Graphical summary
In the run up to the 2023 Estonian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Estonia. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Estonian parliamentary election held on 3 March. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.
Trackers of voting intentions and other election-related polling:
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Parem | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election Results | 5 Mar | N/A | 31.2 | 15.3 | 16.1 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 13.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.3 | 15.1 | 48.7 | 51.3 |
| 37 | 16 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 54 | 47 | ||||
| Norstat [lower-alpha 1] | 28 Feb-3 Mar | 1,000 | 33.1 | 14.9 | 15.6 | 7.3 | 7.7 | 15.4 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 17.5 | 48.1 | 52.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 28 Feb-2 Mar | 1,613 | 29.0 | 16.0 | 14.3 | 7.2 | 11.5 | 15.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 13.0 | 47.7 | 52.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 20-28 Feb | 600–700 | 30 | 17 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 51 |
| Norstat [lower-alpha 1] | 21-27 Feb | 1,000 | 24.8 | 19.0 | 25.2 | 8.8 | 8.6 | 9.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 42.2 | 57.8 |
| Faktum & Ariko | 20-27 Feb | 959 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 [lower-alpha 2] | 2 | 40 | 60 |
| Kantar Emor | 20-22 Feb | 1,577 | 28.2 | 13.9 | 18.1 | 9.1 | 10.4 | 13.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 10.1 | 48.7 | 50.5 |
| Norstat | 14-20 Feb | 1,000 | 29.0 | 17.9 | 21.7 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 9.7 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 45.9 | 52.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 13-16 Feb | 1,595 | 31.0 | 16.2 | 17.2 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 46.9 | 51.4 |
| Norstat | 7-13 Feb | 1,000 | 27.5 | 20.6 | 21.1 | 8.4 | 7.1 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 6.4 | 43 | 55.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 6-9 Feb | 1,493 | 31.8 | 15.8 | 18.6 | 8.8 | 8.0 | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 13.2 | 48.6 | 51.0 |
| Norstat | 31 Jan - 6 Feb | 1,000 | 31.9 | 18.1 | 22.8 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 8.4 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 9.1 | 46 | 53 |
| Kantar Emor | 30 Jan - 2 Feb | 1,554 | 30.3 | 16.4 | 19.3 | 7.0 | 8.3 | 13.1 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 11.0 | 45.6 | 52.8 |
| Norstat | 24-30 Jan | 1,000 | 27.7 | 19.5 | 21.5 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 13.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 42.2 | 56.8 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 27 Jan [lower-alpha 3] | 600–700 | 26 | 16 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 40 | 57 |
| Kantar Emor | 19-26 Jan | 1,639 | 31.5 | 16.0 | 19.1 | 5.6 | 7.6 | 12.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 12.4 | 44.7 | 52.4 |
| Norstat | 17-23 Jan | 1,000 | 31.7 | 21.3 | 18.4 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 10.4 | 44.8 | 54.7 |
| Norstat | 10-16 Jan | 1,000 | 30.4 | 17.8 | 20.0 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 48.2 | 51.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 5-11 Jan | 1,639 | 28 | 18 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 2-9 Jan | 1,000 | 34.2 | 16.9 | 23.3 | 4.8 | 8.4 | 9.2 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 8.9 | 47.4 | 52.1 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Parem | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 20-27 Dec | 1,000 | 31.0 | 16.5 | 22.8 | 9.1 | 5.6 | 10.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 8.2 | 45.7 | 54.3 |
| Norstat | 13-19 Dec | 1,000 | 31.5 | 15.2 | 24.6 | 6.5 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 45.7 | 54.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 8-16 Dec | 1,510 | 30 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 52 |
| Norstat | 6-12 Dec | 1,000 | 31.3 | 15.1 | 27.1 | 8.3 | 6.0 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 45.6 | 54.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6 Dec [lower-alpha 4] | 600–700 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 51 |
| Norstat | 29 Nov-5 Dec | 1,000 | 34.0 | 15.5 | 24.0 | 5.4 | 7.5 | 10.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 10.0 | 46.9 | 53.1 |
| Norstat | 22-28 Nov | 1,000 | 33.6 | 17.0 | 23.7 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 10.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 9.9 | 46.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 15-21 Nov | 1,000 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 24.3 | 8.7 | 5.9 | 8.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 8.2 | 47.1 | 52.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 10-17 Nov | 1,512 | 31 | 15 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 8-14 Nov | 1,000 | 33.7 | 16.8 | 23.6 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9 Nov [lower-alpha 5] | 600–700 | 32 | 11 | 24 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 47 | 53 |
| Norstat | 1-6 Nov | 1,000 | 33.5 | 15.1 | 25.7 | 8.9 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 7.8 | 47.6 | 52.4 |
| Norstat | 26-31 Oct | 1,000 | 31.0 | 14.9 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 44.9 | 55.1 |
