2016 United States presidential election in Florida

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2016 United States presidential election in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
←  2012 November 8, 2016 2020  →
Turnout74.48% [1] Increase2.svg 2.94 pp
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote290
Popular vote4,617,8864,504,975
Percentage49.02%47.82%
Florida Presidential Election Results 2016.svg
FL-16-pres-districts.svg
FL President 2016.svg
President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color Florida 2016 presidential results by county.png
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county. United States presidential election in Florida, 2016.svg
Treemap of the popular vote by county.

The 2016 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College. [4]

Contents

Trump carried the state with a plurality of 49.0% of the popular vote, which included a 1.2% winning margin over Clinton, who had 47.8% of the vote. Trump consequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Hillsborough County since Calvin Coolidge in 1924. Trump was also the first Republican presidential candidate to carry St. Lucie County since 1992, and the first to carry Jefferson and Monroe Counties since 1988; all three of these counties were last carried by George H. W. Bush.

Florida voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 1.19%. [5] It was the fifth-closest state result, with only Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania closer. According to the National Election Pool, Trump got a majority of 54% from the Cuban-American voters in the state—in comparison to the 71% of Clinton support by Latino voters from other origins. [6]

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Democratic debate

March 9, 2016 – Kendall, Florida

CandidateAirtimePolls [7]
Clinton23:2951.0%
Sanders17:5139.6%

The eighth debate took place on March 9, 2016, at 9:00 PM Eastern Standard Time in Building 7 of the Kendall Campus of Miami Dade College in Kendall, Florida. It was broadcast through a partnership between Univision and The Washington Post . [8] [9] The debate was discussed during a job interview conducted in early 2015 between the Democratic National Committee's then-Communications Director Mo Elleithee and future Hispanic Media Director Pablo Manriquez. After starting at the DNC in April 2015, Manriquez "talked about the idea for a debate for Democratic candidates on Univision to anyone who had ears to listen." [10] The debate was officially announced on November 2, 2015. [11]

Opinion polling

Results

Election results by county. Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Florida Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Three candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:

e  •  d   2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in Florida
– Summary of results –
CandidatePopular voteEstimated delegates
CountPercentagePledgedUnpledgedTotal
Hillary Clinton 1,101,41464.44%14124165
Bernie Sanders 568,83933.28%73275
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)38,9302.28%
Uncommitted—066
Total1,709,183100%21432246
Source: The Green Papers , Florida Division of Elections - Official Primary Results
Florida Democratic primary, March 15, 2016
DistrictDelegatesVotes ClintonVotes SandersVotes QualifiedClinton delegatesSanders delegates
1326987184974548421
2650190340738426342
3432070279746004422
4433920227655668522
5655855186397449442
6537995244436243832
7537410267956420532
8539384243766376032
9540609198806048932
10538011222136022432
11538061215905965132
12535498231725867032
13644121297077382842
14649146236177276342
15532793207125350532
16643921258566977742
17429899170454694431
18642804206206342442
19431958172354919331
20761998157617775961
21757723221007982352
22649602222097181142
23644510199746448442
24859274138937316762
2532489792873418421
26432069141484621731
27430709122584296731
Total140110141456883916702539347
PLEO28110141456883916702531810
At Large46110141456883916702533016
Gr. Total2141101414568839167025314173
Total vote64.44%33.28%1,709,183
Source: Florida Department of State Division of Elections

Republican primary

Republican debate

March 10, 2016 – Coral Gables, Florida

CandidateAirtimePolls [12]
Trump 28:1138.6%
Cruz 21:4221.8%
Rubio 21:2318.0%
Kasich 18:4912.0%

