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All 25 seats of the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly 13 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 80.7 ( 0.9 pp) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday 4 June 1994, and was won by the incumbent Country Liberal Party (CLP). Marshall Perron continued as Chief Minister.
Independent Noel Padgham-Purich retained her seat of Nelson while Independent Denis Collins lost his seat of Greatorex to the CLP.
17 | 1 | 7 |
CLP | Ind | Labor |
Party | Votes | % | +/– | Seats | +/– | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Country Liberal | 38,266 | 51.91 | 3.08 | 17 | +3 | |
Labor | 30,507 | 41.38 | 4.74 | 7 | -2 | |
Independents | 4,338 | 5.88 | 0.90 | 1 | -1 | |
Greens | 552 | 0.75 | 2.30 | 0 | ±0 | |
Democrats | 58 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 | |
Total | 73,721 | 100.00 | – | 25 | – | |
Valid votes | 73,721 | 96.19 | ||||
Invalid/blank votes | 2,917 | 3.81 | +0.7 | |||
Total votes | 76,638 | 100.00 | – | |||
Registered voters/turnout | 95,007 | 80.67 | -0.9 | |||
Country Liberal | 41,485 | 56.27 | ||||
Labor | 32,236 | 43.73 | ||||
Total | 73,721 | 100.00 |
Sitting members are listed in bold. Successful candidates are highlighted in the relevant colour.
Seat | Pre-1994 | Swing | Post-1994 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Member | Margin | Margin | Member | Party | ||||
Greatorex | Independent | Denis Collins | 2.5 | 14.8 | 12.3 | Richard Lim | Country Liberal | ||
Millner | Labor | Ken Parish | 6.7 | 7.9 | 1.2 | Phil Mitchell | Country Liberal | ||
Victoria River | Labor | Gary Cartwright | 1.5 | 5.9 | 4.4 | Tim Baldwin | Country Liberal |
The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. The pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in the Legislative Assembly according to the percentage point margin they are held by on a two-party-preferred basis. This is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted.
Country Liberal seats | |||
Marginal | |||
Millner | Phil Mitchell | CLP | 1.2 |
Jingili | Rick Setter | CLP | 4.3 |
Karama | Mick Palmer | CLP | 4.3 |
Victoria River | Tim Baldwin | CLP | 4.4 |
Casuarina | Peter Adamson | CLP | 5.4 |
Fairly safe | |||
Fannie Bay | Marshall Perron | CLP | 7.9 |
Sanderson | Daryl Manzie | CLP | 7.1 |
Nightcliff | Stephen Hatton | CLP | 9.6 |
Safe | |||
Leanyer | Fred Finch | CLP | 10.1 |
Brennan | Denis Burke | CLP | 11.9 |
Greatorex | Richard Lim | CLP | 12.3 |
Port Darwin | Shane Stone | CLP | 12.7 |
Palmerston | Barry Coulter | CLP | 12.9 |
Goyder | Terry McCarthy | CLP | 15.8 |
Very safe | |||
Araluen | Eric Poole | CLP | 20.1 |
Katherine | Mike Reed | CLP | 20.6 |
Braitling | Loraine Braham | CLP | 21.0 |
Labor seats | |||
Marginal | |||
Barkly | Maggie Hickey | ALP | 1.6 |
Wanguri | John Bailey | ALP | 1.6 |
Stuart | Brian Ede | ALP | 1.8 |
Nhulunbuy | Syd Stirling | ALP | 4.6 |
Fairly safe | |||
Safe | |||
Arafura | Maurice Rioli | ALP | 15.3 |
Macdonnell | Neil Bell | ALP | 15.9 |
Very safe | |||
Arnhem | Wes Lanhupuy | ALP | 24.5 |
Independent seats | |||
Nelson | Noel Padgham-Purich | IND | 3.1 v CLP |
A general election was held in the Northern Territory, Australia, on 18 June 2005. The centre-left Labor Party, led by Chief Minister Clare Martin, won a second term with a landslide victory, winning six of the ten seats held by the opposition Country Liberal Party in the 25-member Northern Territory Legislative Assembly, bringing their total to 19. It was the second largest victory in any Northern Territory election. The only larger majority in the history of the Territory was in the first election, in 1974. In that contest, the CLP won 17 of the 19 seats in the chamber, and faced only two independents as opposition.
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A general election was held in the Northern Territory on Saturday August 30, 1997, and was won by the incumbent Country Liberal Party (CLP).
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The 2016 Northern Territory general election was held on Saturday 27 August 2016 to elect all 25 members of the Legislative Assembly in the unicameral Northern Territory Parliament.
The following is a pendulum based on the outcome of the 2010 federal election and changes since, including the redistributions of seats in South Australia and Victoria. It is a Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras, which works by lining up all of the seats held in Parliament according to the percentage point margin on a two-candidate-preferred basis. The two-party result is also known as the swing required for the seat to change hands. Given a uniform swing to the opposition or government parties in an election, the number of seats that change hands can be predicted. Swings are never uniform, but in practice variations of swing among the Australian states usually tend to cancel each other out. Seats are arranged in safeness categories according to the Australian Electoral Commission's (AEC) classification of safeness. "Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent. The swings for South Australian and Victorian seats are notional, based on calculations by the AEC.
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The following pendulum is known as the Mackerras pendulum, invented by psephologist Malcolm Mackerras. Based upon the outcome of the 2007 federal election and changes before the 2010 election, the pendulum works by lining up all of the seats held in Parliament, 83 Labor, 55 Liberal, 9 National, and 3 independent, according to the percentage point margin on a two party preferred basis.
This is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2016 Australian federal election.
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The Mackerras pendulum was devised by the Australian psephologist Malcolm Mackerras as a way of predicting the outcome of an election contested between two major parties in a Westminster style lower house legislature such as the Australian House of Representatives, which is composed of single-member electorates and which uses a preferential voting system such as a Condorcet method or IRV.
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