Opinion polling for the 2017 United Kingdom general election

Last updated

In the run-up to the general election on 8 June 2017, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

Contents

The date range for these opinion polls is from after the previous general election, held on 7 May 2015, to immediately before 8 June 2017. Under fixed-term legislation, the next general election was scheduled to be held on 7 May 2020. However, on 18 April 2017, Prime Minister Theresa May said that she would seek to bring forward the general election to Thursday 8 June 2017, which the House of Commons approved on 19 April. For an early election to be held, two-thirds of the total membership of the House had to support the resolution. The Conservative Party went into the election defending its overall majority won in 2015 with the Labour Party as the leading opposition party both in terms of polling numbers and seats.

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, as Northern Ireland seats are contested by a different set of political parties. Most YouGov polls include the Scottish National Party and Plaid Cymru as single options. The English and Welsh, Scottish, and Northern Irish Green Parties are also treated as a single option by most polls.

Graphical summaries

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Conservative
Labour
UKIP
Liberal Democrats
SNP
Greens Opinion polling for the 2017 UK General Election (LOESS).svg
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  SNP
  Greens
Polling for the 2017 UK general election campaign period (18 April onwards), including polls released by 3pm 8 June 2017 (moving average is calculated from the last six polls)
Conservative
Labour
UKIP
Liberal Democrats
SNP
Greens 2017 UK General Election polls graph - short timeperiod.png
Polling for the 2017 UK general election campaign period (18 April onwards), including polls released by 3pm 8 June 2017 (moving average is calculated from the last six polls)
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  SNP
  Greens

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. [1] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. If there is a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold. Poll results are generally rounded to the nearest percentage point (where a result is less than 0.5%, but more than zero, it is indicated by '*'). Percentages may not add to 100%, due to rounding. Data for all polls listed was obtained online, with the exception of Ipsos MORI and Survation, who obtained their data both online and by telephone.

The poll results shown are the 'headline' figures, those published or broadcast in the mainstream media. Polling organisations obtain raw data from respondents and subsequently adjust or 'weight' this according to their projections of turnout and voting on election day based on, for example, age and party preference. Each polling organisation weights its raw data differently.

The six parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2015 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Others" column.

  Conservative Party (Con)
  Labour Party (Lab)
  UK Independence Party (UKIP)
  Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)
  Scottish National Party (SNP) — Scotland only
  Green parties (Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Greens) (Green)

