2000 Republican Party presidential primaries

Last updated

2000 Republican Party presidential primaries
Flag of the United States.svg
  1996 January 24 to June 6, 2000 2004  

  GeorgeWBush (1).jpg John McCain official photo portrait-cropped-background edit.JPG Alan Keyes (1).jpg
Candidate George W. Bush John McCain Alan Keyes
Home state Texas Arizona Maryland
Delegate count1,49624422
Contests won4470
Popular vote12,034,6766,061,332985,819
Percentage62.0%31.2%5.1%

2000 Republican Primary Results.svg
Republican primary results. Red denotes a Bush win. Yellow denotes a McCain win.

Previous Republican nominee

Bob Dole

Republican nominee

George W. Bush

From January 24 to June 6, 2000, voters of the Republican Party chose its nominee for president in the 2000 United States presidential election. Texas Governor George W. Bush was selected as the nominee through a series of primary elections and caucuses culminating in the 2000 Republican National Convention held from July 31 to August 3, 2000, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Contents

Campaign

Bush in New Hampshire, after officially filing to run Georgewbuschconcord2.jpg
Bush in New Hampshire, after officially filing to run

The primary contest began with a fairly wide field, as the Republicans lacked an incumbent president or vice president. George W. Bush, Governor of Texas and son of George H. W. Bush, the most recent Republican president, took an early lead, with the support of much of the party establishment as well as a strong fund-raising effort. Former cabinet member George Shultz played an important early role in securing Republican support for Bush. In April 1998, he invited Bush to discuss policy issues with experts including Michael Boskin, John Taylor, and Condoleezza Rice. The group, which was "looking for a candidate for 2000 with good political instincts, someone they could work with," was impressed, and Shultz encouraged Bush to enter the race. [1] Due in part to establishment backing, Bush dominated in early polling and fundraising figures. Despite stumbling in early primary debates, he easily won the Iowa caucuses, defeating his nearest opponent, Steve Forbes, by a margin of 41% to 31%.

Considered a dark horse, U.S. Senator John McCain of Arizona won 48% of the vote to Bush's 30% in the first-in-the-nation New Hampshire primary, giving his campaign a boost of energy and donations. Durham, New Hampshire was the site of an early debate between the Republican candidates.

Then, the main primary season came down to a race between Bush and McCain. McCain's campaign, centered on campaign finance reform, drew positive press coverage and a fair amount of public excitement, with polls giving the senator superior crossover support from independents and Democrats. With Vice President Gore easily locking up the Democratic nomination, many moderate and center-left voters felt compelled to make their voice heard in the still-contested Republican contest. [2] [3] [4] Bush's campaign dealt with "compassionate conservatism," including a greater role for the federal government in education, subsidies for private charitable programs, and large reductions in income and capital gains taxes.

The next primary contest in South Carolina was notorious for its negative tone. Although the Bush campaign said it was not behind any attacks on McCain, locals supporting Bush reportedly handed out fliers and made telephone calls to prospective voters suggesting among other things, unsubstantiated claims that McCain was a "Manchurian candidate" and that he had fathered a child out of wedlock with a black New York-based prostitute (an incorrect reference to Bridget McCain, a child he and his wife had adopted from Bangladesh). Bush also drew fire for a speech made at Bob Jones University, a school that still banned interracial dating among its students. [5] But the governor was seen to have the upper hand in a debate hosted by Larry King Live , and he won in South Carolina by nine points. McCain won primaries in Michigan, his home state of Arizona, and the remaining New England states except for Maine, but faced difficulty in appealing to conservative Republican primary voters. This was particularly true in Michigan, where despite winning the primary, McCain lost the GOP vote to Bush by a wide margin. [6] McCain also competed in the Virginia primary, counting on continued crossover support [7] by giving a speech calling out Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell, both leaders of the Christian right, for intolerance. [8] Bush won Virginia easily in spite of this campaign tactic. Bush's subsequent Super Tuesday victories in California, New York and the South made it nearly impossible, mathematically, for McCain to catch up, and he suspended his campaign the next day.

