2022 Idaho gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Idaho gubernatorial election
Flag of Idaho.svg
←  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  →
Turnout57.2% Decrease2.svg
  Brad Little official photo (cropped).jpg 3x4.svg Ammon Bundy January 23, 2016.jpg
Nominee Brad Little Stephen Heidt Ammon Bundy
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote358,598120,160101,835
Percentage60.52%20.28%17.19%
2022 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Idaho Gubernatorial Election by congressional district.svg
Little:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Heidt:     50–60%
Governor before election

Brad Little
Republican

Elected Governor

Brad Little
Republican

The 2022 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 8 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Brad Little, first elected in 2018, was re-elected for a second term, the eighth consecutive win by a Republican.

Contents

The statewide primary was held on May 17; Little defeated incumbent lieutenant governor Janice McGeachin in the Republican primary, while Stephen Heidt won the Democratic primary. [1] Little convincingly won the general election, but there was a relatively strong performance by far-right independent candidate Ammon Bundy, who finished roughly three points behind Heidt, and ahead of Heidt in 34 of Idaho's 44 counties.

Bundy's share of the vote was the best non-major party performance or the best outside both major parties performance since 1926. [2] This was the worst Democratic performance since 1924, and one of only three times since then where the Democratic candidate failed to achieve 30% of the vote.

Republican primary

Lieutenant Governor Janice McGeachin challenged Little in the primary Janice McGeachin by Gage Skidmore.jpg
Lieutenant Governor Janice McGeachin challenged Little in the primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Brad Little
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Janice McGeachin
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Ammon Bundy (withdrawn)
U.S. representatives
Individuals

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size [lower-alpha 1] 		Margin
of error		Steve
Bradshaw		Ammon
Bundy		Ed
Humphreys		Ashley
Jackson		Brad
Little		Lisa
Marie		Janice
McGeachin		Cody
Usabel		Undecided
Zoldak Research (R) April 9–12, 2022549 (LV)± 4.0%3%–6%1%60%<1%29%<1%–
––19%–62%–––19%
––––62%–33%–6%
February 17, 2022Bundy withdraws from the race
Zoldak Research (R) December 20–21, 2021575 (LV)± 4.1%1%6%2%–59%–18%0%14%
10%–––64%–––26%
–15%––70%–––15%
––11%–65%–––24%
––––64%–24%–12%

Primary results

Results by county .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Little 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% McGeachin 50-60% 2022 Idaho gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Little
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McGeachin
  •   50–60%
Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Brad Little (incumbent) 148,831 52.8
Republican Janice McGeachin 90,85432.2
Republican Ed Humphreys30,87711.0
Republican Steve Bradshaw5,4701.9
Republican Ashley Jackson3,1721.1
Republican Lisa Marie1,1190.4
Republican Ben Cannady8040.3
Republican Cody Usabel6800.2
Total votes281,807 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Write-in candidates

  • Shelby Rognstad, mayor of Sandpoint (failed to change party registration and running as write-in candidate instead) [41]
  • David J. Reilly, activist and media personality [42]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Shelby Rognstad
Federal politicians
Idaho local officials/politicians

Primary results

Results by county Heidt 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 2022 Idaho gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county
  Heidt
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90-100%
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Stephen Heidt 25,088 78.8
Democratic Write-ins6,75721.2
Total votes31,845 100

Write-in count

Shelby Rognstad received 6,736 votes/21.2%. David Reilly received 21 votes/0.07%.

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Paul Sand, White Bird city councilman, retired software engineer [47]
  • John Dionne Jr. [48]

Primary results

Libertarian primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Libertarian Paul Sand 426 60.2
Libertarian John Dionne28139.8
Total votes707 100

Constitution primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Chantyrose Davison [49]

Write In

  • Ryan Cole, member of the Central Idaho Health District board and pathologist (failed to change party registration and running as write-in candidate instead) [50] [51] [52]

Withdrew

  • Pro-Life, organic strawberry farmer and perennial candidate (running for lieutenant governor) [53] [7]

Primary results

Constitution primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
Constitution Chantyrose Davison 345 64.4
Constitution Write-ins19135.6
Total votes536 100

Write-in count

Dr. Ryan Cole received 25 votes/6.7%.