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green OthersLead
8 JuneGeneral Election results (GB only) [2] 43.5%41.0%1.9%7.6%3.1%1.7%1.2%2.5%
6–7 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,29144%36%4%7%5%2%2%8%
6–7 Jun BMG/The Herald 1,19946%33%5%8%4%3%2%13%
6–7 Jun Survation 2,79841%40%2%8%4%2%2%1%
6–7 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,53246%34%5%7%5%2%1%12%
5–7 Jun YouGov/The Times [lower-alpha 1] 2,13042% [lower-alpha 1] 35% [lower-alpha 1] 5%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%7% [lower-alpha 1]
5–7 Jun ComRes/Independent 2,05144%34%5%9%4%2%1%10%
4–7 Jun Qriously/Wired 2,21339%41%4%6%3%7%2%
2–7 Jun Panelbase 3,01844%36%5%7%4%2%2%8%
1–7 Jun Kantar Public Archived 11 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 2,15943%38%4%7%4%2%2%5%
4–6 Jun Opinium 3,00243%36%5%8%5%2%1%7%
2–4 Jun ICM/The Guardian 2,00045%34%5%8%4%3%1%11%
3 Jun London terror attack, national campaigning partially suspended on 4 June [5]
3 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,04940%39%5%8%4%5%1%
2–3 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain [lower-alpha 3] 1,10341%40%3%6%4%1%4%1%
1–2 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,98942%38%4%9%4% [lower-alpha 2] 2%0%4%
31 May–2 Jun ICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,05145%34%5%9%4%3%1%11%
31 May–2 Jun ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,03847%35%4%8%3%1%1%12%
31 May–1 Jun Norstat 1,01339%35%6%8%*3%9%4%
31 May–1 Jun ORB/Telegraph 1,65645%36%4%8%7%9%
30 May–1 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard [lower-alpha 3] 1,04645%40%2%7%3% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%5%
26 May–1 Jun Panelbase 1,22444%36%5%7%5%2%1%8%
30–31 May Opinium/Observer 2,00643%37%5%6%5%2%1%6%
30–31 May YouGov/The Times 1,87542%39%4%7%4% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%3%
25–30 May Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,19943%33%4%11%4%3%1%10%
26–29 May ICM/The Guardian 2,00245%33%5%8%4%3%2%12%
26–29 May Qriously 1,15343%39%5%6%3%2%3%4%
26–27 May Survation/Good Morning Britain [lower-alpha 3] 1,00943%37%4%8%2%1%4%6%
25–26 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,00343%36%4%9%4% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%7%
24–26 May ICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,04446%32%5%8%4%2%1%14%
24–26 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,02446%34%5%8%4%2%1%12%
24–25 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,55644%38%5%7%4%2%6%
24–25 May YouGov/The Times 2,05243%38%4%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 1%0%5%
23–24 May Opinium/Observer 2,00245%35%5%7%5%2%1%10%
19–23 May Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,01948%33%4%7%5%2%1%15%
22 May Manchester Arena bombing, national campaigning suspended 23–24 May
18–22 May Kantar Public Archived 6 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20042%34%4%9%4%4%2%8%
19–21 May ICM/The Guardian 2,00447%33%4%9%4%2%1%14%
19–20 May Survation/Good Morning Britain [lower-alpha 3] 1,03443%34%4%8%3%2%5%9%
19–20 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,01746%34%3%8%4%1%3%12%
18–19 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,92544%35%3%9%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%9%
17–18 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,55146%34%7%7%4%2%12%
16–17 May Opinium/Observer 2,00346%33%5%8%5%2%1%13%
16–17 May YouGov/The Times 1,86145%32%6%8%5%2%1%13%
15–17 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,05349%34%2%7%6%3%*15%
12–15 May Panelbase 1,02647%33%5%7%5%3%*14%
11–15 May Kantar Public Archived 22 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20147%29%6%8%4%4%2%18%
12–14 May ICM/The Guardian 2,03048%28%6%10%4%3%1%20%
3–14 May GfK/Business Insider 1,95248%28%5%7%6%3%2%20%
12–13 May Survation/Good Morning Britain 1,01648%30%4%8%4%2%4%18%
11–12 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,63049%31%3%9%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%18%
10–12 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,00748%30%5%10%4%3%1%18%
9–12 May Opinium/Observer 2,00347%32%5%8%5%2%1%15%
10–11 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,50846%32%6%8%5%4%14%
9–10 May YouGov/The Times 1,65146%30%5%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%16%
5–9 May Panelbase 1,02748%31%5%8%4%2%2%17%
4–8 May Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20144%28%8%11%4%5%1%16%
5–7 May ICM/The Guardian 2,03849%27%6%9%4%3%1%22%
5–6 May Survation/Good Morning Britain 1,00547%30%4%7%5%3%3%17%
4–5 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,64447%28%6%11%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%19%
3–5 May ICM/Sun on Sunday 2,02046%28%8%10%4%4%*18%
4 May United Kingdom local and mayoral elections
3–4 May ORB/Sunday Telegraph 1,55046%31%8%9%3%3%15%
2–3 May Opinium/Observer 2,00546%30%7%9%4%2%1%16%
2–3 May YouGov/The Times 2,06648%29%5%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%19%
28 Apr–2 May Panelbase 1,03447%30%5%10%5%2%1%17%
28 Apr–2 May ICM/The Guardian 1,97047%28%8%8%3%4%1%19%
28 Apr–1 May Qriously 1,24044%28%8%9%3%4%4%15%
27 Apr–2 May Kantar Public Archived 8 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20548%24%7%11%4%4%2%24%
27–28 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,61244%31%6%11%4% [lower-alpha 2] 2%2%13%
26–28 Apr ICM/Sun on Sunday 2,01247%28%8%9%4%4%*19%
25–28 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,00747%30%7%8%5%3%1%17%
26–27 Apr ORB/Sunday Telegraph 2,09342%31%8%10%4%4%11%
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,59045%29%7%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%16%
21–25 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard [ permanent dead link ]1,00449%26%4%13%4%1%4%23%
21–24 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,02448%27%7%10%4%3%1%21%
20–24 Apr Panelbase 1,02649%27%5%10%5%3%1%22%
20–24 Apr Kantar Public Archived 26 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,19646%24%8%11%5%4%1%22%
Pre-23 Apr Norstat/Sunday Express 1,03642%26%8%10%*6%8%16%
21–22 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 2,07240%29%11%11%4%2%3%11%
20–21 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,59048%25%5%12%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%23%
19–21 Apr ICM/ITV 2,02748%26%8%10%4%3%2%22%
19–20 Apr ORB/Daily Telegraph 1,86044%29%10%8%5%4%15%
19–20 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror Archived 22 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine 2,07450%25%7%11%4%3%1%25%
19–20 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,00345%26%9%11%4%3%1%19%
2–20 Apr YouGov 12,74644%25%9%12%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%19%
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,72748%24%7%12%6% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%24%
18 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,00046%25%8%11%4%4%1%21%
18 AprPrime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
14–17 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,05244%26%11%10%4%4%1%18%
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Times 2,06944%23%10%12%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%21%
11–13 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,02646%25%9%11%4%4%2%21%
11–13 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,00238%29%14%7%5%5%1%9%
5–6 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,65142%25%11%11%8% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%17%
31 Mar–2 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,00543%25%11%11%5%4%2%18%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,95743%25%10%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%18%
20–21 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,62741%25%12%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%2%16%
17–19 Mar ICM/The Guardian 2,01245%26%10%9%4%4%1%19%
15–17 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,02642%25%10%12%5%4%2%17%
14–17 Mar Opinium/Observer 2,00741%28%13%8%6%3%1%13%
1–15 Mar GfK 1,93841%28%12%7%5%6%1%13%
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,63144%27%9%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 4%0%17%
10–14 Mar Ipsos MORI [ permanent dead link ]1,03243%30%6%13%4%4%*13%
8–9 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,59844%25%11%10%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%19%
3–5 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,78744%28%11%8%4%5%1%16%
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,66642%25%12%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%17%
23 FebBy-elections in Stoke-on-Trent Central and Copeland
21–22 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,06041%25%13%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%16%
17–19 Feb ICM/The Guardian 2,02844%26%13%8%4%4%1%18%
14–16 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00440%27%14%8%5%4%2%13%
10–14 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,01440%29%9%13%5%4%0%11%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,05240%24%15%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%2%16%
8–10 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 1,21841%26%11%11%5%4%2%15%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,98440%24%14%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%16%
