1976 Progressive Conservative leadership election

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1976 Progressive Conservative Party leadership election
Flag of Canada (Pantone).svg
  1967 February 22, 1976 1983  
  The Right Hon. Charles Joseph Clark, P.C., M.P (3x4).jpg
CW
Brian Mulroney (cropped).jpg
Candidate Joe Clark Claude Wagner Brian Mulroney
Fourth ballotdelegate count1,187
(51.4%)
1,122
(48.6%)
Eliminated
Third ballotdelegate count969
(41.4%)
1,003
(42.8%)
369
(15.8%)
Second ballotdelegate count532
(22.8%)
667
(28.5%)
419
(17.9%)
First ballotdelegate count277
(11.7%)
531
(22.5%)
357
(15.1%)

 
JH
Paul Hellyer portrait.jpg Flora MacDonald 1979 (cropped).jpg
Candidate Jack Horner Paul Hellyer Flora MacDonald
Fourth ballotdelegate countWithdrewWithdrewWithdrew
Third ballotdelegate countWithdrewWithdrewWithdrew
Second ballotdelegate count286
(12.2%)
118
(5.1%)
239
(10.2%)
First ballotdelegate count235
(10.0%)
231
(9.8%)
214
(9.1%)

Leader before election

Robert Stanfield

Elected Leader

Joe Clark

1976 Progressive Conservative leadership election
DateFebruary 22, 1976
Convention Ottawa Civic Centre, Ottawa, Ontario
Resigning leader Robert Stanfield
Won by Joe Clark
Ballots4
Candidates11
Spending limitNone
Progressive Conservative leadership conventions
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The 1976 Progressive Conservative leadership election was held at the Ottawa Civic Centre in Ottawa on February 22, 1976, [1] to elect a leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada to replace Robert Stanfield, who had resigned after losing the 1968, 1972, and 1974 elections. It unexpectedly elected Joe Clark, a 36-year-old, little-known PC Member of Parliament from Alberta as the party's new leader. Clark defeated Claude Wagner on the fourth ballot of the convention by a margin of 65 votes. [1]

Contents

The convention's delegates were elected by the party's riding associations, along with the party's youth, campus and women's associations. There were also numerous ex officio delegates, including PC Members of Parliament, defeated candidates from the previous election, members of provincial legislatures, members of the party's national executive and the executives of provincial parties affiliated to the federal party. Delegates cast secret ballots, so their votes were not "tied" to any candidate. After each ballot, the candidate winning the fewest votes was removed from the ballot for the next round. Several candidates withdrew voluntarily when it became clear that they would not be able to win.

Candidates

Richard Quittenton, president of St. Clair College in Windsor, had also been a candidate but withdrew before the first ballot and endorsed Wagner.

Results

The first ballot was widely expected to be a close contest between Wagner and MacDonald, though it was thought unlikely that either of them would have a decisive lead. The result proved a shock to everyone at the convention, as while Wagner did about as well as had been expected, MacDonald did far worse than even the most pessimistic predictions had indicated, coming in sixth place; the phenomenon of delegates promising their votes to one candidate and then voting for another has become known in Canadian politics as the "Flora Syndrome". Mulroney was slightly ahead of the rest of the chasing pack, but still over seven percentage points behind Wagner, who was now the clear front-runner. Grafftey was automatically eliminated after finishing in last place, with Gillies and Stevens dropping out of their own accord; all three endorsed Clark.

While Wagner extended his delegate count on the second ballot, Clark saw the most dramatic improvement in his delegate count, nearly doubling it from the first round. Mulroney dropped down to third place and made only minimal gains. MacDonald, having remained on the second ballot in the hope that she might pick up some Red Tory delegates from the candidates who dropped out, likewise earned only a small number of extra delegates; realizing that the situation was hopeless and that she would most likely be eliminated next if she remained on the ballot, she withdrew and threw her support behind Clark, as did Fraser, who was automatically eliminated in this round. Nowlan withdrew and initially intended to endorse Horner, but the latter, sensing that the momentum was with Clark, persuaded Nowlan that they should both endorse Wagner to prevent a split in the right-wing vote. Hellyer followed their lead and also endorsed Wagner.

The third round had Wagner continuing to lead, but only barely, with both he and Clark having picked up large numbers of delegates since the previous round, albeit Clark having done slightly better in that regard. Conversely, any momentum that Mulroney had completely stalled, causing him to actually lose delegates and be automatically eliminated. While it was now clear that Mulroney was in a position to be the kingmaker, he simply left the convention after his elimination was announced and did not endorse either Wagner or Clark; this created an unpredictable scenario, as about half of Mulroney's delegates were favourable to Wagner because he was a fellow Quebecer, while the remaining half were favourable to Clark due to his political positions being closer to Mulroney's.

Ultimately, Mulroney's delegates were sufficiently favourable to Clark to afford him a narrow victory on the final ballot. Clark's majority over Wagner was just 2.8%, making this the most closely contested election for the leadership of a major Canadian political party until that point, surpassed in the years since only by Andrew Scheer's victory over Maxime Bernier (with a majority of 1.9%) in the 2017 Conservative Party of Canada leadership election.

Delegate support by ballot
Candidate1st ballot2nd ballot3rd ballot4th ballot
Votes cast %Votes cast %Votes cast %Votes cast %
CLARK, Charles Joseph (Joe) 27711.7%53222.8%96941.4%1,18751.4%
WAGNER, Claude 53122.5%66728.5%1,00342.8%1,12248.6%
Brian Mulroney 2011.jpg MULRONEY, Martin Brian 35715.1%41917.9%36915.8%Eliminated; Did not endorse
HORNER, John Henry (Jack) 23510.0%28612.2%Endorsed Wagner [1]
Paul Hellyer portrait.jpg HELLYER, Paul Theodore 2319.8%1185.1%Endorsed Wagner [1]
MACDONALD, Flora Isabel 2149.1%23910.2%Endorsed Clark [1]
FRASER, John Allen 1275.4%341.5%Endorsed Clark [1]
NOWLAN, John Patrick (Pat) 863.6%421.8%Endorsed Wagner [1] [2]
Sinclair Stevens photo by Djuradj Vujcic.jpg STEVENS, Sinclair McKnight 1827.7%Endorsed Clark [1]
GILLIES, James McPhail 873.7%Endorsed Clark [1]
GRAFFTEY, William Heward 331.4%Endorsed Clark [1]
Total2,360100.0%2,337100.0%2,341100.0%2,309100.0%
First round
Wagner
22.50%
Mulroney
15.13%
Clark
11.74%
Horner
9.96%
Hellyer
9.79%
MacDonald
9.07%
Stevens
7.71%
Fraser
5.38%
Gillies
3.69%
Nowlan
3.64%
Grafftey
1.40%
Second round
Wagner
28.54%
Clark
22.76%
Mulroney
17.93%
Horner
12.24%
MacDonald
10.23%
Hellyer
5.05%
Nowlan
1.80%
Fraser
1.45%
Third round
Wagner
42.84%
Clark
41.39%
Mulroney
15.76%
Fourth round
Clark
51.41%
Wagner
48.59%

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 "Albertan wins by 65 votes". Globe and Mail. February 23, 1976.
  2. 1 2 3 4 "Clark signs sprang up like daisies: Once-favored Mulroney out on third ballot, refused to tell backers whom to support". Globe and Mail. February 23, 1976.

See also