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Paul: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Booker: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Kentucky |
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Government |
The 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent Kentucky. Incumbent Republican Rand Paul won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Charles Booker with 61.8% of the vote.
Paul was first elected in 2010 with 55.7% of the vote, filling the seat of retiring Jim Bunning, then re-elected in 2016 with 57.3% of the vote. Paul ran for a third term. [1] Booker is a former state representative and a candidate in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate in 2020. The election was called for Paul shortly after polls closed in the state. [2]
This was the biggest landslide victory for a U.S. Senate race in Kentucky since Mitch McConnell's win in 2002.
Although Rand Paul supports a Constitutional amendment limiting Senators to two terms, he said, "I'm not in favor of term limits for some and not others. So I'm not in favor of people self-imposing term limits. I'm a co-sponsor of the constitutional amendment, but I will run again in 2022." [1] Kentucky held its primary election on May 17. [3]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rand Paul (incumbent) | 333,051 | 86.35% | |
Republican | Valerie Frederick | 14,018 | 3.63% | |
Republican | Paul V. Hamilton | 13,473 | 3.49% | |
Republican | Arnold Blankenship | 10,092 | 2.62% | |
Republican | Tami Stanfield | 9,526 | 2.47% | |
Republican | John Schiess | 5,538 | 1.44% | |
Total votes | 385,698 | 100.0% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Charles Booker | 214,245 | 73.29% | |
Democratic | Joshua Blanton Sr. | 30,980 | 10.60% | |
Democratic | John Merrill | 28,931 | 9.90% | |
Democratic | Ruth Gao | 18,154 | 6.21% | |
Total votes | 292,310 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report [33] | Solid R | November 19, 2021 |
Inside Elections [34] | Solid R | January 7, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball [35] | Safe R | November 3, 2021 |
Politico [36] | Solid R | October 18, 2022 |
RCP [37] | Safe R | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News [38] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
DDHQ [39] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538 [40] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist [41] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Rand Paul (R) | Charles Booker (D) | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | January 19–22, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 55% | 39% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size [lower-alpha 1] | Margin of error | Rand Paul (R) | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mason-Dixon | February 1–4, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 41% | 12% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Rand Paul (incumbent) | 913,326 | 61.80% | +4.53% | |
Democratic | Charles Booker | 564,311 | 38.19% | -4.54% | |
Write-in | 193 | 0.01% | +0.01% | ||
Total votes | 1,477,830 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Republican hold | |||||
Paul won 5 of 6 congressional districts. [58]
District | Paul | Booker | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 71% | 29% | James Comer |
2nd | 68% | 32% | Brett Guthrie |
3rd | 40% | 60% | John Yarmuth (117th Congress) |
Morgan McGarvey (118th Congress) | |||
4th | 66% | 34% | Thomas Massie |
5th | 75% | 25% | Hal Rogers |
6th | 54% | 46% | Andy Barr |
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Mr. McConnell said he backed Mr. Paul's re-election bid this year.
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