3–5 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,98442%27%12%10%5%4%1%15%
31 Jan–1 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00537%30%14%8%5%5%2%7%
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,70540%26%12%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%14%
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,64340%24%14%10%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%0%16%
20–22 Jan ICM/The Guardian 2,05242%26%13%10%4%5%1%16%
17–18 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,65442%25%12%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%0%17%
13–16 Jan Ipsos MORI 1,13243%31%6%11%4%4%*12%
13 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,17738%29%13%10%4%2%4%9%
10–12 Jan Opinium/Observer 2,00738%30%14%7%5%4%2%8%
9–10 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,66039%28%13%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%11%
6–8 Jan ICM/The Guardian 2,00042%28%12%9%4%4%*14%
3–4 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,74039%26%14%10%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%13%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green OthersLead
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,59539%24%14%12%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%15%
13–16 Dec Opinium/Observer 2,00038%31%13%6%6%4%1%7%
9–12 Dec Ipsos MORI [ permanent dead link ]1,00340%29%9%14%4%3%1%11%
9–11 Dec ICM/The Guardian 2,04941%27%14%9%4%3%1%14%
8 Dec Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,66742%25%12%11%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%17%
1 Dec Richmond Park by-election
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,62439%27%14%9%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%12%
28 Nov Paul Nuttall is elected as the leader of UKIP
25–27 Nov ICM/The Guardian 2,00944%28%12%7%4%4%2%16%
21–22 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,69341%28%12%9%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%0%13%
18–20 Nov ICM/The Guardian 2,03142%28%11%9%4%3%2%14%
15–18 Nov Opinium 2,00541%29%12%7%6%3%1%12%
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,71742%28%11%8%7% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%14%
11–14 Nov Ipsos MORI [ permanent dead link ]1,01342%33%7%10%5% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%9%
1–4 Nov Opinium 2,00140%32%13%6%6%4%8%
31 Oct–1 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,60841%27%11%10%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%14%
28–30 Oct ICM/The Guardian 2,04043%27%12%8%4%5%1%16%
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,65540%27%11%11%7% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%13%
19–24 Oct BMG 1,54642%28%12%8%5%4%1%14%
20 OctBy-elections in Witney and Batley & Spen
19–20 Oct YouGov/Election Data 1,60842%26%12%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 5%1%16%
14–17 Oct Ipsos MORI [ permanent dead link ]1,01647%29%6%7%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%18%
11–12 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,66942%28%11%9%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%0%14%
7–9 Oct ICM/The Guardian 2,01743%26%11%8%4%6%2%17%
28–29 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,65839%30%13%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%0%9%
24 Sep Jeremy Corbyn is re-elected as the Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition
21–23 Sep ICM/Sun on Sunday 2,01541%26%14%8%5%4%2%15%
20–23 Sep BMG 2,02639%28%13%8%5%5%2%11%
19–21 Sep YouGov/The Times 3,28539%30%13%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%9%
16 Sep Diane James is elected the leader of UKIP
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,73238%31%13%7%6%4%7%
10–14 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard [ permanent dead link ]1,00040%34%9%6%4% [lower-alpha 2] 5%1%6%
9–11 Sep ICM/The Guardian 2,01341%27%14%8%5%4%2%14%
4–5 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,61640%29%13%7%7% [lower-alpha 2] 3%11%
2 Sep Caroline Lucas and Jonathan Bartley are elected joint leaders of the Green Party
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,68738%30%14%7%6% [lower-alpha 2] 4%8%
26–28 Aug ICM/The Guardian 2,04041%27%13%9%4%4%2%14%
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,66040%29%13%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%11%
11–22 Aug Lord Ashcroft Polls 8,01140%31%13%7%5%3%1%9%
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,67738%30%13%9%7% [lower-alpha 2] 4%8%
13–15 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard [ permanent dead link ]1,01745%34%6%7%4%4%1%11%
12–15 Aug ICM 2,01040%28%14%8%4%4%2%12%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,69238%31%13%8%7% [lower-alpha 2] 4%7%
5–8 Aug TNS [ permanent dead link ]1,19939%26%11%10%4%7%2%13%
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,72242%28%12%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%14%
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Times 1,68040%28%13%8%7% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%12%
22–24 Jul ICM 2,01243%27%13%8%4%4%1%16%
19–22 Jul Opinium/Observer 2,23137%31%15%6%6%4%1%6%
17–18 Jul YouGov 1,89140%29%12%9%7% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%11%
13–15 Jul ICM 2,02739%29%14%9%4%4%2%10%
13 Jul Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
9–11 Jul Ipsos MORI 1,02136%35%8%11%5%4%1%1%
8–10 Jul ICM 2,02538%30%15%8%5%4%1%8%
4–5 Jul Survation/Constitutional Research Council 1,00836%32%12%9%6%7%4%
1–3 Jul ICM 1,97937%30%15%8%5%4%2%7%
28–30 Jun Opinium 2,00634%29%17%7%5%4%2%5%
24–26 Jun ICM/The Guardian 2,00136%32%15%7%5%5%1%4%
24–25 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,03332%32%16%9%4%4%2%Tie
23 Jun UK European Union membership referendum: 52% of voters vote in favour of leaving EU; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister
20–22 Jun Opinium 3,01134%30%19%6%6%4%2%4%
14–17 Jun Opinium/Observer 2,00634%30%18%6%6%4%1%4%
16 Jun Tooting by-election; killing of MP Jo Cox, leading to a suspension of referendum campaigning until 19 June
15–16 Jun ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,04634%29%19%8%5%4%2%5%
11–14 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,25735%34%10%9%5%4%3%1%
10–13 Jun ICM/The Guardian 2,00134%30%19%8%4%4%1%4%
10–13 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,00034%33%14%9%4%5%2%1%
7–10 Jun Opinium/Observer 2,00935%32%18%4%5%4%1%3%
31 May–3 Jun Opinium/Observer 2,00734%30%18%6%6%4%2%4%
27–29 May ICM/The Guardian 2,05236%31%17%7%4%4%2%5%
27–29 May ICM/The Guardian 1,00436%32%15%7%4%3%2%4%
17–19 May Opinium/Observer 2,00835%30%18%5%6%5%2%5%
14–16 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,00236%34%10%8%5%5%2%2%
13–15 May ICM/The Guardian 1,00236%34%13%7%4%4%2%2%
13–15 May ICM/The Guardian 2,04834%32%17%7%5%4%1%2%
11–12 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,04336%30%17%8%5%4%6%
5 May 2016 United Kingdom local elections including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-elections
26–29 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,00538%30%15%5%5%5%2%8%
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,65030%33%20%6%8% [lower-alpha 2] 3%3%
22–26 Apr BMG Research 1,37533%32%18%6%5%4%2%1%
16–18 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,02638%35%11%6%6%3%1%3%
15–17 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,00338%33%13%7%5%3%1%5%
15–17 Apr ICM/The Guardian 2,00836%31%16%7%4%4%2%5%
13–14 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,03635%30%16%8%5%4%1%5%
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,63931%34%17%8%7% [lower-alpha 2] 3%3%
29 Mar–1 Apr Opinium/Observer 1,96633%32%17%5%6%4%2%1%
24–29 Mar BMG Research 1,29836%31%16%7%5%5%2%5%
19–22 Mar Ipsos MORI 1,02336%34%11%10%5%3%2%2%
18–20 Mar ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00237%35%9%7%5%4%2%2%
16–17 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,69133%34%16%6%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%2%1%
11–13 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,00136%36%11%8%3%3%1%Tie
9–10 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,05938%29%16%7%4%4%1%9%
21–23 Feb YouGov/The Times 3,48237%30%16%8%6% [lower-alpha 2] 3%7%
17–23 Feb BMG Research 1,26838%30%16%5%5%5%2%8%
19–22 Feb ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00038%31%12%8%4%3%3%7%
13–16 Feb Ipsos MORI 1,00139%33%12%6%6%3%2%6%
12–14 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,00439%32%11%7%4%4%3%7%
10–12 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,01841%27%15%9%5%3%1%14%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,67539%29%18%6%4% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%10%
27–28 Jan YouGov 1,73539%30%17%6%4% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%9%
23–25 Jan Ipsos MORI 1,02740%31%11%7%5%4%1%9%
22–24 Jan ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00637%32%12%6%4%4%4%5%
15–17 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,00140%35%10%6%4%3%2%5%
15–16 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,01737%30%16%7%5%3%3%7%
13–15 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror, Independent on Sunday 2,00440%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
8–14 Jan Panelbase/Sunday Times 2,08739%31%14%6%5%5%8%