The twelfth debate was the fourth and final debate to air on CNN and led into the Florida, Illinois, North Carolina, Missouri, and Ohio primaries on March 15. The candidates debated at the University of Miami, moderated by Jake Tapper and questioned by CNN chief political correspondent Dana Bash, Salem Radio Network talk-show host Hugh Hewitt, and Washington Times contributor Stephen Dinan. The Washington Times cohosted the debate. [13] The debate was originally scheduled considering the likelihood that no candidate would clinch the Republican nomination before March 15, due to the overall size of the field. [14] On the day of the debate, CNN summarized the immediate stakes: "This debate comes just five days ahead of 'Super Tuesday 3', when more than 350 delegates are decided, including winner-take-all contests in Florida and Ohio. Both Trump and Rubio are predicting [a win in] Florida. For Trump, a win here would fuel his growing momentum and further grow his delegate lead; for Rubio, losing his home state could be the death knell for his campaign." [15] This was the twelfth and final debate appearance of Rubio, who suspended his campaign on March 15. [16]

Polling

Results

Election results by county. Donald Trump Marco Rubio Florida Republican Presidential Primary Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Donald Trump
  Marco Rubio

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Florida Republican primary, March 15, 2016
CandidateVotesPercentageActual delegate count
BoundUnboundTotal
Donald Trump 1,079,87045.72%99099
Marco Rubio 638,66127.04%000
Ted Cruz 404,89117.14%000
John Kasich 159,9766.77%000
Jeb Bush (withdrawn)43,5111.84%000
Ben Carson (withdrawn)21,2070.90%000
Rand Paul (withdrawn)4,4500.19%000
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)2,6240.11%000
Chris Christie (withdrawn)2,4930.11%000
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)1,8990.08%000
Rick Santorum (withdrawn)1,2110.05%000
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)6930.03%000
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn)3190.01%000
Unprojected delegates:000
Total:2,361,805100.00%99099
Source: The Green Papers

.

Green primary

The Green Party held a primary in Florida on July 31, 2016. Early voting began on July 25. [17]

On July 31, 2016, the Green Party of Florida announced that Jill Stein had won the Florida primary via instant-runoff voting.

Green Party of Florida primary – first round
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein1852.9%
Elijah Manley1441.2%
William Kreml12.94%
Kent Mesplay12.94%
Sedinam Curry0
Darryl Cherney0
Total34100%
Green Party of Florida primary – second round
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein1955.9%
Elijah Manley1441.2%
William Kreml12.94%
Total34100
Green Party of Florida primary – third round
CandidateVotesPercentageNational delegates
Jill Stein2058.8%15
Elijah Manley1441.2%10
Total3410025

General election

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Florida as of Election Day.

SourceRankingAs of
Los Angeles Times [18] Lean DNovember 6, 2016
CNN [19] TossupNovember 4, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report [20] Tilt DNovember 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball [21] Lean DNovember 7, 2016
NBC [22] TossupNovember 8, 2016
Electoral-vote.com [23] TossupNovember 8, 2016
RealClearPolitics [24] TossupNovember 8, 2016
Fox News [25] TossupNovember 7, 2016
ABC [26] TossupNovember 7, 2016

Polling

In early polling conducted in late 2015, Trump started with strong momentum and won almost every poll against Clinton by margins varying from 2 to 8 points. In March 2016, Trump's early momentum seemed to slow, as Clinton won every poll until June 2016, when Trump won a poll 45% to 44%. Most polling conducted throughout the summer was favorable to Clinton, but both candidates were neck and neck in late August and early September, with neither having a consistent lead. From mid September to October 20, Clinton won every poll but one. In the last weeks, polling was extremely close, with neither candidate taking the lead. The third to last and fourth to last poll ended in a tie, but Trump won the last poll 50% to 46%. [27] The average of the last three polls showed Trump ahead 47.3% to 46.7%, where the race was essentially tied.