Other candidates included social conservative activist Gary Bauer, businessman Steve Forbes, Utah Senator Orrin Hatch, former ECOSOC Ambassador and Assistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs Alan Keyes, former Tennessee Governor Lamar Alexander, former Red Cross director and cabinet member Elizabeth Dole, Ohio Congressman John Kasich, and former Vice President Dan Quayle. Bauer and Hatch campaigned on a traditional Republican platform of opposition to legalized abortion and reductions in taxes. Keyes had a far more conservative platform, calling for the elimination of all federal taxes except tariffs. Keyes also called for returning to ban homosexuals in the military, while most GOP candidates supported the "don't ask, don't tell" policy. Keyes continued participating in the campaign for nearly all the primaries and continued to appear in the debates with frontrunners McCain and Bush. As in 1996, Forbes campaigned on making the federal income tax non-graduated, an idea he called the flat tax, although he increased his focus on social conservatives in 2000. Although Forbes (who won a few states' primary contests in the 1996 primaries) came a close second to Bush in the Iowa caucuses and even tied with him in the Alaska caucuses, he nor any of these other candidates won a primary.

Candidates

Nominee

CandidateMost recent officeHome stateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular

vote

Contests wonRunning mate
George W. Bush GeorgeWBush (1).jpg Governor of Texas
(1995–2000)
Flag-map of Texas.svg
Texas
Bush Cheney 2000 campaign logo.svg
(CampaignPositions)
Secured nomination:March 14, 2000
12,034,676
(62.00%)
44 Dick Cheney

Withdrew prior to convention

CandidateMost recent officeHome stateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests won
Alan Keyes Alan Keyes (1).jpg Asst. Secretary of State
(1985–1987)
Flag-map of Maryland.svg
Maryland
Alan Keyes 2000 campaign logo.svg

(Campaign)
Withdrew: July 25

985,819
(5.1%)
0

Withdrew during primaries

CandidateMost recent officeHome stateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests won
John McCain John McCain official photo portrait-cropped-background edit.JPG U.S. Senator
from Arizona
(1987–2018)
Flag map of Arizona.svg
Arizona
McCain 2000 campaign logo.svg

(Campaign)
Withdrew: March 9

6,061,332
(31.23%)
7
AZ, CT, MA, MI, NH, RI, VT

Other candidates campaigning for the nomination but receiving less than 1% of the national vote included:

