Author | William Neuman |
---|---|
Language | English |
Genre | Politics, non-fiction |
Publisher | St. Martin's Press |
Publication date | March 15, 2022 |
Publication place | United States |
Media type | Hardcover |
Pages | 337 |
ISBN | 9781250266163 |
987.06/42 | |
LC Class | F2329 .N48 2022 |
Things Are Never So Bad That They Can't Get Worse: Inside the Collapse of Venezuela was written by William Neuman, a correspondent of The New York Times . The book chronicles Neuman's experiences and reporting from his time spent in Venezuela between 2012 and 2019, with a particular focus on the 2019 Venezuelan blackouts.
New York Times correspondent William Neuman first arrived in Venezuela in 2012 and observed the unfolding crisis in Venezuela until his departure in 2016. [1] He returned to Venezuela in 2019 to cover the Venezuelan presidential crisis and experienced the 2019 Venezuelan blackouts. [1] [2]
The title of the book came from a conversation Neuman had with a Venezuelan who opined that things could still get worse after having seen her country deteriorate. [3]
The book is structured in three parts; the history of Venezuela and rise of Hugo Chávez, the presidency of Nicolás Maduro and finally the efforts of Juan Guaidó and the United States during the Venezuelan presidential crisis. [2]
The first part discusses Chávez's populism and the context with which it applied within the history and economy of Venezuela. [2] Neuman writes on the history of the Venezuelan oil industry and how in the 1970s during the period following the Puntofijo Pact, a state of clientelism existed in Venezuela with an economy and political order centered on oil. [4] The section then details that after Chávez was elected, oil sales during the 2000s commodities boom were nearly twice as large as during the 1970s commodities boom, with Chávez using his celebrity-like status to enact empty socialist policies, which Neuman describes as "showcialismo". [4]
Part two covers Maduro's early presidency, his response by cracking down on dissent and the economic failures at the time. [2] It argues that the blackouts in 2019 were the culmination of the systemic mismanagement of Venezuela. [4] The second part provides the account of an attorney saying that he nearly died while being tortured by the Special Action Forces. [4]
The third part details the efforts of the United States and its policymakers to assist Guaidó with his effort to lead Venezuela, interviewing American and Venezuelan opposition officials. [2] [5] Neuman writes that in their effort to overthrow Maduro, the United States conspired with opposition politicians to promote Guaidó's ascension to the disputed presidency, that many of their actions were improvised and how futile the opposition was, resulting with Maduro maintaining power. [2] [4] [6] [5]
Newsweek listed the book among "22 Books to Look Forward to in 2022", stating that "Neuman draws on profound interviews he conducted and his deep knowledge of the country and its history to starkly detail how the country got to where it is today." [7]
Tim Padgett's review in The New York Times says that "Neuman skillfully explains" the issues, describing the book as "richly reported"; [1] Publishers Weekly agreed it was "deeply reported" [6] and Richard Feinberg describes it in Foreign Affairs as a "well-sourced account". [8] Writing in India's The Week, R. Viswanathan says "Neuman has given a full account of the omissions and commissions of [Hugo] Chavez, he has ignored the fact that Chavez was a creation of his predecessors and opposition leaders." [5] Scott B. MacDonald reviewed the book for Global Americans, stating that it "provides one of the more comprehensive profiles of Nicolás Maduro, who succeeded Hugo Chávez and remains in power", and explaining how Maduro was chosen. [3] MacDonald identifies what he calls a "few weaknesses" in the coverage: "the Cuban, Chinese and Russian roles in Venezuela's decline are limited to near-cameo appearances (despite the billions of dollars the two extra-regional actors pumped into the country and Havana’s security role)" and "the criminal activities of the Venezuelan elite (including the military) are at times glossed over". [3]
On the tone of the book and subject matter, Michael Rodriguez wrote in the Library Journal that Neuman's accounts were a "riveting personal exploration". [9] Viswanathan states that "Neuman has given names and faces to the victims of the Chavista misrule and mismanagement." [5] Kirkus Reviews characterized the tome as "heartbreaking yet authoritative", [10] and Publisher's Weekly likewise described some of the material as "heartbreaking". [6] Feinberg opined that the book was an "unrelentingly depressing requiem", and that it contains individuals caught "in a polarized polity rife with vitriol, paranoia, and conspiracy theories". [8]
