Bulathsinhala Polling Division

Bulathsinhala
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6°38′46″N80°08′39″E / 6.646018°N 80.144162°E / 6.646018; 80.144162
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Kalutara Electoral District
Area
• Total	286.74 km2 (110.71 sq mi)
Population  (2012) [1]
• Total	98,981
• Density	345/km2 (890/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-03D

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Bulathsinhala		Kalutara Electoral District		MAE [2]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [3]  %
2019		SLPP		SLPP	0.39%		SLPP	6.35%
2015		UPFA		UPFA	3.62%		NDF	8.51%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	2.24%		UPFA	7.16%
2005		UPFA		UPFA	3.20%		UPFA	1.98%
1999		PA		PA	3.24%		PA	1.57%
1994		PA		PA	4.84%		PA	5.76%
1988		UNP		SLFP	1.67%		UNP	2.40%
1982		UNP		UNP	1.32%		UNP	4.73%
Matches/Mean MAE	7/8		6/8		2.57%	8/8		4.81%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [4]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLPP		42,021	59.51%		482,920	59.49%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NDF		25,407	35.98%		284,213	35.01%		5,564,239	41.99%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,721	2.44%		16,949	2.09%		345,452	2.61%
	NMPP		1,468	2.08%		27,681	3.41%		418,553	3.16%
Valid Votes		70,617		99.29%	811,763		99.16%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		503		0.71%	6,847		0.84%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		71,120		86.27%	818,610		85.71%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		82,439			955,080			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [5]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		37,311	56.17%		395,890	52.65%		5,768,090	47.58%
	NDF		28,341	42.66%		349,404	46.46%		6,217,162	51.28%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		779	1.17%		6,690	0.89%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		66,431		98.93%	751,984		98.90%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		716		1.07%	8,381		1.10%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		67,147		81.76%	760,365		82.08%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		82,123			926,346			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [6]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		38,018	65.04%		412,562	63.06%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		19,073	32.63%		231,807	35.43%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,365	2.34%		9,880	1.51%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		58,456		99.28%	654,249		99.31%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		423		0.72%	4,541		0.69%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		58,879		78.51%	658,790		79.05%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		74,991			833,360			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [7]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		29,218	52.01%		341,693	55.48%		4,887,152	50.29%
	UNP		25,918	46.13%		266,043	43.20%		4,706,366	48.43%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,043	1.86%		8,124	1.32%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		56,179		98.87%	615,860		98.95%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		644		1.13%	6,517		1.05%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		56,823		79.94%	622,377		79.67%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		71,080			781,175			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [8]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		25,424	50.25%		281,217	52.88%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		22,879	45.22%		217,423	40.88%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		1,397	2.76%		23,770	4.47%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		897	1.77%		9,399	1.77%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		50,597		98.08%	531,809		97.83%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		991		1.92%	11,796		2.17%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		51,588		77.91%	543,605		78.23%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		66,212			694,860			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [9]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		27,072	56.52%		295,686	61.47%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		20,094	41.95%		178,466	37.10%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		729	1.52%		6,867	1.43%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		47,895		98.41%	481,019		98.50%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		772		1.59%	7,309		1.50%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		48,667		77.09%	488,328		73.97%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		63,131			660,191			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [10]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		18,705	49.30%		169,510	46.74%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLFP		18,491	48.74%		179,761	49.57%		2,289,857	44.95%
	SLMP		743	1.96%		13,375	3.69%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		37,939		97.73%	362,646		98.23%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		880		2.27%	6,537		1.77%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		38,819		66.89%	369,183		64.20%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		58,030			575,008			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [11]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		21,486	49.74%		211,592	50.15%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		20,068	46.46%		185,874	44.06%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		998	2.31%		14,499	3.44%		273,428	4.19%
	LSSP		521	1.21%		8,613	2.04%		58,531	0.90%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		121	0.28%		1,314	0.31%		190,929	2.93%