Withdrew before primary elections

Declined to run

National polling

SourceDate George W. Bush John McCain Steve Forbes Elizabeth Dole Dan Quayle Pat Buchanan Other
Gallup Sep. 6–7, 199722%9%10%5%41% [upper-alpha 1]
Gallup May 8–10, 199830%4%7%14%9%3%19% [upper-alpha 2]
Gallup Oct. 23–25, 199839%7%17%12%16% [upper-alpha 3]
Gallup Jan. 8–10, 199942%8%5%22%6%9% [upper-alpha 4]
Gallup Mar. 12–14, 199952%3%1%20%9%4%7% [upper-alpha 5]
Gallup Apr. 13–14, 199953%5%6%16%7%4%4% [upper-alpha 6]
Gallup Apr. 30 – May 2, 199942%4%6%24%6%5%7% [upper-alpha 7]
Gallup May 23–24, 199946%6%5%18%7%6%7% [upper-alpha 8]
Gallup Jun. 4–5, 199946%5%5%14%9%6%6% [upper-alpha 9]
Gallup Jun. 25–27, 199959%5%6%8%6%3%10% [upper-alpha 10]
Gallup Aug. 16–18, 199961%5%4%13%6%3%4% [upper-alpha 11]
Gallup Sep. 10–14, 199962%5%5%10%5%3%5% [upper-alpha 12]
Gallup Oct. 8–10, 199960%8%4%11%3%13% [upper-alpha 13]
Gallup Oct. 21–24, 199968%11%8%6% [upper-alpha 14]
Gallup Nov. 4–7, 199968%12%6%6% [upper-alpha 15]
Gallup Nov. 18–21, 199963%16%6%9% [upper-alpha 16]
Gallup Dec. 9–12, 199964%18%7%8% [upper-alpha 17]
Gallup Dec. 20–21, 199960%17%9%7% [upper-alpha 18]
Gallup Jan. 7–10, 200063%18%5%5% [upper-alpha 19]
Gallup Jan. 13–16, 200061%22%5%6% [upper-alpha 20]
Gallup Jan. 17–19, 200063%19%6%4% [upper-alpha 21]
Gallup Jan. 25–26, 200065%15%7%6% [upper-alpha 22]
Gallup Feb. 4–6, 200056%34%2%3% [upper-alpha 23]
Gallup Feb. 14–15, 200058%31%3% [upper-alpha 24]
Gallup Feb. 20–21, 200058%31%3% [upper-alpha 25]
Gallup Feb. 25–27, 200057%33%4% [upper-alpha 26]
  1. 15% for Jack Kemp, 9% for Christine Whitman, 5% each for Newt Gingrich and Fred Thompson, 3% each for John Ashcroft and Lamar Alexander, and 2% for Bob Smith.
  2. 9% for Jack Kemp, 6% for Newt Gingrich, 2% for Lamar Alexander, and 1% each for Gary Bauer and John Kasich.
  3. 4% each for John Ashcroft, Newt Gingrich, John Kasich, and Lamar Alexander.
  4. 4% for Lamar Alexander, 2% each for Gary Bauer and John Kasich and 1% for Bob Smith.
  5. 3% for John Kasich, 2% for Lamar Alexander, and 1% each for Gary Bauer and Bob Smith.
  6. 2% each for Gary Bauer and John Kasich.
  7. 3% each for Lamar Alexander and Gary Bauer and 1% for John Kasich.
  8. 2% each for Gary Bauer, John Kasich, and Bob Smith, and 1% for Lamar Alexander.
  9. 3% for Lamar Alexander and 1% each for Gary Bauer, John Kasich, and Bob Smith.
  10. 3% for John Kasich, 2% each for Gary Bauer, Lamar Alexander, and Orrin Hatch, and 1% for Bob Smith.
  11. 2% for Gary Bauer and 1% each for Orrin Hatch and Alan Keyes.
  12. 2% each for Gary Bauer and Orrin Hatch and 1% for Alan Keyes.
  13. 5% for John Ashcroft, 3% each for Gary Bauer and Alan Keyes, and 2% for Orrin Hatch.
  14. 3% for Orrin Hatch, 2% for Alan Keyes, and 1% for Gary Bauer
  15. 2% each for Gary Bauer, Orrin Hatch, and Alan Keyes.
  16. 4% for Orrin Hatch, 3% for Gary Bauer, and 2% for Alan Keyes.
  17. 4% for Alan Keyes and 2% each for Gary Bauer and Orrin Hatch.
  18. 4% for Alan Keyes, 2% for Gary Bauer, and 1% for Orrin Hatch.
  19. 2% each for Orrin Hatch and Alan Keyes and 1% for Gary Bauer.
  20. 3% for Alan Keyes, 2% for Gary Bauer, and 1% for Orrin Hatch.
  21. 2% for Gary Bauer and 1% each for Orrin Hatch and Alan Keyes.
  22. 4% for Alan Keyes and 2% for Gary Bauer.
  23. 3% for Alan Keyes.
  24. 3% for Alan Keyes.
  25. 3% for Alan Keyes.
  26. 4% for Alan Keyes.

Results

Statewide

2000 Republican primary and caucus results [9]
DatePledged delegatesState George W. Bush John McCain Alan Keyes Steve Forbes Gary Bauer Orrin Hatch Uncommitted
January 240 Alaska (caucus)36.28%9.52%9.49%36.17%4.78%3.76%-
25 Iowa (caucus)41.01%
(10)
4.67%
(1)
14.25%
(4)
30.51%
(8)
8.54%
(2)
1.02%-
February 117 New Hampshire (primary)30.36%
(5)
48.53%
(10)
6.37%12.66%
(2)
0.69%0.07%-
February 7–1314 Hawaii (caucus)------
(14)
February 812 Delaware (primary)50.73%
(12)
25.41%3.82%19.57%0.40%0.07%-
February 1937 South Carolina (primary)53.39%
(34)
41.87%
(3)
4.54%0.08%0.11%0.01%-
February 22

(88)

30 Arizona (primary)35.68%60.03%
(30)
3.56%0.38%0.05%0.20%-
58 Michigan (primary)43.05%
(6)
50.97%
(52)
4.62%0.38%0.21%0.07%0.68%
Feb 23–Mar 21
(17)
17 Nevada (caucus)------
(17)
February 26

(12)

4 American Samoa (caucus)?%
(4)
------
4 Guam (caucus)?%
(4)
------
4 Virgin Islands (caucus)?%
(4)
------
February 2714 Puerto Rico (primary)94.21%
(14)
5.29%0.05%0.23%0.04%-
February 29

(87)

