2019AKO [79] 45.1%54.9%
7–12 February 2019Focus [91] 51.9%48.1%
16–23 January 2019Focus [92] 58.0%42.0%
Hypothetical polling

Čaputová vs Harabin

DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Štefan Harabin
26–28 February 2019Focus [90] 72.4%27.6%
27 February 2019Restartup [73] 71.1%28.9%

Šefčovič vs Harabin

DateAgency Maroš Šefčovič Štefan Harabin
27 February 2019Restartup [73] 61.6%38.4%
16–23 January 2019Focus [92] 65.4%34.6%

Šefcovič vs Mistrík

DateAgency Maroš Šefčovič Robert Mistrík
12–15 February 2019AKO [79] 44.7%55.3%
7–12 February 2019Focus [91] 49.2%50.8%
16–23 January 2019Focus [92] 50.1%49.9%

Mistrík vs Harabin

DateAgency Robert Mistrík Štefan Harabin
16–23 January 2019Focus [92] 63.8%36.2%

Kiska's Second term

This lists polls that asked people if they want Andrej Kiska as president for Second term.

DateAgencyForAgainst
24–30 April 2018Focus [93] 42.742.6

Results

Zuzana Čaputová of the Progressive Slovakia party finished far ahead of the other candidates, receiving 40.6% of the votes, but failed to achieve the necessary threshold of 50%+1 vote from all registered voters to avoid a run-off. Maroš Šefčovič, the Vice-President of the European Commission for the Energy Union, who was running as an independent supported by the governing Smer-SD, [94] was the runner-up with 18.7% of the vote and earned the other place in the run-off. Voter turnout in the first round was 48.74%, the highest percentage for that stage of presidential elections since direct voting for the position was introduced in 1999. [95]

In the second round, Čaputová won election to the presidency, garnering 58.4% of the vote to Šefčovič's 41.6%. She became the first woman to be elected to the position and became Slovakia's youngest-ever president upon her inauguration on 15 June 2019. [96] The second round turnout of just 41.80% was the lowest for any round of presidential elections in Slovakia. [97] The number of votes with which Čaputová was elected to office is also the lowest for any directly elected Slovak president to date. [97]

CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Zuzana Čaputová Progressive Slovakia 870,41540.571,056,58258.41
Maroš Šefčovič Independent (Smer)400,37918.66752,40341.59
Štefan Harabin Independent307,82314.35
Marian Kotleba Kotleba – People's Party Our Slovakia 222,93510.39
František Mikloško Independent122,9165.73
Béla Bugár Most–Híd 66,6673.11
Milan Krajniak We Are Family 59,4642.77
Eduard Chmelár Independent58,9652.75
Martin DaňoIndependent11,1460.52
Róbert ŠvecIndependent6,5670.31
Juraj ZábojníkIndependent6,2190.29
Ivan Zuzula Slovak Conservative Party 3,8070.18
Bohumila TauchmannováIndependent3,5350.16
Robert Mistrík [lower-alpha 2] Independent3,3180.15
József Menyhárt [lower-alpha 2] Party of the Hungarian Community 1,2080.06
Total2,145,364100.001,808,985100.00
Valid votes2,145,36499.371,808,98597.92
Invalid/blank votes13,4950.6338,4322.08
Total votes2,158,859100.001,847,417100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,429,03348.744,419,88341.80
Source: Statistics.sk (first round), (second round)
  1. ↑ Although Šefčovič was officially an independent, his campaign was endorsed and funded by Direction – Social Democracy.
  2. 1 2 Candidate withdrew, but was still on the ballot.

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References

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  3. ↑ "Kiska má zítra oznámit, zda bude znovu kandidovat. Fico na něj hned zaútočil". Novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 14 May 2018.
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  20. ↑ "KANDIDÁTI NA PREZIDENTA SLOVENSKEJ REPUBLIKY, 16 March 2019". Ministry of Interior of the Slovak Republic.
  21. ↑ Per convention, candidates' ages are calculated based on the date of publication of the official list of candidates by the National Council of the Slovak Republic on 1 February 2019.
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  30. ↑ "Iniciatíva za Harabinovu prezidentskú kandidatúru vyzbierala dostatok podpisov". Aktuality.sk. Bratislava: Ringier Axel Springer Slovakia. 15 November 2018. Retrieved 9 January 2019.
  31. ↑ TASR (23 April 2018). "Ďalší kontroverzný kandidát na prezidenta? Podpisy začal zbierať Eduard Chmelár". pravda.sk. Bratislava: Perex. ISSN   1336-197X . Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  32. ↑ TASR (28 January 2019). "Aj Chmelár odovzdal podpisy, chce byť prezidentom bežných ľudí". TA3. Bratislava. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
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  35. ↑ TASR (31 May 2018). "Do prezidentského súboja sa zapojí aj Krajniak zo Sme rodina". sme.sk. Bratislava: Petit Press. ISSN   1335-4418 . Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  36. ↑ ČTK; SITA (11 August 2018). "Prvým oficiálnym kandidátom na prezidenta je Milan Krajniak". etrend.sk. Bratislava: TREND Holding. ISSN   1336-2674 . Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  37. ↑ TASR (26 July 2018). "Mikloško pôjde do prezidentských volieb s podporou OKS". sme.sk. Bratislava: Petit Press. ISSN   1335-4418 . Retrieved 21 September 2018.
  38. ↑ "KDH v prvom kole prezidentských volieb podporí Františka Mikloška". Denník Postoj. Bratislava: Postoy. TASR. 16 February 2019. ISSN   1336-720X . Retrieved 17 February 2019.
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