1985 Portuguese legislative election

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1985 Portuguese legislative election
Flag of Portugal.svg
  1983 6 October 1985 1987  

250 seats to the Portuguese Assembly
126 seats needed for a majority
Registered7,818,981 Increase2.svg6.6%
Turnout5,798,929 (74.2%)
Decrease2.svg3.6 pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
Cavaco Silva 1988.png
Almeida Santos (cropped).png
PRD
Leader Aníbal Cavaco Silva Almeida Santos Hermínio Martinho
Party PSD PS PRD
Leader since2 June 198513 June 1985 (interim)10 July 1985
Leader's seat Lisbon [1] Porto [2] Santarém
Last election75 seats, 27.2%101 seats, 36.1%Did not contest
Seats won885745
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 13Decrease2.svg 44Increase2.svg 45
Popular vote1,732,2881,204,3211,038,893
Percentage29.9%20.8%17.9%
SwingIncrease2.svg 2.7 pp Decrease2.svg 15.3 pp New party

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
Alvaro Cunhal 1980 (cropped).jpg
CDS
Leader Álvaro Cunhal Francisco Lucas Pires
Party PCP CDS
Alliance APU
Leader since14 April 197820 February 1983
Leader's seat Lisbon Lisbon
Last election44 seats, 18.1%30 seats, 12.6%
Seats won3822
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 6Decrease2.svg 8
Popular vote898,281577,580
Percentage15.5%10.0%
SwingDecrease2.svg 2.6 pp Decrease2.svg 2.6 pp

1985 Portuguese legislative election - Results.svg
Eleicoes Legislativas Portuguesas de 1985.svg

Prime Minister before election

Mário Soares
PS

Prime Minister after election

Aníbal Cavaco Silva
PSD

The 1985 Portuguese legislative election took place on 6 October. The election renewed all 250 members of the Assembly of the Republic.

Contents

In June of the same year, the then incumbent Prime Minister, Mário Soares, resigned from the job due to the lack of parliamentary support, the government was composed by a coalition of the two major parties, the center-right Social Democratic and the center-left Socialist, in what was called the Central Bloc, however this was an unstable balance of forces and several members of each party opposed such alliance.

The new leader of the Social Democratic Party, Cavaco Silva, elected in May, was among those that never supported such alliance, and short after being elected leader of the party made the coalition fall in July. Mário Soares didn't run again and resigned as party leader, as he decided to run for the 1986 Presidential elections. The PS nominated Almeida Santos, minister of state in Soares government, as intern leader and as the party candidate for Prime Minister.

A new election was called by the President and the Social Democrats won with a short majority and Cavaco became the Prime-Minister. The election was the first of three consecutive election victories for the Social Democratic Party. Meanwhile, a new party had been founded by supporters of the President Ramalho Eanes, the Democratic Renewal Party, led by Hermínio Martinho and which the main figure of the party's campaign was First lady Manuela Ramalho Eanes, [3] that surprisingly gained 45 MPs and more than one million votes in the election, becoming the parliamentary support of the Cavaco's government until 1987, when it removed its support, making Cavaco fall.

The Communists and the Socialists lost votes and MPs, and the left would only return to the government ten years later, in 1995.

Background

Fall of the government

The unpopularity of the Central Bloc government was creating deep rifts between PS and PSD and also within both parties, as growing poverty, budget cuts and unemployment, due to the International Monetary Fund bailout policies, were leading to massive protests. In February 1985, Carlos Mota Pinto resigned from the PSD leadership and planned to contest the next party congress. [4] However, he died before the congress and Cavaco Silva was elected as leader. Shortly after his election, Cavaco Silva withdraw his party from the government and Soares Central Bloc government fell. [5]

Leadership changes and challenges

PSD 1985 leadership election

By 1985, deep divisions were consuming the PSD regarding their role in the Central Bloc government with the PS. [6] Then deputy Prime Minister and PSD leader Carlos Mota Pinto, resigned from the government and the party's leadership and a snap party congress was called. [7] But, Mota Pinto, who was expected to run for the leadership in the snap congress, died suddenly just 10 days before the start of the congress in Figueira da Foz. [8] João Salgueiro, the candidate from "Mota Pinto's wing" was expected to win easily, but former finance minister Aníbal Cavaco Silva surprised the party by announcing a late candidacy, in what is now known as the "Running-in of Cavaco's new Citroën". [9] Cavaco Silva had the support of the wings against the Central Bloc, and against all odds he defeated Salgueiro by just 57 votes. [10] The results were the following:

