Opinion polling for the 1997 Canadian federal election

Last updated

Polls leading up to the 1997 Canadian federal election.

Contents

National polls

Voter intentions in years before the 1997 Canadian federal election
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Liberal Party of Canada
Progressive Conservative Party of Canada
Bloc Quebecois
New Democratic Party of Canada
Reform Party Intentions de vote (1993-1997, federal).svg
Voter intentions in years before the 1997 Canadian federal election
  Liberal Party of Canada
  Progressive Conservative Party of Canada
  Bloc Québécois
  New Democratic Party of Canada
  Reform Party

Campaign period

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results38.4619.3518.8411.0510.671.63
May 28, 1997411622119N/AGallup1,507± 2.5 PDF
May 28, 19973919201191EnvironicsN/A± 2.3 HTML
May 27, 19973619241110N/AAngus Reid3,200N/A PDF
May 27, 19974118191110N/AStrategicN/AN/A PDF
May 25, 199738182111102Ekos3,000± 1.8 PDF
May 15, 1997451620108N/AZogby1,009± 3.2 [1]
May 15, 1997401825971Environics1,912N/A HTML
May 14, 199740162310101Strategic1,200N/A [2]
May 12, 19974614199111Gallup1,004± 3.1 [1]
May 8, 1997421819119N/AAngus Reid3,208± 2.3 HTML
May 4, 1997481516108N/AZogby1,005± 3.2 [3]
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)

During the 33rd Parliament of Canada

Evolution of voting intentions at national level
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
April 25, 19974713181313N/ACompass2,600± 1.9 [4]
April 22, 1997441520118N/ACROP2,541± 2.0 PDF
March 31, 199741171812111Angus Reid1,500± 2.5 PDF
March 31, 199747121612121EnvironicsN/AN/A HTML
March 16, 199752N/A18N/A10N/AGallup1,002± 3.1 PDF
Gilles Duceppe becomes head of Bloc Québécois (March 15, 1997)
January 27, 199745111910114Angus Reid1,519± 2.5 PDF
December 2, 199647111811111Angus Reid1,520± 2.5 PDF
November 1, 199650111411131Environics2,015± 2.2 [5]
October 28, 19965214139121Angus Reid1,502± 2.5 PDF
October 10, 1996551215873Angus Reid3,000± 1.8 [6]
September 29, 19965111179102Angus Reid1,516± 2.5 HTML
September 9, 19965011189102Gallup1,001± 3.1 [7]
July 28, 1996571212992Angus Reid1,516± 2.5 [8] PDF
June 2, 1996531316N/AN/AN/AAngus Reid1,516± 2.5 [9]
April 15, 19965613118111GallupN/AN/A PDF
March 25, 19965416118N/AN/AAngus Reid1,520± 2.5 [10]
Michel Gauthier becomes head of Bloc Québécois (February 17, 1996)
February 13, 1996551311813N/AGallup1,007± 3.1 PDF
January 26, 1996531613972Angus Reid1,511± 2.5 [11]
December 13, 199549161110104Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
December 11, 1995511215912N/AGallup1,002N/A PDF
November 26, 1995521513992Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
November 1, 1995561214882Angus Reid1,503± 2.5 HTML
Alexa McDonough becomes head of New Democratic Party (October 14, 1995)
September 24, 1995581412781Angus Reid1,506± 2.5 HTML
September 11, 199554131689N/AGallup1,004± 3.1 PDF
July 26, 1995551214973Angus Reid1,501N/A [12]
July 10, 1995561215881Gallup1,005± 3.1 PDF
June 30, 1995581113882Angus Reid1,500N/A [13]
May 30, 19955713118N/AN/AAngus Reid1,500± 2.5 [14]
March 12, 199562128511N/AGallup1,004± 3.0 PDF
February 12, 1995551488N/AN/AGallup1,005N/A 1 2
January 23, 1995541496107Angus Reid1,500± 2.5 [15]
January 15, 19955812115140Gallup1,003± 3.1 [16]
November 7, 1994631185121Gallup1,011± 3.1 PDF [17]
October 1, 199462136486Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
September 7, 19946010125121Gallup1,012± 3.1 PDF [19]
June 13, 1994591410612N/AGallup1,009± 3.1 PDF
June 1, 199455168795Angus Reid1,508± 2.5 [20] PDF
May 9, 19945814105121Gallup1,009± 3.1 PDF
April 27, 1994561865N/AN/AAngus Reid1,506± 2.5 [21]
April 11, 199455179613N/AGallup1,014± 3.1 PDF
March 22, 199458187410N/AAngus Reid1,508± 2.5 HTML
March 13, 199456178611N/AGallup1,001± 3.1 PDF
February 24, 199458205495Angus Reid1,465N/A 1 [22]
February 14, 199458177412N/AGallup1,005± 3.1 PDF
January 17, 199457187512N/AGallup1,001± 3.1 [23]
Jean Charest becomes head of Progressive Conservative Party (December 14, 1993)
December 14, 199356178711N/AGallup1,000± 3.1 PDF
Election 1993 41.2418.6916.046.8813.52

