Opinion polling for the 1997 Canadian federal election

Last updated

Polls leading up to the 1997 Canadian federal election.

Contents

National polls

Voter intentions in years before the 1997 Canadian federal election .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Liberal Party of Canada Progressive Conservative Party of Canada Bloc Quebecois New Democratic Party of Canada Reform Party Intentions de vote (1993-1997, federal).svg
Voter intentions in years before the 1997 Canadian federal election
  Liberal Party of Canada
  Progressive Conservative Party of Canada
  Bloc Québécois
  New Democratic Party of Canada
  Reform Party

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results38.4619.3518.8411.0510.671.63
May 28, 1997411622119—Gallup1,507± 2.5 PDF
May 28, 19973919201191Environics—± 2.3 HTML
May 27, 19973619241110—Angus Reid3,200— PDF
May 27, 19974118191110—Strategic—— PDF
May 25, 199738182111102Ekos3,000± 1.8 PDF
May 15, 1997451620108—Zogby1,009± 3.2 [1]
May 15, 1997401825971Environics1,912— HTML
May 14, 199740162310101Strategic1,200— [2]
May 12, 19974614199111Gallup1,004± 3.1 [1]
May 8, 1997421819119—Angus Reid3,208± 2.3 HTML
May 4, 1997481516108—Zogby1,005± 3.2 [3]
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
April 25, 19974713181313—Compass2,600± 1.9 [4]
April 22, 1997441520118—CROP2,541± 2.0 PDF
March 31, 199741171812111Angus Reid1,500± 2.5 PDF
March 31, 199747121612121Environics—— HTML
March 16, 199752—18—10—Gallup1,002± 3.1 PDF
Gilles Duceppe becomes head of Bloc Québécois (March 15, 1997)
January 27, 199745111910114Angus Reid1,519± 2.5 PDF
December 2, 199647111811111Angus Reid1,520± 2.5 PDF
November 1, 199650111411131Environics2,015± 2.2 [5]
October 28, 19965214139121Angus Reid1,502± 2.5 PDF
October 10, 1996551215873Angus Reid3,000± 1.8 [6]
September 29, 19965111179102Angus Reid1,516± 2.5 HTML
September 9, 19965011189102Gallup1,001± 3.1 [7]
July 28, 1996571212992Angus Reid1,516± 2.5 [8] PDF
June 2, 1996531316———Angus Reid1,516± 2.5 [9]
April 15, 19965613118111Gallup—— PDF
March 25, 19965416118——Angus Reid1,520± 2.5 [10]
Michel Gauthier becomes head of Bloc Québécois (February 17, 1996)
February 13, 1996551311813—Gallup1,007± 3.1 PDF
January 26, 1996531613972Angus Reid1,511± 2.5 [11]
December 13, 199549161110104Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
December 11, 1995511215912—Gallup1,002— PDF
November 26, 1995521513992Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
November 1, 1995561214882Angus Reid1,503± 2.5 HTML
Alexa McDonough becomes head of New Democratic Party (October 14, 1995)
September 24, 1995581412781Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
September 11, 199554131689—Gallup1,004± 3.1 PDF
July 26, 1995551214973Angus Reid1,501— [12]
July 10, 1995561215881Gallup1,005± 3.1 PDF
June 30, 1995581113882Angus Reid1,500— [13]
May 30, 19955713118——Angus Reid1,500± 2.5 [14]
March 12, 199562128511—Gallup1,004± 3.0 PDF
February 12, 1995551488——Gallup1,005— 1 2
January 23, 1995541496107Angus Reid1,500± 2.5 [15]
January 15, 19955812115140Gallup1,003± 3.1 [16]
November 7, 1994631185121Gallup1,011± 3.1 PDF [17]
October 1, 199462136486Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
September 7, 19946010125121Gallup1,012± 3.1 PDF [19]
June 13, 1994591410612—Gallup1,009± 3.1 PDF
June 1, 199455168795Angus Reid1,508± 2.5 [20] PDF
May 9, 19945814105121Gallup1,009± 3.1 PDF
April 27, 1994561865——Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 [21]
April 11, 199455179613—Gallup1,014± 3.1 PDF
March 22, 199458187410—Angus Reid1,508± 2.5 HTML
March 13, 199456178611—Gallup1,001± 3.1 PDF
February 24, 199458205495Angus Reid1,465— 1 [22]
February 14, 199458177412—Gallup1,005± 3.1 PDF
January 17, 199457187512—Gallup1,001± 3.1 [23]
Jean Charest becomes head of Progressive Conservative Party (December 14, 1993)
December 14, 199356178711—Gallup1,000± 3.1 PDF
Election 1993 41.2418.6916.046.8813.52

