Opinion polling for the 1988 Canadian federal election

Last updated

Polls leading up to the 1988 Canadian federal election.

Contents

National polls

Graph of opinion polls conducted Opinion polling for the 1988 Canadian federal election.svg
Graph of opinion polls conducted

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP OtherMESampleMargin
Voting results43.0231.9220.384.6811.10
GallupNovember 19, 1988 [1] 4035223———
Insight Canada ResearchNovember 18, 1988 [2] 4332205———
Angus ReidNovember 17, 1988 [3] 4133233± 2.51,5128
GallupNovember 12, 1988 [4] 3535264± 4.01,0260
Canadian FactsNovember 8, 1988 [5] 383821—± 2.22,2000
Angus ReidNovember 8, 1988 [6] 393524—± 2.51,5014
EnvironicsNovember 8, 1988 [7] 3537245—1,275—
GallupNovember 5, 1988 [8] 314322—± 4.01,04112
Insight Canada ResearchNovember 3, 1988 [9] 3740203± 3.21,1013
EnvironicsOctober 30, 1988 [10] 3137266—727—
Insight Canada ResearchNovember 3, 1988 [10] 3539233—1,100—
GallupOctober 29, 1988 [10] [11] 3832273—1,034—
Angus ReidOctober 27, 1988 [12] 3535282± 2.51,5020
EnvironicsOctober 26, 1988 [10] 3232288—811—
GallupOctober 15, 1988 [13] 3929284± 4.01,02710
EnvironicsOctober 10, 1988 [14] 4225295—1,515—
Angus ReidOctober 3, 1988 [15] 4526272± 2.51,51219
GallupOctober 3, 1988 [16] 4333222± 4.01,06110
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP OtherMESample
GallupSeptember 10, 1988 [17] 373327—± 4.01,032
GallupAugust 6, 1988 [18] 343530—± 4.01,036
EnvironicsJuly 26, 1988 [19] 343826—± 2.51,503
Angus ReidJuly 25, 1988 [19] 353428———
GallupJuly 11, 1988 [20] 3537271——
EnvironicsJune 27, 1988 [21] 3137302—1,992
Angus ReidJune 21, 1988 [22] 3334312± 2.51,506
GallupJune 4, 1988 [20] 3139291——
Angus ReidMay 18, 1988 [23] 3137302——
GallupMay 7, 1988 [20] 2839312——
GallupApril 9, 1988 [20] 3138301——
EnvironicsMarch 24, 1988 [24] 2940301—1,983
Angus ReidMarch 21, 1988 [25] 3430342± 2.51,517
GallupMarch 5, 1988 [20] 2837332——
Angus ReidFebruary 23, 1988 [26] 3233332± 2.51,521
GallupFebruary 6, 1988 [27] 2741311± 4.01,022
GallupJanuary 9, 1988 [28] 3036312——
Ratification of the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (January 2, 1988)
GallupDecember 5, 1987 [28] [29] 2935342± 4.01,000
Angus ReidDecember 4, 1987 [29] 303732—± 2.51,507
GallupNovember 7, 1987 [28] 2540332——
GallupOctober 10, 1987 [28] 2338381——
GallupSeptember 5, 1987 [28] 2536372——
GallupAugust 8, 1987 [28] 2536372——
GallupJuly 11, 1987 [28] 2335411——
Angus ReidJune 24, 1987 [30] 263240—± 2.51,504
EnvironicsJune 10, 1987 [30] 263637———
GallupJune 6, 1987 [28] 2439352——
Signing of the Meech Lake Accord (June 2–3, 1987)
Angus ReidMay 25, 1987 [31] 223838—± 2.51,521
Angus ReidMay 11, 1987 [32] 253637——1,670
GallupMay 9, 1987 [28] 2642303—1,014
GallupApril 11, 1987 [33] 2442323—1,008
GallupMarch 14, 1987 [33] 2441341——
Angus ReidMarch 6, 1987 [34] 2342332± 2.51,666
GallupFebruary 14, 1987 [33] 2244322——
GallupJanuary 10, 1987 [33] 2841301——
GallupDecember 6, 1986 [33] 3045251——
GallupNovember 8, 1986 [33] 3139291——
GallupOctober 4, 1986 [33] 3138291——
GallupSeptember 13, 1986 [35] 3536282± 4.01,000
GallupAugust 16, 1986 [33] 3341242——
GallupAugust 9, 1986 [33] 3135331——
GallupJuly 5, 1986 [33] 3641212——
Angus ReidJune 24, 1986 [36] 313827——1,673
CROP-EnvironicsJune 15, 1986 [37] [38] 363924——2,040
GallupJune 7, 1986 [39] 3240271——
Angus ReidMay 13, 1986 [40] 383624—± 2.51,063
GallupMay 3, 1986 [33] 3240271——
GallupApril 5, 1986 [33] 3740212——
GallupMarch 15, 1986 [33] 4134251——
GallupFebruary 8, 1986 [33] 3641231——
GallupDecember 7, 1985 [33] 3738241——
GallupNovember 9, 1985 [35] 4036240——
GallupOctober 5, 1985 [35] 4335221——
GallupSeptember 7, 1985 [35] 4829221——
Angus ReidAugust 27, 1985 [41] 4629214——
GallupAugust 10, 1985 [39] [41] 4632202—1,037
GallupJuly 13, 1985 [42] 4033261——
GallupJune 8, 1985 [42] 4433212——
GallupMay 18, 1985 [42] 4531221——
GallupApril 6, 1985 [43] 5424211± 4.01,037
GallupFebruary 23, 1985 [42] 5626171——
GallupFebruary 2, 1985 [42] 5325211——
GallupJanuary 5, 1985 [42] [44] 5325211± 4.01,054
GallupDecember 8, 1984 [42] 5424202——
CROPNovember 30, 1984 [45] [46] 5722201± 2.01,971
GallupNovember 3, 1984 [42] 5523202——
GallupOctober 13, 1984 [42] 6021173——
Election 1984 September 4, 198450.0328.0218.813.14

