2022 Alaska gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Alaska gubernatorial election
Flag of Alaska.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout44.40% Decrease2.svg
  Mike Dunleavy official photo (alt crop).jpg Les Gara interview (cropped).png Bill Walker at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson 2018 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Mike Dunleavy Les Gara Bill Walker
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Running mate Nancy Dahlstrom Jessica CookHeidi Drygas
Popular vote132,63263,85154,668
Percentage50.29%24.21%20.73%
2022 Alaska gubernatorial general election results map by State House district.svg
2022 Alaska gubernatorial election results map by borough and census area.svg
Dunleavy:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Gara:     40–50%
Walker:     30–40%     40–50%
Governor before election

Mike Dunleavy
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Dunleavy
Republican

The 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy won re-election to a second term, becoming the first Republican governor to be re-elected to a second term since Jay Hammond in 1978 and the first governor, regardless of political affiliation, to be re-elected to a second term since Tony Knowles in 1998. [1]

Contents

Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first gubernatorial election in Alaska held under the new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, [2] and the top four candidates advanced to the general election. [3]

In addition to Dunleavy, Democratic former state representative Les Gara, Independent former governor Bill Walker, and Republican Kenai Peninsula Borough mayor Charlie Pierce advanced to the general election. [4] In the general election, Dunleavy received the majority of votes in the first round, preventing an instant runoff.

Primary election

Republican Party

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

Declined

Libertarian Party

Eliminated in primary

  • William S. "Billy" Toien, nominee for governor in 2010 and 2018 [19]
    • Running mate: Shirley Rainbolt [19]

Alaskan Independence Party

Eliminated in primary

Independents

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Dunleavy
(R)		Les
Gara
(D)		Charlie
Pierce
(R)		Bill
Walker
(I)		OtherUndecided
Alaska Survey Research July 20–25, 20221,253 (LV)± 3.0%41%22%5%23%9% [lower-alpha 3] –
Lake Research Partners (D) [upper-alpha 1] May 5–11, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%40%24%5%18%3%10%

Results

Primary election results [11] [22]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican
76,534 40.43
Democratic
43,660 23.06
Independent
43,111 22.77
Republican
  • Charlie Pierce
  • Edie Grunwald
12,458 6.58
Republican
7,3073.86
Independence
  • John Howe
  • Shellie Wyatt
1,7020.90
Republican
  • Bruce Walden
  • Tanya Lange
1,6610.88
Libertarian
  • William S. Toien
  • Shirley Rainbolt
1,3810.73
Republican
  • David Haeg
  • Waynette Coleman
1,1390.60
Independent
  • William Nemec
  • Ronnie Ostrem
3470.18
Total votes188,626 100.00

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [23] Likely RJuly 26, 2022
Inside Elections [24] Likely RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [25] Likely RJune 29, 2022
Politico [26] Likely RApril 1, 2022
RCP [27] Likely RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [28] Likely RMay 12, 2022
538 [29] Likely RAugust 25, 2022
Elections Daily [30] Likely RNovember 7, 2022

Debates

2022 Alaska gubernatorial debates
No.DateHostLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee   W Withdrawn  
Mike Dunleavy Bill Walker Les Gara Charlie Pierce
1October 11, 2022Civic and Convention Center Youtube PPPP

Endorsements

Mike Dunleavy (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Les Gara (D)
Statewide officials
State legislators
Organizations
Christopher Kurka (R)
Individuals
Charlie Pierce (R)
State legislators
  • Lora Reinbold, state senator (2019–present) and state representative (2013–2019) [38]
Organizations
Bill Walker (I)
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State legislators
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		RCV
count		Mike
Dunleavy
(R)		Les
Gara
(D)		Charlie
Pierce
(R)		Bill
Walker
(I)		Undecided /
Not Ranked
Dittman Research October 21–25, 2022403 (LV)–147%25%4%23%—
251%25%Elim24%—
Alaska Survey Research September 25–27, 20221,282 (LV)± 3.0%
143%28%7%21%—
248%28%Elim23%—
353%47%ElimElim—
3* [lower-alpha 4] 52%ElimElim48%—
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) [upper-alpha 2] September 6–11, 20221,050 (LV) [lower-alpha 5] N/A [lower-alpha 6] 45%24%6%17%8% U
149%26%7%19%8% NR
254%26%Elim [lower-alpha 7] 20%10% NR
359%41%ElimElim [lower-alpha 8] 13% NR
Alaska Survey Research July 2–5, 20221,201 (LV)± 2.9%144%26%11%20%—
251%26%Elim23%—
Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		RCV
count		Mike
Dunleavy
(R)		Les
Gara
(D)		Natasha
von Imhof
(R)		Bill
Walker
(I)		Undecided
Alaska Survey Research October 22–27, 2021969 (RV)± 3.2%143%22%8%28%—
246%24%Elim30%—
349%ElimElim51%—
Mike Dunleavy vs. Les Gara
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Dunleavy (R)		Les
Gara (D)		Undecided
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] July 22–24, 2022613 (LV)± 4.0%55%45%—
Mike Dunleavy vs. Bill Walker
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 2] 		Margin
of error		Mike
Dunleavy (R)		Bill
Walker (I)		Undecided
Hays Research Group (I) Archived August 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine [upper-alpha 3] July 22–24, 2022613 (LV)± 4.0%50%50%—