Independents

Declared

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [55] Solid RJuly 26, 2022
Inside Elections [56] Solid RJuly 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [57] Safe RJune 29, 2022
Politico [58] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [59] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [60] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [61] Solid RJuly 31, 2022
Elections Daily [62] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Brad Little (R)
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Ammon Bundy (I)
U.S. representatives
Individuals
Organizations
  • Idaho Freedom PAC [70]

Results

2022 Idaho gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Idaho gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Idaho gubernatorial election [71] [72]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Brad Little (incumbent) 358,598 60.52% +0.76%
Democratic Stephen Heidt120,16020.28%−17.91%
Independent Ammon Bundy 101,83517.19%N/A
Libertarian Paul Sand6,7141.13%+0.05%
Constitution Chantyrose Davison5,2500.89%−0.07%
Total votes592,557 100.00% N/A
Turnout 599,35357.18%−4.24%
Registered electors 1,048,263
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

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References

  1. ↑ "Idaho Election Results 2022 | Live Primary Map Updates". www.politico.com. Retrieved October 5, 2022.
  2. ↑ "Ammon Bundy's 17.2% for Governor of Idaho Was the Strongest Showing for That Office by a Non-Major Party Nominee Since 1926". Ballot Access News . November 22, 2022. Archived from the original on February 25, 2024.
  3. ↑ "Rep. Scott Bedke announces lieutenant governor bid". ktvb.com. KTVB. May 27, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
  4. ↑ Hare, Candice (May 24, 2021). "Little reacts to Lt. Gov. Janice McGeachin 2022 Gubernatorial race bid". KMVT. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
  5. ↑ "Idaho gubernatorial primary grows crowded with 11 candidates". KIVI. Associated Press. July 6, 2021. Retrieved July 6, 2021.
  6. ↑ "Commissioner Bradshaw Announces for Idaho Governor". Redoubtnews.com. July 28, 2021. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  8. ↑ "Walter French Candidate for Governor - District SW". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary of State. March 10, 2022. Retrieved March 13, 2022.
  9. ↑ Humphreys, Ed. "Ed Humphreys For Governor". Edforidaho.com.
  10. 1 2 "Politics1 - Online Guide to Idaho Politics". Politics1.com.
  11. ↑ "McGeachin becomes 7th candidate to file preliminary paperwork for run for governor in 2022". Idahopress.com. Idaho Press. May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 20, 2021.
  12. ↑ Cillizza, Chris (May 19, 2020). "This governor's biggest coronavirus critic is his own lieutenant governor". Cnn.com.
  13. ↑ Malloy, Chuck (December 4, 2020). "McGeachin could win a governor's race". Idaho State Journal.
  14. ↑ "Idaho Lt. Gov. McGeachin to run for governor in 2022". ktvb.com. KTVB. May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 19, 2021.
  15. ↑ "Usabel for Governor 2022". Facebook. Retrieved May 22, 2021.
  16. ↑ "McGeachin becomes 7th candidate to file preliminary paperwork for run for governor in 2022". idahopress.com. Idaho Press. May 19, 2021. Retrieved May 22, 2021.
  17. ↑ "Ammon Bundy files paperwork to run for Idaho governor". KTVB . May 21, 2021. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  18. ↑ Colley, Bill (June 10, 2021). "Ammon Bundy to Officially Announce for Idaho Governor". KLIX (AM) . Retrieved June 10, 2021.
  19. ↑ Miller, Kevin (June 18, 2021). "AMMON BUNDY ANNOUNCES RUN FOR GOVERNOR". KIDO . Retrieved June 18, 2021.
  20. ↑ "Ammon Bundy в Твиттере: "Official Statement from Ammon Bundy… "". Archived from the original on February 17, 2022. Retrieved February 17, 2022.
  21. ↑ "Fundraising for 2022: Little, Critchfield build big early advantages". idahoednews.org. August 23, 2021. Archived from the original on August 23, 2021. Retrieved August 23, 2021.
  22. ↑ "Raul Labrador wants to be Idaho's next attorney general". Boise State Public Radio. November 17, 2021. Retrieved November 21, 2021.
  23. 1 2 Ahlquist, Tommy [@TommyAhlquist] (April 30, 2022). "My list… I've spent time with each of them. The good news: we have really good people running! Learn more and VOTE on May 17 Gov - @GovernorLittle Lt. Gov - @scottbedke AG - @lawrencewasden SOS - @mcgraneforidaho Super of ED - @d_critchfield Ada Sheriff - Matt Clifford https://t.co/fayT3PaMQJ" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 30, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022– via Twitter.