By geographic area

In Québec

Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP OtherMESample
Voting results52.730.314.42.6
GallupNovember 19, 1988 [1] 4732174——
CROPNovember 18, 1988 [1] 453617———
Angus ReidNovember 17, 1988 [3] 5029210——
Angus ReidNovember 8, 1988 [6] 493516———
EnvironicsNovember 8, 1988 [7] 4533184——
GallupNovember 5, 1988 [8] 3246182——
EnvironicsOctober 30, 1988 [10] 3435238——
GallupOctober 15, 1988 [13] 4530232——
EnvironicsOctober 10, 1988 [10] 4723255——
Angus ReidOctober 3, 1988 [15] 5620231——
GallupOctober 3, 1988 [16] 4434202——
Official call of federal elections (October 1, 1988)
CROPSeptember 22, 1988 [47] 4230270——
GallupAugust 6, 1988 [18] 374123———
GallupJuly 9, 1988 [48] 423720———
CROPJune 22, 1988 [49] 3145231—1,605
Angus ReidJune 21, 1988 [22] 3536263——
GallupJune 4, 1988 [50] 225026———
SorécomMay 24, 1988 [51] 314027—± 3.01,102
Angus ReidMay 18, 1988 [23] 2841301——
CROPMay 18, 1988 [47] 3044261——
CROPApril 19, 1988 [47] 2646280——
SorecomApril 13, 1988 [52] 3138310—991
GallupApril 9, 1988 [52] 2043361——
EnvironicsMarch 24, 1988 [24] 244629———
CROPMarch 7, 1988 [53] 2746261± 4.0647
SorécomFebruary 28, 1988 [54] 283931——1,191
Angus ReidFebruary 23, 1988 [26] [55] 313235———
GallupFebruary 6, 1988 [27] 215127———
GallupJanuary 9, 1988 [27] 283832———
GallupNovember 7, 1987 [56] 2538————
CROPJune 18, 1987 [47] 2246311——
Angus ReidMay 25, 1987 [31] 163050———
GallupApril 11, 1987 [33] 174934———
IQOPApril 10, 1987 [57] 184141———
Angus ReidMarch 4, 1987 [34] 174040——392
SorécomFebruary 27, 1987 [34] 184536—± 2.31,200
SorécomSeptember 26, 1986 [58] 274331——1,824
Angus ReidJune 24, 1986 [36] 204827———
CROP/EnvironicsJune 15, 1986 [37] 254925———
SorécomMay 25, 1986 [59] 284230—± 3.01,995
Angus ReidMay 13, 1986 [40] 304522———
UdeM April 22, 1986 [60] 3250162—2,013
SorécomFebruary 28, 1986 [61] 2747261± 2.891,227
IQOPJanuary 24, 1986 [62] 235421———
SorécomMay 23, 1985 [61] 5726161——
Election 1984 50.235.48.85.6

In Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP OtherMESample
Voting resultsNovember 21, 198838.238.920.12.8
EnvironicsOctober 10, 1988 [14] 3727333——
GallupFebruary 6, 1988 [63] 2642320——
GallupJanuary 9, 1988 [64] 2842300——
Elections in 1984 47.629.820.81.8

