Mainstreet Research

Last updated

Mainstreet Research is a Canadian market research and polling firm with headquarters in Toronto, and offices in Montreal and Ottawa. The company was founded in 2010 by Quito Maggi, who currently serves as its president. [1]

Contents

Mainstreet Research conducts regular Canadian national, regional, and municipal public polling and private market & public opinion research. Their data is reported by various media organizations. [2] [3] In a comparison of polling results with election results, Mainstreet was ranked fourth in Canada by polling analyst Philippe J. Fournier. [4] [5]

Polling

Mainstreet Research published its first poll on December 9, 2013. [6] [7] Since then Mainstreet Research (formerly Mainstreet Technologies) has published hundreds of polls across dozens of elections and in between elections on matters of public policy. [8] [9] A summary of the elections covered by Mainstreet can be found below.

Controversies

The polling firm drew criticism in 2017 for incorrectly calling that year's Calgary mayoral election in polls conducted for Postmedia. The polls suggested that incumbent Naheed Nenshi was trailing to Bill Smith, a political newcomer, while other pollsters had Nenshi in the lead. [52] [53] A report commissioned after the election by the Market Research and Intelligence Association (MRIA) found that there were flaws in the company's polling methods, one of which resulted in the exclusion of cellphones in polling calls. This led to sampling bias, as younger people tended to have cellphones, but not landlines. It was found that the pollster's attempts to conduct ward-by-ward polling was based on phone numbers linked to postal codes, while cellphones with no such linkage were often dropped. [53] [54] Mainstreet Research president Quito Maggi later admitted to "big, big polling failures", and stated that while the company has implemented recommendations from the report, it would have to work to earn back public trust. [52] [55]

A similar problem was also reported in the company's polls for the 2019 Nanaimo provincial by-election, which mispredicted a win for the BC Liberals over the incumbent BC NDP. Christopher Adams, one of the authors of the report, recommended that such small sample polling be halted until a solution to the sampling problem was found, adding that Mainstreet had done well with larger samples such as with provincial or federal elections. [53]

Related Research Articles

An opinion poll, often simply referred to as a survey or a poll, is a human research survey of public opinion from a particular sample. Opinion polls are usually designed to represent the opinions of a population by conducting a series of questions and then extrapolating generalities in ratio or within confidence intervals. A person who conducts polls is referred to as a pollster.

An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take many hours to count.

YouGov plc is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm headquartered in the UK with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Ekos Research Associates</span> Canadian research company

EKOS Research Associates Inc. is a Canadian polling firm that specializes in public opinion, market and economic research. It was founded in 1980 by Frank Graves, with $5,000 he borrowed from his father. The firm uses interactive voice response for its political polls.

SurveyUSA is a polling firm in the United States. It conducts market research for corporations and interest groups, but is best known for conducting opinion polls for various political offices and questions. SurveyUSA conducts these opinion polls under contract by over 50 television stations . The difference between SurveyUSA and other telephone polling firms is twofold. First, SurveyUSA does not use live call center employees, but an automated system. Taped questions are asked of the respondent by a professional announcer, and the respondent is invited to press a button on their touch tone telephone or record a message at a prompt designating their selection. Secondly, SurveyUSA uses more concise language, especially for ballot propositions, than competitors. This can lead to diverging results, such as for California Proposition 76, where one version of the SurveyUSA question with a one sentence description, polled significantly differently compared to another version with a three sentence description.

Rasmussen Reports is an American polling company founded in 2003. The company engages in political commentary and the collection, publication, and distribution of public opinion polling information. Rasmussen Reports conducts nightly tracking, at national and state levels, of elections, politics, current events, consumer confidence, business topics, and the United States president's job approval ratings. Surveys by the company are conducted using a combination of automated public opinion polling involving pre-recorded telephone inquiries and an online survey. The company generates revenue by selling advertising and subscriptions to its polling survey data.

Newspoll is an Australian opinion polling brand, published by The Australian and administered by Australian polling firm Pyxis Polling & Insights. Pyxis is founded by the team led by Dr Campbell White, who redesigned Newspoll's methodology as former APAC Head of Polling and YouGov from 2019-2023.

Polls leading up to the 2008 Canadian federal election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Manitoba general election</span>

The 2016 Manitoba general election was held on April 19, 2016, to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba, Canada. The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Greg Selinger, were defeated by the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba led by Brian Pallister, ending nearly 17 years of NDP government. The Tories won 40 seats, one of the largest majority governments in Manitoba history, the other one was in 1915 when Liberals also won 40 seats.

Survation is a polling and market research agency based in London, England. Survation have been conducting research surveys since 2010. Surveys are conducted via telephone, online panel and face to face as well as omnibus research for a broad range of clients including television, newspapers, charities, lobby groups, trade unions, law firms and political parties. Damian Lyons Lowe is the company founder and Chief Executive.

Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2015 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.

Various polling organisations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2011 Canadian general election. The results of publicised opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.