Results

2022 Alaska gubernatorial election [44]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican
132,632 50.29% −1.15%
Democratic
63,85124.21%−20.20%
Independent
54,66820.73%+18.70%
Republican
11,8174.48%N/A
Write-in 7840.30%+0.09%
Total votes263,752 100.0%
Turnout 266,94344.40%−5.43%
Registered electors 601,161
Republican hold

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

Notes

  1. 1 2 Suspended her campaign and endorsed Dunleavy on October 25, 2022 after allegations of sexual harassment against Pierce but remained on the ballot. [10]
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Howe and Kurka with 3%; Toien with 2%; Haeg with 1%; Nemec and Walden with 0%
  4. ↑ Hypothetical scenario with Dunleavy and Walker as the top two based on expressed ranked choice preferences
  5. ↑ The margin of sampling error for the 500 statewide sample is ±4.4%; for the 840 total sample of voters 50+ is ±3.3%.
  6. ↑ Standard polling question.
  7. ↑ Pierce eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 70% to Dunleavy, 7% to Walker, 3% to Gara, and 20% not ranked further.
  8. ↑ Walker eliminated. Vote transfer breakdown: 67% to Gara, 13% to Dunleavy, and 20% not ranked further.
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Gara's campaign
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by AARP
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by Walker's campaign

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sean Parnell</span> American politician (born 1962)

Sean Randall Parnell is an American attorney and politician who was the tenth governor of Alaska from 2009 to 2014. He succeeded Sarah Palin in July 2009, and was elected governor in his own right in 2010 with 59.06% of the vote, as the largest percentage margin of any Alaska governor since statehood. In 2014, he narrowly lost his bid for re-election and returned to work in the private sector. He is a member of the Republican Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2008 United States Senate election in Alaska</span>

The 2008 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator and former President pro tempore Ted Stevens ran for re-election for an eighth term in the United States Senate. It was one of the ten Senate races that U.S. Senator John Ensign of Nevada, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, predicted as being most competitive. The primaries were held on August 26, 2008. Stevens was challenged by Democratic candidate Mark Begich, the mayor of Anchorage and son of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Les Gara</span> American politician

Leslie S. Gara is a Democratic former member of the Alaska House of Representatives, having represented the 23rd District from 2003 to 2019. Gara is also a former assistant attorney general and part owner of a local restaurant in Anchorage, Snow City Cafe.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2004 United States Senate election in Alaska</span>

The 2004 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives, various state and local elections, and the presidential election of that year. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski of Anchorage, sought election to her first full term after being appointed by her father Frank Murkowski to serve out the rest of the latter's unexpired term when he resigned in December 2002 to become Governor of Alaska. Her main challenger was Democratic former governor Tony Knowles, her father's predecessor as governor. Murkowski won by a slight margin. As of 2022, Senator Murkowski’s vote total of 149,773 votes remains the most raw votes she has ever received during any of her runs for the US Senate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 United States Senate election in Alaska</span> 2010 Senate election

The 2010 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 2, 2010, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, alongside 33 U.S. Senate elections in other states, elections in all states for the U.S. House of Representatives, as well as various state and local elections. The general election was preceded by primary elections which were held on August 24, 2010. Scott McAdams, the Mayor of Sitka, became the Democratic nominee; Joe Miller, an attorney and former federal magistrate, became the Republican nominee after defeating incumbent U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski. Miller was endorsed by the Tea Party movement and former Governor Sarah Palin. Murkowski announced that despite her defeat in the primary, she would run in the general election as a write-in candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2010 Alaska gubernatorial election</span> Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Alaska