56 Virginia (primary)52.79%
(56)
43.89%3.07%0.12%0.13%-
12 Washington (primary)48.26%
(7)
47.98%
(5)
2.53%0.62%0.34%0.27%-
19 North Dakota (caucus)75.72%
(14)
18.94%
(4)
5.31%
(1)
-0.03%
March 7

(605)
(Super Tuesday)

162 California (primary)52.21%
(162)
42.87%4.10%0.35%0.25%0.22%-
25 Connecticut (primary)46.28%48.74%
(25)
3.30%0.69%0.21%0.10%0.67%
54 Georgia (primary)66.93%
(54)
27.84%4.61%0.26%0.31%0.06%-
14 Maine (primary)51.03%
(14)
44.00%3.09%0.47%0.34%-
31 Maryland (primary)56.23%
(31)
36.16%6.65%0.45%0.35%0.16%-
37 Massachusetts (primary)31.78%64.81%
(37)
2.52%0.28%0.22%0.05%0.26%
34 Minnesota (caucus)63%
(34)
17%20%-
35 Missouri (primary)57.93%
(35)
35.31%5.74%0.43%0.22%0.08%0.28%
93 New York (primary)50.30%
(67)
43.50%
(26)
3.60%2.60%--
(8)
69 Ohio (primary)57.99%
(63)
36.98%
(6)
3.95%0.64%0.44-
14 Rhode Island (primary)36.43%60.18%
(14)
2.55%0.25%0.10%0.10%0.32%
12 Vermont (primary)35.33%60.29%
(12)
2.66%0.76%0.36%-
25 Washington (caucus)82.15%
(25)
12.88%4.97%-
March 10

(91)

22 Wyoming (caucus)77.62%
(21)
10.29%
(1)
11.66%-
40 Colorado (primary)64.71%
(28)
27.12%
(12)
6.57%0.66%0.66%0.28%-
29 Utah (primary)63.28%
(29)
14.04%21.27%0.94%0.47%-
March 14

(341)

80 Florida (primary)73.80%
(80)
19.94%4.63%0.94%0.50%0.20%-
29 Louisiana (primary)83.60%
(29)
8.91%5.73%1.01%0.75%-
33 Mississippi (primary)88%
(33)
5.45%5.63%0.51%0.41%0.12%-
38 Oklahoma (primary)79.15%
(38)
10.39%9.29%0.85%0.32%-
37 Tennessee (primary)77.02%
(37)
14.53%6.75%0.410.52%0.10%0.63%
124 Texas (primary)87.54%
(124)
7.11%3.86%0.25%0.19%0.12%0.85%
March 2164 Illinois (primary)67.40%
(64)
21.54%8.97%1.40%0.69%-
(10)
April 4

(115)

78 Pennsylvania (primary)72.47%
(78)
22.36%1.09%2.48%1.35%-
37 Wisconsin (primary)69.24%
(37)
18.09%9.87%1.11%0.37%0.35%0.70%
May 2
(107)
30 Indiana (primary)81.17%
(30)
18.83%--
(25)
62 North Carolina (primary)78.60%
(49)
10.86%
(7)
7.85%
(5)
1.03%
(1)
-1.67%
15 Washington, D.C. (primary)72.79%
(15)
24.37%
May 9
(48)
30 Nebraska (primary)78.15%
(30)
15.11%6.50%-
18 West Virginia (primary)79.57%
(18)
12.91%4.76%1.58%1.18%-
May 1624 Oregon (primary)83.62%
(21)
13.37%
(3)
-
May 23

(112)

24 Arkansas (primary)80.23%
(19)
19.77%
(5)
-
22 Idaho (primary)73.45%
(16)
19.10%
(4)
-7.45%
(8)
31 Kentucky (primary)82.98%
(31)
6.33%4.75%1.30%2.64%2.00%
35 Kansas (caucus)?%
(35)
 ?% ?% ?% ?%
June 6

(164)

44 Alabama (primary)84.24%
(44)
11.52%-4.24%
23 Montana (primary)77.59%
(23)
18.32%-4.10%
54 New Jersey (primary)83.56%
(54)
16.44%-
21 New Mexico (primary)82.63%
(21)
10.13%6.45%-0.80%
22 South Dakota (primary)78.22%
(22)
13.75%7.68%

Nationwide

Popular vote result: [10]

Notable endorsements

Note: Some of the endorsers switched positions.

George W. Bush
John McCain
Steve Forbes
Alan Keyes
Orrin Hatch
Lamar Alexander
Dan Quayle
John Kasich

See also

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