Reviewers commented on Neuman's coverage of the trajectory of Venezuelan history. In his review for ReVista, Harvard Review of Latin America, Gabriel Hetland wrote that he initially had "low expectations" for the book "precisely because of Neuman’s affiliation with the Times" saying that the newspaper focused on the shortcomings of the Venezuelan government instead of its achievements, though said that the book, to his "pleasant surprise", focused on "how government policies under Chávez, and to a much lesser degree Maduro, benefited Venezuela’s poor." [2] Kirkus Reviews describes the book as a "necessary look at a ruined nation", [10] and Rodriguez mentions the coverage of "Venezuela’s slow-moving collapse". [9] Publisher's Weekly characterizes it as an "account of the ongoing crisis in Venezuela" that depicts "the country’s downward spiral since 2014–driven by a collapse in oil prices, U.S. sanctions, and hyperinflation—from the perspectives of political leaders and ordinary citizens." [6] Padgett praises the description of the "insane economic malpractice and malfeasance" in Venezuela, as "a thorough and important history" on the Dutch disease Venezuela experienced since it discovered oil through the nation's more contemporary history with the Bolivarian Revolution. [1] MacDonald describes the book as a "welcome addition to the chronicles of Venezuela’s Chavista experiment", comparing it to Crude Nation: How Oil Riches Ruined Venezuela written in 2016 by Raul Gellegos about the "economic mismanagement" of Venezuela's oil resources. [3]
Commenting on Neuman's coverage of the administrations of Juan Guaidó and Donald Trump, Viswanathan writes that "Neuman gives new details on the self-proclamation of Juan Guaido as interim president and Guaido's involvement in the attempt to invade Venezuela from the sea with a bunch of mercenaries in 2019", noting Neuman's ability to speak to American and Venezuelan officials about the May 2020 Venezuelan Operation Gideon. [5] Feinberg states that "U.S. politicians come off poorly" in the book, [8] writing that "Neuman reveals a Trump administration shockingly ill informed and reckless, its disastrous improvisations writing a distressingly dark chapter in inter-American relations." [8] MacDonald finds the coverage of this aspect lacking, writing that "Neuman portrays the U.S. role as negative, without much discussion beyond the ham-fisted nature of the Trump administration." [3] Hetland says that "Neuman’s analysis of Juan Guaidó’s rise and fall is invaluable. Neuman leaves no doubt that Guaidó was more a product of the Trump administration than of Venezuela’s opposition" and concludes that "Neuman has done some fine reporting and he shows courage in directing his attention towards the profoundly foolish and damaging actions of Guaidó and the U.S. government." [2]
Sunset Lane Media optioned the book in September 2022 after producer Kip Azzoni approached CEO and founder of Sunset David Beaubaire to create the project. [11] Neuman stated "I’m excited to work with David and Kip on a project that will shine a light on the tragic crisis in Venezuela and the suffering of ordinary people there. ... Venezuela is a cautionary tale for showing how extreme political polarization can be used to gain and hold onto power, while tearing down the institutions that make democracy work." [11]
The politics of Venezuela are conducted under what is nominally a federal presidential republic, but is in practice an authoritarian system of government. Prior to the early 1990s, Venezuela was considered an unusually long-standing and stable liberal democracy in Latin America, having transitioned to democracy in 1958. According to the V-Dem Democracy indices Venezuela was in 2023 the third least electoral democratic country in Latin America.
United States–Venezuela relations have traditionally been characterized by an important trade and investment relationship as well as cooperation in combating the production and transit of illegal drugs.
Nicolás Maduro Moros is a Venezuelan politician who has served as the 53rd president of Venezuela since 2013. Previously, he was the 24th vice president of Venezuela from 2012 to 2013, the minister of foreign affairs from 2006 to 2012, and the 3rd president of the National Assembly of Venezuela from 2005 to 2006.
Relations between Cuba and Venezuela were established in 1902. The relationship deteriorated in the 1960s and Venezuela broke relations in late 1961 following the Betancourt Doctrine policy of not having ties with governments that had come to power by non-electoral means. A destabilizing factor was the Cuban support for the antigovernment guerrilla force that operates in remote rural areas. Relations were reestablished in 1974.
Russia–Venezuela relations include cooperation between Russia and Venezuela in areas of common concern, such as their common status as oil exporters, and policy toward the United States. Venezuela is Russia's most important trading and military ally in Latin America. Russia recognizes Nicolás Maduro as the president of Venezuela, instead of Juan Guaidó, in the Venezuelan presidential crisis.
France–Venezuela relations are foreign relations between France and Venezuela. France has an embassy in Caracas and Venezuela has an embassy in Paris.
China–Venezuela relations are the international relations between the People's Republic of China and the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. Formal diplomatic relations between both countries were established in August 1944 and switched recognition to the PRC in 1974. Before 1999 only one sitting president, Luis Herrera Campins, had visited China. Cooperation began growing significantly during the Presidency of Hugo Chávez of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and the tenure of Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao as the leader of the People's Republic of China. In 2016, China-Venezuelan trade amounted to $7.42 billion, with $4.9 billion coming from Venezuelan exports and $2.52 billion coming from Chinese exports.