| Norstat | 18-25 Oct | 1,000 | 34.2 | 15.3 | 26.3 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 8.6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 47.2 | 52.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 13-19 Oct | 1,469 | 28 | 14 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 11-17 Oct | 1,000 | 32.2 | 11.6 | 28.8 | 8.9 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 3.4 | 47.5 | 52.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12 Oct [lower-alpha 6] | 600–700 | 29 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 4-10 Oct | 1,000 | 32.2 | 13.9 | 27.0 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 9.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 46.1 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 27 Sep-3 Oct | 1,000 | 33.5 | 11.9 | 27.8 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5.7 | 47.3 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 20–26 Sep | 1,000 | 28.3 | 19.6 | 27.4 | 5.9 | 6.3 | 8.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 40.5 | 57.8 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Sep | 1,000 | 30.5 | 16.7 | 27.7 | 6.0 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 43.0 | 56.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 16 Sep [lower-alpha 7] | 500–700 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 15 | 49 | 47.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 8-14 Sep | 1,431 | 29 | 14 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 48 | 52 |
| Norstat | 6-12 Sep | 1,000 | 30.4 | 15.4 | 24.7 | 8.4 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 1.7 | — | 3.1 | 5.7 | 47.1 | 40.1 |
| Norstat | 27 Aug-5 Sep | 1,000 | 31.1 | 13.6 | 22.9 | 8.1 | 9.3 | 11.1 | 2.1 | — | 1.8 | 8.2 | 48.5 | 36.5 |
| Norstat | 23-29 Aug | 1,000 | 32.0 | 16.0 | 24.9 | 7.5 | 6.5 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 46 | 54 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 25 Aug [lower-alpha 8] | 600–700 | 28 | 15 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 2 | — | 5 | 11 | 47 | 46 |
| Norstat | 16-22 Aug | 1,000 | 35.1 | 15.2 | 20.1 | 9.9 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 2.2 | — | 1.1 | 8.6 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 11-22 Aug | 1,514 | 31 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 2 | — | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 12 | 49 | 51 |
| Dissidents split from Isamaa to form Parempoolsed | ||||||||||||||
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 9-15 Aug | 1,000 | 31.8 | 19.2 | 23.2 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.6 | 47 | 53 |
| Norstat | 2-8 Aug | 1,000 | 35.5 | 14.5 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 11 | 9.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 16.4 | 54.1 | 45.9 |
| Norstat | 25 Jul-1 Aug | 1,000 | 35.5 | 16.6 | 21.8 | 9.0 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 13.7 | 53 | 47 |
| Norstat | 19-25 Jul | 1,000 | 32.8 | 16.3 | 21.0 | 8.1 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 11.8 | 50.1 | 49.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Jul | 1,501 | 30 | 15 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 12 | 50 | 49 |
| Kaja Kallas' second cabinet is formed by Reform, Isamaa and SDE | |||||||||||||
| Norstat | 12–18 Jul | 1,000 | 33.9 | 18.0 | 16.8 | 10.7 | 8.8 | 8.3 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 15.9 | 33.9 | 66.1 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Jul | 1,000 | 32.4 | 16.9 | 18.5 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 11.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 13.9 | 32.4 | 67.6 |
| Norstat | 27 Jun –4 Jul | 1,000 | 32.5 | 17.9 | 21.1 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 10.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 11.4 | 32.5 | 67.5 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Jun | 1,000 | 34.1 | 16.0 | 22.6 | 7.6 | 5.8 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 34.1 | 65.9 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 17 Jun [lower-alpha 10] | 600–700 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 55 |
| Kantar Emor | 9–14 Jun | 1,537 | 32 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 0 [lower-alpha 9] | 14 | 32 | 68 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Jun | 1,000 | 35.0 | 16.6 | 21.3 | 8.4 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 13.7 | 35.0 | 65.0 |
| Norstat | 1–6 Jun | 1,000 | 33.5 | 20.5 | 20.8 | 6.8 | 5.8 | 10.4 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 12.7 | 33.5 | 66.5 |
| The ministers of Kesk were dismissed | |||||||||||||
| Norstat | 24–30 May | 1,000 | 34.7 | 16.7 | 19.4 | 6.4 | 7.0 | 13.7 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 15.3 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Norstat | 16–23 May | 1,000 | 35.4 | 17.2 | 18.5 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 12.3 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 16.9 | 52.6 | 47.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–20 May | 1,461 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 0 [lower-alpha 9] | 16 | 49 | 51 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 19 May [lower-alpha 11] | 600–700 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 10–16 May | 1,000 | 33.3 | 14.7 | 20.6 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 12.9 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 12.7 | 48.0 | 52.0 |
| Norstat | 4–9 May | 1,000 | 35.9 | 16.5 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 7.6 | 13.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 16.9 | 52.4 | 47.6 |
| Norstat | 26 Apr –2 May | 1,000 | 30.6 | 19.4 | 23.3 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 12.7 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Norstat | 19–25 Apr | 1,000 | 34.0 | 16.7 | 21.0 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 14.2 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 13.0 | 50.7 | 49.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Apr | 1,495 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 [lower-alpha 9] | 4 | 41 | 59 |
| Norstat | 12–18 Apr | 1,000 | 30.9 | 18.5 | 22.5 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 8.4 | 49.4 | 50.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 18 Apr [lower-alpha 12] | 600–700 | 30 | 14 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 6–11 Apr | 1,000 | 32.1 | 16.0 | 20.8 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 16.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 11.3 | 48.1 | 51.9 |