Ballot: 19 May 1985
CandidateVotes%
Aníbal Cavaco Silva 42253.6
João Salgueiro 36546.4
Turnout787
Source: Results [11]

PS 1985 nomination selection

After the fall of the Central Bloc government, Mário Soares was acclaimed as the PS candidate for the 1986 Presidential election, and shortly after, António Almeida Santos was unanimously selected as the party's candidate for Prime Minister in the 1985 general elections. [12]

Ballot: 3 September 1985
CandidateVotes%
António Almeida Santos Voice vote
Turnout100.0
Source:

Electoral system

The Assembly of the Republic has 250 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 126 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved. [13]

The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude. [14] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties. [15]

For these elections, and compared with the 1983 elections, the MPs distributed by districts were the following: [16]

DistrictNumber of MPsMap
Lisbon 56
Porto (+1)39
Setúbal 17
Braga 16
Aveiro 15
Santarém 12
Leiria and Coimbra 11
Viseu 10
Faro 9
Castelo Branco, Viana do Castelo and Vila Real 6
Azores, Beja, Évora, Guarda and Madeira 5
Bragança 4
Portalegre (–1)3
Europe and Outside Europe2

Parties

The table below lists the parties represented in the Assembly of the Republic during the 3rd legislature (1983–1985) and that also partook in the election:

NameIdeologyPolitical positionLeader1983 result [17]
 %Seats
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista
Social democracy Centre-left Almeida Santos 36.1%
94 / 250
UEDS Left-wing Union for the Socialist Democracy
União da Esquerda para a Democracia Socialista
Democratic Socialism
Workers' self-management
Left-wing António Lopes Cardoso
4 / 250
ASDI Independent Social-Democratic Action
Acção Social Democrata Independente
Democratic Socialism
Social democracy
Centre-left António de Sousa Franco
3 / 250
PPD/PSD Social Democratic Party
Partido Social Democrata
Liberal conservatism Centre-right Aníbal Cavaco Silva 27.2%
75 / 250
PCP Portuguese Communist Party
Partido Comunista Português
Communism
Marxism–Leninism
Far-left Álvaro Cunhal
18.1%
[lower-alpha 1]
41 / 250
MDP/CDE Portuguese Democratic Movement
Movimento Democrático Português
Left-wing nationalism
Democratic socialism
Left-wing José Manuel Tengarrinha
3 / 250
CDS Democratic and Social Centre
Centro Democrático e Social
Right-wing liberalism
Neoliberalism
Centre-right
to right-wing
Francisco Lucas Pires 12.6%
30 / 250

Campaign period

Party slogans

Party or allianceOriginal sloganEnglish translationRefs
PS « O que prometo, faço. Vamos a isto. »"What I promise, I do. Let's do this." [18]
PSD « Retomar a esperança »"Resuming hope" [19]
APU « Vitória da APU para salvar o país »"Victory for APU to save the country" [20]
CDS « Confiança, razão, força para Portugal »"Trust, reason, strength for Portugal" [21]
PRD « Mais Portugal »"More Portugal" [22]

Candidates' debates

1985 Portuguese legislative election debates
DateOrganisersModerator(s)   P Present   A Absent invitee N Non-invitee 
PS
Santos
PSD
Cavaco
APU
Cunhal
CDS
Pires
Refs
3 Sep RTP1 PA [lower-alpha 2] PP [23]
5 Sep RTP1 NA [lower-alpha 3] PP [24]
10 Sep RTP1 PPNP [25]
12 Sep RTP1 PPPN [25]
Candidate viewed as "most convincing" in each debate
DateOrganisersPolling firm/Link
PS PSD APU CDS Notes
3 Sep RTP1 Expresso 36232516% Neither

Opinion polling

The following table shows the opinion polls of voting intention of the Portuguese voters before the election. Those parties that are listed were represented in parliament (1983-1985). Included is also the result of the Portuguese general elections in 1983 and 1985 for reference.