An ongoing socioeconomic and political crisis began in Venezuela during the presidency of Hugo Chávez and has worsened during the presidency of successor Nicolás Maduro. It has been marked by hyperinflation, escalating starvation, disease, crime and mortality rates, resulting in massive emigration.
The participation of the United States in regime change in Latin America involved US-backed coup d'états which were aimed at replacing left-wing leaders with right-wing leaders, military juntas, or authoritarian regimes. Intervention of an economic and military variety was prevalent during the Cold War. Although originally in line with the Truman Doctrine of containment, United States involvement in regime change increased following the drafting of NSC 68, which advocated more aggressive actions against potential Soviet allies.
Juan Gerardo Antonio Guaidó Márquez is a Venezuelan opposition politician. He belonged to the social-democratic party Popular Will, and was a federal deputy to the National Assembly representing the state of Vargas.
The Venezuelan presidential crisis was a political crisis concerning the leadership and the legitimate president of Venezuela between 2019 and 2023, with the nation and the world divided in support for Nicolás Maduro or Juan Guaidó.
Nationwide recurring electrical blackouts in Venezuela began in March 2019. Experts and state-run Corpoelec sources attribute the electricity shortages to lack of maintenance and to a lack of technical expertise in the country resulting from a brain drain. Nicolás Maduro's administration attributes them to sabotage. Since March, various nationwide blackouts occurred in the country.
The negotiations during the crisis in Venezuela are the negotiation and dialogue attempts and processes between the government of Nicolás Maduro and the Venezuelan opposition. Although numerous dialogue processes and roundtables have taken place, by 2023 none had been effective in achieving a solution to the country's crisis.
Defections from the Bolivarian Revolution occurred under the administrations of Presidents Hugo Chávez and Nicolás Maduro. The 2019 Venezuelan presidential crisis concerning who is the legitimate President of Venezuela has been underway since 10 January 2019, when the opposition-majority National Assembly declared that incumbent Nicolás Maduro's 2018 reelection was invalid and the body declared its president, Juan Guaidó, to be acting president of the nation. Guaidó encouraged military personnel and security officials to withdraw support from Maduro, and offered an amnesty law, approved by the National Assembly, for military personnel and authorities who help to restore constitutional order.
During the 2019 Venezuelan presidential crisis, AP News reported that "familiar geopolitical sides" had formed, with allies Russia, China, Iran, Turkey, Syria, and Cuba supporting Maduro, and the US, Canada, and most of Western Europe supporting Juan Guaidó as interim president. Amid widespread condemnation, President Maduro was sworn in on 10 January 2019, and the President of the National Assembly, Guaidó, was declared the interim President by that body on 23 January 2019. Intervention by the United States in Venezuela was criticized by allies of Nicolás Maduro and political figures from the left spectrum; Maduro's government stated that the crisis was a "coup d'état led by the United States to topple him and control the country's oil reserves." Guaidó denied the coup allegations, saying peaceful volunteers backed his movement.
On 30 April 2019, during the Venezuelan presidential crisis, a group of several dozen military personnel and civilians joined Juan Guaidó in his call for the removal of Nicolás Maduro as part of what he labeled "Operation Freedom". Reuters reported an "uneasy peace" by the afternoon of 30 April. During the unrest, opposition leader Leopoldo López was freed from house arrest after being imprisoned for five years. Manuel Cristopher Figuera, the head of the Bolivarian Intelligence Service, denounced the Maduro government and was dismissed from his position before going into hiding. At least 25 military men who opposed Maduro sought asylum at the Brazilian embassy in Caracas.
Operation Gideon was an unsuccessful attempt by the Active Coalition of the Venezuelan International Reserve, Venezuelan dissidents, and a private security firm, Jordan Goudreau's Silvercorp USA, to infiltrate Venezuela by sea and remove Nicolás Maduro from power. The plan executed from 3 to 4 May 2020 was for expatriate Venezuelan former military personnel living in Colombia to enter the country by boat at Macuto, take control of an airfield, capture Maduro and other high-level figures in his administration, and expel them from the country.
Brazil and Venezuela maintain diplomatic relations.
The Guaidó administration–Silvercorp agreement between Jordan Goudreau's private security firm Silvercorp USA and the administration of Juan Guaidó was signed in October 2019. The operation occurred in the broader context of an ongoing presidential crisis beginning in January 2019 over the identity of the legitimate president of Venezuela – Nicolás Maduro or Guaidó. Goudreau's plan was for expatriate Venezuelan military living in Colombia to enter the country by sea, capture Maduro and other high-level figures in his administration, and expel them from the country.