| Norstat | 28 Mar –4 Apr | 1,000 | 29.3 | 16.6 | 21.4 | 4.2 | 6.3 | 19.3 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 7.9 | 45.9 | 54.1 |
| Norstat | 21–28 Mar | 1,000 | 31.7 | 16.2 | 22.0 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 17.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 9.7 | 47.9 | 52.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 19 Mar [lower-alpha 13] | 600–700 | 23 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 37 | 63 |
| Norstat | 14–18 Mar | ≥1,000 | 28.0 | 17.6 | 20.6 | 5.1 | 9.3 | 16.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 7.4 | 45.6 | 54.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Mar | 1274 | 26 | 18 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 0 [lower-alpha 9] | 7 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Mar | ≥1,000 | 24.5 | 18.9 | 24.3 | 6.6 | 7.3 | 18.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 43.4 | 56.6 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Mar | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 13.7 | 18.9 | 5.8 | 8.1 | 19.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 11.5 | 44.9 | 55.1 |
| Beginning of Russian invasion of Ukraine | |||||||||||||
| Norstat | 22–28 Feb | ≥1,000 | 26.5 | 14.9 | 22.6 | 6.3 | 7.7 | 20.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 41.4 | 58.6 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.3 | 18.2 | 21.8 | 7.9 | 8.2 | 17.8 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 41.5 | 58.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–18 Feb | 1503 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 0 [lower-alpha 9] | 1 | 40 | 61 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 18 Feb [lower-alpha 14] | 600–700 | 18 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 23 | – | 6 | 1 | 33 | 67 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.1 | 18.6 | 19.5 | 7.2 | 8.1 | 20.9 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 41.7 | 58.3 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Feb | ≥1,000 | 23.5 | 19.6 | 21.0 | 8.5 | 7.6 | 18.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 43.1 | 56.9 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Jan | ≥1,000 | 18.2 | 23.1 | 27.7 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 16.0 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 41.3 | 58.7 |
| Norstat | 18–24 Jan | ≥1,000 | 21.9 | 21.8 | 20.3 | 7.3 | 9.0 | 18.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 43.7 | 56.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–21 Jan | 1220 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 2 | 39 | 61 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–17 Jan | 873 | 18 | 20 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 20 | – | 3 | 4 | 38 | 62 |
| Norstat | 11–17 Jan | ≥1,000 | 22.0 | 20.6 | 24.9 | 6.6 | 6.7 | 17.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 42.6 | 57.4 |
| Norstat | 5–10 Jan | ≥1,000 | 24.4 | 18.6 | 23.9 | 5.9 | 8.7 | 15.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 43.0 | 57.0 |
| Norstat | 27 Dec –4 Jan | ≥1,000 | 27.4 | 21.2 | 20.5 | 6.9 | 6.4 | 15.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 48.6 | 51.4 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | Isamaa | SDE | E200 | EER | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 14-20 Dec | ≥1,000 | 24.2 | 22.1 | 19.9 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 16.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 46.3 | 53.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 9-15 Dec | 1220 | 19 | 17 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 2 | 36 | 64 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Dec | ≥1,000 | 27.1 | 18.7 | 22.4 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 14.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.7 | 45.8 | 54.2 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Dec | ≥1,000 | 22.3 | 19.2 | 19.5 | 8.3 | 7.7 | 16.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 2.8 | 41.5 | 57.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 30 Nov-7 Dec | 1,009 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 59 |
| Norstat | 23–29 Nov | ≥1,000 | 19.8 | 22.3 | 21.3 | 8.2 | 9.3 | 16.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 42.1 | 56.1 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.0 | 20.8 | 24.4 | 7.8 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 40.8 | 58.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–17 Nov | 1,045 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 3 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | Tie | 36 | 63 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Nov | ≥1,000 | 22.0 | 23.6 | 23.0 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 12.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 45.6 | 54.8 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 4–9 Nov | 1,000 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 59 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.5 | 20.5 | 25.5 | 8.0 | 9.4 | 12.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 41.0 | 58.2 |
| Norstat | 26 Oct–2 Nov | ≥1,000 | 20.8 | 22.8 | 21.9 | 7.7 | 8.0 | 16.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 43.6 | 56.0 |
| Norstat | 20–25 Oct | ≥1,000 | 22.8 | 20.3 | 24.0 | 8.3 | 7.3 | 14.2 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 43.1 | 55.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 Oct | 1,218 | 23 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 2 | 41 | 58 |
| Norstat | 13–18 Oct | ≥1,000 | 23.5 | 18.1 | 26.4 | 9.0 | 8.9 | 11.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 41.6 | 57.0 |
| Norstat | 5–12 Oct | ≥1,000 | 26.7 | 19.7 | 22.0 | 6.7 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 46.4 | 51.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 4–8 Oct | 1,000 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 43 | 53 |