By geographic area

In the Atlantic provinces

Evolution of voting intentions in the Atlantic provinces
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting result [24] 32.89.033.823.70.7
May 27, 199728—2829—Strategic Counsel—— [25]
May 15, 199744634160Environics—— [26]
May 8, 199740103118—Angus Reid203± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19974573215—CROP316± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 199742925230Angus Reid97— PDF
March 31, 199740731220Angus Reid95— PDF
March 31, 199750523220Environics—— [26]
January 27, 199749332133Angus Reid112— PDF
December 2, 199651132160Angus Reid113— PDF
July 28, 199663818110Angus Reid87— PDF
October 1, 19946881653Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
February 24, 199465115126Angus Reid115— PDF [22]

In Québec

Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results36.70.322.22.037.90.9
May 28, 199737—29—33—Gallup—— PDF
May 28, 1997353263363Léger—— 1 2
May 27, 1997331282351SOM1,002± 3.7 PDF
May 27, 199737—23—37—Strategic Counsel608— [25]
May 26, 1997321282360CROP1,007± 3.0 PDF
May 25, 199730—26—40—Ekos—— PDF
May 23, 199734—31—332Léger—— PDF
May 21, 199734—30—315SOM—— PDF
May 16, 199733—30—352Léger1,004± 3.1 1 2
May 15, 1997321364270Environics507— PDF [26]
May 12, 199736—19—378SOM—— PDF
May 10, 199737—20—385CROP—— PDF
May 9, 199739—20—374Léger—— PDF
May 8, 199738—204366Angus Reid796± 3.5 HTML
May 7, 199739—13—399SOM—— PDF
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 23, 199735—17—403SOM—— PDF
April 22, 199737125335—CROP—— PDF
April 22, 199736194490Angus Reid340— PDF
April 22, 1997371153431Léger1,006± 3.1 [27] PDF
April 13, 199737—15—445Sondagem1,065± 3.1 PDF
March 31, 1997362143441Angus Reid334— PDF
March 31, 1997420102442Environics—— PDF [26]
March 23, 199731—17—483CROP—— PDF
March 16, 199747—10—41—Gallup—± 6.0 PDF
February 26, 1997411102451Léger1,000± 3.1 [28] PDF
January 29, 1997360105454Léger1,002± 3.1 [29] PDF
January 27, 1997371115415Angus Reid359— PDF
December 17, 199633—14—458CROP1,002± 3.0 PDF
December 12, 1996370133443Léger1,005± 3.1 [30] PDF
December 2, 1996331125452Angus Reid347— PDF
November 1, 199639—8—48—Environics—— [5]
October 28, 199640292461Angus Reid333— PDF
October 23, 199639—14—425SOM1,000± 3.7 PDF
September 29, 1996381162403Angus Reid347— PDF
August 22, 1996350104474Léger1,001± 3.1 [31] PDF
July 28, 199636291475Angus Reid247— PDF
May 27, 199635210251—CROP1,009± 3.0 PDF
May 21, 1996302153464SOM2,007— PDF
March 17, 199635—8—534CROP—— PDF
February 20, 199633—7—546CROP—— PDF
February 13, 199641—2254—Gallup—— PDF
January 25, 1996291934612Léger1,005± 3.1 [32]
January 23, 199634—5—556CROP—— PDF
December 11, 199543—6—48—Gallup—— PDF
November 26, 199543———41—Angus Reid400— HTML
November 1, 1995423132364Angus Reid400—
September 24, 199552———33—Angus Reid400— HTML
September 11, 199554———37—Gallup—± 6.0 PDF
August 23, 199538274473Léger1,003± 3.1 [33] PDF
July 26, 199553———30—Angus Reid—— [12]
July 10, 199558———33—Gallup269± 6.0 PDF
June 20, 1995371110466Léger1,005± 3.1 [34] PDF
March 22, 199536251542Léger1,005± 3.1 [35] PDF
March 12, 199551———42—Gallup267± 6.0 PDF
February 12, 199542—4351—Gallup268— PDF
February 8, 199542—3—487CROP—— PDF
January 23, 199544———39—Angus Reid—— [15]
October 1, 1994470323311Angus Reid299— PDF [18]
June 13, 199450—2—47—Gallup272± 6.0 PDF
June 1, 199450———37—Angus Reid401— PDF
May 9, 199437—9—52—Gallup272± 6.0 PDF
April 27, 199444———39—Angus Reid—— [21]
April 11, 199441———52—Gallup272— PDF
March 22, 199441—63492CROP—— PDF
March 22, 199448———42—Angus Reid401— HTML
March 13, 199448—3—47—Gallup—— PDF
February 24, 199451031386Angus Reid309— PDF [22]
February 21, 199447—52433CROP—— PDF
February 14, 199443———49—Gallup268± 6.0 PDF
January 17, 199447———46—Gallup268± 6.0 [23]
December 14, 199340———49—Gallup268± 6.0 PDF
Election 1993 33.0–13.51.549.32.7

In Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results49.519.118.810.71.9
May 15, 1997491722101Environics—— [26]
May 8, 199752161912—Angus Reid605± 4.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 199754161812—CROP414± 5.0 PDF
April 22, 1997461725111Angus Reid482— PDF
March 31, 1997531419121Angus Reid467— PDF
March 31, 1997561118151Environics—— [26]
January 27, 199752102593Angus Reid510— PDF
December 2, 1996571022110Angus Reid505— PDF
November 1, 199665617111Environics—— [5]
September 29, 199657921111Angus Reid497— PDF
July 28, 199667101571Angus Reid407— PDF
October 1, 19947512552Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
February 24, 19946423644Angus Reid488— PDF [22]
Election 1993 52.920.117.66.03.4

In the Prairies

Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting result [24] 29.729.613.026.90.9
May 15, 1997382622141Environics—— [26]
May 8, 199734251625—Angus Reid201± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
March 31, 1997372817180Angus Reid97— PDF
March 31, 1997451418221Environics—— [26]
April 22, 199739221522—CROP320± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 19975219920—Angus Reid95— PDF
January 27, 199742919246Angus Reid102— PDF
December 2, 1996401317292Angus Reid104— PDF
July 28, 199653188210Angus Reid69— PDF
October 1, 19946320835Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
February 24, 19946617377Angus Reid97— PDF [22]

In Alberta

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results24.054.614.45.71.3
May 15, 199730402181Environics—— [26]
May 8, 19973141216—Angus Reid703± 3.5 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19972931279—CROP285± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 199736292780Angus Reid129— PDF
March 31, 1997263826100Angus Reid132— PDF
March 31, 199730322891Environics—— [26]
January 27, 199739331765Angus Reid126— PDF
December 2, 199634352560Angus Reid126— PDF
September 29, 199643361741Angus Reid120— PDF
July 28, 199639371780Angus Reid103— PDF
March 25, 199635471332Angus Reid94— PDF
January 26, 199629501371Angus Reid88— PDF
November 26, 19953248———Angus Reid135— HTML
September 24, 19955136———Angus Reid137— HTML
January 23, 19953544———Angus Reid—— [36]
October 1, 199449321126Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
June 1, 19945241———Angus Reid—— PDF
February 24, 19944049614Angus Reid112— PDF [22]
Election 1993 25.152.314.64.13.9

In British Columbia

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Last day
of survey		 LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results28.843.16.218.23.7
May 15, 199739409120Environics—— [26]
May 8, 19973441617—Angus Reid—— HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19974030918—CROP—— PDF
April 22, 1997413310132Angus Reid159— PDF
March 31, 1997343610174Angus Reid169— PDF
March 31, 199745278191Environics—— [26]
January 27, 1997392612176Angus Reid169— PDF
September 29, 199656235142Angus Reid165— PDF
July 28, 199655194193Angus Reid139— PDF
March 25, 199651304131Angus Reid140— PDF
January 26, 199655274122Angus Reid135— PDF
October 1, 199454242109Angus Reid—— PDF [18]
June 1, 19944835———Angus Reid—— PDF
February 24, 19945334076Angus Reid160— PDF [22]
Election 1993 28.136.413.515.56.5