  24. 1 2 "PRESS ENDORSEMENTS: These five will serve Idaho well". Coeur d'Alene Press. May 4, 2022.
  25. 1 2 "Idaho Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  26. ↑ Betsy, Posted by (April 19, 2022). "NRA endorses Little, Wasden, Bedke in GOP primary; link to my full story..." Idaho Press. Archived from the original on April 20, 2022.
  27. 1 2 "Idaho Fraternal Order of Police endorses Brad Little". April 12, 2022.
  28. 1 2 Richert, Kevin (May 11, 2022). "The IEA's not-quite-secret election endorsements".
  29. 1 2 "Brad Little receives endorsement from Idaho Chooses Life". KMVT News.
  30. ↑ Montellaro, Zach. "Trump endorses rival against Idaho Gov. Brad Little". POLITICO. Retrieved November 23, 2021.
  31. ↑ McGeachin, Janice (April 12, 2022). "Former Ambassador Alan Keyes Endorses McGeachin for Governor". Janice McGeachin for Idaho Governor.
  32. ↑ Rogers, Wendy [@WendyRogersAZ] (May 12, 2022). "The following Wendy-endorsed #AmericaFirst #ElectionIntegrity candidates have primaries on Tuesday. Please get out and vote for these great patriots!!! @JaniceMcGeachin for Idaho Governor #IdPol @dougmastriano for Pennsylvania Governor #PAGov @SandySmithNC for Congress in #NC01" (Tweet). Archived from the original on May 12, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022– via Twitter.
  33. ↑ Vanderklippe, Nathan (November 11, 2021). "In Idaho, Janice McGeachin has fashioned herself in Trump's image. His endorsement could elevate her standing in governor's race". theglobeandmail.com. Retrieved December 24, 2021. In Idaho, Janice McGeachin has fashioned herself in Trump's image. His endorsement could elevate her standing in governor's race
  34. ↑ "Press Release: Michelle Malkin Endorses Janice McGeachin for Idaho Governor!". idahodispatch.com. Idaho Dispatch. February 9, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  35. ↑ Elder, Larry [@larryelder] (May 1, 2022). "@JaniceMcGeachin Good luck, Lt. Gov.!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on May 14, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022– via Twitter.
  36. ↑ Holmes, Brian (June 9, 2021). "Militia group endorses McGeachin for Idaho governor". KTVB. Retrieved June 9, 2021.
  37. ↑ "Candidates - Idaho Freedom PAC".
  38. ↑ RLC [@RLibertyCaucus] (March 17, 2022). "The Republican Liberty Caucus proudly endorses @JaniceMcGeachin for Governor of Idaho. As a state legislator, and now as Lt. Governor, Janice has been a stalwart advocate for freedom and small government. With her principled record, we know Janice will be an outstanding Governor. https://t.co/NUBo5IFqHd" (Tweet). Archived from the original on May 2, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022– via Twitter.
  39. 1 2 "Press Release: Ron Paul Endorses Ammon Bundy for Idaho Governor". IdahoDispatch.com. Ammon Bundy for Governor. November 9, 2021. Retrieved November 10, 2021.
  40. ↑ Bundy, Ammon (October 17, 2021). "I am pleased to announce that Roger Stone has endorsed me for Governor of Idaho". Instagram. Archived from the original on December 23, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2021.
  41. 1 2 Richert, Kevin (November 9, 2021). "Sandpoint mayor enters governor's race". Idaho Education News. Retrieved December 15, 2021.
  42. ↑ "DAVID J. REILLY". DAVID J. REILLY.
  43. ↑ "Democrat announces candidacy for Idaho governor". KMVT . June 2, 2021. Retrieved June 2, 2021.
  44. ↑ Melissa Sue Robinson [@melisrob1950] (January 21, 2022). "Not running for Idaho Governor, entering the ministry of Jesus !!!" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 22, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022– via Twitter.
  45. ↑ "Democratic candidate for governor launches write-in campaign". idahopress.com. Idaho Press. March 25, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022. About a dozen people attended the event, including former Democratic gubernatorial candidate A.J. Balukoff, who is serving as Rognstad's campaign treasurer.
  46. 1 2 3 "Democratic candidate for governor launches write-in campaign". idahopress.com. Idaho Press. March 25, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022. Former Democratic Congressmen Larry LaRocco and Walt Minnick were also there offering their support.
