Opinion polling for the 2022 French legislative election

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 French legislative election, which were held in two rounds on 12 and 19 June 2022. Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Contents

First round

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted
Opinion polls French legislative 2022.svg

Party alliances standings

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
LO
NPA
EXG
NUPES DVG
PRG
FGR
ECO PA ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC
EXD
REG DIV
PCF LFI PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
12 Jun 20221.17%
(1.19%)
25.66%
(26.16%)
3.70%
(3.30%)
2.67%
(–)
25.75%
(25.80%)
1.25%
(1.30%)
11.29%
(11.30%)
2.33%
(1.92%)
1.13%
(1.21%)
18.68%
(18.68%)
4.24%
(4.25%)
1.28%
(1.09%)
0.85%
(3.80%)
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022Exit poll1.3%25.6%3.7%2.7%25.2%1.3%13.6%1.1%19.1%4.1%2.3%
Elabe BFMTV 12 Jun 20221.2%26.2%3.3%25.8%11.1%1.9%1.2%19.1%4.3%5.9%
Ifop-Fiducial 12 Jun 20221.4%26.1%3%25.6%11.3%3.2%1.1%19.2%4.1%5%
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 20221.5%25%5.5%25%1%11.5%2.5%1.2%19%4.5%3.3%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 20228,1591%27%3%2.5%28%0.5%11%1%19%5.5%1.5%
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 20222,0781%26%4%2%26%1%10%1%2%20%6%1%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 20221,8311%26.5%3.5%26%10%2%1.5%19%5.5%5%
Elabe 8–9 Jun 20222,0001.5%26.5%3%27%11%1%1.5%19.5%4.5%4.5%
Cluster17 7–9 Jun 20222,6080.5%29.5%2.5%1.5%26%1%10.5%1%1.5%17.5%5.5%1%2%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 20223,0011%25%3%1%2%28%11%1%1%18%6%3%
YouGov 1–8 Jun 20223,3062%25%1%26%-9%-1%21%8%7%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 20222,0001.5%28%2.5%2.5%27%0.5%11%1%19.5%6%1%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 202210,8261%27.5%2%2.5%28%0.5%11%1%20%5.5%1%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 20221,8401%26%3.5%25%11%2%2%21%5%4.5%
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 20222,3552%24%5%2%26%1%10%1%2%20%6%1%
Cluster17 30 May–1 Jun 20222,4591%31%1.5%27%10%2%19%5%1.5%3%
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 20222,0001.5%25%2.5%24.5%12.5%1.5%1.5%22%4.5%4.5%
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 20223,0081%26%2%2%1%27%11%1%1%20%6%2%
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 20222,3712%24%4%2%27%1%9%1%1%21%7%1%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 20221,7961%25%4%27%10%1%2%21%6%3%
Cluster17 24–26 May 20222,3730.5%30%2%26%10.5%1.5%19%6%0.5%4%
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 20222,8452%25%3%2%2%26%11%3%21%5%
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 20222,3313%28%26%9%2%21%7%4%
Cluster17 17–19 May 20222,9500.5%31%1%26%9%2%20%5.5%1.5%3.5%
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 202211,2471%27%3%28%9%1%1%21%6%3%
Elabe 16–18 May 20221,7932%27.5%27%10%1%21.5%5%6%
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 20223,0222%24%3%2%2%27%11%2%22%5%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–16 May 20221,8841.5%27%26%11%2.5%23%6%3%
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 20222,3933%29%26%10%1%23%5%3%
Cluster17 10–12 May 20222,9671%31%27%9.5%2%19%5.5%1%4%
Ifop-Fiducial 6–9 May 20221,6911.5%28%27%11%2%22%6.5%2%
1%2%18%6.5%5.5%26%11%2%21%6%2%
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 20222,4063%28%26%9%1%24%6%3%
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 20223,0772%23%3%2%2%26%12%2%23%5%
Cluster17 3–5 May 20223,4981%34%24.5%8.5%1.5%19.5%5%2%4%
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 20222,3662%2%19%7%7%24%8%1%23%6%1%
2%33%33%30%2%
Cluster17 27–28 Apr 20222,6591%2%20%7.5%5.5%24%7.5%2%21%6%1%2.5%
1.5%27%7%23%9%2%21%6.5%1%2%
1%34%24%9.5%3%24%1.5%3%
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 20222,3431%3%19%8%5%24%8%1%23%7%1%
2%33%33%31%1%
2017 election results 11 Jun 20170.8%2.7%11%(ECO)9.5%1.6%4.3%0.3%32.3%18.8%2.7%1.2%13.2%0.3%0.9%1.9%

Second round

Graphical summary

There are 289 seats needed for an absolute majority.