Morning Consult is an American business intelligence company established in 2014. It was named one of the fastest growing technology companies in North America by Deloitte in both 2018 and 2019 and was valued at more than one billion dollars in June 2021. The company specializes in online survey research technology and has offices in Washington, D.C., New York City, Chicago, and San Francisco.

The Suffolk University Political Research Center (SUPRC) is an opinion polling center at Suffolk University in Boston, Massachusetts.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Ontario general election</span>

The 2022 Ontario general election was held on June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario.

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, which took place on September 20, 2021. For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.

The 44th Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on June 4, 2026. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election, unless the Legislative Assembly of Ontario is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to advice from the Premier of Ontario, a motion of no confidence or the failure of the Assembly to grant supply. Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Various polling organizations have conducted opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 45th Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.

References

  1. Corporation, Torstar. "Mainstreet Research forms partnership with iPolitics". www.newswire.ca. Retrieved 2021-11-06.
  2. "UCP holds support in Alberta, says poll". CityNews Edmonton. 2020-02-25. Retrieved 2020-03-04.
  3. "Charlie Clark has second highest approval rating among Canadian mayors: poll". Saskatoon CTVnews.ca. January 16, 2017. Retrieved 2020-03-04.
  4. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-06.
  5. Fournier, Philippe (August 6, 2021). "Federal election 2021: Know your pollsters".
  6. Dec 9, Elizabeth Thompson Published on; 2013 10:56pm (2013-12-10). "Several of NDP's Montreal MPs could lose seats in next election: new poll". iPolitics. Retrieved 2021-11-07.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  7. "Mainstreet WrapUp 2018 Final | PDF | Opinion Poll | Politics Of Canada". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  8. Cross, Jessica Smith (2021-02-19). "Nearly half of voters say Ford has done a 'good job' at managing the pandemic: Poll". QP Briefing. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  9. Cham, Aidan; Oct 28, y Published on; 2021 6:15am (2021-10-28). "Poll finds most Canadians on board with travel restrictions". iPolitics. Retrieved 2021-11-07.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  10. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  11. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  12. "Hydro One". 2015-05-18. Archived from the original on 2015-05-18. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  13. "Mainstreet - Manitoba's Choice | PDF | Opinion Poll | Politics Of Canada". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  14. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  15. "Mainstreet - Saskatchewan's Choice | PDF | Opinion Poll | Saskatchewan". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  16. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  17. "Mainstreet - NS May 28 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Margin Of Error". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  18. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  19. "Mainstreet - Final B.C. Election 2017 Poll | PDF | British Columbia | Opinion Poll". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  20. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-07.
  21. Grenier, Eric (March 9, 2018). "Ontario PC leadership a toss-up between Christine Elliott, Doug Ford, poll suggests". CBC News.
  22. Crawley, Mike (March 11, 2018). "Worth noting how close this poll by Mainstreet Research, Quito Maggi was to the actual result". Twitter.
  23. "Scribd". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  24. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  25. "Mainstreet Ontario June5 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Survey Methodology". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  26. 1 2 "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  27. "Mainstreet QC Sept28 FR | PDF | Sondage d'opinion | Québec". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  28. "Mainstreet Brampton 20october2018 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Survey Methodology". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  29. "Mainstreet Toronto 26sept2018 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Survey Methodology". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  30. "Mainstreet MB 06september2019 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Survey Methodology". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  31. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  32. "Mainstreet NL 15may2019 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Sampling (Statistics)". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  33. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  34. Valentin, David (April 18, 2019). "PEI Greens Hold Lead, Governing Liberals In Third". www.mainstreetresearch.ca. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  35. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  36. "Mainstreet Ab 15april2019 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Politics Of Canada". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  37. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  38. "Mainstreet Canada 20october2019 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Sampling (Statistics)". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  39. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  40. "NewBrunswick 12september2020 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Evaluation Methods". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  41. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  42. "Mainstreet SK 25october2020 | PDF | Survey Methodology | Opinion Poll". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  43. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  44. "Mainstreet BC 23october2020 | PDF | Survey Methodology | Opinion Poll". Scribd. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  45. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  46. Fric, Curtis (August 16, 2021). "Nova Scotia Final". www.mainstreetresearch.ca. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  47. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  48. "Ratings of Canadian pollsters | 338Canada". 338canada.com. Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  49. Fric, Curtis (September 19, 2021). "Final 2021 Federal Election Survey".
  50. Fournier, Philippe J. (2021-11-04). "Valérie Plante en tête". L’actualité (in Canadian French). Retrieved 2021-11-08.
  51. "2022 Quebec Daily Tracker".
  52. 1 2 Fletcher, Robson (2017-10-18). "Mainstreet admits 'big polling failures' after predicting Nenshi would lose Calgary election". CBC News .
  53. 1 2 3 "What Alberta and B.C. can learn from Mainstreet Research's poll-gone-wrong in Nanaimo". thestar.com. 2019-02-13. Retrieved 2021-04-06.
  54. A Review of the Public Opinion Polling Conducted during the 2017 Calgary Election (PDF) (Report). May 31, 2018.
  55. "Mainstreet Research president calls polling failure 'my mistake,' releases results of internal review". 770 CHQR. Retrieved 2021-04-06.