Aranayaka Polling Division

Last updated
Aranayaka
Coordinates: 7°10′15″N80°25′40″E / 7.170890°N 80.427723°E / 7.170890; 80.427723
Country Sri Lanka
Province Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District Kegalle Electoral District
Area
  Total117.67 km2 (45.43 sq mi)
Population
 (2012) [1]
  Total68,464
  Density582/km2 (1,510/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code EC-22F

The Aranayaka Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Contents

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Aranayaka has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Aranayaka is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Aranayaka Kegalle Electoral District MAE [2]  % Sri Lanka MAE [3]  %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.45% SLPP 3.20%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.61% NDF 3.60%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.21% UPFA 3.99%
2005 UNP UPFA 2.33% UPFA 1.59%
1999 PA PA 1.74% PA 1.70%
1994 PA PA 1.62% PA 7.79%
1988 UNP UNP 2.41% UNP 7.78%
1982 UNP UNP 1.63% UNP 4.61%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.37% 8/8 4.28%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 24,294 56.39% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 17,075 39.63% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 961 2.23% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 752 1.75% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 43,082 99.34% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 288 0.66% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 43,370 85.41% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 50,780 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 20,742 51.04% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 19,297 47.48% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 602 1.48% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 40,641 98.98% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 417 1.02% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 41,058 77.17% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 53,207 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,204 61.81% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 13,469 35.88% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 870 2.32% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 37,543 99.29% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 268 0.71% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 37,811 73.58% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 51,391 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,906 49.96% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 18,391 48.59% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 549 1.45% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 37,846 98.87% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 434 1.13% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 38,280 77.20% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 49,586 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,314 53.31% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,224 41.40% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,232 3.59% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 587 1.71% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 34,357 97.87% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 749 2.13% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 35,106 76.19% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 46,078 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,156 54.41% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,854 43.94% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 522 1.66% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 31,532 98.12% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 604 1.88% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 32,136 75.90% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 42,338 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,894 59.97% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,605 38.68% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 335 1.35% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 24,834 98.54% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 369 1.46% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 25,203 67.28% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 37,459 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Aranayaka [11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,183 59.21% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 10,433 35.95% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,197 4.12% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 209 0.72% 7,074 2.06% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 29,022 99.25% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 219 0.75% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,241 84.75% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 34,504 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Aranayaka has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Aranayaka is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Aranayaka Kegalle Electoral District MAE [12]  % Sri Lanka MAE [13]  %
2015 UNP UNP 1.56% UNP 3.21%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.83% UPFA 6.80%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.89% UPFA 4.88%
2001 UNP UNP 3.75% UNP 3.88%
2000 PA PA 2.76% PA 3.67%
1994 UNP UNP 1.36% PA 4.96%
1989 UNP UNP 3.37% UNP 7.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.36% 7/7 4.93%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,192 51.25% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 16,457 43.95% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,250 3.34% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 548 1.46% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 37,447 96.20% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,458 3.75% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 38,928 73.16% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 53,207 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,758 69.91% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 7,396 26.17% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 997 3.53% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 112 0.40% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 28,263 93.58% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,938 6.42% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 30,201 58.77% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 51,391 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 16,911 49.94% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 15,321 45.25% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,458 4.31% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 172 0.51% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 33,862 94.34% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,032 5.66% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 35,894 73.66% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 48,731 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,044 53.29% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 12,263 36.22% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,161 9.34% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 389 1.15% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 33,857 94.88% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,827 5.12% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 35,684 74.89% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 47,648 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,340 52.68% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,160 40.67% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,688 4.85% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 627 1.80% 12,643 3.07% 419,507 4.88%
Valid Votes 34,815 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,392 52.58% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 15,383 46.50% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 304 0.92% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 33,079 95.92% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,406 4.08% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 34,485 81.45% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 42,338 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Aranayaka [20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,302 63.43% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,682 33.78% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 479 1.86% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 239 0.93% 16,196 5.68% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 25,702 92.14% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,191 7.86% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 27,893 75.98% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 36,713 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Aranayaka Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.1%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Aranayaka Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Aranayaka [1]

   Sinhalese (90.1%)
   Moor (7.6%)
   Sri Lankan Tamil (1.6%)
  Other (0.8%)

Religion

The Aranayaka Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Aranayaka Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Aranayaka [1]

   Buddhist (90.0%)
   Muslim (7.6%)
   Hindu (1.9%)
  Other (0.5%)

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.