By geographic area

In the Atlantic provinces

Evolution of voting intentions in the Atlantic provinces
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting result [24] 32.89.033.823.70.7
May 27, 199728N/A2829N/AStrategic CounselN/AN/A [25]
May 15, 199744634160EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
May 8, 199740103118N/AAngus Reid203± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19974573215N/ACROP316± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 199742925230Angus Reid97N/A PDF
March 31, 199740731220Angus Reid95N/A PDF
March 31, 199750523220EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
January 27, 199749332133Angus Reid112N/A PDF
December 2, 199651132160Angus Reid113N/A PDF
July 28, 199663818110Angus Reid87N/A PDF
October 1, 19946881653Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
February 24, 199465115126Angus Reid115N/A PDF [22]

In Québec

Evolution of voting intentions in Québec
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP BQ OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results36.70.322.22.037.90.9
May 28, 199737N/A29N/A33N/AGallupN/AN/A PDF
May 28, 1997353263363LégerN/AN/A 1 2
May 27, 1997331282351SOM1,002± 3.7 PDF
May 27, 199737N/A23N/A37N/AStrategic Counsel608N/A [25]
May 26, 1997321282360CROP1,007± 3.0 PDF
May 25, 199730N/A26N/A40N/AEkosN/AN/A PDF
May 23, 199734N/A31N/A332LégerN/AN/A PDF
May 21, 199734N/A30N/A315SOMN/AN/A PDF
May 16, 199733N/A30N/A352Léger1,004± 3.1 1 2
May 15, 1997321364270Environics507N/A PDF [26]
May 12, 199736N/A19N/A378SOMN/AN/A PDF
May 10, 199737N/A20N/A385CROPN/AN/A PDF
May 9, 199739N/A20N/A374LégerN/AN/A PDF
May 8, 199738N/A204366Angus Reid796± 3.5 HTML
May 7, 199739N/A13N/A399SOMN/AN/A PDF
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 23, 199735N/A17N/A403SOMN/AN/A PDF
April 22, 199737125335N/ACROPN/AN/A PDF
April 22, 199736194490Angus Reid340N/A PDF
April 22, 1997371153431Léger1,006± 3.1 [27] PDF
April 13, 199737N/A15N/A445Sondagem1,065± 3.1 PDF
March 31, 1997362143441Angus Reid334N/A PDF
March 31, 1997420102442EnvironicsN/AN/A PDF [26]
March 23, 199731N/A17N/A483CROPN/AN/A PDF
March 16, 199747N/A10N/A41N/AGallupN/A± 6.0 PDF
February 26, 1997411102451Léger1,000± 3.1 [28] PDF
January 29, 1997360105454Léger1,002± 3.1 [29] PDF
January 27, 1997371115415Angus Reid359N/A PDF
December 17, 199633N/A14N/A458CROP1,002± 3.0 PDF
December 12, 1996370133443Léger1,005± 3.1 [30] PDF
December 2, 1996331125452Angus Reid347N/A PDF
November 1, 199639N/A8N/A48N/AEnvironicsN/AN/A [5]
October 28, 199640292461Angus Reid333N/A PDF
October 23, 199639N/A14N/A425SOM1,000± 3.7 PDF
September 29, 1996381162403Angus Reid347N/A PDF
August 22, 1996350104474Léger1,001± 3.1 [31] PDF
July 28, 199636291475Angus Reid247N/A PDF
May 27, 199635210251N/ACROP1,009± 3.0 PDF
May 21, 1996302153464SOM2,007N/A PDF
March 17, 199635N/A8N/A534CROPN/AN/A PDF
February 20, 199633N/A7N/A546CROPN/AN/A PDF
February 13, 199641N/A2254N/AGallupN/AN/A PDF
January 25, 1996291934612Léger1,005± 3.1 [32]
January 23, 199634N/A5N/A556CROPN/AN/A PDF
December 11, 199543N/A6N/A48N/AGallupN/AN/A PDF
November 26, 199543N/AN/AN/A41N/AAngus Reid400N/A HTML
November 1, 1995423132364Angus Reid400N/A
September 24, 199552N/AN/AN/A33N/AAngus Reid400N/A HTML
September 11, 199554N/AN/AN/A37N/AGallupN/A± 6.0 PDF
August 23, 199538274473Léger1,003± 3.1 [33] PDF
July 26, 199553N/AN/AN/A30N/AAngus ReidN/AN/A [12]
July 10, 199558N/AN/AN/A33N/AGallup269± 6.0 PDF
June 20, 1995371110466Léger1,005± 3.1 [34] PDF
March 22, 199536251542Léger1,005± 3.1 [35] PDF
March 12, 199551N/AN/AN/A42N/AGallup267± 6.0 PDF
February 12, 199542N/A4351N/AGallup268N/A PDF
February 8, 199542N/A3N/A487CROPN/AN/A PDF
January 23, 199544N/AN/AN/A39N/AAngus ReidN/AN/A [15]
October 1, 1994470323311Angus Reid299N/A PDF [18]
June 13, 199450N/A2N/A47N/AGallup272± 6.0 PDF
June 1, 199450N/AN/AN/A37N/AAngus Reid401N/A PDF
May 9, 199437N/A9N/A52N/AGallup272± 6.0 PDF
April 27, 199444N/AN/AN/A39N/AAngus ReidN/AN/A [21]
April 11, 199441N/AN/AN/A52N/AGallup272N/A PDF
March 22, 199441N/A63492CROPN/AN/A PDF
March 22, 199448N/AN/AN/A42N/AAngus Reid401N/A HTML
March 13, 199448N/A3N/A47N/AGallupN/AN/A PDF
February 24, 199451031386Angus Reid309N/A PDF [22]
February 21, 199447N/A52433CROPN/AN/A PDF
February 14, 199443N/AN/AN/A49N/AGallup268± 6.0 PDF
January 17, 199447N/AN/AN/A46N/AGallup268± 6.0 [23]
December 14, 199340N/AN/AN/A49N/AGallup268± 6.0 PDF
Election 1993 33.013.51.549.32.7