  Exit poll

Date ReleasedPolling Firm PS Primeiro Simbolo do PSD.png Alianca Povo Unido logo, 1979.svg CDS-PP (1982-1994).png Logotipo do PRD.png OthersLead
6 Oct 1985Leg. election20.8
57
29.9
88
15.5
38
10.0
22
17.9
45
5.9
0
9.1
6 Oct 1985(22:50) RTP1 22.0–26.926.8–29.715.0–18.19.3–10.814.5–16.52.8–4.8
6 Oct 1985 (21:10) RTP1 23.8–26.928.0–29.817.3–18.19.8–10.711.1–14.92.9–6.0
6 Oct 1985 Rádio Comercial 19.0–22.029.0–31.014.0–16.08.0–16.018.0–22.09.0–10.0
4 Oct 1985 Expresso 28.0–32.027.0–31.015.0–17.09.0–12.08.0–11.01.0
29 Apr 1985 Norma 24.716.418.417.18.415.06.3
Mar 1985 Norma 21.118.420.019.25.515.81.1
Feb 1985 Marktest 15.021.315.017.128.63.07.3
25 Feb 1985 Norma 20.721.617.817.610.012.30.9
21 Jan 1985 Norma 21.322.920.316.219.31.6
Dec 1984 Marktest 18.623.014.316.225.42.52.4
Dec 1984 Norma 23.525.223.413.214.71.7
Nov 1984 Marktest 19.824.015.514.923.32.50.7
Nov 1984 Norma 20.722.722.417.516.70.3
Oct 1984 Marktest 20.623.415.813.425.01.84.0
15 Oct 1984 Norma 23.924.823.114.713.50.9
Sep 1984 Marktest 18.822.615.215.726.61.14.0
Aug 1984 Marktest 19.222.813.815.626.91.74.1
Jul 1984 Marktest 17.920.616.913.429.02.27.7
Jul 1984 Norma 21.523.620.315.419.22.1
Jun 1984 Marktest 19.816.716.616.927.52.57.7
Jun 1984 Norma 24.221.522.117.015.22.1
May 1984 Marktest 25.419.813.914.624.61.70.8
Apr 1984 Marktest 28.719.515.210.817.78.19.2
Apr 1984 Norma 21.926.021.415.715.04.1
Mar 1984 Marktest 22.616.614.112.715.019.06.0
Feb 1984 Marktest 18.315.912.410.320.822.32.5
Jan 1984 Marktest 19.915.412.57.322.722.22.8
Jan 1984 Norma 31.822.821.213.310.99.0
25 Apr 1983Leg. election36.1
101
27.2
75
18.1
44
12.6
30
Did not exist6.0
0
8.9

National summary of votes and seats

Summary of the 6 October 1985 Assembly of the Republic elections results
AR Eleicoes 1985.svg
PartiesVotes%± MPs MPs %/
votes %
1983 1985±%±
Social Democratic 1,732,28829.87Increase2.svg2.77588Increase2.svg1335.20Increase2.svg5.21.18
Socialist 1,204,32120.77Decrease2.svg15.310157Decrease2.svg4422.80Decrease2.svg17.61.10
Democratic Renewal 1,038,89317.924518.001.00
United People Alliance [lower-alpha 4] 898,28115.49Decrease2.svg2.64438Decrease2.svg615.20Decrease2.svg2.40.98
Democratic and Social Centre 577,5809.96Decrease2.svg2.63022Decrease2.svg88.80Decrease2.svg3.20.88
People's Democratic Union 73,4011.27Increase2.svg0.800Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Christian Democratic 41,8310.72Increase2.svg0.000Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Revolutionary Socialist 35,2380.61Increase2.svg0.400Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Portuguese Workers' Communist 19,9430.34Decrease2.svg0.100Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Workers Party of Socialist Unity 19,0850.33Decrease2.svg0.000Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Communist Party (Reconstructed) 12,7490.22Increase2.svg0.200Steady2.svg00.00Steady2.svg0.00.0
Total valid5,653,61097.49Increase2.svg0.1250250Steady2.svg0100.00Steady2.svg0.0
Blank ballots48,7090.84Increase2.svg0.1
Invalid ballots96,6101.67Decrease2.svg0.1
Total5,798,929100.00
Registered voters/turnout7,818,98174.16Decrease2.svg3.6
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições
Vote share
PSD
29.87%
PS
20.77%
PRD
17.92%
APU
15.49%
CDS
9.96%
UDP
1.27%
PDC
0.72%
PSR
0.61%
Others
0.89%
Blank/Invalid
2.51%
Parliamentary seats
PSD
35.20%
PS
22.80%
PRD
18.00%
APU
15.20%
CDS
8.80%

