Paul Bates (hydrologist)

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Paul Bates (hydrology)
Paul Bates.jpg
AwardsJohn Dalton Medal (2024)

Fellow of the Royal Society (2021) Commander of the British Empire for services to flood risk management (2019) NERC Impact Award (2015) Fellow of the American Geophysical Union (2015)

Lloyd’s of London Science of Risk prize (2012)

Contents

Academic background
EducationUniversity of Southampton (BSc)
Alma mater University of Bristol (PhD)
Thesis Finite element of modeling of floodplain inundation  (1992)

Bates has published over 270 papers in international journals, which between them have been cited more than 40,000 times, [12] as well as writing for The Conversation [13] [14] and The Guardian . [15]

He is noted for the development of the LISFLOOD-FP hydrodynamic model [16] which solves the local inertial form of the shallow water equations in two dimensions, [5] with channel flows represented as a sub-grid scale feature. [17] The numerical scheme employed in LISFLOOD-FP [18] allows its application to continental-to-global scale domains at spatial resolutions below 100 m, [19] for both present day and future conditions under scenarios representing climate and socio-economic change. [20] [21] The code, or clones of it, are now used by multiple engineering firms, insurers, banks, governments, research firms [22] and NGOs around the world to help manage and mitigate flood risk. To validate these predictions Bates uses data from optical and synthetic-aperture radar satellites in combination with airborne and ground data to quantify their uncertainty. [23]

Bates is one of the UK scientists working on the Surface Water and Ocean Topography mission (SWOT), a satellite altimeter that measures the Earth's surface water every 21 days. Bates leads a project calibrating the accuracy of the mission by comparing satellite and surface recordings of the changing height of the surface of the Bristol Channel. [24]

In 2013 Bates co-founded Fathom, [25] a flood risk analytics firm based in Bristol, UK, with his then PhD students Chris Sampson and Andy Smith and academic colleague Jeff Neal. [26]

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hydrology</span> Science of the movement, distribution, and quality of water on Earth

Hydrology is the scientific study of the movement, distribution, and management of water on Earth and other planets, including the water cycle, water resources, and drainage basin sustainability. A practitioner of hydrology is called a hydrologist. Hydrologists are scientists studying earth or environmental science, civil or environmental engineering, and physical geography. Using various analytical methods and scientific techniques, they collect and analyze data to help solve water related problems such as environmental preservation, natural disasters, and water management.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Flood</span> Water overflow submerging usually-dry land

A flood is an overflow of water that submerges land that is usually dry. In the sense of "flowing water", the word may also be applied to the inflow of the tide. Floods are of significant concern in agriculture, civil engineering and public health. Human changes to the environment often increase the intensity and frequency of flooding. Examples for human changes are land use changes such as deforestation and removal of wetlands, changes in waterway course or flood controls such as with levees. Global environmental issues also influence causes of floods, namely climate change which causes an intensification of the water cycle and sea level rise. For example, climate change makes extreme weather events more frequent and stronger. This leads to more intense floods and increased flood risk.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Floodplain</span> Land adjacent to a water body which is flooded during periods of high water

A floodplain or flood plain or bottomlands is an area of land adjacent to a river. Floodplains stretch from the banks of a river channel to the base of the enclosing valley, and experience flooding during periods of high discharge. The soils usually consist of clays, silts, sands, and gravels deposited during floods.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Managed retreat</span> The purposeful, coordinated movement of people and buildings away from risks

Managed retreat involves the purposeful, coordinated movement of people and buildings away from risks. This may involve the movement of a person, infrastructure, or community. It can occur in response to a variety of hazards such as flood, wildfire, or drought. Politicians, insurers, and residents are increasingly paying attention to managed retreat from low-lying coastal areas because of the threat of sea level rise due to climate change. Trends in climate change predict substantial sea level rises worldwide, causing damage to human infrastructure through coastal erosion and putting communities at risk of severe coastal flooding.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Hydrometeorology</span> Branch of meteorology and hydrology

Hydrometeorology is a branch of meteorology and hydrology that studies the transfer of water and energy between the land surface and the lower atmosphere for academic research, commercial gain or operational forecasting purposes.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Rafael L. Bras</span> Puerto Rican civil engineer

Rafael Luis Bras is a Puerto Rican civil engineer best known for his contributions in surface hydrology and hydrometeorology, including his work in soil-vegetation-atmosphere system modeling.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Snowpack</span> Compressed accumulation of snow

Snowpack is an accumulation of snow that compresses with time and melts seasonally, often at high elevation or high latitude. Snowpacks are an important water resource that feed streams and rivers as they melt, sometimes leading to flooding. Snowpacks provide water to down-slope communities for drinking and agriculture. High-latitude or high-elevation snowpacks contribute mass to glaciers in their accumulation zones, where annual snow deposition exceeds annual melting.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Surface Water and Ocean Topography</span> NASA/CNES oceanography mission (2022–Present)

The Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission is a satellite altimeter jointly developed and operated by NASA and CNES, the French space agency, in partnership with the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) and UK Space Agency (UKSA). The objectives of the mission are to make the first global survey of the Earth's surface water, to observe the fine details of the ocean surface topography, and to measure how terrestrial surface water bodies change over time.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Flood management</span> Methods for reducing detrimental effects of flood waters

Flood management describes methods used to reduce or prevent the detrimental effects of flood waters. Flooding can be caused by a mix of both natural processes, such as extreme weather upstream, and human changes to waterbodies and runoff. Flood management methods can be either of the structural type and of the non-structural type. Structural methods hold back floodwaters physically, while non-structural methods do not. Building hard infrastructure to prevent flooding, such as flood walls, is effective at managing flooding. However, it is best practice within landscape engineering to rely more on soft infrastructure and natural systems, such as marshes and flood plains, for handling the increase in water.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Water security</span> A goal of water management to harness water-related opportunities and manage risks

The aim of water security is to make the most of water's benefits for humans and ecosystems. The second aim is to limit the risks of destructive impacts of water to an acceptable level. These risks include for example too much water (flood), too little water or poor quality (polluted) water. People who live with a high level of water security always have access to "an acceptable quantity and quality of water for health, livelihoods and production". For example, access to water, sanitation and hygiene services is one part of water security. Some organizations use the term water security more narrowly for water supply aspects only.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Coastal flooding</span> Type of flooding

Coastal flooding occurs when dry and low-lying land is submerged (flooded) by seawater. The range of a coastal flooding is a result of the elevation of floodwater that penetrates the inland which is controlled by the topography of the coastal land exposed to flooding. The seawater can flood the land via several different paths: direct flooding, overtopping or breaching of a barrier. Coastal flooding is largely a natural event. Due to the effects of climate change and an increase in the population living in coastal areas, the damage caused by coastal flood events has intensified and more people are being affected.

The Flood Forecasting Centre (FFC) is a joint venture between the Environment Agency and the Met Office to provide improved flood risk guidance for England and Wales. The FFC is based in the Operations Centre at the Met Office headquarters in Exeter and is jointly staffed from both organisations.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Socio-hydrology</span> Interdisciplinary field studying the dynamic interactions between water and people

Socio-hydrology; socio and hydrology is an interdisciplinary field studying the dynamic interactions and feedbacks between water and people. Areas of research in socio-hydrology include the historical study of the interplay between hydrological and social processes, comparative analysis of the co-evolution and self-organization of human and water systems in different cultures, and process-based modelling of coupled human-water systems. The first approach to socio-hydrology was the term "hydro-sociology", which arises from a concern about the scale of impact of human activities on the hydrological cycle. Socio-hydrology is defined as the humans-water interaction and later as “the science of people and water”, which introduces bidirectional feedbacks between human–water systems, differentiating it from other related disciplines that deal with water. Furthermore, socio-hydrology has been presented as one of the most relevant challenges for the Anthropocene, in relationship with its aims at unraveling dynamic cross-scale interactions and feedbacks between natural and human processes that give rise to many water sustainability challenges. Socio‐hydrology is also predicted to be an important license for modellers.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Keith Beven</span> British hydrologist (born 1950)

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Giuliano Di Baldassarre</span> Italian academic

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">Urban flooding</span> Type of flood event in cities

Urban flooding is the inundation of land or property in cities or other built environment, caused by rainfall or coastal storm surges overwhelming the capacity of drainage systems, such as storm sewers. Urban flooding can occur regardless of whether or not affected communities are located within designated floodplains or near any body of water. It is triggered for example by an overflow of rivers and lakes, flash flooding or snowmelt. During the flood, stormwater or water released from damaged water mains may accumulate on property and in public rights-of-way. It can seep through building walls and floors, or backup into buildings through sewer pipes, cellars, toilets and sinks.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Upmanu Lall</span> American Earth Scientist

Upmanu Lall is an Indian-American engineer and founding director of the Water Institute at the Julie Ann Wrigley Global Futures Laboratory at Arizona State University. Lall also has a faculty appointment as professor in the School of Complex Adaptive Systems within the College of Global Futures. Prior to joining ASU in January 2024, Lall was the Alan and Carol Silberstein Professor of Engineering at Columbia University. He served as founding director of the Columbia Water Center. Lall studies how to solve water scarcity and how to predict and mitigate floods. In 2014, he was awarded the Henry Darcy Medal by the European Geosciences Union. He was named an American Geophysical Union Fellow in 2017 and their Walter Langbein Lecturer in 2022. He was elected a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science in 2018, and has received the Arid Lands Hydrology and the Ven Te Chow Awards from the American Society of Civil Engineers. In April 2021 he was named to the “Hot List of the world’s 1,000 top climate scientists” by Reuters.