| Norstat | 28 Sep–5 Oct | ≥1,000 | 22.8 | 19.8 | 26.3 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 12.5 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 42.6 | 56.0 |
| Norstat | 22–27 Sep | ≥1,000 | 22.9 | 22.3 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 9.0 | 11.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 45.2 | 54.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 16–21 Sep | 1,060 | 27 | 16 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 3 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 5 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Sep | ≥1,000 | 24.1 | 15.4 | 26.1 | 5.9 | 10.1 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 39.5 | 58.1 |
| Norstat | 8–13 Sep | ≥1,000 | 25.6 | 21.3 | 23.6 | 6.2 | 9.8 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 46.9 | 52.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–15 Sep | 1,003 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 56 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Sep | ≥1,000 | 24.7 | 19.2 | 24.6 | 8.4 | 7.2 | 12.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 43.9 | 55.0 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Aug | ≥1,000 | 28.2 | 17.7 | 22.0 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 13.6 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 45.9 | 53.1 |
| Norstat | 17–24 Aug | ≥1,000 | 30.0 | 18.1 | 23.1 | 5.8 | 9.2 | 11.6 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 6.9 | 48.1 | 51.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–17 Aug | 1,058 | 25 | 16 | 24 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 1 | 41 | 58 |
| Norstat | 9–16 Aug | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 17.3 | 18.3 | 5.0 | 8.5 | 14.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 13.8 | 49.4 | 49.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–13 Aug | 1,000 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 55 |
| Norstat | 3–7 Aug | ≥1,000 | 29.9 | 18.8 | 23.5 | 5.9 | 8.9 | 10.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6.4 | 48.7 | 50.3 |
| Norstat | 27 Jul–2 Aug | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 17.8 | 24.8 | 5.8 | 7.6 | 12.1 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 4.0 | 46.6 | 52.6 |
| Norstat | 20–27 Jul | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 15.0 | 23.2 | 5.4 | 7.2 | 13.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 10.7 | 48.9 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–22 Jul | 1,001 | 23 | 20 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 2 | 43 | 56 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Jul | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 16.3 | 26.3 | 6.2 | 6.9 | 12.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 45.8 | 53.5 |
| Norstat | 6–12 Jul | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 17.7 | 24.4 | 6.3 | 7.0 | 12.7 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 46.5 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 28 Jun–4 Jul | ≥1,000 | 30.0 | 20.4 | 21.0 | 6.1 | 7.0 | 11.4 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 9.0 | 50.4 | 48.0 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Jun | ≥1,000 | 28.7 | 18.9 | 21.1 | 4.7 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 47.6 | 50.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Jun | 997 | 25 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 2 [lower-alpha 15] | 5.0 | 43 | 55 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Jun | ≥1,000 | 26.6 | 18.8 | 25.5 | 5.6 | 8.5 | 10.9 | 1.7 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 45.4 | 52.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 3–10 Jun | 1,000 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 55 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Jun | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 20.5 | 21.1 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 8.5 | 50.1 | 48.8 |
| Norstat | 26–31 May | ≥1,000 | 29.3 | 21.0 | 19.9 | 5.9 | 8.2 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 8.3 | 50.3 | 48.0 |
| Norstat | 19–25 May | ≥1,000 | 31.8 | 17.9 | 20.6 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 13.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 11.2 | 49.7 | 49.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–18 May | 1,050 | 28 | 16 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 2 [lower-alpha 9] | 9 | 44 | 56 |
| Norstat | 12–17 May | ≥1,000 | 32.5 | 18.1 | 21.2 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 13.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 11.3 | 50.6 | 48.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–11 May | 1,002 | 26 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 4–10 May | ≥1,000 | 30.4 | 18.7 | 20.5 | 4.4 | 8.4 | 15.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 9.9 | 49.1 | 49.9 |
| Norstat | 27 Apr–3 May | ≥1,000 | 29.1 | 20.7 | 23.9 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 11.9 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5.2 | 49.8 | 48.5 |
| Norstat | 20–26 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.4 | 22.3 | 15.6 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 12.1 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 11.1 | 55.7 | 42.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 15–21 Apr | 1,110 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 3 [lower-alpha 16] | 8 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Apr | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 19.3 | 17.4 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 16.9 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 49.0 | 49.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 8–14 Apr | 1,010 | 27 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 46 | 51 |
| Norstat | 7–12 Apr | ≥1,000 | 30.5 | 17.3 | 21.2 | 5.7 | 8.2 | 13.5 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 47.8 | 50.2 |
| Norstat | 30 Mar–5 Apr | ≥1,000 | 34.4 | 20.1 | 19.6 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 54.5 | 43.6 |