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Florida [28]
PartyPresidential candidatePopular voteElectoral vote
CountPercentage
Republican Donald Trump 4,617,88649.02% 29
Democratic Hillary Clinton 4,504,975 47.82% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 207,043 2.20% 0
Green Jill Stein 64,399 0.68% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle 16,475 0.17% 0
Reform Rocky De La Fuente 9,108 0.10% 0
Write-in
-
 153 0.01% 0
DateNovember 8, 2016Total votersRegistered: 12,863,773
Eligible: 14,441,877
Turnout %Registered: 74.48%
VAP: 66.34%		Turnout votesValid votes: 9,420,039
Invalid votes: 160,450

By county

CountyDonald Trump
Republican		Hillary Clinton
Democratic		Various candidates
Write-ins		MarginTotal votes cast
# %# %# %# %
Alachua 46,83436.00%75,82058.28%7,4465.72%-28,986-22.28%130,100
Baker 10,29481.02%2,11216.62%2992.36%8,18264.40%12,705
Bay 62,19470.50%21,79724.71%4,2314.79%40,39745.79%88,222
Bradford 8,91373.31%2,92424.05%3212.64%5,98949.26%12,158
Brevard 181,84857.16%119,67937.62%16,6145.22%62,16919.54%318,141
Broward 260,95131.16%553,32066.08%23,1172.76%-292,369-34.92%837,388
Calhoun 4,65575.96%1,24120.25%2323.79%3,41455.71%6,128
Charlotte 60,12861.96%33,44534.41%3,5243.63%26,77327.55%97,187
Citrus 54,45667.72%22,78928.34%3,1673.94%31,66739.38%80,412
Clay 74,96369.85%27,82225.93%4,5324.22%47,14143.92%107,317
Collier 105,42361.11%61,08535.41%6,0023.48%44,33825.70%172,510
Columbia 20,36870.57%7,60126.33%8953.10%12,76744.24%28,864
DeSoto 6,77862.17%3,78134.68%3443.15%2,99727.49%10,903
Dixie 5,82280.35%1,27017.53%1542.12%4,55262.82%7,246
Duval 211,67248.48%205,70447.12%19,1974.40%5,9681.36%436,573
Escambia 88,80857.60%57,46137.27%7,9035.13%31,34720.33%154,172
Flagler 33,85058.38%22,02637.98%2,1113.64%11,82420.40%57,987
Franklin 4,12568.08%1,74428.78%1903.14%2,38139.30%6,059
Gadsden 6,72830.29%15,02067.62%4662.09%-8,292-37.33%22,214
Gilchrist 6,74079.56%1,45817.21%2743.23%5,28262.35%8,472
Glades 2,99668.37%1,27129.01%1152.62%1,72539.36%4,382
Gulf 5,32972.69%1,72023.46%2823.85%3,60949.23%7,331
Hamilton 3,44362.70%1,90434.67%1442.63%1,53928.03%5,491
Hardee 5,24268.57%2,14928.11%2543.32%3,09340.46%7,645
Hendry 6,19555.40%4,61541.27%3723.33%1,58014.13%11,182
Hernando 58,97062.30%31,79533.59%3,8864.11%27,17528.71%94,651
Highlands 29,56564.26%14,93732.46%1,5093.28%14,62831.80%46,011
Hillsborough 266,87044.19%307,89650.99%29,1244.82%-41,026-6.80%603,890
Holmes 7,48387.46%8539.97%2202.57%6,63077.49%8,556
Indian River 48,62060.20%29,04335.96%3,1063.84%19,57724.24%80,769
Jackson 14,25767.38%6,39730.23%5052.39%7,86037.15%21,159
Jefferson 3,93051.11%3,54146.05%2182.84%3895.06%7,689
Lafayette 2,80982.35%51815.19%842.46%2,29167.16%3,411
Lake 102,18859.48%62,83836.58%6,7733.94%39,35022.90%171,799
Lee 191,55158.12%124,90837.90%13,0953.98%66,64320.22%329,554
Leon 53,82134.98%92,06859.83%7,9925.19%-38,247-24.85%153,881
Levy 13,77570.64%5,10126.16%6233.20%8,67444.48%19,499
Liberty 2,54376.78%65119.66%1183.56%1,89257.12%3,312
Madison 4,85156.80%3,52641.29%1631.91%1,32515.51%8,540
Manatee 101,94456.40%71,22439.40%7,5894.20%30,72017.00%180,757
Marion 107,83361.30%62,04135.27%6,0263.43%45,79226.03%175,900
Martin 53,20461.41%30,18534.84%3,2443.75%23,01926.57%86,633
Miami-Dade 333,99933.83%624,14663.22%29,0462.95%-290,147-29.39%987,191
Monroe 21,90450.97%18,97144.14%2,1024.89%2,9336.83%42,977
Nassau 34,26672.92%10,86923.13%1,8573.95%23,39749.79%46,992
Okaloosa 71,89370.42%23,78023.29%6,4236.29%48,11347.13%102,096
Okeechobee 9,35667.99%3,95928.77%4463.24%5,39739.22%13,761
Orange 195,21635.37%329,89459.77%26,7924.86%-134,678-24.40%511,902
Osceola 50,30135.56%85,45860.41%5,7094.03%-35,157-24.85%141,468
Palm Beach 272,40240.89%374,67356.24%19,1372.87%-102,271-15.35%666,212
Pasco 142,10158.41%90,14237.06%11,0224.53%51,95921.35%243,265
Pinellas 239,20148.08%233,70146.98%24,5834.94%5,5001.10%497,485
Polk 157,43054.86%117,43340.92%12,1064.22%39,99713.94%286,969
Putnam 22,13866.48%10,09430.31%1,0693.21%12,04436.17%33,301
St. Johns 88,68464.34%43,09931.27%6,0634.39%45,58533.07%137,846
St. Lucie 70,28949.50%66,88147.10%4,8233.40%3,4082.40%141,993
Santa Rosa 65,33973.68%18,46420.82%4,8815.50%46,87552.86%88,684
Sarasota 124,43853.79%97,87042.30%9,0453.91%26,56811.49%231,353
Seminole 109,44348.10%105,91446.55%12,1695.35%3,5291.55%227,526
Sumter 52,73068.27%22,63829.31%1,8702.42%30,09238.96%77,238
Suwannee 14,28776.05%3,96421.10%5362.85%10,32354.95%18,787
Taylor 6,93074.13%2,15223.02%2662.85%4,77851.11%9,348
Union 4,56879.83%1,01417.72%1402.45%3,55462.11%5,722
Volusia 143,00754.32%109,09141.44%11,1804.24%33,91612.88%263,278
Wakulla 10,51268.07%4,34828.15%5843.78%6,16439.92%15,444
Walton 25,75675.98%6,87620.28%1,2663.74%18,88055.70%33,898
Washington 8,63777.04%2,26420.19%3102.77%6,37356.85%11,211
Totals4,617,88648.60%4,504,97547.41%379,8863.99%112,9111.19%9,502,747
Florida County Swing 2016.svg
Florida County Trend 2016.svg
Florida County Flips 2016.svg

