Kegalle Polling Division

Last updated
Kegalle
Coordinates: 7°12′53″N80°22′35″E / 7.214683°N 80.376448°E / 7.214683; 80.376448
Country Sri Lanka
Province Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District Kegalle Electoral District
Area
  Total111.89 km2 (43.20 sq mi)
Population
 (2012) [1]
  Total90,854
  Density812/km2 (2,100/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code EC-22C

The Kegalle Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Contents

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kegalle has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kegalle is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kegalle Kegalle Electoral District MAE [2]  % Sri Lanka MAE [3]  %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.92% SLPP 8.65%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.60% NDF 7.78%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.71% UPFA 8.46%
2005 UPFA UPFA 5.48% UPFA 6.21%
1999 PA PA 4.03% PA 3.94%
1994 PA PA 5.89% PA 0.27%
1988 SLFP UNP 8.18% UNP 2.75%
1982 UNP UNP 2.21% UNP 1.38%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 5.00% 8/8 4.93%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 36,109 61.52% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 19,341 32.95% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,032 3.46% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,212 2.06% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 58,694 98.95% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 625 1.05% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,319 85.38% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,473 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,452 55.54% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 23,853 43.51% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 522 0.95% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 54,827 98.86% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 630 1.14% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,457 77.91% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 71,183 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,129 66.69% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,791 31.79% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 754 1.52% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 49,674 99.26% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 372 0.74% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 50,046 74.56% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 67,118 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,444 56.66% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 20,451 42.22% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 543 1.12% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 48,438 99.14% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 421 0.86% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 48,859 76.64% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 63,755 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,670 54.74% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 16,407 37.94% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,314 5.35% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 849 1.96% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 43,240 97.91% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 924 2.09% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 44,164 74.75% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,084 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,126 62.16% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,150 36.45% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 1.39% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 38,815 98.10% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 751 1.90% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 39,566 72.03% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 54,933 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,226 48.98% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 15,167 48.79% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 694 2.23% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 31,087 98.50% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 474 1.50% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,561 65.46% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,217 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kegalle [11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,184 54.94% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,567 39.65% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,506 4.10% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 384 1.05% 6,184 1.80% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 94 0.26% 890 0.26% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 36,735 98.81% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 443 1.19% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 37,178 82.35% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 45,146 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kegalle has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Kegalle is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kegalle Kegalle Electoral District MAE [12]  % Sri Lanka MAE [13]  %
2015 UPFA UNP 4.70% UNP 3.88%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.92% UPFA 6.77%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.64% UPFA 4.34%
2001 PA UNP 4.63% UNP 3.82%
2000 PA PA 3.78% PA 4.14%
1994 PA UNP 7.30% PA 3.15%
1989 UNP UNP 5.55% UNP 5.14%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 4.65% 7/7 4.46%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,562 49.88% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 22,643 44.19% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,587 5.05% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 453 0.88% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 51,245 96.89% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,635 3.09% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 52,889 74.30% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 71,183 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,513 69.33% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,106 24.75% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,061 5.60% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 117 0.32% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 36,797 94.34% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,209 5.66% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 39,006 58.12% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 67,118 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,778 53.67% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 17,509 39.52% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,834 6.40% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 186 0.42% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 44,307 95.11% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,276 4.89% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 46,583 74.46% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 62,561 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,454 43.34% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 19,242 42.87% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 5,415 12.06% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.73% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 44,889 95.62% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,057 4.38% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,946 76.55% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,325 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,237 51.64% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 16,091 37.37% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,509 8.15% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 740 1.72% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 1.13% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 43,063 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,084 55.04% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 18,311 43.66% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 543 1.29% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 41,938 96.27% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,624 3.73% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,562 79.30% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 54,933 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kegalle [20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,984 56.98% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,304 37.93% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 685 2.30% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 680 2.28% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 153 0.51% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 29,806 94.64% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,689 5.36% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,495 67.26% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 46,828 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kegalle Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.8%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Kegalle Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kegalle [1]

   Sinhalese (95.8%)
   Indian Tamil (1.9%)
   Moor (1.2%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

The Kegalle Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (94.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Kegalle Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Kegalle [1]

   Buddhist (94.0%)
   Hindu (2.2%)
   Roman Catholic (1.7%)
   Muslim (1.4%)
  Other (0.7%)

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kegalle and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.