| Norstat | 23–29 Mar | ≥1,000 | 35.2 | 20.7 | 18.2 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 12.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 14.5 | 55.9 | 43.6 |
| Norstat | 17–22 Mar | ≥1,000 | 33.3 | 19.4 | 17.7 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 12.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 13.9 | 52.7 | 45.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–15 Mar | 1,005 | 26 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 52 |
| Norstat | 10–15 Mar | ≥1,000 | 31.5 | 23 | 20.5 | 4.7 | 6.2 | 10.1 | 2 | 1.6 | 8.5 | 54.5 | 43.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–16 Mar | 1,114 | 28 | 18 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 9 | 46 | 53 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Mar | ≥1,000 | 36.7 | 17 | 20.3 | 6.2 | 5.3 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 16.4 | 53.7 | 45.2 |
| Norstat | 23 Feb–1 Mar | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 18.8 | 20.5 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 11.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 14.9 | 54.2 | 44.7 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.3 | 19.3 | 18.1 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 12.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 16 | 54.6 | 44.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 10–15 Feb | 1,005 | 28 | 17 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 45 | 51 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–15 Feb | 1,124 | 30 | 17 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 2 | 2 [lower-alpha 17] | 10 | 47 | 51 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.2 | 15.5 | 20.2 | 4.8 | 7.6 | 13.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 15 | 50.7 | 48.2 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Feb | ≥1,000 | 34.6 | 20.7 | 19.1 | 6.1 | 5 | 11.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 13.9 | 55.3 | 41.9 |
| Norstat | 26 Jan–1 Feb | ≥1,000 | 32.3 | 18.6 | 17.1 | 5.1 | 7.7 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 50.9 | 47.8 |
| Kaja Kallas' first cabinet is formed by Reform and Kesk | |||||||||||||
| Norstat | 18–25 Jan | ≥1,000 | 31.6 | 20.7 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 15.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 45.1 | 54.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–21 Jan | 1008 | 27 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 57 |
| Norstat | 12–18 Jan | ≥1,000 | 28.7 | 21.8 | 16.3 | 7.0 | 7.5 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 6.9 | 45.1 | 53.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–19 Jan | 1,219 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 4 | 1 [lower-alpha 9] | 8 | 41 | 58 |
| Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is dissolved | |||||||||||||
| Norstat | 5–11 Jan | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 20.9 | 15.1 | 5.2 | 8.7 | 15.2 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 8.6 | 41.2 | 55.3 |
| Norstat | 29 Dec–4 Jan | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 22.1 | 14.7 | 5.5 | 8.8 | 15.2 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 7.5 | 42.3 | 55.6 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | TULE | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 16–21 Dec | ≥1,000 | 28.1 | 20.9 | 15.9 | 7.4 | 6.4 | 17.3 | 2.1 | — | 1.9 | 7.2 | 44.2 | 53.9 |
| Norstat | 9–14 Dec | ≥1,000 | 26.4 | 21.5 | 14.2 | 5.9 | 8.6 | 18.1 | 3.1 | — | 2.2 | 4.9 | 41.6 | 56.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 3–9 Dec | 1,151 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 1 | — | 9 | 40 | 60 |
| Norstat | 1–7 Dec | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 21.4 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 8.1 | 15.4 | 1.7 | — | 3.5 | 9.8 | 40.1 | 59.9 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 27 Nov–7 Dec | 881 | 21 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 54 |
| Norstat | 24–30 Nov | ≥1,000 | 28.8 | 22.8 | 14.7 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 15.3 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 6.0 | 42.4 | 55.4 |
| Norstat | 17–23 Nov | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 21.0 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 9.4 | 14.8 | 3.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 8.6 | 40.6 | 57.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–18 Nov | 1,281 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 3 | 2 | — | 10 | 39 | 61 |
| Norstat | 11–16 Nov | ≥1,000 | 33.7 | 19.6 | 14.6 | 6.0 | 8.3 | 13.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 14.1 | 40.2 | 58.3 |
| Norstat | 3–9 Nov | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 24.5 | 16.5 | 4.5 | 9.1 | 11.4 | 2.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.2 | 45.5 | 53.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 30 Oct–9 Nov | 854 | 23 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 51 |
| Norstat | 27 Oct–2 Nov | ≥1,000 | 31.5 | 21.0 | 18.2 | 4.9 | 7.2 | 10.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 10.5 | 44.1 | 51.6 |
| Norstat | 22–26 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 20.3 | 14.2 | 6.9 | 8.6 | 8.9 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 14.8 | 41.4 | 56.3 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Oct | ≥1,000 | 29.4 | 25.0 | 17.2 | 6.1 | 9.1 | 9.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 48.3 | 50.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 1–15 Oct | 873 | 26 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 50 | 45 |
| Kantar Emor | 8–14 Oct | 1,268 | 33 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 62 |
| Norstat | 6–13 Oct | ≥1,000 | 32.2 | 22.3 | 18.1 | 4.4 | 9.0 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.9 | 44.8 | 53.0 |
| Norstat | 28 Sep–5 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 21.2 | 15.7 | 5.7 | 9.6 | 8.1 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 13.9 | 42.6 | 56.4 |