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Trump won 14 of 27 congressional districts, while Clinton won 13, including two held by Republicans. [29]

DistrictTrumpClintonRepresentative
1st 68%28% Jeff Miller
Matt Gaetz
2nd 66%31% Gwen Graham
Neal Dunn
3rd 56%40% Ted Yoho
4th 62%34% Ander Crenshaw
John Rutherford
5th 36%61% Corrine Brown
Al Lawson
6th 57%40% Ron DeSantis
7th 44%51% John Mica
Stephanie Murphy
8th 58%38% Bill Posey
9th 42%55% Alan Grayson
Darren Soto
10th 35%62% Daniel Webster
Val Demings
11th 65%33% Rich Nugent
Daniel Webster
12th 57%39% Gus Bilirakis
13th 46%50% David Jolly
Charlie Crist
14th 39%57% Kathy Castor
15th 53%43% Dennis Ross
16th 54%43% Vern Buchanan
17th 62%35% Tom Rooney
18th 53%44% Patrick Murphy
Brian Mast
19th 60%38% Curt Clawson
Francis Rooney
20th 18%80% Alcee Hastings
21st 39%59% Lois Frankel
22nd 41%57% Ted Deutch
23rd 36%62% Debbie Wasserman Schultz
24th 16%81% Frederica Wilson
25th 50%48% Mario Díaz-Balart
26th 41%57% Carlos Curbelo
27th 39%59% Ileana Ros-Lehtinen