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green OthersLead
18–20 Dec ICM/The Guardian 1,00339%34%10%7%4%3%3%5%
17–18 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,59839%29%17%6%5% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%10%
15–18 Dec Opinium/Observer 1,93638%30%16%5%6%5%2%8%
12–14 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,04038%31%9%9%5%6%2%7%
11–13 Dec ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00137%33%11%7%4%5%2%4%
9–11 Dec ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,04940%29%16%7%4%3%1%11%
3 Dec Oldham West and Royton by-election
30 Nov–1 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,65741%30%16%6%4% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%11%
20–24 Nov YouGov 4,31738%29%17%6%5% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%9%
20–22 Nov ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00040%29%11%8%4%3%4%11%
18–20 Nov ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,06742%27%15%7%5%3%1%15%
16–17 Nov Survation/Leave.EU [lower-alpha 4] 1,54637%30%16%6%5%3%3%7%
14–17 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,02141%34%7%7%6%4%-7%
11–17 Nov BMG Research 1,33437%30%15%7%4%4%2%7%
13–15 Nov ICM/The Guardian 1,00639%33%12%7%5%3%1%6%
9–11 Nov Survation/Leave.EU [lower-alpha 4] 2,00736%30%15%7%5%3%3%6%
22–27 Oct BMG Research 1,46737%31%15%6%4%5%2%6%
23–25 Oct ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00238%33%10%8%3%3%4%5%
17–19 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,02136%32%12%10%5%3%2%4%
13–16 Oct Opinium 1,93437%32%15%5%6%4%2%5%
14–15 Oct ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,05142%29%13%7%5%3%1%13%
9–11 Oct ICM/The Guardian 1,00238%34%11%7%5%3%3%4%
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,06437%31%17%7%5% [lower-alpha 2] 2%1%6%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00939%30%12%9%4%4%3%9%
21–22 Sep Survation/Huffington Post 1,00837%32%13%9%5%3%1%5%
19–22 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,25539%34%7%9%5%4%1%5%
17–18 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,60139%31%16%6%5% [lower-alpha 2] 3%1%8%
15–18 Sep Opinium 1,94237%32%14%6%5%4%1%5%
16–17 Sep ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,01542%30%13%7%5%3%1%12%
11–13 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,00638%32%13%8%5%3%2%6%
12 Sep Jeremy Corbyn is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Leader of the Opposition
3–4 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,00438%32%13%6%5%4%2%6%
21–23 Aug ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00142%28%9%8%5%6%3%14%
12–13 Aug ComRes/Independent on Sunday, Sunday Mirror 2,03540%29%13%8%5%4%1%11%
12–13 Aug Survation/TSSA 1,00738%33%15%6%5%3%1%5%
7–9 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,00040%31%10%7%5%4%2%9%
24–26 Jul ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00140%28%10%7%5%5%4%12%
18–20 Jul Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,02637%31%9%10%5%8%1%6%
16 Jul Tim Farron is elected leader of the Liberal Democrats
10–12 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,00538%34%13%6%4%4%1%4%
26–28 Jun ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00239%27%11%9%5%6%3%12%
14–16 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,00539%30%8%9%5%6%2%9%
12–14 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,00437%31%13%8%5%5%1%6%
29–31 May ComRes/Daily Mail 1,00041%29%10%8%5%5%3%12%
25–26 May YouGov/The Sun 1,70941%30%13%7%4% [lower-alpha 2] 4%1%11%
8–9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,02740%31%12%6%5%3%2%9%
7 MayGeneral Election results (GB only) [6] [7] 37.8%31.2%12.9%8.1%4.9%3.8%1.4%6.6%