| Norstat | 23–28 Sep | ≥1,000 | 31.4 | 22.8 | 17.0 | 4.2 | 12.1 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 8.6 | 44 | 52.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 17–23 Sep | 1,089 | 32 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 37 | 62 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Sep | ≥1,000 | 34.7 | 21.6 | 14.3 | 4.8 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 3.7 | 13.1 | 40.7 | 55.6 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 07–17 Sep | 1,010 | 27 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | — | 3 | 45 | 55 |
| Norstat | 9–15 Sep | ≥1,000 | 32.5 | 22.5 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 42.1 | 55.2 |
| Norstat | 2–9 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.3 | 26.2 | 15.5 | 4.6 | 8.3 | 8.4 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7.1 | 46.3 | 52.8 |
| Norstat | 25–31 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 24.5 | 16.2 | 4.0 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 8.5 | 44.7 | 53.9 |
| The Biodiversity Party and the Estonian Free Party merge to form the Estonian Party of the Future | ||||||||||||||
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | EVA | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 17–25 Aug | ≥1,000 | 35.5 | 20.9 | 16.1 | 5.8 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3.1 | 14.6 | 42.8 | 54.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 12–24 Aug | 1,003 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 51 | 48 |
| Kantar Emor | 13–19 Aug | 1,268 | 30 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 58 |
| Norstat | 10–17 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 22.9 | 15.4 | 6.1 | 9.8 | 7.9 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 44.4 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 4–10 Aug | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 19.4 | 19.0 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 9.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 12.7 | 44.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 27 Jul–3 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 22.5 | 18.4 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 6.8 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 10.5 | 46.8 | 52.1 |
| Norstat | 21–28 Jul | ≥1,000 | 31.2 | 24.1 | 18.6 | 6.4 | 8.7 | 6.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 49.1 | 49.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 16–22 Jul | 1,125 | 31 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 57 |
| Norstat | 14–20 Jul | ≥1,000 | 34.0 | 23.5 | 16.8 | 5.6 | 8.7 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 10.5 | 45.9 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 7–13 Jul | ≥1,000 | 32.3 | 23.2 | 15.8 | 4.4 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 4.0 | 9.1 | 43.4 | 52.6 |
| Norstat | 29 Jun–6 Jul | ≥1,000 | 32.1 | 22.9 | 14.8 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 9.2 | 43.8 | 54 |
| Norstat | 16–22 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 26.1 | 16.0 | 5.9 | 9.3 | 9.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 9–16 Jun | ≥1,000 | 31.7 | 27.0 | 16.3 | 5.9 | 7.6 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 4.7 | 49.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–15 Jun | 1,004 | 33 | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 46 | 55 |
| Kantar Emor | Jun | 1,268 | 28 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 54 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 22.8 | 20.3 | 4.7 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 7.5 | 47.8 | 48.9 |
| Norstat | 25 May–1 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.8 | 24.5 | 16.7 | 5.6 | 9.3 | 7.7 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 46.8 | 49.5 |
| Norstat | 18–25 May | ≥1,000 | 32.4 | 27.1 | 12.4 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 5.3 | 45.8 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–20 May | 1,268 | 24 | 20 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 52 |
| Norstat | 12–18 May | ≥1,000 | 30.8 | 26.0 | 16.7 | 4.6 | 7.3 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 47.3 | 49.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 7–15 May | 1,004 | 30 | 27 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 06–12 May | ≥1,000 | 29.1 | 25.0 | 18.0 | 5.9 | 8.3 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 48.9 | 48.3 |
| Norstat | 24 Apr–5 May | ≥1,000 | 29.8 | 23.8 | 19.2 | 4.6 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 47.6 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 21–27 Apr | ≥1,000 | 29.3 | 27.8 | 18.1 | 5.3 | 8.1 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 51.2 | 45.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 20–22 Apr | 1,280 | 30 | 18 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 55 |
| Norstat | 15–20 Apr | ≥1,000 | 34.6 | 22.3 | 18.1 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 12.3 | 45.6 | 52.0 |
| Norstat | 7–14 Apr | ≥1,000 | 32.9 | 23.5 | 16.3 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 9.4 | 46.1 | 51.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–7 Apr | 1,000 | 27 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 49 |
| Norstat | 31 Mar–6 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 25.7 | 14.1 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 8.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 7.8 | 44.9 | 51.9 |
| Norstat | 24–30 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.7 | 30.4 | 15.9 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 50.4 | 46.9 |
| Norstat | 18–23 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.6 | 26.1 | 16.9 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 48.4 | 48.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–18 Mar | 1,118 | 29 | 17 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 3 | − | 2 | 8 | 42 | 56 |