Valid Votes		43,194		98.67%	421,892		98.76%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		582		1.33%	5,290		1.24%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		43,776		85.34%	427,182		83.97%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		51,297			508,744			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Bulathsinhala has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Bulathsinhala is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Bulathsinhala		Kalutara Electoral District		MAE [12]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [13]  %
2015		UPFA		UPFA	2.39%		UNP	5.31%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	3.68%		UPFA	5.67%
2004		UPFA		UPFA	4.10%		UPFA	4.52%
2001		UNP		UNP	1.85%		UNP	3.12%
2000		PA		PA	2.77%		PA	3.23%
1994		PA		PA	4.23%		PA	2.64%
1989		UNP		UNP	3.24%		UNP	5.64%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/7		6/7		3.18%	7/7		4.31%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [14]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		31,612	52.26%		338,801	48.58%		4,732,664	42.48%
	UNP		26,254	43.41%		310,234	44.48%		5,098,916	45.77%
	JVP		2,052	3.39%		38,475	5.52%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		568	0.94%		9,951	1.43%		85,579	0.77%
Valid Votes		60,486		96.23%	697,461		97.00%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		2,340		3.72%	21,366		2.97%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		62,853		76.54%	719,001		80.13%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		82,123			897,349			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [15]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		29,522	68.58%		313,836	63.74%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		11,737	27.26%		139,596	28.35%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		1,577	3.66%		36,722	7.46%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		213	0.49%		2,246	0.46%		34,923	0.44%
Valid Votes		43,049		88.17%	492,400		90.41%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		5,734		11.74%	51,751		9.50%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		48,827		65.11%	544,606		65.21%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		74,991			835,186			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [16]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		25,374	49.77%		291,208	51.72%		4,223,126	45.70%
	UNP		22,767	44.65%		212,721	37.78%		3,486,792	37.73%
	JHU		2,621	5.14%		56,615	10.06%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		225	0.44%		2,475	0.44%		49,030	0.53%
Valid Votes		50,987		93.19%	563,019		94.82%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		3,728		6.81%	30,741		5.18%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		54,715		78.48%	593,760		79.58%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		69,720			746,138			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [17]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		24,592	48.75%		254,339	45.94%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		20,909	41.45%		226,468	40.91%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		3,976	7.88%		60,451	10.92%		815,353	9.10%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		969	1.92%		12,361	2.23%		137,091	1.53%
Valid Votes		50,446		93.12%	553,619		94.44%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		3,730		6.88%	32,617		5.56%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		54,176		79.91%	586,236		81.68%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		67,795			717,764			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [18]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		24,308	47.87%		255,175	46.86%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		22,812	44.92%		217,215	39.89%		3,451,765	40.12%
	JVP		2,037	4.01%		38,373	7.05%		518,725	6.03%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,028	2.02%		18,136	3.33%		321,730	3.74%
	SU		597	1.18%		15,619	2.87%		127,859	1.49%
Valid Votes		50,782		N/A	544,518		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [19]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		24,364	50.04%		271,754	53.77%		3,887,805	48.94%
	UNP		23,755	48.79%		221,115	43.75%		3,498,370	44.04%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		566	1.16%		12,491	2.47%		159,429	2.01%
Valid Votes		48,685		93.98%	505,360		95.21%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		3,121		6.02%	25,397		4.79%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		51,806		82.06%	530,757		80.20%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		63,131			661,793			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Bulathsinhala [20]			Kalutara Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		16,360	55.80%		160,069	49.84%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		12,024	41.01%		131,510	40.94%		1,785,369	31.90%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		616	2.10%		16,643	5.18%		300,186	5.36%
	SLMC		321	1.09%		12,971	4.04%		202,016	3.61%
Valid Votes		29,321		92.25%	321,193		94.10%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		2,463		7.75%	20,139		5.90%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		31,784		55.65%	341,332		59.86%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		57,111			570,193			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.3%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Bulathsinhala ^[1]

   Sinhalese (87.3%)

   Indian Tamil (5.7%)

   Sri Lankan Tamil (4.7%)

   Moor (2.3%)

  Other (0.0%)

Religion

The Bulathsinhala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.0%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Bulathsinhala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) ^[1]

Religion in Bulathsinhala ^[1]

   Buddhist (87.0%)

   Hindu (9.3%)

   Muslim (2.3%)

  Other (1.3%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Bulathsinhala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.