YouGov model

During the election campaign, YouGov created a Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model based on poll data. As set out by YouGov, the model "works by modelling every constituency and key voter types in Britain based on analysis of key demographics as well as past voting behaviour", with new interviews to registered voters conducted every day. [8]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem SNP Green OthersLead
8 JuneGeneral Election results (GB only) [2] 43.5%41.0%1.9%7.6%3.1%1.7%1.2%2.5%
31 May–6 Jun YouGov 55,70742%38%3%9%4%2%1%4%
30 May–5 Jun YouGov 53,24142%38%4%9%4%2%1%4%
29 May–4 Jun YouGov 53,60942%38%3%9%4%2%2%4%
27 May–2 Jun YouGov 51,94542%38%3%9%4%2%2%4%
26 May–1 Jun YouGov 53,00042%38%3%9%4%2%1%4%
25–31 May YouGov 53,61142%38%3%9%4%2%2%4%
24–30 May YouGov 53,46441%38%4%9%4%2%2%3%
23–29 May YouGov ~50,00042%38%4%9%7%4%

UK-wide seat projections

The UK's first-past-the-post electoral system means that national shares of the vote do not give an exact indicator of how the various parties will be represented in Parliament. Different commentators and pollsters provided a number of predictions, based on polls and other data, as to how the parties would be represented in Parliament:

Parties2015
election
result
Election
Forecast [9]
as of 7 June 2017
Electoral
Calculus [10]
as of 7 June 2017
Lord
Ashcroft [11]
as of 6 June 2017 [12]
Elections
Etc. [13]
as of 2 June 2017
New
Statesman [14]
as of 6 June 2017
YouGov [15]
as of 7 June 2017
Britain Elects [16]
as of 7 June 2017
Scenari
Politici.com [17]
as of 7 June 2017
Forecast UK [18]

as of 8 June 2017

Spreadex [19]

as of 7 June 2017

BBC/ITV/Sky exit poll
8 June 2017
2017
election
result
Conservatives 330371361357360339302353365344-351365-371314318
Labour Party 232199215222210224269219208221-230198-204266262
SNP 56504845485744464944-5245.5-47.53435
Liberal Democrats 87449812965-710.5-12.51412
Plaid Cymru 323132332-434
Green Party 111011110-20.8-1.411
UKIP 1100000000.1-0.500
Others191 [lower-alpha 5] 18 [lower-alpha 6] 19201918191818
Overall resultConservative
majority of 10
Conservative
majority of 92
Conservative
majority of 72
Conservative
majority of 64
Conservative
majority of 70
Conservative
majority of 28
Hung
Parliament

(Con 24 seats short)
Conservative
majority of 56
Conservative
majority of 84
Conservative
majority of 46
Conservative
majority of 82
Hung
Parliament

(Con 12 seats short)
Hung
Parliament

(Con 8 seats short)

Lord Ashcroft Polls announced an estimate for the election result. He updated it at intervals on his website. [20] [21]

Electoral Calculus maintained a running projection of seats according to latest polls on its website based on universal changes from the previous general election results according to opinion poll averages. It also maintained a seat-by-seat projection for Scotland. [10]

Election Forecast also maintained a projection of seats based on current opinion poll averages on their website. [9]

Elections Etc. issued regular forecasts based on current opinion poll averages, betting markets, expert predictions and other sources on their website. [13]

YouGov issued daily seat estimates using their aggregated statistical election model. [15]

Britain Elects maintained a 'nowcast' of seats based on historical data as well as national and regional polling. [16]

ScenariPolitici.com maintained a projection of seats based on current opinion poll averages on their website. [17]

Spreadex maintained Party Seats spread bets throughout the election, with prices updated daily. [22]