Seat projections

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
NUPES DVG ENS DVC UDC DVD DLF
LP
RN REC EXD REG DIV
PCF LFI PS
Ministry of the Interior
(Le Monde)
19 Jun 2022131
(142)
22
(13)
245
(246)
4
(5)
64
(64)
10
(9)
1
(1)
89
(89)
0
(0)
0
(1)
10
(6)
1
(1)
Ifop-Fiducial 16–17 Jun 20221,399160–1905–10270–30050–706–825–455–9
Cluster17 16–17 Jun 2022n/a170–2207–10230–2903–565–753–540–604–7
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 15–16 Jun 20221,991140–18012–24265–3052–460–8020–505–10
Elabe 15–16 Jun 20221,801150–2008–12255–2953–555–752–430–501–2 [lower-alpha 1] 5–9
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–16 Jun 20221,028165–210275–30560–7520–407–13
Odoxa 14–15 Jun 20221,881179–2253–7252–29242–622–825–49 [lower-alpha 2] 2–6
Ifop-Fiducial 14–15 Jun 20221,508180–2103–7265–30040–652–620–403–7
Harris-Interactive 12 Jun 20226,49214–2197–11725–4125–402–8257–2970–145–653–80–123–455–10
161–219
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 12 Jun 2022Exit poll10–1696–11520–3024–2915–25255–29550–8020–4510–17
150–190
Elabe 12 Jun 2022160–2107–13260–29550–652–525–350–2 [lower-alpha 3] 9–14
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 10 Jun 20228,159155–19018–30275–31535–5520–455–10
Harris-Interactive 8–10 Jun 20222,07811–1890–11022–3722–384–12265–3050–238–583–80–125–480–30–15–10
145–203
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Jun 20221,831180–2108–12270–30540–5515–350–28–14
Elabe 8–9 Jun 20222,000165–190280–32040–6025–5010–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–8 Jun 20223,001160–190290–33050–7013–330–26–11
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 6–7 Jun 20222,000175–21510–18260–30035–5520–505-10
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 3–6 Jun 202210,826160–2008–18275–31530–5520–558–18
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Jun 20222,000195–2304–8250–29040–5520–450–26–12
Harris-Interactive 3–6 Jun 20222,3559–1671–9720–3520–36285–3350–238–583–80–130–500–30–13–7
120–184
Elabe 30 May–1 Jun 20222,000155–180275–31540–6535–6510–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 28–31 May 20223,008160–190290–33050–7013–330–26–11
Harris-Interactive 27–30 May 20222,3718–1554–8018–3316–320–6300–3500–135–553–80–135–550–30–13–7
96–160
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 May 20221,796170–2055–10275–31035–5520–501–48–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 19–24 May 20222,845155–185295–33550–7014–346–11
Harris-Interactive 20–23 May 20222,3319–1660–8620–3518–34295–34532–520–142–680–33–7
107–171
Ipsos-Sopra Steria 16–19 May 202211,247165–195290–33035–6520–455–10
Elabe 16–18 May 20221,793160–185290–33025–5035–655–15
OpinionWay-Kéa 14–18 May 20223,022140–170310–35050–7015–355–10
Harris-Interactive 13–16 May 20222,3938–1562–8820–3518–34300–35035–550–148–750–23–7
108–172
Harris-Interactive 6–9 May 20222,4068–1560–8520–3517–33300–35030–480–152–800–23–7
105–168
OpinionWay-Kéa 5–9 May 20223,077135–165310–35050–7020–405–10
Harris-Interactive 29 Apr–2 May 20222,3665–1025–451–520–40338–37835–6565–953–7
70–90336–376110–1403–7
Harris-Interactive 24–25 Apr 20222,3435–1025–451–520–40328–36835–6575–1053–7
73–93326–366117–1473–7
2017 election 18 Jun 2017101713011350130618153

See also

Notes

  1. DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.
  2. EXD is included.
  3. DLF, LP, and EXD are included together.

Related Research Articles

An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken immediately after they have exited the polling stations. A similar poll conducted before actual voters have voted is called an entrance poll. Pollsters – usually private companies working for newspapers or broadcasters – conduct exit polls to gain an early indication as to how an election has turned out, as in many elections the actual result may take many hours to count.

Election silence, blackout period,pre-election silence, electoral silence, or campaign silence is a ban on political campaigning or media coverage of a general election, before or during that election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Opinion polling for the 2015 United Kingdom general election</span>

In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2012 with a run-off on 6 May 2012.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French presidential election, which was held on 23 April 2017 with a run-off on 7 May 2017.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2017 Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election</span> Election in India

The election to the 17th Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly was held from 11 February to 8 March 2017 in 7 phases. This election saw a voter turnout of 61.11% compared to 59.40% in the previous election. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won the election by an overwhelming three-quarters majority of 325 seats despite not projecting a chief ministerial candidate before the election. As part of its election strategy, BJP contested under a collective leadership and capitalised mostly on the political clout and 'brand' of its leader Narendra Modi.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French presidential election, which was held on 21 April 2002 with a run-off on 5 May 2002.

Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2017 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 11 and 18 June 2017.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2012 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2012.

In the years running up to the 2022 Italian general election, held on 25 September, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article. The date range is from after the 2018 Italian general election, held on 4 March, to 9 September 2022. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; if such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. Under the Italian par condicio law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 10 and 17 June 2007.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2007 French presidential election, which was held on 22 April 2007 with a run-off on 6 May 2007.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 9 and 16 June 2002.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2014 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 25 May 2014.

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2009 European Parliament election in France, which was held on 7 June 2009.

Opinion polling on the presidency of Emmanuel Macron has been regularly conducted by French pollsters since the start of his five–year term. Public opinion on various issues has also been tracked.

In the run up to the 2024 Belgian federal election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. The date range for these polls are from the 2019 Belgian federal election, held on 25 May, to the present day. The results of nationwide polls are usually numerically split into the three Belgian regions: Flanders, Brussels and Wallonia. Federal seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives are presented together under these regional polls. The federal election will be part of a group of elections which also include the regional elections and the European elections, some polls might be undefined voting intentions without differentiating between the elections.

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2019 general election on 12 December to the present day.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Potential United Kingdom rejoining of the European Union</span>

Following the 2016 referendum ordered by David Cameron's Conservative government, the United Kingdom exited from the European Union at the end of January 2020. The referendum campaign was lengthy and bitter and the result was very close: 51.9% in favour of Brexit against 48.1% in favour of remaining.