| Norstat | 10–16 Mar | ≥1,000 | 30.7 | 26.2 | 16.5 | 6.3 | 7.2 | 9.4 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 49.0 | 49.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–16 Mar | 1,056 | 26 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 48 | 51 |
| Norstat | 04–9 Mar | ≥1,000 | 29.5 | 21.6 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 7.9 | 44.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 26 Feb–2 Mar | ≥1,000 | 33.2 | 24.2 | 16.3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 9.0 | 46.3 | 50.4 |
| Norstat | 19–26 Feb | ≥1,000 | 33.2 | 19.3 | 18.4 | 6.9 | 10.2 | 7.5 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 13.9 | 44.6 | 53.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 1–22 Feb | — | 31 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 3 | − | 1 | 13 | 39 | 60 |
| Norstat | 13–18 Feb | ≥1,000 | 30.9 | 22.4 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 46.4 | 52.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 6–17 Feb | 808 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 2 | − | 1 | 1 | 45 | 54 |
| Norstat | 04–11 Feb | ≥1,000 | 33.8 | 20.0 | 17.5 | 7.3 | 6.7 | 9.2 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 13.8 | 44.8 | 53.4 |
| Norstat | 28 Jan–3 Feb | ≥1,000 | 35.1 | 20.8 | 15.6 | 5.9 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 14.3 | 42.3 | 56.7 |
| Norstat | 23–27 Jan | ≥1,000 | 35.9 | 19.3 | 12.7 | 6.0 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 16.6 | 38.0 | 59.6 |
| Kantar Emor | 1–31 Jan | — | 30 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 57 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 17–27 Jan | 808 | 25 | 24 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 49 | 50 |
| Norstat | 16–24 Jan | ≥1,000 | 35.0 | 22.8 | 14.6 | 5.6 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 12.2 | 43.0 | 55.6 |
| Norstat | 8–14 Jan | ≥1,000 | 32.2 | 24.3 | 12.9 | 8.4 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 7.9 | 45.6 | 52.2 |
| Norstat | 3–7 Jan | ≥1,000 | 34.1 | 23.6 | 15.8 | 6.3 | 8.2 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 10.5 | 45.7 | 52.8 |
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Sample size | Ref | Kesk | EKRE | I | SDE | E200 | Green | EVA | Others | Lead | Gov. | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 18–23 Dec | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 22.0 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 11.9 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 44.0 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 11–17 Dec | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 22.5 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 11.8 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 11.8 | 41.4 | 56.2 |
| Kantar Emor | 5–12 Dec | 1,407 | 34.8 | 17.9 | 15.6 | 6.3 | 13.7 | 7.7 | 2 | — | 2 | 9.2 | 39.8 | 58.2 |
| Norstat | 2–9 Dec | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 21.1 | 16.3 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 14.3 | 43.4 | 54.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 28 Nov–9 Dec | 1,014 | 29 | 25 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 48 |
| Norstat | 25–29 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.4 | 23.5 | 11.9 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 2.9 | 3.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 43.5 | 53.6 |
| Norstat | 18–25 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.1 | 24.0 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 9.8 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 12.1 | 43.0 | 54.9 |
| Norstat | 11–15 Nov | ≥1,000 | 35.4 | 26.1 | 12.6 | 7.2 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 9.3 | 45.9 | 50.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 7–13 Nov | 1,407 | 27.7 | 16.2 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 16.2 | 9.5 | 4 | 1 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 40.9 | 57.4 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 31 Oct–12 Nov | 1,019 | 30 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 45.0 | 54 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Nov | ≥1,000 | 32.6 | 24.3 | 17.5 | 6.5 | 10.9 | 3.4 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 8.3 | 48.3 | 50.7 |
| Norstat | 28 Oct–5 Nov | ≥1,000 | 36.2 | 22.9 | 15.8 | 5.8 | 8.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 13.3 | 44.5 | 53.7 |
| Norstat | 22–28 Oct | ≥1,000 | 36.1 | 23.4 | 17.7 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 12.7 | 46.6 | 51.4 |
| Norstat | 15–21 Oct | ≥1,000 | 36.3 | 23.4 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 7.4 | 4.5 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 2.9 | 14.9 | 45.6 | 51.5 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–16 Oct | 1,182 | 32.5 | 17.6 | 16.6 | 6.2 | 12.4 | 9.4 | 2.9 | — | 1.7 | 14.9 | 40.4 | 57.9 |
| Norstat | 9–14 Oct | ≥1,000 | 30.7 | 25.8 | 17.6 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 50.5 | 48.1 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 3–13 Oct | 1,040 | 32 | 22 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | — | 10 | 45.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Oct | ≥1,000 | 35.6 | 22.2 | 15.2 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 13.4 | 43.9 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 25–30 Sep | ≥1,000 | 32.7 | 24.3 | 15.6 | 7.4 | 8.3 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 8.4 | 47.3 | 50.6 |
| Norstat | 18–23 Sep | ≥1,000 | 37.1 | 20.7 | 18.3 | 5.4 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 17.0 | 44.4 | 53.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 11–19 Sep | 1,161 | 32.8 | 16.5 | 18.4 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 7.5 | 5 | — | 1 | 14.4 | 41.9 | 57.5 |
| Norstat | 10–17 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 7.2 | 6.4 | 5.2 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 13.5 | 48.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–16 Sep | 1,040 | 32 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 45.0 | 53.0 |