See also

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The 2016 United States presidential election in New Mexico was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. New Mexico voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. New Mexico has five electoral votes in the Electoral College.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary</span>

The 2016 Florida Democratic presidential primary took place on March 15 in the U.S. state of Florida as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Florida</span> Election in Florida

The 2020 United States presidential election in Florida was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election, in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Florida voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent president Donald Trump, and his running mate, Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic Party nominee, former vice president Joe Biden, and his running mate, United States senator Kamala Harris, of California. Florida had 29 electoral votes in the Electoral College.

References

  1. ↑ "Voter Turnout - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State". dos.myflorida.com.
  2. ↑ Brill, Sanford. "Florida Department of State - Election Results". results.elections.myflorida.com.
  3. ↑ 2016 General Election November 8, 2016. Official Election Results. Florida Department of State, Division of Elections.
  4. ↑ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration . September 19, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  5. ↑ "Florida Election Results 2016 – The New York Times" . Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  6. ↑ Unlike other Latinos, about half of Cuban voters in Florida backed Trump, Pew Research Center, November 15, 2016.
  7. ↑ RealClearPolitics.com"
  8. ↑ "Miami Dade College To Host Democratic Presidential Debate". wlrn.org. November 2, 2015. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  9. ↑ "DNC/Florida Democratic Party Primary Debate Hosted by Univision News and The Washington Post to Take Place at the Nation's Largest and Most Diverse College, Miami Dade College, on March 9, 2016 - Univision". Univision. Archived from the original on February 2, 2016. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  10. ↑ Avendaño, Alberto (December 18, 2015). "Él impulsa el debate hispano entre los precandidatos demócratas". The Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  11. ↑ "Univision/Washington Post Democratic debate to be held March 9". POLITICO. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  12. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - 2016 Republican Presidential Nomination".
  13. ↑ Wemple, Erik (January 20, 2016). "CNN partnering with the Washington Times for March 10 debate in Miami". The Washington Post. ISSN   0190-8286 . Retrieved February 13, 2016.
  14. ↑ "CNN announces March debate in Florida". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  15. ↑ "Republican Debate in Miami: What to Watch". CNN.com. March 10, 2016.
  16. ↑ Peters, Jeremy; Barbaro, Michael (March 15, 2016). "Marco Rubio Suspends His Presidential Campaign". The New York Times . Retrieved March 15, 2016.
  17. ↑ "2016 Presidential Primary". Green Party of Florida. May 5, 2016. Retrieved June 1, 2016.
  18. ↑ "Campaign 2016 updates: Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton traverse the country in final push" . Retrieved November 9, 2016– via LA Times.
  19. ↑ Chalian, David. "Road to 270: CNN's new election map" . Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  20. ↑ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  21. ↑ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President" . Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  22. ↑ "NBC's final battleground map shows a lead for Clinton" . Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  23. ↑ "ElectoralVote" . Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  24. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - 2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House" . Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  25. ↑ "Fox News Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  26. ↑ "The Final 15: Latest Polls in Swing States". ABC News. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 9, 2016.
  27. ↑ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - Florida: Trump vs. Clinton".
  28. ↑ "Florida Department of State - Election Results" . Retrieved April 14, 2017.
  29. ↑ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". cookpolitical.com.

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