The 2010 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Former Governor Sarah Palin did not run, having resigned in July 2009. Incumbent Governor Sean Parnell, who as lieutenant governor succeeded Palin following her resignation, announced that he would seek a full term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 United States Senate election in Alaska</span>

The 2014 United States Senate election in Alaska took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the election of the governor of Alaska, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2014 Alaska gubernatorial election</span> Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Alaska

The 2014 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska, concurrently with the election of Alaska's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Alaska</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Bill Walker (American politician)</span> American attorney and politician (born 1951)

William Martin Walker is an American attorney and politician who served as the 11th governor of Alaska, from 2014 to 2018. He was the second Alaska-born governor, after William A. Egan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska</span>

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district, who will represent the state of Alaska in the 114th United States Congress. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections in the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Alaska</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alaska, concurrently with the nationwide presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan won re-election to a second term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Al Gross, the son of Avrum Gross, who ran as an independent candidate. John Wayne Howe, the nominee of the Alaskan Independence Party, was also on the ballot and finished a distant third.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Alaska gubernatorial election</span> Election for the governorship of the U.S. state of Alaska

The 2018 Alaska gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Alaska. In the primaries for recognized political parties, candidates for governor and lieutenant governor run separately. The winners of each respective primary for governor and lieutenant governor then become a joint ticket in the general election for their political party. Incumbent Independent governor Bill Walker was seeking re-election in what was originally a three-way race between Walker, Republican former Alaska state senator Mike Dunleavy, and Democratic former Alaska U.S. Senator Mark Begich. Despite Walker dropping out on October 19, 2018 and endorsing Begich, Dunleavy won in what was the only gubernatorial gain by a Republican candidate in 2018. As of 2024, this was the last time the Governor’s office in Alaska changed partisan control. Walker later unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Alaska in 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Alaska</span> Class III U.S. Senate election in Alaska

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent senator Lisa Murkowski won reelection to a fourth full term, defeating fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka and Democrat Patricia Chesbro.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">1973 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election</span>

The 1973 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election was held on March 6, 1973, to elect the United States representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nick Begich had won reelection in 1972, but had gone missing shortly before the election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States presidential election in Alaska</span> Election in Alaska

The 2020 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states and the District of Columbia participated. Alaska voters chose three electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Republican President Donald Trump and his running mate, incumbent Vice President Mike Pence, against Democratic challenger and former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate, United States Senator Kamala Harris of California. The Libertarian, Green, Constitution, and Alliance Party nominees were also on the ballot, as was an Independent candidate.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska</span> U.S. House election in Alaska

The November 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on Tuesday, November 8, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska. Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola won reelection to a full term in office, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III and Libertarian Chris Bye in the runoff count.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election</span>

The 2022 Alaska at-large congressional district special election was held on August 16 to fill the seat left vacant after the death of Republican incumbent Don Young. Mary Peltola defeated former governor Sarah Palin in the election, becoming the first Democrat to represent Alaska in the House since 1972, the first Alaska Native elected to Congress, and the first woman elected to represent Alaska in the House.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alaska elections</span>

The 2022 Alaska state elections took place on November 8, 2022. The state also held Regional Educational Attendance Area (REAA) elections on the first Tuesday in October.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 Anchorage mayoral election</span>

The 2024 Anchorage mayoral election was held on April 2, 2024, with a runoff election scheduled for May 14 because no candidate received more than 45% of the vote in the first round. It will elect the mayor of Anchorage, Alaska. Incumbent Republican mayor Dave Bronson is running for re-election to a second term in office.