Sub-national polling

Scotland

Scottish opinion polling for the 2017 general elections. Trendlines are local regressions.
SNP
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrats
UKIP
Scottish Greens 2017 Scotland polls.svg
Scottish opinion polling for the 2017 general elections. Trendlines are local regressions.
  SNP
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  UKIP
  Scottish Greens
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
SNP Lab Con Lib Dem UKIP Green OthersLead
8 JuneGeneral Election results [23] 2,649,69536.9%27.1%28.6%6.8%0.2%0.2%0.2%8.3%
7 Jun 2017 Survation/The Daily Record 1,00139%29%26%6%*10%
2–7 Jun 2017 Panelbase 1,10641%22%30%5%<1%2%<1%11%
1–5 Jun 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,09341%25%26%6%*1%2%15%
31 May–2 Jun 2017 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,02440%25%27%6%2%13%
26–31 May 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02142%20%30%5%2%1%12%
22–27 May 2017 Ipsos-Mori/STV 1,01643%25%25%5%2%18%
15–18 May 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,03242%19%29%6%1%2%1%13%
12–18 May 2017 BMG/The Herald over 1,00043%18%30%5%4%13%
4 May 2017 2017 Scottish local elections
24–27 Apr 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,01741%18%28%7%2%3%1%13%
18–21 Apr 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02944%13%33%5%2%2%1%11%
18–21 Apr 2017 Survation/Sunday Post 1,01843%18%28%9%3%15%
18 Apr 2017Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
17 Mar 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,00847%14%28%4%3%3%<1%19%
20–26 Jan 2017 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02047%15%27%4%3%3%<1%20%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2016 BMG 1,01049%17%20%8%2%3%-29%
9–15 Sep 2016 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02447%16%24%5%4%3%-23%
13 Jul 2016 Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 Jun UK European Union membership referendum
5 May 2016 Scottish Parliament election
7–10 Sep 2015 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,01052%21%16%6%2%3%-31%
15 Aug 2015 Kezia Dugdale is elected leader of Scottish Labour
3–7 Jul 2015 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,08451%21%17%7%2%2%-30%
7 May 2015 General Election results 2,910,46550.0%24.3%14.9%7.5%1.6%1.3%0.3%25.7%

Wales

Welsh opinion polling for the 2017 general elections. Trendlines are local regressions.
Labour
Conservative
UKIP
Plaid Cymru
Liberal Democrats
Green 2017 Wales polls.svg
Welsh opinion polling for the 2017 general elections. Trendlines are local regressions.
  Labour
  Conservative
  UKIP
  Plaid Cymru
  Liberal Democrats
  Green
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab Con UKIP Plaid Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 JuneGeneral Election results [24] 48.9%33.6%2.0%10.4%4.5%0.3%0.2%15.3%
5–7 June 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,07446%34%5%9%5%1%12%
29–31 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,01446%35%5%8%5%0%0%11%
18–21 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,02544%34%5%9%6%1%1%10%
5–7 May 2017 YouGov/ITV 1,01835%41%4%11%7%1%1%6%
4 May 2017 2017 Welsh local elections
19–21 April 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,02930%40%6%13%8%2%1%10%
18 AprPrime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
3–6 Jan 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,03433%28%13%13%9%2%05%
18–21 Sep 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,00135%29%14%13%7%2%06%
13 Jul 2016 Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
30 Jun–4 Jul 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,01034%23%16%16%8%1%2%11%
5 May 2016 Welsh Assembly election and Ogmore by-election
19–22 Apr 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,00137%23%17%13%7%2%1%14%
7–11 Apr 2016 YouGov/ITV Wales 1,01138%22%18%13%6%2%1%16%
7–18 Mar 2016 Welsh Election Study Archived 25 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine 3,27236%25%16%14%6%3% [25] 11%
9–11 Feb 2016 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,02437%27%18%13%4%1%-10%
30 Nov–4 Dec 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,00537%27%17%12%4%2%-10%
21–24 Sep 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,15142%26%16%10%5%2%-16%
24–26 Jun 2015 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,15137%28%15%12%4%3%1%9%
7 May 2015 General Election results 36.9%27.2%13.6%12.1%6.5%2.6%1.0%9.7%

Northern Ireland

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
DUP SF UUP SDLP Alliance TUV Green OthersLead
8 JuneGeneral Election results [26] 36.0%29.4%10.3%11.7%7.9%0.4%0.9%3.3%6.6%
1–3 June 2017 Lucid Talk [ permanent dead link ]3,41928.9%28.1%15.4%13.8%9.9%0.1%0.6%3.2%0.8%
17–18 May 2017 Lucid Talk 3,34128.8%27.9%15.7%13.7%9.8%0.1%0.7%3.3%0.9%
27–29 April 2017 Lucid Talk Archived 29 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 3,18729.4%27.7%14.8%12.4%10.2%0.6%1.8%3.1%1.7%
18 Apr 2017Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
2 Mar 2017 2017 Northern Ireland Assembly election
5 May 2016 2016 Northern Ireland Assembly election
7 May 2015 General Election Results 25.7%24.5%16.0%13.9%8.6%2.3%1.0%8.2%1.2%

Regional polling in England

North East England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election55.5%34.4%3.9%4.6%1.3%0.5%21.1%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 63942%40%8%6%2%0%2%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 46.9%25.3%16.7%6.5%3.6%0.9%21.6%

North West England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election54.9%36.2%1.9%5.4%1.1%0.5%18.7%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,53742%42%6%8%2%0%Tie
23 Feb 2017 Copeland by-election
3 Dec 2015 Oldham West and Royton by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 44.6%31.2%13.6%6.5%3.2%0.7%13.4%

Yorkshire and the Humber

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election49.0%40.5%2.6%5.0%1.3%1.7%8.5%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,29338%43%7%9%2%0%5%
20 Oct 2016 Batley and Spen by-election
5 May 2016 Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 39.1%32.6%16.0%7.1%3.5%1.6%6.5%

