Samanthurai Polling Division

Last updated
Samanthurai
Coordinates: 7°20′01″N81°45′54″E / 7.333626°N 81.764902°E / 7.333626; 81.764902
Country Sri Lanka
Province Eastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District Ampara Electoral District
Area
  Total264.68 km2 (102.19 sq mi)
Population
 (2012) [1]
  Total132,741
  Density502/km2 (1,300/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code EC-13B

The Samanthurai Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Contents

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Samanthurai has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Samanthurai is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Samanthurai Ampara Electoral District MAE [2]  % Sri Lanka MAE [3]  %
2019 NDF NDF 21.88% SLPP 40.38%
2015 NDF NDF 19.33% NDF 33.03%
2010 NDF NDF 6.12% UPFA 15.87%
2005 UNP UNP 2.21% UPFA 5.09%
1999 PA PA 7.49% PA 10.50%
1994 PA PA 8.76% PA 18.93%
1988 UNP UNP 3.67% UNP 4.44%
1982 UNP UNP 9.16% UNP 13.54%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 5/8 9.83% 8/8 17.72%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 57,910 86.22% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 7,151 10.65% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,104 3.13% 16,839 4.09% 764,005 5.76%
Valid Votes 67,165 99.27% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 494 0.73% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,659 78.75% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 85,911 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 46,827 84.63% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 7,797 14.09% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 709 1.28% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 55,333 99.26% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 412 0.74% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,745 69.37% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 80,357 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 27,003 55.95% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 19,991 41.42% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,268 2.63% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 48,262 98.86% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 556 1.14% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 48,818 68.33% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 71,442 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,969 53.53% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 21,029 45.09% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 643 1.38% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 46,641 98.90% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 517 1.10% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 47,158 70.74% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 66,666 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,822 63.83% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 15,225 33.72% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,107 2.45% 9,456 3.51% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 45,154 98.47% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 701 1.53% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,855 80.97% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 56,629 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,890 81.11% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 6,056 15.90% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 918 2.41% 3,677 1.58% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 218 0.57% 1,541 0.66% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 38,082 98.76% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 480 1.24% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,562 74.17% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 51,991 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,866 53.77% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,983 39.07% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 2,378 7.16% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 33,227 97.49% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 857 2.51% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 34,084 76.10% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,790 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Samanthurai [11] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,079 67.00% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 6,710 23.56% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 1,214 4.26% 8,079 5.02% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 1,197 4.20% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 276 0.97% 1,344 0.83% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 28,476 98.70% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 374 1.30% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 28,850 80.18% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 35,982 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Samanthurai has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Samanthurai is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Samanthurai Ampara Electoral District MAE [12]  % Sri Lanka MAE [13]  %
2015 UNP UNP 6.64% UNP 13.96%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.52% UPFA 5.25%
2004 UPFA UPFA 5.01% UPFA 17.43%
2001 SLMC SLMC 12.43% UNP 30.50%
2000 PA PA 5.37% PA 8.86%
1994 SLMC UNP 15.09% PA 32.09%
1989 SLMC UNP 17.26% UNP 29.82%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 10.47% 7/7 19.70%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,206 44.82% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
ACMC 14,033 27.10% 33,102 10.16% 33,102 0.30%
ITAK 7,540 14.56% 45,421 13.94% 515,963 4.63%
UPFA 6,448 12.45% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 553 1.07% 6,978 2.14% 676,586 6.07%
Valid Votes 51,780 94.62% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,856 5.22% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 54,727 68.10% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 80,357 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,252 65.50% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,184 23.61% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
ITAK 3,972 9.21% 26,895 10.52% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 726 1.68% 5,891 2.30% 483,154 6.02%
Valid Votes 43,134 1078350.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2 50.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 4 400.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 1 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,117 39.94% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
SLMC 17,688 36.96% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 8,976 18.75% 55,533 19.16% 633,203 6.85%
UNP 1,664 3.48% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.87% 3,865 1.33% 639,878 6.92%
Valid Votes 47,862 94.04% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,955 5.81% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 50,894 80.57% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 63,166 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,705 46.76% 75,257 26.86% 105,346 1.18%
IND9 8,275 17.83% 14,808 5.28% 14,848 0.17%
TULF 7,801 16.81% 48,789 17.41% 348,164 3.89%
PA 5,981 12.89% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 1,280 2.76% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
EPDP 973 2.10% 5,901 2.11% 72,783 0.81%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 401 0.86% 11,721 4.18% 934,107 10.43%
Valid Votes 46,416 95.39% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,238 4.60% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 48,658 81.81% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 59,474 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,501 57.85% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,625 33.18% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
IG2 3,144 7.13% 19,812 7.43% 31,443 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 809 1.84% 8,937 3.35% 712,394 8.28%
Valid Votes 44,079 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,997 57.18% 75,092 31.19% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 9,874 25.67% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 4,355 11.32% 24,526 10.19% 132,461 1.67%
TELO 969 2.52% 4,192 1.74% 24,974 0.31%
PA 889 2.31% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 388 1.01% 4,039 1.68% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 38,472 94.64% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,180 5.36% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,652 78.19% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 51,991 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Samanthurai [20] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 23,820 60.47% 61,325 28.69% 202,016 3.61%
TULF 8,303 21.08% 43,424 20.32% 188,594 3.37%
UNP 6,163 15.64% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 971 2.46% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 136 0.35% 965 0.45% 965 0.02%
Valid Votes 39,393 96.50% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,429 3.50% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 40,822 91.83% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 44,453 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Samanthurai Polling Division has a Moor majority (83.4%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (15.0%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Samanthurai Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Samanthurai [1]

   Moor (83.4%)
   Sri Lankan Tamil (15.0%)
   Sinhalese (1.3%)
  Other (0.3%)

Religion

The Samanthurai Polling Division has a Muslim majority (83.4%) and a significant Hindu population (13.4%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Samanthurai Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [1]

Religion in Samanthurai [1]

   Muslim (83.4%)
   Hindu (13.4%)
   Roman Catholic (1.5%)
   Buddhist (1.3%)
  Other (0.4%)

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.