In Alberta

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP Reform OtherMESample
Voting results51.813.717.415.41.7
EnvironicsOctober 10, 1988 [14] 491524120——
Angus ReidJune 24, 1986 [65] 511827—4——
Elections in 1984 68.812.714.1—4.4

In British Columbia

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Polling firmLast day
of survey		Source PC LPC NDP Reform OtherMESample
Voting results35.320.437.04.82.5
EnvironicsOctober 10, 1988 [14] 312240—7——
GallupOctober 3, 1988 [16] 392529—7——
Angus ReidMay 25, 1987 [66] 243442–0——
Elections in 1984 46.616.435.1–1.9

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References

  1. 1 2 3 Fontaine, Mario (November 19, 1988). "Les blues font des gains". La Presse. p. 1.
  2. ↑ John Deverell (November 23, 1988). "New firm scores coup with perfect poll result". Toronto Star. pp. A20.
  3. 1 2 "Tories hold 8-point lead in new poll by Reid". Toronto Star . November 19, 1988. pp. A8.
  4. ↑ Alan Christie (November 14, 1988). "Liberals tie with Tories in latest Gallup poll". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  5. ↑ Le soleil, 11 November 1988
  6. 1 2 Forgues, Andre (November 10, 1988). "Le PC reprend le premier rang". Le Soleil.
  7. 1 2 Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 10, 1988). "Tories and Liberals are neck-and-neck, new survey shows". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  8. 1 2 Fontaine, Mario (November 7, 1988). "Les conservateurs en chute libre". La Presse.
  9. ↑ "Liberals hold 3-point lead in latest poll". Toronto Star. November 5, 1988. pp. A3.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (January 1, 1988). "Liberals move ahead of PCs in wake of leaders' debates". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  11. ↑ Lavoie, Gilbert (October 31, 1988). "Gallup: PC 38%, PLC 32%, NPD 27%". La Presse. p. 1.
  12. ↑ "Liberals leap into tie with Tories". Toronto Star . October 29, 1988. pp. A1.
  13. 1 2 Alan Christie (October 17, 1988). "Liberals barely holding on to second place NDP gaining at expense of Tories, poll says". Toronto Star . pp. A15.
  14. 1 2 3 4 Michael Adams; Donna Dasko; James Matsui (October 12, 1988). "Tories jump to wide lead in poll as NDP bumps Liberals to third". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  15. 1 2 "NDP and Liberals in virtual tie behind Tories, new poll shows". Toronto Star . October 5, 1988. pp. A31.
  16. 1 2 3 "Tories top poll at 43%, trade seen as key issue". Toronto Star . October 3, 1988. pp. A1.
  17. ↑ Paquin, Gilles (September 15, 1988). "Gallip donne 37% des voix au PC". La Presse. p. 1.
  18. 1 2 "Une lutte a trois se dessine". Le Soleil. August 11, 1988. p. 1.
  19. 1 2 "Un nouveau sondage Angus Reid renforce la probabilite d'elections imminentes". La Presse. July 29, 1988. p. 1.
  20. 1 2 3 4 5 Jannard, Maurice (July 14, 1988). "Mulroney fait un bond". La Presse. p. 1.
  21. ↑ Michael Adams (June 29, 1988). "Conservatives trailing Liberals in June survey: Support is up for Tories, NDP POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  22. 1 2 "Parties are neck and neck, poll finds". Toronto Star . June 24, 1988. pp. A2.
  23. 1 2 Gravel, Pierre (May 28, 1988). "Mulroney garde la faveur des Québécois". La Presse. p. 1.
  24. 1 2 Michael Adams (March 29, 1988). "Decided voters still favor Liberals; Tory support off in most regions: GLOBE-ENVIRONICS POLL". The Globe and Mail.
  25. ↑ Heather Bird (March 25, 1988). "Liberals tumble into last place, poll shows". Toronto Star . pp. A1.
  26. 1 2 Alan Christie (February 26, 1988). "Federal parties in dead heat, poll says Liberals 33%, NDP 33%, Conservatives 32%". Toronto Star . pp. A1.
  27. 1 2 3 "Gains importants pour les libéraux". Le Soleil. February 11, 1988. p. 1.
  28. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Tardif, Germain (January 14, 1988). "Le Parti libéral maintient son avance, révèle Gallup". La Presse. p. 1.
  29. 1 2 Jeff Sallot (December 10, 1987). "Tories' rise in polls linked to free trade". The Globe and Mail. pp. A10.