East Midlands

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election50.7%40.5%2.4%4.3%1.4%0.6%10.2%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,16454%28%7%8%2%0%26%
8 Dec 2016 Sleaford and North Hykeham by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 43.5%31.6%15.8%5.6%3.0%0.6%11.9%

West Midlands

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election49.0%42.5%1.8%4.4%1.7%0.6%6.5%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,21151%28%9%9%2%0%23%
23 Feb 2017 Stoke-on-Trent Central by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 41.8%32.9%15.7%5.5%3.3%0.8%8.9%

East of England

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election54.6%32.7%2.5%7.9%1.9%0.3%21.9%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,33956%19%9%12%2%1%37%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 49.0%22.0%16.2%8.2%3.9%0.5%27.0%

London

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab Con UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election54.5%33.2%1.3%8.8%1.8%0.5%21.3%
26–31 May 2017 YouGov 1,00050%33%3%11%2%1%17%
19–23 May 2017 YouGov 1,00650%34%2%11%2%1%16%
22 Apr–3 May 2017 YouGov 1,04041%36%6%14%3%1%5%
18 Apr 2017Prime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election to be held on 8 June 2017
24–28 Mar 2017 YouGov 1,04237%34%9%14%5%1%3%
1 Dec 2016 Richmond Park by-election
16 Jun 2016 Tooting by-election
15–19 Apr 2016 YouGov/LBC 1,01746%30%13%7%4%1%16%
4–6 Jan 2016 YouGov/LBC 1,15644%37%11%4%2%2%7%
8 Jun–12 Aug 2015 YouGov/LBC 3,43642%38%9%5%4%1%4%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 43.7%34.9%8.1%7.7%4.9%0.8%8.8%

South East

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election4,635,74154.6%28.6%2.3%10.5%3.1%1.0%26.0%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 2,06256%19%6%15%3%1%37%
20 Oct 2016 Witney by-election
7 May 2015 2015 Election 4,394,36050.8%18.3%14.7%9.4%5.2%1.5%32.5%

South West

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP Green OthersLead
8 June 20172017 Election51.4%29.1%15.0%1.1%2.3%1.2%22.3%
24 Apr–5 May 2017 YouGov 1,37852%22%16%6%3%1%30%
7 May 2015 2015 Election 46.5%17.7%15.1%13.6%5.9%1.2%28.8%

Polls of individual constituencies

Battersea

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem OthersLead
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result N/A41.5%45.9%8.0%4.6%4.4%
9–10 May 2017 Survation/Chris Coghlan 50346%38%13%5%8%
7 May 2015 2015 Election Result N/A52.4%36.8%4.4%6.4%15.6%

Brighton Pavilion

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Green Lab Con UKIP Lib DemOthersLead
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result N/A52.3%26.8%19.2%1.1%0.7%25.5%
27 Apr-1 May 2017 ICM Unlimited 1,00147%23%25%3%2%0%22%
7 May 2015 2015 Election Result 41.8%27.3%22.8%5.0%2.8%0.4%14.6%

The Liberal Democrats did not field a candidate in Brighton Pavilion.

Edinburgh South

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Lab SNP Con Green Lib Dem Others†Lead
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result N/A54.9%22.5%19.7%2.9%32.4%
3–4 April 2017 Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance 53040%30%20%7%3%1%10%
7 May 2015 2015 Election Result 39.1%33.8%17.5%4.2%3.7%1.6%5.3%

There was neither a Scottish Green nor any "other" candidates fielded Edinburgh South.

Kensington

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP OthersLead
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result N/A42.2%42.2%12.2%2.0%1.4%0.05%
25–27 Apr 2017 Survation/Stop Brexit Alliance 52246%29%17%7%1%0%17%
7 May 2015 2015 Election Result 52.3%31.1%5.6%5.1%4.5%1.5%21.2%

Tatton

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Con Lab UKIP Lib Dem OthersLead
8 Jun 2017 2017 Election Result N/A58.6%28.5%9.0%4.0%30.1%
22 Mar 2017 Survation/38 Degrees 50758%17%9%12%4%41%
7 May 2015 2015 Election Result 58.6%18.3%10.8%8.5%3.8%40.3%

UKIP did not field a candidate in Tatton.

Preferred prime minister polling

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:

