Threat assessment

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Threat assessment is the practice of determining the credibility and seriousness of a potential threat, as well as the probability that the threat will become a reality. [1] [2] Threat assessment is separate to the more established practice of violence-risk assessment, which attempts to predict an individual's general capacity and tendency to react to situations violently. Instead, threat assessment aims to interrupt people on a pathway to commit "predatory or instrumental violence, the type of behavior associated with targeted attacks," according to J. Reid Meloy, PhD, co-editor of the International Handbook of Threat Assessment. [3] "Predatory and affective violence are largely distinctive modes of violence." [4]


Threat assessments are commonly conducted by government agencies such as FBI [5] and CIA on a national security scale. However, many private companies can also offer threat assessment capabilities targeted towards the needs of individuals and businesses. [6]


Threat assessment involves several major components:

Areas of need

Threat assessment is relevant to many businesses and other venues, including schools. Threat assessment professionals, who include psychologists and law enforcement agents, work to identify and help potential offenders, guiding students to overcome underlying sources of anger, hopelessness or despair. These feelings can increase a student's risk of suicide, alcohol and drug use, physical abuse, dropping out and criminal activity. Threat assessment also applies to risk management. Information security risk managers often perform a threat assessment before developing a plan to mitigate those threats. [8]

Per a Senator King hearing in 2022, a top U.S. military officer was reprimanded by Senator King, the chairman of the committee, because the threat assessment surrounding the Russian conflict with Ukraine was not anywhere near the actual outcome. Senator King commented that additional arms could have been sent by the U.S. government more quickly to aid Ukraine defense if a more reliable assessment would have been performed.

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  1. "Threat Assessment: Predicting and Preventing School Violence". National Association of School Psychologists . Retrieved 16 October 2014.
  2. "NATIONAL THREAT ASSESSMENT CENTER". United States Secret Service. Archived from the original on 3 December 2013. Retrieved 16 October 2014.
  3. International handbook of threat assessment. Meloy, J. Reid., Hoffmann, Jens, 1968-. Oxford. 2014. ISBN   9780199924554. OCLC   855779221.{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) CS1 maint: others (link)
  4. "Threat assessment in action". Retrieved 2018-03-17.
  5. "Making Prevention a Reality: Identifying, Assessing, and Managing the Threat of Targeted Attacks". Federal Bureau of Investigation. Retrieved 2022-10-07.
  6. "What is a Threat Assessment | Mindstate Psychology - Australia's Private Threat Assessment Experts". Retrieved 2022-10-07.
  7. Davis, Joseph A. (2001). Stalking Crimes and Victim Protection. CRC Press. ISBN   9781420041743.
  8. "Overview of Threat Risk Assessment". Retrieved 2018-01-18.