  30. 1 2 Hugh Windsor (June 27, 1987). "NDP scrambling to exploit support indicated in polls". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  31. 1 2 Canadian Press (May 30, 1987). "NDP ties Liberals at 38%, poll says". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  32. ↑ Hugh Windsor (May 15, 1987). "Contradiction in latest polls hinges on Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  33. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Jannard, Maurice (April 16, 1987). "Gallup: le PLC maintient son avance". La Presse. p. 1.
  34. 1 2 3 Noreau, Pierre-Paul (March 7, 1987). "Le PC confirme en 3e position". Le Soleil. p. 1.
  35. 1 2 3 4 "Moins d'indécis; le Parti conservateur et le NPD font des gains". La Tribune. September 25, 1986. p. 2.
  36. 1 2 "Mulroney Remaine Son Cabinet". La Tribune. June 30, 1986. p. 1.
  37. 1 2 Vastel, Michel (July 29, 1986). "Chrétien augmenterait l'avance des libéraux sur les conservateurs". La Presse. p. 1.
  38. ↑ La Presse canadienne (July 29, 1986). "Liberals with Chretien at helm would have big lead, poll says". The Toronto Star. pp. A2.
  39. 1 2 "Des indécis en nombre". Le Soleil. April 21, 1986. p. 2.
  40. 1 2 Canadian Press (May 19, 1986). "Tories hold slight lead in survey". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
  41. 1 2 La Presse canadienne (September 20, 1985). "Tory rise in Gallup poll is 'good stuff,' PM says". Toronto Star. pp. A10.
  42. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Le PC paie pour ses problèmes (Mulroney)". Le Soleil. January 10, 1986. p. A8.
  43. ↑ "Cote de popularité des conservateurs plus haute qu'en septembre 84". Le soleil. May 16, 1985. p. A16.
  44. ↑ Canadian Press (July 2, 1985). "Gallup gives federal Tories 53 per cent voter support". The Globe and Mail. Toronto. La Presse canadienne. p. 8.
  45. ↑ "Le NPD plus qu' à 2 points des libéraux". Le soleil. January 10, 1985. p. B1.
  46. ↑ Michael Adams (January 9, 1985). "Steady support found for PCs". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
  47. 1 2 3 4 Fontaine, Mario (September 30, 1988). "Les libéraux continuent de dégringoler". La presse. p. 1.
  48. ↑ "Le PC pratiquement nez a nez avec les libéraux". Le soleil. July 14, 1988. p. 1.
  49. ↑ Lilianne Lacroix (July 10, 1988). "[Robert] Bourassa et [John] Turner restent les favoris; le PLQ obtient 64% des intentions de vote; 45% des Québécois auraient appuyé le PLC". La Presse. pp. A1 –A2.
  50. ↑ "Les libéraux restent en tête". Le soleil. June 9, 1988. p. 1.
  51. ↑ "La remontée du PQ brisée par le budget Levesque". Le soleil. May 28, 1988. p. 1.
  52. 1 2 "Selon Sorécom, ie PLC est toujours en tête au Québec suivi du PC et du NPD ex aequo". La presse. April 16, 1988. p. 12.
  53. ↑ "Les Québécois satisfaits de Bourassa". La presse. May 13, 1988. p. 2.
  54. ↑ "Le PQ à son plus bas". Le soleil. May 4, 1988. p. 1.
  55. ↑ "Le temps joue pour Mulroney". Le devoir. February 27, 1988. p. 1.
  56. ↑ Val Sears (November 13, 1987). "PM's credibility questioned in wake of latest Gallup Poll". The Toronto Star. pp. A26.
  57. ↑ "A Broad bent et au NPD de bien jouer". La voix de l'Est. April 16, 1987. p. 8.
  58. ↑ "BOURASSA PLUS FORT QUE JAMAIS". Le soleil. October 3, 1986. p. 1.
  59. ↑ "Mulroney est ouvert à l'idée de Bourassa". La presse. June 5, 1986. p. 1.
  60. ↑ "59 % des Québécois sont insatisfaits des Conservateurs". Le devoir. May 16, 1986. p. 1.
  61. 1 2 "Liberaux 61%; Pequistes 33%". Le soleil. May 7, 1986. p. 1.
  62. ↑ Lessard, Denis (January 31, 1986). "Baisse de popularité des tories; Les députés conservateurs du Québec s'inquiètent..." Le soleil. p. A5.
  63. ↑ Martin Cohn (February 11, 1988). "Liberals up in Gallup as scandals plague PCs". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  64. ↑ Martin Cohn (January 14, 1988). "Tories support up to 30% in Gallup poll of voters". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
  65. ↑ La Presse canadienne (June 29, 1986). "Liberals leading Tories by 7 points, poll suggests". Toronto Star. pp. A5.
  66. ↑ Les Whittington (May 29, 1987). "Liberals, NDP are tied new national poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
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