References

  1. ↑ Bohrer, Becky (November 25, 2022). "Mike Dunleavy is 1st Alaska governor reelected since '98". Associated Press . Retrieved November 25, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Alaska Division of Elections, Primary Election Info". Archived from the original on May 4, 2022. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
  3. ↑ Kitchenman, Andrew (November 18, 2020). "Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2". KTOO (FM) . Archived from the original on November 18, 2020. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
  4. ↑ "Live Alaska Governor Election Results 2022 – NBC News". www.nbcnews.com. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  5. 1 2 Brooks, James (August 13, 2021). "Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved August 14, 2021.
  6. ↑ "Alaska Governor Picks Nancy Dahlstrom as Running Mate". US News. AP. May 23, 2022. Retrieved February 14, 2023.
  7. ↑ "Alaska Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer will not run for reelection in 2022". Anchorage Daily News.
  8. ↑ "Borough mayor files bid for Alaska governor". KDLL Public Radio for the Central Kenai Peninsula. January 21, 2022.
  9. ↑ Poux, Sabine; Soldotna, KDLL- (March 9, 2022). "Charlie Pierce picks Edie Grunwald as running mate in Alaska governor's race".
  10. ↑ Maguire, Sean (October 25, 2022). "Edie Grunwald suspends campaign as lieutenant governor candidate over Pierce sexual harassment allegations" . Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  11. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2022 Primary Candidate List". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved June 1, 2022.
  12. 1 2 Kitchenman, Andrew (November 29, 2021). "Conservative Wasilla Rep. Kurka launches bid for Alaska governor". Alaska Public Media . Archived from the original on November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
  13. ↑ "Republican candidate for Alaska governor Christopher Kurka chooses Homer man as running mate". Anchorage Daily News.
  14. ↑ Gunzburger, Ron. "Online Guide to Alaska Elections, Candidates & Politics". Politics1.
  15. 1 2 3 "Democratic governor candidate Les Gara picks teacher from Palmer as his running mate". Anchorage Daily News.
  16. ↑ Brooks, James (February 15, 2022). "Anchorage Sen. Natasha von Imhof will not run for reelection or other office in 2022". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved June 16, 2022.
  17. ↑ Kitchenman, Andrew (August 20, 2021). "Former state Rep. Les Gara becomes fourth candidate for Alaska's governor". Alaska Public Media. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
  18. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 "Gara and Walker begin 2022 campaigns for governor to unseat Dunleavy". Anchorage Daily News.
  19. 1 2 3 4 Brooks, James (August 17, 2021). "Former Alaska Gov. Bill Walker will run again for governor in 2022 as an independent". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved August 17, 2021.
  20. 1 2 3 Coleman, J. Miles (March 11, 2021). "2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline – Sabato's Crystal Ball".
  21. ↑ "Former US House candidate Alyse Galvin to run for Alaska Legislature". December 28, 2021.
  22. ↑ "August 16, 2022 Primary Election Summary Report - OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. September 2, 2022. Retrieved September 2, 2022.
  23. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  24. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  25. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ↑ "Alaska Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  27. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  28. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  29. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  30. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  31. ↑ Mizelle, Shawna (December 28, 2021). "Trump endorses Alaska Gov. Dunleavy for reelection -- as long as he doesn't back Sen. Murkowski in 2022". CNN . Retrieved December 29, 2021.
  32. 1 2 "Trump to rally for Palin, Dunleavy, Tshibaka in Alaska". AP . June 29, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  33. 1 2 "Charlie Pierce recieves [sic] Republican endorsement in governor's race". KINY . April 25, 2022. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
  34. ↑ "Alaska Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  35. ↑ "NRA-PVF Endorses Gov. Dunleavy in Alaska Primary". nrapvf.org. July 19, 2022. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  36. ↑ "Notes from the trail: Mark Begich endorses Chris Constant for Congress, Les Gara has a barbecue with Vic Fischer". May 19, 2022.
  37. ↑ "Notes from the trail: Why didn't Palin cheer for Mayor Dave Bronson during the Trump Save America rally?". July 12, 2022.
  38. ↑ "Sen. Lora Reinbold endorses Charlie Pierce for governor". July 25, 2022.
  39. 1 2 3 Hopkins, Grier; Josephson, Andy; Spohnholz, Ivy; Wool, Adam (August 9, 2022). "OPINION: Walker has the leadership Alaska needs". Anchorage Daily News . Retrieved August 10, 2022.
  40. ↑ "Notes from the trail: Walker picks up new co-chairs". July 23, 2022.
  41. ↑ ""I'm pleased to endorse Bill and Heidi. They are trustworthy, hardworking, well-informed, experienced, and collaborative, and aim to put all Alaskans, including children and First Peoples, on a path to fiscal stability, improved quality of life, and a bright future." ~Santa Claus".
  42. ↑ Brooks, James (June 23, 2022). "Alaska AFL-CIO endorses Walker, Murkowski, Peltola" . Retrieved June 27, 2022.
  43. 1 2 "Bill Walker's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  44. ↑ "State of Alaska | 2022 GENERAL ELECTION | Election Summary Report | November 8, 2022 | OFFICIAL RESULTS" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. November 18, 2022. Retrieved November 22, 2022.
Official campaign websites
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.