| Norstat | 3–9 Sep | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 23.7 | 15.1 | 7.8 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 46.6 | 50.8 |
| Norstat | 27 Aug–2 Sep | ≥1,000 | 35.9 | 24.6 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 11.3 | 45.9 | 51.5 |
| Norstat | 21–26 Aug | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 23.7 | 15.2 | 6.2 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 10.6 | 45.1 | 51.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 15–21 Aug | 1,161 | 36.8 | 16.0 | 17.6 | 4.8 | 13.0 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 19.2 | 43.3 | 56.7 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 9–20 Aug | 1,000 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 45.0 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 13–19 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.9 | 23.0 | 16.9 | 7.1 | 10.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 10.9 | 47.0 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 5–12 Aug | ≥1,000 | 33.5 | 22.0 | 16.4 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 11.5 | 47.5 | 51.2 |
| Norstat | 30 Jul–5 Aug | ≥1,000 | 41.0 | 18.9 | 12.7 | 8.8 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 22.1 | 40.1 | 56.9 |
| Norstat | 22–30 Jul | ≥1,000 | 36.2 | 17.8 | 17.7 | 7.1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 18.4 | 42.6 | 54.8 |
| Kantar Emor | 18–24 Jul | 1,305 | 34.5 | 15.3 | 19.4 | 6.8 | 10.8 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 15.1 | 41.5 | 53.2 |
| Norstat | 15–22 Jul | ≥1,000 | 39.1 | 18.3 | 16.6 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 20.8 | 42.6 | 54.0 |
| Norstat | 8–15 Jul | ≥1,000 | 37.7 | 16.4 | 15.8 | 11.0 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 21.3 | 43.2 | 54.2 |
| Norstat | 2–8 Jul | ≥1,000 | 31.9 | 22.3 | 18.0 | 8.2 | 11.0 | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 9.6 | 48.5 | 50.6 |
| Norstat | 26 Jun–1 Jul | ≥1,000 | 34.3 | 20.8 | 17.5 | 9.2 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 13.5 | 47.5 | 51.7 |
| Norstat | 11–19 Jun | ≥1,000 | 37.7 | 20.2 | 15.2 | 5.6 | 13.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 17.5 | 41.0 | 57.3 |
| Kantar Emor | 6–13 Jun | 1,129 | 36.0 | 14.7 | 16.7 | 6.9 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 1.0 | 19.3 | 38.3 | 60.1 |
| Norstat | 4–11 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30.3 | 21.4 | 19.1 | 8.7 | 9.4 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 8.9 | 49.2 | 49.5 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 28 May–10 Jun | 1,000 | 32 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 46 | 49 |
| Norstat | 27 May–3 Jun | ≥1,000 | 30 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 50 | 48 |
| Norstat | 20–27 May | ≥1,000 | 33.0 | 19.5 | 16.8 | 10.4 | 11.7 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 13.5 | 46.7 | 52.1 |
| 2019 European Parliament election in Estonia | ||||||||||||||
| Kantar Emor | 20–23 May | 1,390 | 30.6 | 14.7 | 15.0 | 7.9 | 12.1 | 11.8 | — | — | — | 15.6 | 37.6 | 54.4 |
| Norstat | 14–20 May | ≥1,000 | 28.6 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 8.8 | 9.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6.6 | 52.3 | 46.2 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 2–15 May | 2,037 | 27 | 20 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 49 |
| Norstat | 6–13 May | ≥1,000 | 31.8 | 19.4 | 16.2 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 12.4 | 43.6 | 53.9 |
| Kantar Emor | 7–9 May | 1,271 | 33.5 | 15.3 | 16.9 | 6.1 | 12.9 | 11.5 | - | 3.8 | 16.6 | 38.3 | 57.9 | |
| Norstat | 29 Apr–7 May | ≥1,000 | 35.6 | 19.9 | 15.0 | 8.3 | 10.8 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 15.7 | 43.2 | 55.4 |
| Norstat | 22–29 Apr | ≥1,000 | 33.6 | 18.5 | 19.1 | 7.6 | 8.5 | 7.2 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 14.5 | 45.2 | 53.0 |
| Jüri Ratas' second cabinet is formed by Kesk, EKRE and Isamaa. | ||||||||||||||
| Norstat | 15–22 Apr | ≥1,000 | 32 | 20.1 | 20.1 | 9.2 | 8.4 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 11.9 | 49.4 | 49.1 |
| Kantar Emor | 10–15 Apr | 1,000 | 32.3 | 17 | 15.4 | 8.5 | 11.4 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | - | 15.3 | 40.9 | 57.8 |
| Norstat | 8–15 Apr | 1,000 | 34.6 | 19.4 | 18 | 7.3 | 10.1 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 16 | 44.7 | 53.4 |
| Norstat | 18 Mar–15 Apr | 4,014 | 33.0 | 20.6 | 17.9 | 9.4 | 9.2 | 5.8 | 2.3 | – | 1.8 | 12.4 | 47.9 | 50.3 |
| Norstat | 1–8 Apr | 1,000 | 33.4 | 22.5 | 14.8 | 11.6 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 10.9 | 48.9 | 49.7 |
| Norstat | 25–29 Mar | 1,000 | 32.5 | 20.5 | 19.1 | 9.0 | 10.1 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 48.6 | 50.4 |
| Norstat | 18–24 Mar | 1,000 | 31.9 | 19.5 | 18.8 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 12.4 | 47.2 | 51.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 14–21 Mar | 1,214 | 32 | 17 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 14.0 | 42.0 | 56.3 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 5–18 Mar | 1,004 | 27 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3.0 | 56.0 | 43.0 |
| Norstat | 11–15 Mar | 1,000 | 36.9 | 19.4 | 12.6 | 11.2 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 17.5 | 43.2 | 54.7 |
| Kantar Emor | 12–13 Mar | 752 | 30 | 19.4 | 18.1 | 7.3 | 12.5 | 8.5 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 10.6 | 44.8 | 53.3 |
| Norstat | 5–11 Mar | 1,000 | 31.9 | 21.2 | 18.1 | 11.4 | 9.1 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 10.7 | 50.7 | 48.2 |
| Election Results | 3 Mar | N/A | 28.9 | 23.1 | 17.8 | 11.4 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5.7 | 52.3 | 46.1 |
| 34 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.0 | 57 | 44 | ||||
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