2022 Alabama gubernatorial election

Last updated

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election
Flag of Alabama.svg
  2018 November 8, 2022 2026  
Turnout38.50% Decrease2.svg
  Alabama Air National Guard promotes first female brigadier general (8) (cropped).jpg
Nominee Kay Ivey Yolanda Flowers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote946,932412,961
Percentage66.91%29.18%

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
2022 Alabama Gubernatorial Election by congressional district (accurate results).svg
2022 AL Gov.svg
Ivey:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Flowers:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

Governor before election

Kay Ivey
Republican

Elected Governor

Kay Ivey
Republican

The 2022 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert J. Bentley (R) and won a full term in 2018. In 2022, she won her bid for a second full term in a landslide. [1]

Contents

Primary elections in Alabama were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate received 50% plus one vote were scheduled for June 21. A runoff was avoided in the Republican primary, with Ivey winning outright. The Democratic primary advanced to a runoff between Malika Sanders-Fortier and Yolanda Flowers, with Flowers winning the Democratic nomination.

Voter turnout for Alabama's 2022 governor election dropped significantly from its 2018 governor race, with only 38.5% of registered voters turning out. This was also far below Alabama's 63.1% turnout in the 2020 presidential race. Alabama's neighboring state Tennessee also saw a huge drop in voter turnout this midterm cycle.

This was the first gubernatorial election in Alabama history in which both major party nominees were women. Flowers was also the first Black female gubernatorial nominee in Alabama. [2] Governor Ivey was sworn in for her second full term on January 16, 2023.

This is the only gubernatorial election in the 2020s to date to be won by a member of the Silent Generation. This election saw the worst performance of a Democratic Party nominee in the state's history. This is also the first gubernatorial election in which Marengo County voted Republican.

Republican primary

Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary. Lynda C. Blanchard official photo.jpg
Former U.S. Ambassador Lynda Blanchard finished second in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Lynda Blanchard
Individuals
  • James Henderson, head of Christian Pro-Life Council, radio show host and former pastor [23]
  • Mike Lindell, founder of MyPillow and conspiracy theorist [24]
Organizations
Lew Burdette
Individuals
  • Randy Howell, competitive fisherman and 2014 Bassmaster Classic winner [26]
  • Leland Whaley, conservative talk radio host of Leland Live [27]
  • Yaffee, conservative talk radio host of The Yaffee Program and Yellowhammer News contributor [28]
Kay Ivey
State executives
State senators
State representatives
Mayors
Law enforcement
  • 31 county sheriffs and police chiefs [39]
Organizations
PACs
Tim James
State senators
State representatives
Individuals
Political parties
Organizations
PACs
  • Coal Miners Political Action Committee [63]
Dean Odle
Individuals
Newspapers
  • The Highland Park Review [66]
Businesses
  • Pigfarm Gun Range [67]
Organizations
  • Alabama First Alliance [68]
  • South Alabama Republican Assembly [69]
  • Stand for Health Freedom [70]
Dave Thomas
Organizations
  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition [71]
  • Alabama Republicans Against Marijuana Prohibition [71]

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Republican gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
Blanchard BurdetteGeorge Ivey James JonesOdle Thomas Young
1 [72] Jan 19, 2022 Enterprise Coffee County Republican WomenJan White Facebook (1)
Facebook (2)
PAAAPAPAA
2 [73] Feb 01, 2022 Huntsville Republican Women of HuntsvilleTerri Terrell YouTube PPAAPAPAA
3 [74] Feb 10, 2022 Fairhope Eastern Shore Republican WomenJeff PoorN/APPAAPPPPP
4 [75] Feb 10, 2022 Dothan Houston County Republican PartyBrandon Shoupe Facebook PAAAPAPAA
5 [76] Feb 28, 2022 Greenville Butler County Republican PartyN/AN/APPAAPAPAA
6 [77] Mar 07, 2022 Athens Athens-Limestone Republican WomenTracy SmithN/APAAAPAPAA
7 [78] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTube PPAAPAPPA
8 [79] Apr 12, 2022 Cullman Cullman County Republican WomenCharlotte Covert YouTube PPAAPPPPA
9 [80] Apr 26, 2022 Huntsville Focus on AmericaScott Beason
Rebecca Rogers
Facebook PPAAPPPPA
10 [81] May 11, 2022 Prattville Autauga County Republican Party John Wahl Facebook PPAAAPPAA
11 [82] May 14, 2022 Vestavia Hills Mid Alabama Republican ClubN/AN/APPAAAAPAP

Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Dean
Odle
Dean
Young
Other
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
Real Clear Politics May 15–21, 2022May 24, 202214.3%7.7%49.3%18.0%2.7%1.3%5.7%Ivey +31.3
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Lynda
Blanchard
Lew
Burdette
Stacy
George
Kay
Ivey
Tim
James
Donald
Jones
Dean
Odle
Dave
Thomas
Dean
Young
Jim
Zeigler
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) May 18–21, 20221,060 (LV)± 2.9%17%7%47%17%3%3%1%6%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] May 16–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%17%8%45%18%4%9%
Cygnal (R) May 15–16, 2022634 (LV)± 3.9%13%8%48%16%2%0%2%11%
Emerson College May 15–16, 2022706 (LV)± 3.6%11%7%0%46%17%0%3%0%0%15%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] May 9–12, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%15%8%52%15%3%7%
Cygnal (R) May 6–7, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%15%6%40%18%4%1%4%14%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] April 18–20, 2022600 (LV)± 4.1%14%57%12%5%12%
Emerson College March 25–27, 2022687 (LV)± 3.7%8%4%0%48%11%1%1%2%2%22%
Cygnal (R) March 16–17, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%2%46%12%5%3%21%
Wisemen Consulting (R) March 15–17, 2022905 (LV)± 3.4%12%2%1%58%16%<1%1%<1%<1%9%
McLaughlin & Associates (R) [upper-alpha 1] March 10–13, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%11%1%60%14%14%
1892 Polling (R) [upper-alpha 2] March 8–10, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%8%60%13%6%13%
The Tarrance Group (R) [upper-alpha 2] February 28 – March 2, 2022600 (RV)± 4.1%10%61%13%4%12%
Cherry Communications (R) [upper-alpha 3] February 2–6, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%10%55%11%2%22%
Cygnal (R) August 17–18, 2021600 (LV)± 4.0%42%4%3%9%9%34%

Primary results

Results by county:
Ivey
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
70-80% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Ivey
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 357,069 54.45%
Republican Lynda Blanchard 126,20219.25%
Republican Tim James 106,18116.19%
Republican Lew Burdette42,9246.55%
Republican Dean Odle11,7671.79%
Republican Donald Trent Jones3,8210.58%
Republican Dave Thomas 2,8860.44%
Republican Stacy Lee George2,5460.39%
Republican Dean Young2,3560.36%
Total votes655,752 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Yolanda Rochelle Flowers, activist, retired rehabilitation specialist and educator [84] [85] [86]

Eliminated in runoff

Eliminated in primary

  • Patricia Salter Jamieson, nurse and licensed minister [84]
  • Arthur Kennedy, Army veteran and educator [11] [88]
  • Chad "Chig" Martin, small business owner, musician and independent candidate for governor in 2018 [89] (switched from independent) [90] [91]
  • Doug "New Blue" Smith, developmental economist, retired corporate attorney and perennial candidate [10] [11] [92]

Failed to qualify

  • Christopher A. Countryman, equality activist, licensed minister, motivational speaker, former juvenile corrections officer and candidate for governor in 2018 [93]

Declined

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers
Malika Sanders-Fortier
Organizations
  • Alabama New South Alliance [96]

