2004 Greek legislative election

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2004 Greek legislative election
Flag of Greece.svg
  2000 7 March 2004 2007  

All 300 seats in the Hellenic Parliament
151 seats needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
  Kostas Karamanlis 2009 (cropped).jpg George Papandreou (junior).jpg
Leader Kostas Karamanlis George Papandreou
Party ND PASOK
Last election42.73%, 125 seats43.80%, 158 seats
Seats won165117
Seat changeIncrease2.svg40Decrease2.svg41
Popular vote3,359,6823,003,275
Percentage45.36%40.55%
SwingIncrease2.svg2.63ppDecrease2.svg3.25pp

 Third partyFourth party
  Aleka Papariga 2009 (cropped).jpg Nikos Konstantopoulos 2013 cropped.jpg
Leader Aleka Papariga Nikos Konstantopoulos
Party KKE Syriza
Last election5.52%, 11 seats3.20%, 6 seats
Seats won126
Seat changeIncrease2.svg1Steady2.svg
Popular vote436,573241,539
Percentage5.90%3.26%
SwingIncrease2.svg0.38ppIncrease2.svg0.06pp

2004 Greek legislative election - Vote Strength.svg
Map of electoral districts, showing the largest party by share of votes. Darker shades indicate stronger vote share.

Prime Minister before election

Costas Simitis
PASOK

Prime Minister after election

Kostas Karamanlis
ND

Parliamentary elections were held in Greece on 7 March 2004. [1] The New Democracy Party of Kostas Karamanlis won the elections, ending eleven years of rule by PASOK. PASOK was led into the elections by George Papandreou, who succeeded retiring Prime Minister Costas Simitis as party leader in February.

Contents

Leaders

Greek politics is strongly dynastic. Kostas Karamanlis is the nephew of Konstantinos Karamanlis, who was six times (1955, 1956, 1958, 1961, 1974, 1977) Prime Minister and twice President of Greece (1980–1985, 1990–1995), and the founder of New Democracy after the restoration of democracy in 1974. George Papandreou is the son of Andreas Papandreou, three times (1981, 1985, 1993) Prime Minister and the founder of PASOK, and the grandson of Georgios Papandreou, a liberal centrist who entered national politics in the 1920s and was twice Prime Minister (1944, 1963). Athens daily Kathimerini quoted a voter during the campaign as saying: "We Greeks like to know where our leaders come from. We feel we know these families as well as we know our own."[ citation needed ]

Campaign

In January New Democracy was leading PASOK in opinion polls by 7%. But Papandreou's election to the party leadership allowed PASOK to regain ground. During February Papandreou campaigned on "the need for change" in Greece, hoping to neutralise the strong sentiment for a change of government. By late February New Democracy's lead in the opinion polls had been cut to 3%.

The Athens daily Kathemerini commented: "Now, two weeks before the elections, all opinion polls show PASOK 3 to 4.5 percentage points behind ND. This raises the question of whether PASOK can snatch victory away from ND. The fact is that much is unclear. For example, although PASOK has little support, its leader has a good image in public opinion polls."

The electoral campaign concluded on in the traditional manner, with huge televised mass rallies in the centre of Athens by each of the major parties. On the evening of 4 March Karamanlis addressed an estimated 200,000 at the ND's concluding rally. PASOK claimed that twice that number attended their rally on 6 March, but these numbers cannot be independently verified. At the ND rally, Karamanlis said that PASOK had been in power too long and had grown lazy and corrupt. At the PASOK rally, Papandreou evoked the memory of his father but said that he would lead a government dedicated to reform and change, as well as action against corruption.

Since publication of opinion polls is banned in the last two weeks of Greek election campaigns, it was not possible to predict the outcome of the election, except to say that ND appeared to have been leading when the last polls were published, and that most commentators expected the result in terms of votes to be close. Greek electoral law ensures, through a complex algorithm of parliamentary seat redistribution, that a party polling a plurality of the vote (that is, more than any other party but also more than 40%) is practically guaranteed a majority in Parliament.

A "threshold" of 3% of the total popular vote is also required by law for a party to be eligible for representation in Parliament. This provision kept all but the four top-polling parties from securing parliamentary seats.

Opinion polls

Results

Results, showing the winning party in each municipal unit.
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
ND (711)
PASOK (311)
KKE (2) 2004 Greek legislative election - Municipal Units Results.png
Results, showing the winning party in each municipal unit.
   ND (711)
   PASOK (311)
   KKE (2)

The result of the election was not as close as observers expected. It appears that ND regained its earlier lead over PASOK in the two weeks after the last opinion polls, and that the election of George Papandreou as PASOK leader was not sufficient to overcome the desire of the electorate for a change after a long period of PASOK rule.

Greek legislative election 2004.svg
PartyVotes%Seats+/–
New Democracy 3,360,42445.36165+40
PASOK 3,003,98840.55117–41
Communist Party of Greece 436,8185.9012+1
Syriza 241,7143.2660
Popular Orthodox Rally 162,4922.190New
Democratic Social Movement 132,9331.7900
Union of Centrists 19,5100.2600
Radical Left Front 11,2850.1500
Communist Party of Greece (Marxist–Leninist) 10,8640.1500
Anti-Capitalist Coalition 8,3200.110New
Hellenic Front 6,7620.090New
Marxist–Leninist Communist Party of Greece 4,7650.060New
Fighting Socialist Party of Greece 3,1750.0400
Liberal Party 2,6190.0400
Organization for the Reconstruction of the Communist Party of Greece 2,0970.0300
Christianity 30.0000
Independents6050.0100
Total7,408,374100.003000
Valid votes7,408,37497.80
Invalid/blank votes166,8162.20
Total votes7,575,190100.00
Registered voters/turnout9,886,80776.62
Source: Nohlen & Stöver

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References

  1. Dieter Nohlen & Philip Stöver (2010) Elections in Europe: A data handbook, p830 ISBN   978-3-8329-5609-7

Sources