Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election

Last updated

The 2016 Scottish Parliament election was held on Thursday 5 May 2016 [1] to elect 129 members to the Scottish Parliament. It was the fifth general election since the parliament was re-established in 1999.

Contents

Polling data

Graphical summary

The constituency vote is shown as semi-transparent lines, while the regional vote is shown in full lines.

Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016 Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election.png
Average 30 day trend line of poll results for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election. Results from 29 January 2012 to 4 May 2016

Constituency Vote (FPTP)

Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election (constituency vote).png

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
5 May 2016 Scottish Parliament election 2,279,15346.5%22.6%22.0%7.8%1.1%23.9%
2–4 May YouGov/The Times 1,44548%22%19%7%4%26%
1–2 May Survation/Daily Record 1,02449%21%19%7%5%28%
1 May BBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 Apr Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,07449%23%17%6%4%26%
18–25 Apr Ipsos MORI/STV [ permanent dead link ]1,01551%19%18%6%6%32%
1–24 Apr TNS Archived 1 October 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,03552%22%17%7%3%30%
15–20 Apr Survation/Daily Record 1,00553%18%17%7%5%35%
11–15 Apr BMG Research/Herald 1,01253%21%16%6%3%32%
6–15 Apr Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,02151%19%18%5%7%32%
7–11 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,01250%21%18%5%6%29%
23 Mar–3 Apr Survation/Unison Scotland 1,00352%21%16%6%4%31%
29 Mar STV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 Mar BBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 Mar TNS 1,01356%19%15%6%3%37%
10–17 Mar Survation/Daily Record 1,05154%20%16%7%4%34%
7–9 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,07049%19%19%6%7%30%
25–29 Feb Survation/Daily Mail 1,02254%21%16%5%4%33%
3–24 Feb TNS Archived 7 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,03660%21%13%4%2%39%
11–16 Feb Survation/Daily Record 1,00653%22%16%6%3%31%
1–7 Feb Ipsos MORI/STV 1,00053%20%16%6%5%33%
1–4 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,02250%19%20%6%5%30%
6–25 Jan TNS 1,01657%21%17%3%2%36%
8–14 Jan Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,05350%21%17%6%5%29%
8–12 Jan Survation/Daily Record 1,02952%21%16%7%4%31%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Others Lead
5 May 2011 Scottish Parliament election 1,989,22245.4%31.7%13.9%7.9%1.1%13.7%

Regional Vote (AMS)

Graphical summary

Opinion polling for the 2016 Scottish Parliament election (regional vote).png

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample size SNP Lab Con Green Lib Dem UKIP RISE [2] Others Lead
5 May 2016 Scottish Parliament election 2,285,75241.7%19.1%22.9%6.6%5.2%2.0%0.5%2.0%18.8%
2–4 May YouGov/The Times 1,44541%19%20%9%6%4%1%1%21%
1–2 May Survation/Daily Record 1,02444%19%20%7%6%2%2%24%
1 May BBC Scotland debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
23–28 Apr Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,07444%22%19%6%4%3%2%<1%22%
18–25 Apr Ipsos MORI/STV [ permanent dead link ]1,01545%17%19%10%7%1%<1%<1%26%
1–24 Apr TNS Archived 1 October 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,03545%22%18%8%5%<1%1%<1%23%
15–20 Apr Survation/Daily Record 1,00543%17%18%11%7%4%2%25%
11–15 Apr BMG Research/Herald 1,01246%20%16%7%6%4%0%26%
6–15 Apr Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,02147%18%19%8%4%3%1%<1%28%
7–11 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,01245%19%18%8%5%3%1%1%26%
23 Mar–3 Apr Survation/Unison Scotland 1,00344%19%16%10%7%4%1%25%
29 Mar STV debate between Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
24 Mar BBC Scotland debate between Coburn, Davidson, Dugdale, Harvie, Rennie and Sturgeon.
2–22 Mar TNS 1,01347%21%15%8%6%1%2%26%
10–17 Mar Survation/Daily Record 1,05142%18%18%10%6%5%1%24%
7–9 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,07043%17%19%8%5%4%1%1%24%
25–29 Feb Survation/Daily Mail 1,02243%19%14%9%7%6%1%24%
3–24 Feb TNS Archived 7 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,03655%21%13%6%4%34%
11–16 Feb Survation/Daily Record 1,00645%18%15%9%6%6%1%27%
1–7 Feb Ipsos MORI/STV 1,00049%19%15%6%8%1%<1%2%30%
1–4 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,02242%20%20%6%5%3%2%1%22%
6–25 Jan TNS 1,01652%19%17%6%6%<1%<1%1%33%
8–14 Jan Panelbase/Sunday Times 1,05348%19%17%5%7%2%1%1%29%
8–12 Jan Survation/Daily Record 1,02942%20%16%9%8%5%<1%22%

2015

2014

2013

2012

2011

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample size SNP Lab Con Lib Dem Green Others Lead
5 May 2011 Scottish Parliament election 1,991,05144.0%26.3%12.4%5.2%4.4%7.7%17.7%

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    References

    1. Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011 section 4
    2. 1 2 In August 2015, the Scottish Socialist Party announced it would stand as part of an electoral alliance called RISE - Scotland's Left Alliance