  47. ↑ "Home". PaulSand.org. 2022 Paul Sand. Retrieved January 12, 2022.
  48. ↑ "These Senate seats are up for election in 2022". The Hill. January 21, 2022.
  49. ↑ "Filtered by Campaign: Chantyrose Davison". sos.idaho.gov. Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  50. ↑ Press Release (March 26, 2022). "Press Release: Constitution Party of Idaho (CP-Idaho) Proudly Announces Candidates for 2022 Election". idahodispatch.com. Idaho Dispatch. Retrieved April 10, 2022. On March 17th Dr. Cole filed with the Secretary of State to be a Write-in candidate for Governor on the Constitution Party of Idaho ballot, triggering our first primary election since 2016.
  51. ↑ Idaho Dispatch [@idahodispatch] (March 12, 2022). "Dr. Ryan Cole told Idaho Dispatch that he has filed to run for Governor on the Constitution Party of Idaho ticket. #idleg #idpol https://t.co/9W0NqWY9kG" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 13, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022– via Twitter.
  52. ↑ Melissa Davlin (March 12, 2022). "Democratic candidate Rognstad registered as Republican voter". blog.idahoreports.idahoptv.org. Idaho Public TV. Retrieved March 15, 2022. Boise pathologist Dr. Ryan Cole also did not appear on the unofficial list posted on sos.idaho.gov as of 8:40 pm Friday night. Cole told Idaho Dispatch on Friday he was running for governor as a Constitution Party candidate. According to public records, Cole is an unaffiliated voter.
  53. ↑ "ProLife Idaho - Vote by Principle!". Pro-Life for Governor.
  54. ↑ "John Dionne | Dionne Idaho Governor 2022". John Joseph Dionne Jr. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  55. ↑ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  56. ↑ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections . Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  57. ↑ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  58. ↑ "Idaho Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  59. ↑ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  60. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  61. ↑ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  62. ↑ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  63. ↑ "OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES" . Retrieved October 29, 2022.
  64. ↑ Betsy, Posted by (April 19, 2022). "NRA endorses Little, Wasden, Bedke in GOP primary; link to my full story..." Idaho Press.
  65. 1 2 "Brad Little's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 13, 2022.
  66. ↑ "VOTE PROLIFE IDAHO!". prolife-idaho.com. Retrieved March 13, 2022. I will be running for Lt. Governor of Idaho in 2022 with the Constitution Party. I had planned on running for Governor but Ammon Bundy, who I support for Governor, switched from Republican to Independent in February causing me to file for Lt. Governor so voters can vote for Ammon for Governor and myself for Lt. Governor in November 2022.
  67. ↑ "He had 21 Top 10 country hits. Now he'll sing in Idaho to raise money for Ammon Bundy". eastidahonews.com. February 8, 2022. Retrieved March 13, 2022. Supporting Ammon Bundy's run for office, country singer Collin Raye will perform Wednesday, Feb. 23, at Stoney's Road House, 1050 Cascade Road, in the redeveloped Boise Cascade Mill complex. This is a "Keep Idaho IDAHO concert," a press release explains. It is "a private event hosted by the Ammon Bundy for Governor campaign, open to the public."
  68. ↑ "Trump confidant endorses Ammon Bundy for governor". Boise State Public Radio . October 19, 2021. Retrieved June 15, 2022.
  69. ↑ JD Hall and Ammon Bundy on Montana Gazette Radio. Protestia. June 23, 2021. Archived from the original on March 13, 2022. Retrieved May 8, 2022– via YouTube.
  70. ↑ Idaho Freedom PAC [@IdahoFreedomPAC] (October 27, 2022). "We are proud to endorse Ammon Bundy (@RealABundy) for governor. Ammon is a courageous man who has stood up to government bullies time and time again. Vote Bundy for governor Nov. 8. #idleg #idpol https://t.co/ksglf9hEhD" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 31, 2022. Retrieved December 26, 2022– via Twitter.
  71. ↑ "2022 General Election - OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department.
  72. ↑ "2022 General Election Voter Turnout". Office of the Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved March 23, 2023.
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