Distribution by constituency

Results of the 1985 election of the Portuguese Assembly of the Republic
by constituency
Constituency%S%S%S%S%STotal
S
PSD PS PRD APU CDS
Azores 48.3320.1115.214.4-6.5-5
Aveiro 38.4623.0413.426.5113.5215
Beja 13.7120.1111.6-44.932.2-5
Braga 32.8621.8416.838.5114.0216
Bragança 39.2222.716.9-5.3-17.114
Castelo Branco 31.2318.5124.428.9-9.6-6
Coimbra 29.5428.5316.9210.118.6111
Évora 19.1114.3115.8141.223.3-5
Faro 28.4322.3220.5215.426.1-9
Guarda 33.6223.3210.9-5.2-19.515
Leiria 38.6519.6215.327.9112.2111
Lisbon 25.61519.81221.31320.1128.1456
Madeira 56.8413.219.7-3.2-7.8-5
Portalegre 20.9123.7118.9-25.214.9-3
Porto 29.31223.61020.5812.159.8439
Santarém 27.8418.6223.8316.427.7112
Setúbal 15.4316.5320.4438.273.8-17
Viana do Castelo 33.5318.4116.218.2-16.616
Vila Real 42.2323.028.6-5.9-12.516
Viseu 37.7520.0210.915.0-19.9210
Europe24.3124.217.1-18.8-17.3-2
Outside Europe40.517.8-3.3-2.6-37.912
Total29.98820.85717.94515.53810.022250
Source: Comissão Nacional de Eleições

Maps

Aftermath

Fall of the government

In early 1987, a trip of a Portuguese parliamentary delegation to the Soviet Union created a diplomatic issue as the delegation also traveled to Estonia, a territory that wasn't recognized by the Portuguese State as a Soviet controlled territory. Because of this incident, Opposition parties accused Cavaco Silva of disallowing Parliament and, shortly after, the Democratic Renewal Party proposed a motion of no confidence against the Government, and the party's leader, Hermínio Martinho, communicated to President Mário Soares their intentions. [26] At first, the Socialists weren't supportive of the PRD's motion, but, last minute negotiations led the PS to also support the motion. On 3 April 1987, the motion passes by a 134 to 108 vote and the government falls. [27] Mário Soares was in an official trip to Brazil when he was informed, which unpleased the President, and he then returned to Lisbon to meet with parties. The PS, PRD and PCP proposed an alternative government to the PSD minority, but Soares rejected and called a snap general election for 19 July 1987, which resulted in a landslide PSD majority government. [28]

Motion of no confidence
Aníbal Cavaco Silva (PSD)
Ballot →3 April 1987
Required majority →126 out of 250 Yes check.svg
No
  • PSD (86)
  • CDS (21)
  • Ind. Rui Oliveira e Costa (1)
108 / 250
Yes
134 / 250
Abstentions
1 / 250
Absentees
7 / 250
Sources [29] [30]

See also

Notes

  1. The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Portuguese Democratic Movement (MDP/CDE) contested the 1983 election in a coalition called United People Alliance (APU) and won a combined 18.1% of the vote and elected 44 MPs to parliament.
  2. Aníbal Cavaco Silva, PSD leader, refused to participate in the debate.
  3. Aníbal Cavaco Silva, PSD leader, refused to participate in the debate, being replaced by Eurico de Melo, however, the latter was forbidden from participating.Fundação Mário Soares 1985
  4. Portuguese Communist Party (35 MPs) and Portuguese Democratic Movement (3 MPs) ran in coalition.

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Sources