Notes

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    References

    1. 1 2 Canadian Press (May 17, 1997). "Tories make gains in polls". The Guardian (Charlottetown). pp. A5.
    2. ↑ James Travers (May 17, 1997). "Liberals hold massive lead, new poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
    3. ↑ Canadian Press (May 6, 1997). "Liberal support strong, poll finds". Waterloo Region Record. pp. A4.
    4. ↑ "Liberal landslide predicted". Waterloo Region Record. May 1, 1997. pp. A4.
    5. 1 2 3 "The Globe and Mail Environics Poll". The Globe and Mail. November 18, 1996. p. A1.
    6. ↑ "Liberals not a sure bet, Angus Reid poll shows". Waterloo Region Record. October 30, 1996. pp. E10.
    7. ↑ "Les libéraux ont l'appui de 50 % des Canadiens". La Presse (in French). September 12, 1996. pp. B6.
    8. ↑ "Reform party, Manning given thumbs down". The Hamilton Spectator. July 31, 1996. pp. A4.
    9. ↑ "Reform's loss is PCs' gain, poll finds". Waterloo Region Record. June 10, 1996. pp. A3.
    10. ↑ "Grits slip slightly but still outpace rivals, poll says". The Daily News (Halifax). March 30, 1996. p. 16.
    11. ↑ "Liberals backed by 53%, poll says". Waterloo Region Record. February 1, 1996. pp. A10.
    12. 1 2 "Canada's Liberals Maintain big lead in polls". Reuters News. August 1, 1995.
    13. ↑ "Canadian Conservatives rebounding in popularity". Reuters News. July 11, 1995.
    14. ↑ Doug Fisher (June 7, 1995). "Tories gaining, poll shows". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 11.
    15. 1 2 Vicki Thomas (February 6, 1995). "Honeymoon a bit strained, but still going". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 8.
    16. ↑ The Canadian Press (January 19, 1995). "Liberals ahead, poll indicates". Waterloo Region Record. pp. E8.
    17. ↑ The Canadian Press (November 11, 1994). "63 per cent back Liberals Gallup finds". Toronto Star . pp. A14.
    18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "National notebook". The Globe and Mail. October 22, 1994. pp. A6.
    19. ↑ The Canadian Press (September 16, 1994). "Reform sagging - Gallup". Edmonton Journal. pp. A3.
    20. ↑ Joan Bryden (June 7, 1994). "Grits' honeymoon gets sweeter still". The Daily News (Halifax). p. 12.
    21. 1 2 "Grits' honeymoon lingers after six months poll says". The Daily News (Halifax). April 30, 1994. p. 12.
    22. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Hugh Windsor (March 1, 1994). "Liberal support keeps growing, Reid poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A4.
    23. 1 2 "Libéraux fédéraux toujours au zénith". Le Soleil. January 20, 1994. pp. A6.
    24. 1 2 "Tableau 8 - Nombre de votes valides, par appartenance politique". www.elections.ca. Retrieved October 10, 2020.
    25. 1 2 James Travers (May 29, 1997). "Liberals still hold big lead, poll shows Charest loses ground, Reform and Bloc battle for second". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
    26. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Hugh Windsor (May 17, 1997). "Tories gaining strength in Quebec". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    27. ↑ Richard Mackie (May 25, 1997). "Bloc Mayntains lead over Liberals". The Globe and Mail. pp. A4.
    28. ↑ Richard Mackie (March 1, 1997). "Budget a hit in Quebec, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A5.
    29. ↑ Richard Mackie (February 1, 1997). "Belief in sovereign Quebec falters". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    30. ↑ Richard Mackie (December 19, 1996). "Bouchard losing voter support". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    31. ↑ Richard Mackie (August 24, 1996). "Quebec sovereigntists take slight lead". The Globe and Mail. pp. A8.
    32. ↑ Richard Mackie (January 27, 1996). "Most Quebeckers expect separation within 10 years". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    33. ↑ Hugh Windsor (August 25, 1995). "Sovereignty drive seems to be stalled". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    34. ↑ Richard Mackie (June 22, 1995). "Sovereignty-association option slides below 50 per cent". The Globe and Mail. pp. A8.
    35. ↑ Richard Mackie (March 24, 1995). "No vote still solid, poll finds". The Globe and Mail. pp. A1.
    36. ↑ The Canadian Press (February 6, 1995). "Poll shows Grits still voters' choice". Hamilton Spectator. pp. B5.


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