First round

Debates and forums

2022 Alabama Democratic gubernatorial primary debates and forums
No.DateLocationHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P Participant   A Absent   N Non-invitee   I Invitee W  Withdrawn
FlowersKennedyMartinSalter Sanders-
Fortier
Smith
1 [78] Mar 10, 2022 Hoover LOCAL AlabamaAllison Sinclair
Stephanie Smith
YouTube PPPPPP
2 [97] Apr 07, 2022 Fort Payne DeKalb County Democratic PartyN/AN/APAPAAP
3 [98] Apr 22, 2022 Dothan Houston County Democratic PartyN/AN/APPPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Yolanda
Flowers
Patricia
Jamieson
Arthur
Kennedy
Chad
Martin
Malika
Sanders-Fortier
Doug
Smith
Undecided
Emerson College May 15–16, 2022294 (LV)± 5.7%29%2%5%7%5%3%49%
Emerson College March 25–27, 2022359 (LV)± 5.1%11%3%7%4%8%8%59%

Results

Results by county:
Flowers
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
Sanders-Fortier
20-30%
30-40%
40-50%
50-60%
60-70%
Jamieson
60-70%
Martin
30-40% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg
Results by county:
  Flowers
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  Jamieson
  •   60–70%
  Martin
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 56,991 33.88%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 54,699 32.52%
Democratic Patricia Jamieson Salter19,69111.71%
Democratic Arthur Kennedy15,6309.29%
Democratic Doug Smith11,8617.05%
Democratic Chad Martin9,3525.56%
Total votes168,224 100.0%

Runoff

Results

Runoff results by county:
Flowers
50-60%
60-70%
70-80%
80-90%
Tie
Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
Sanders-Fortier
50-60%
60-70% 2022 Alabama gubernatorial Democratic primary runoff election results map by county.svg
Runoff results by county:
  Flowers
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  •   80-90%
  Tie
  •   Flowers / Sanders-Fortier 50%
  Sanders-Fortier
  •   50-60%
  •   60-70%
Democratic primary runoff results [83]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers 32,529 55.14%
Democratic Malika Sanders-Fortier 26,46944.86%
Total votes58,998 100.0%

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian nomination

No primary was held for the Libertarian Party, and candidates were instead nominated by the party. [99]

Nominee

Independent candidates

Declared

  • Jared Budlong, marketing project manager (write-in campaign) [100]
  • Dean Odle, pastor, author and former Republican primary candidate (write-in campaign) [101]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [102] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections [103] Solid RMarch 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball [104] Safe RJanuary 26, 2022
Politico [105] Solid RApril 1, 2022
RCP [106] Safe RJanuary 10, 2022
Fox News [107] Solid RMay 12, 2022
538 [108] Solid RJune 30, 2022
Elections Daily [109] Safe RNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Yolanda Flowers (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Jimmy Blake (L)
Organizations
  • Alabama Cannabis Coalition [113]
  • LetBamaVote.org [114]
Dean Odle (write-in)
Organizations
  • Stand for Health Freedom [115]

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size [lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Kay
Ivey (R)
Yolanda
Flowers (D)
Jimmy
Blake (L)
OtherUndecided
Cygnal (R) October 27–29, 2022616 (LV)± 3.94%60%25%5%--

Results

2022 Alabama gubernatorial election swing map by county.svg
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election trend map by county.svg
2022 Alabama gubernatorial election [116]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Kay Ivey (incumbent) 946,932 66.91% +7.45%
Democratic Yolanda Rochelle Flowers412,96129.18%-11.21%
Libertarian James D. "Jimmy" Blake45,9583.25%N/A
Write-in 9,4320.67%+0.52%
Total votes1,415,283 100.0%
Turnout 1,419,71838.50%
Registered electors 3,687,753
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by ForestPAC, a wing of the Alabama Forestry Association, which supports Ivey
  2. 1 2 3 Poll sponsored by Ivey's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by FarmPAC, a wing of the Alabama Farmers Federation

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Kay Ivey</span> Governor of Alabama since 2017

Kay Ellen Ivey is an American politician who is the 54th governor of Alabama, serving since 2017. Originally a conservative Southern Democrat, Ivey became a member of the Republican Party in 2002. She was the 38th Alabama state treasurer from 2003 to 2011 and the 30th lieutenant governor of Alabama from 2011 to 2017.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">State Auditor of Alabama</span>