May vs Corbyn

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of theseNot sureLead
5-7 Jun ComRes 2,05148%39%14%9%
4–6 Jun Opinium 3,00242%29%19%10%13%
2–3 Jun Survation 1,10350%36%15%14%
31 May–2 Jun ComRes 2,03849%34%17%15%
30 May–1 Jun Ipsos MORI 1,04650%35%6%8%15%
30–31 May Opinium 2,00642%26%21%12%16%
30–31 May YouGov/The Times 1,87543%30%27%13%
25–30 May Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,19938%23%23%15%15%
26–27 May Survation/Good Morning Britain 1,00953%30%17%23%
24–26 May ICM/The Sun on Sunday 2,04448%27%25%21%
24–26 May ComRes 2,02451%30%19%21%
24–25 May YouGov/The Times 2,05245%28%27%17%
23–24 May Opinium 2,00243%26%21%11%17%
18–22 May Kantar Public Archived 6 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20038%24%23%14%14%
16–17 May YouGov/The Times 1,86146%23%31%23%
16–17 May Opinium 2,00345%22%21%12%23%
15–17 May Ipsos MORI 1,05356%29%8%6%27%
11–15 May Kantar Public Archived 22 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20141%18%22%19%23%
12–13 May Survation 1,01658%24%19%34%
9–12 May Opinium 2,00345%19%24%12%26%
9-10 May YouGov/The Times 1,65149%21%30%28%
4–8 May Kantar Public Archived 14 August 2017 at the Wayback Machine 1,20140%17%24%19%23%
5–6 May Survation 1,00560%21%19%39%
2-3 May Opinium 2,00546%18%25%11%28%
2-3 May YouGov/The Times 2,06649%21%29%28%
20–24 Apr Kantar Public Archived 8 July 2017 at the Wayback Machine 2,00343%17%20%20%26%
25–28 Apr Opinium/The Observer 2,00744%19%25%12%25%
25–26 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,59048%18%33%30%
21–25 Apr Ipsos MORI [ permanent dead link ] [27] 1,00461%23%6%7% [28] 38%
20–24 Apr Kantar Public Archived 26 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine [29] 2,00344%18%23%16%26%
19–20 Apr Opinium/Observer 2,00349%14%26%11%35%
18–19 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,72754%15%31%39%
18 AprPrime Minister Theresa May announces her intention to seek a general election
12–13 Apr YouGov/The Times 2,06950%14%36%36%
11–13 Apr Opinium/Observer 1,65147%14%28%11%33%
5–6 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,65149%16%35%33%
21–28 Mar Lord Ashcroft Polls 10,15355%18%27%37%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,95751%13%36%38%
20–21 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,62747%14%39%33%
14–17 Mar Opinium/Observer 2,00745%14%29%12%31%
13–14 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,63148%14%38%34%
27–28 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,66649%15%36%34%
21–22 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,06049%15%36%34%
14–16 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00446%13%29%12%33%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,05249%15%36%34%
31 Jan–1 Feb Opinium/Observer 2,00543%14%29%14%29%
30–31 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,70548%16%36%32%
23–24 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,64347%15%38%32%
10–12 Jan Opinium/Observer 2,00740%16%28%15%24%
9–10 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,66045%17%38%28%
3–4 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,74047%14%39%33%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of theseNot sureLead
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,59544%16%41%28%
13–16 Dec Opinium/The Observer 2,00042%16%28%13%26%
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,66749%16%35%33%
28–29 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,62445%18%37%27%
15–18 Nov Opinium/The Observer 2,00545%17%25%13%28%
14–15 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,71748%18%34%30%
1–4 Nov Opinium/The Observer 2,00145%16%25%13%29%
31 Oct-1 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,65547%17%36%30%
24–25 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,65548%16%36%32%
11–12 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,66951%18%31%33%
13–14 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,73250%18%33%32%
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,68752%21%27%31%
22–23 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,66050%19%30%31%
16–17 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,67751%19%30%32%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,69252%18%29%34%
1–2 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,72252%18%30%34%
25–26 Jul YouGov/The Times 1,68052%18%30%34%
13 Jul Theresa May becomes the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom
23 Jun The UK votes to leave the EU; David Cameron announces he will resign as Prime Minister
5 May UK elections, 2016 including the Ogmore and Sheffield Brightside & Hillsborough by-elections
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,69323%30%46%7%

Cameron vs Corbyn

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn None of theseNot sureLead
11–12 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,69332%25%42%7%

2015

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn None of theseNot sureLead
18–19 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,59549%23%29%28%
13–16 Dec Opinium/The Observer 2,00042%16%28%13%26%
25–28 Sep ComRes 2,02454%30%16%24%

Multiple party leaders

Some polls ask voters to choose between multiple party leaders. The questions vary by pollster:

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron Paul Nuttall Don't KnowLead
27 April–1 May Lord Ashcroft Polls 40,32964%25%11%39%
27–28 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,61245%16%6%2%32%29%
20–21 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,59046%12%6%1%35%34%
19–20 Apr ComRes/Sunday Mirror Archived 22 April 2017 at the Wayback Machine 2,07462%25%10%4%37%

2016

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Tim Farron Lead
11–22 Aug Lord Ashcroft Polls 8,00167%25%8%42%

Hypothetical polling

Hypothetical polling
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
Boris Johnson Jeremy Corbyn Don't
Know
Lead
11–12 Apr 2016 YouGov/The Times 1,69334%29%36%5%
17–18 Dec 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,59843%29%28%14%
Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/clientSample
size
George Osborne Jeremy Corbyn Don't
Know
Lead
11–12 Apr 2016 YouGov/The Times 1,69321%34%45%13%
17–18 Dec 2015 YouGov/The Times 1,59839%27%34%12%

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 3 4 YouGov was worried they would get this final poll wrong as in 2015, and the poll suggested a hung parliament which they doubted. YouGov made last minute small methodology changes which transferred 2% from Labour to Conservative, increasing predicted Conservative lead from 3% to 7%. Peter Kellner wrote in 2022 this "turned an excellent poll into a mediocre one". [3] [4]
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 Includes those expressing a voting intention for Plaid Cymru.
  3. 1 2 3 4 Telephone.
  4. 1 2 This survey included respondents from Northern Ireland.
  5. GB forecast only
  6. Electoral Calculus counts Speaker John Bercow in the Conservative total

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  24. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  25. including Green
  26. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  27. Ipsos MORI's figures for 'don't know' are significantly lower than other pollsters on this question as they only prompt for May and Corbyn, with don't know/other/none included if respondents offer it unprompted
  28. 1% of respondents chose 'Other' and a further 1% said 'no difference'.
  29. The question used by Kantar Public differs slightly in its wording from other pollsters. They ask: "If you had to choose between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn, who do you think would make the best leader for Britain?"