References

  1. "Professor Paul Bates". University of Bristol. Retrieved 3 August 2024.
  2. "Paul Bates". Fathom. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  3. https://bristol.ac.uk/media-library/sites/cabot---old/migrated/documents/hydrology_lecturer.doc
  4. https://www.lse.ac.uk/CATS/Assets/PDFs/Lloyds-Science-of-Risk-Post-conference-booklet-2012-3.pdf
  5. 1 2 Bates, P. D.; Horritt, M. S.; Fewtrell, T. J. (7 June 2010). "A simple inertial formulation of the shallow water equations for efficient two dimensional flood inundation modelling". Journal of Hydrology. 387 (1–2): 33–45. Bibcode:2010JHyd..387...33B. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.03.027 via Science Direct.
  6. "SWOT Science Team Members Elected 2015 AGU Fellows". NASA SWOT. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  7. "Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award". University of Bristol. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  8. "Royal Society elects outstanding new Fellows and Foreign Members | Royal Society". royalsociety.org. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  9. "John Dalton Medal". European Geosciences Union (EGU). Retrieved 2024-11-05.
  10. "Paul D Bates". University of Bristol. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  11. Bates, Paul David (1992). Finite element modelling of floodplain inundation. University of Bristol. p. 1.
  12. "Paul Bates". scholar.google.co.uk. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  13. Kousky, Carolyn; Porter, Jeremy; Wing, Oliver; Bates, Paul (2022-01-31). "New flood maps show US damage rising 26% in next 30 years due to climate change alone, and the inequity is stark". The Conversation. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  14. Bates, Paul; Johnes, Penny; Pancost, Richard; Wagener, Thorsten (2014-02-24). "Climate change and natural patterns combined to bring wettest winter ever". The Conversation. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  15. "Paul Bates | The Guardian". the Guardian. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  16. developers, LISFLOOD-FP (2022-09-23), "LISFLOOD-FP 8.1 hydrodynamic model", Zenodo, Bibcode:2022zndo...6912932D, doi:10.5281/zenodo.6912932 , retrieved 2024-05-15
  17. Neal, J; Schumann, G; Bates, P (November 2012). "A subgrid channel model for simulating river hydraulics and floodplain inundation over large and data sparse areas". Water Resources Research. 48 (11). Bibcode:2012WRR....4811506N. doi:10.1029/2012WR012514 via AGU Advancing Earth and Space Sciences.
  18. Shustikova, I; Domeneghetti, A; Neal, J; Bates, P; Castellarin, A (March 2019). "Comparing 2D capabilities of HEC-RAS and LISFLOOD-FP on complex topography". Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64 (14): 1769–82. Bibcode:2019HydSJ..64.1769S. doi:10.1080/02626667.2019.1671982. hdl: 11585/711160 via Taylor & Francis Online.
  19. Sampson, CC; Smith, AM; Bates, P. D.; Neal, J.; Alfieri, L.; Freer, JE (August 2015). "A high-resolution global flood hazard model". Water Resources Research. 51 (9): 7358–81. Bibcode:2015WRR....51.7358S. doi:10.1002/2015WR016954. PMC   4989447 . PMID   27594719 via AGU - Advancing Earth and Space Sciences.
  20. Bates, P.; Savage, J; Wing, O; Quinn, N; Sampson, C; Neal, J; Smith, A (March 2023). "A climate-conditioned catastrophe risk model for UK flooding". Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 23 (2): 8910908. Bibcode:2023NHESS..23..891B. doi: 10.5194/nhess-23-891-2023 via EGU - European Geosciences Union.
  21. Bates, P; Quinn, N; Sampson, C; Smith, A; Wing, O; Sosa, J; Savage, J; Olcese, G; Neal, J; Schumann, G (December 2020). "Combined Modeling of US Fluvial, Pluvial, and Coastal Flood Hazard Under Current and Future Climates". Water Resources Research. 57 (2). doi:10.1029/2020WR028673 via AGU - Advancing Earth and Space Sciences.
  22. "ThinkHazard! Documentation". gfdrr.github.io. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  23. Schumann, G; Neal, J; Mason, DC; Bates, P (October 2011). "The accuracy of sequential aerial photography and SAR data for observing urban flood dynamics, a case study of the UK summer 2007 floods". Remote Sensing of Environment. 115 (10): 2536–2546. Bibcode:2011RSEnv.115.2536S. doi:10.1016/j.rse.2011.04.039 via Science Direct.
  24. "Nasa's Swot satellite will survey millions of rivers and lakes". BBC News. 2022-12-16. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  25. "Paul Bates | GreenBiz". www.greenbiz.com. Retrieved 2024-05-15.
  26. "Announcing the NERC Impact Awards 2023 winners". www.ukri.org. 2023-11-30. Retrieved 2024-05-15.