The state auditor of Alabama is constitutionally required to make a complete report to the governor of Alabama showing the receipts and disbursement of every character, all claims audited and paid out, and all taxes and revenues collected and paid into the treasury. The office also makes other reports to the governor and the Alabama Legislature as the law requires. Since 1969, the office has been responsible for maintaining all property records of all non-consumable property of the State of Alabama. Until 1899 the office was responsible for maintaining all land records of the state when at that time, that function was transferred to the Alabama Forestry Commission. A separate Office of Public Examiners administers audits conducted by the state.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Tim James (Alabama politician)</span> American politician (born 1962)

Tim James is an American businessman and political candidate from Alabama. The son of former Alabama Governor Fob James, James is a toll road developer and contractor currently serving as the president of Tim James Inc., an infrastructure company. He sought and lost the Republican Party nomination for governor of Alabama three times, finishing third in the Republican primaries in 2002, 2010 and 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2016 United States Senate election in Alabama</span>

The 2016 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2020 United States Senate election in Alabama</span>

The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.

Jim Zeigler is an American lawyer and politician who served as state auditor of Alabama from 2015 to 2023. Before becoming state auditor, he served on the Alabama Public Service Commission from 1974 to 1978.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Alabama gubernatorial election</span>

The 2018 Alabama gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey (R), who took office on April 10, 2017, upon the resignation of Robert Bentley (R) ran for election to a full term and won over Tuscaloosa mayor Walt Maddox. Ivey was sworn in for her first full term on January 14, 2019. This was the first time since 1966 that a woman was elected Governor of Alabama.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2018 Alabama elections</span>

A general election was held in the U.S. state of Alabama on November 6, 2018. All Alabama executive officers were up for election along with all of Alabama's seven seats in the United States House of Representatives. Primary elections took place on June 5, 2018, for both major parties.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States Senate election in Alabama</span>

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama. Incumbent senator Richard Shelby was first elected in 1986 and re-elected in 1992 as a Democrat before becoming a Republican in 1994. In his most recent election in 2016, he was re-elected with nearly 64% of the vote over Democrat Ron Crumpton. In February 2021, Shelby announced that he would not seek re-election to a seventh term, which resulted in the first open Senate seat since 1996 and the first in this seat since 1968.

Timothy Ivan Melson is an American politician and physician. A member of the Republican Party, he serves in the Alabama State Senate, representing its 1st district since 2014.

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Will Ainsworth is an American politician serving as the 31st lieutenant governor of Alabama since 2019. He previously served in the Alabama House of Representatives from 2014 to 2018, representing its 27th district.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Andrew Sorrell</span> American politician (born 1985 or 1986)

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama</span>

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the seven U.S. representatives from the state of Alabama, one from each of the state's seven congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alabama Attorney General election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alabama Secretary of State election</span>

The 2022 Alabama Secretary of State election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next secretary of state of Alabama. Incumbent Republican Secretary of State John Merrill was term-limited and could not run for a third term.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alabama House of Representatives election</span>

The 2022 Alabama House of Representatives elections were held on November 8, 2022. The Republican and Democratic primaries were held on May 24, 2022, and any races in which no candidate exceeded one-half plus one of the total votes advanced to a runoff on June 21, 2022. This was the first election cycle since 2002 in which the Libertarian Party of Alabama was on the ballot, as they exceeded the threshold for petition signatures needed to gain ballot access in Alabama. Libertarian candidates were nominated by party convention. All 105 of Alabama's state representatives were up for reelection. In Alabama, members of both the House of Representatives and the Senate serve four-year terms, running in years corresponding with presidential midterm elections.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alabama Senate election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2022 Alabama lieutenant gubernatorial election</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Alabama</span>

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<span class="mw-page-title-main">2026 Alabama gubernatorial election</span> Election for Governor of Alabama

The 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Alabama. Incumbent Governor Kay Ivey is term-limited and ineligible to seek a third full consecutive term. She took office on April 10, 2017 upon the resignation of fellow Republican Robert J. Bentley and won full terms in 2018 and 2022.

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