In Ontario

Evolution of voting intentions in Ontario
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results49.519.118.810.71.9
May 15, 1997491722101EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
May 8, 199752161912N/AAngus Reid605± 4.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 199754161812N/ACROP414± 5.0 PDF
April 22, 1997461725111Angus Reid482N/A PDF
March 31, 1997531419121Angus Reid467N/A PDF
March 31, 1997561118151EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
January 27, 199752102593Angus Reid510N/A PDF
December 2, 1996571022110Angus Reid505N/A PDF
November 1, 199665617111EnvironicsN/AN/A [5]
September 29, 199657921111Angus Reid497N/A PDF
July 28, 199667101571Angus Reid407N/A PDF
October 1, 19947512552Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
February 24, 19946423644Angus Reid488N/A PDF [22]
Election 1993 52.920.117.66.03.4

In the Prairies

Evolution of voting intentions in Prairies (Manitoba and Saskatchewan)
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting result [24] 29.729.613.026.90.9
May 15, 1997382622141EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
May 8, 199734251625N/AAngus Reid201± 7.0 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
March 31, 1997372817180Angus Reid97N/A PDF
March 31, 1997451418221EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
April 22, 199739221522N/ACROP320± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 19975219920N/AAngus Reid95N/A PDF
January 27, 199742919246Angus Reid102N/A PDF
December 2, 1996401317292Angus Reid104N/A PDF
July 28, 199653188210Angus Reid69N/A PDF
October 1, 19946320835Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
February 24, 19946617377Angus Reid97N/A PDF [22]

In Alberta

Evolution of voting intentions in Alberta
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results24.054.614.45.71.3
May 15, 199730402181EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
May 8, 19973141216N/AAngus Reid703± 3.5 HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19972931279N/ACROP285± 6.0 PDF
April 22, 199736292780Angus Reid129N/A PDF
March 31, 1997263826100Angus Reid132N/A PDF
March 31, 199730322891EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
January 27, 199739331765Angus Reid126N/A PDF
December 2, 199634352560Angus Reid126N/A PDF
September 29, 199643361741Angus Reid120N/A PDF
July 28, 199639371780Angus Reid103N/A PDF
March 25, 199635471332Angus Reid94N/A PDF
January 26, 199629501371Angus Reid88N/A PDF
November 26, 19953248N/AN/AN/AAngus Reid135N/A HTML
September 24, 19955136N/AN/AN/AAngus Reid137N/A HTML
January 23, 19953544N/AN/AN/AAngus ReidN/AN/A [36]
October 1, 199449321126Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
June 1, 19945241N/AN/AN/AAngus ReidN/AN/A PDF
February 24, 19944049614Angus Reid112N/A PDF [22]
Election 1993 25.152.314.64.13.9

In British Columbia

Evolution of voting intentions in British Columbia
Last day
of survey
LPC Reform PC NDP OtherPolling firmSampleMESource
Voting results28.843.16.218.23.7
May 15, 199739409120EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
May 8, 19973441617N/AAngus ReidN/AN/A HTML
Official call of federal elections (April 27, 1997)
April 22, 19974030918N/ACROPN/AN/A PDF
April 22, 1997413310132Angus Reid159N/A PDF
March 31, 1997343610174Angus Reid169N/A PDF
March 31, 199745278191EnvironicsN/AN/A [26]
January 27, 1997392612176Angus Reid169N/A PDF
September 29, 199656235142Angus Reid165N/A PDF
July 28, 199655194193Angus Reid139N/A PDF
March 25, 199651304131Angus Reid140N/A PDF
January 26, 199655274122Angus Reid135N/A PDF
October 1, 199454242109Angus ReidN/AN/A PDF [18]
June 1, 19944835N/AN/AN/AAngus ReidN/AN/A PDF
February 24, 19945334076Angus Reid160N/A PDF [22]
Election 1993 28.136.413.515.56.5

Notes

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    References

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    2. James Travers (May 17, 1997). "Liberals hold massive lead, new poll says". Toronto Star. pp. A1.
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