Kaduwela Polling Division

Kaduwela
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6°54′08″N79°58′44″E / 6.902157°N 79.978949°E / 6.902157; 79.978949
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Colombo Electoral District
Area
• Total	93.17 km2 (35.97 sq mi)
Population  (2012) [1]
• Total	252,041
• Density	2,705/km2 (7,010/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-01J

The Kaduwela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Kaduwela		Colombo Electoral District		MAE [2]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [3]  %
2019		SLPP		SLPP	11.96%		SLPP	12.95%
2015		UPFA		NDF	6.95%		NDF	2.55%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	9.07%		UPFA	3.84%
2005		UPFA		UNP	9.75%		UPFA	7.24%
1999		PA		PA	6.64%		PA	5.08%
1994		PA		PA	2.72%		PA	5.16%
1988		SLFP		UNP	8.04%		UNP	9.26%
1982		UNP		UNP	8.13%		UNP	4.30%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/8		7/8		7.91%	8/8		6.30%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [4]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLPP		98,807	65.35%		727,713	53.19%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NDF		41,747	27.61%		559,921	40.92%		5,564,239	41.99%
	NMPP		7,605	5.03%		53,803	3.93%		418,553	3.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		3,029	2.00%		26,740	1.95%		345,452	2.61%
Valid Votes		151,188		99.02%	1,368,177		98.89%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		1,498		0.98%	15,333		1.11%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		152,686		83.08%	1,383,510		82.82%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		183,787			1,670,403			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [5]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		70,970	50.46%		562,614	43.40%		5,768,090	47.58%
	NDF		68,886	48.98%		725,073	55.93%		6,217,162	51.28%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		786	0.56%		8,673	0.67%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		140,642		98.92%	1,296,360		98.83%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		1,534		1.08%	15,334		1.17%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		142,176		82.01%	1,311,694		81.34%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		173,355			1,612,660			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [6]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		76,103	62.24%		614,740	52.93%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		45,082	36.87%		533,022	45.90%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,091	0.89%		13,620	1.17%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		122,276		99.31%	1,161,382		99.03%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		850		0.69%	11,394		0.97%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		123,126		77.57%	1,172,776		76.09%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		158,736			1,541,242			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [7]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		65,829	57.84%		534,431	47.96%		4,887,152	50.29%
	UNP		47,025	41.32%		569,627	51.12%		4,706,366	48.43%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		951	0.84%		10,192	0.91%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		113,805		98.95%	1,114,250		98.86%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		1,209		1.05%	12,879		1.14%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		115,014		77.48%	1,127,129		75.85%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		148,435			1,486,021			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [8]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		50,535	55.24%		474,310	49.18%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		32,951	36.02%		425,185	44.08%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		6,170	6.74%		44,009	4.56%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		918	1.00%		12,821	1.33%		140,825	1.67%
	SMBP		916	1.00%		8,209	0.85%		35,854	0.43%
Valid Votes		91,490		97.31%	964,534		97.06%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		2,530		2.69%	29,197		2.94%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		94,020		74.55%	993,731		73.39%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		126,119			1,354,025			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [9]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		51,876	67.44%		557,708	64.82%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		23,475	30.52%		288,741	33.56%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,566	2.04%		13,937	1.62%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		76,917		98.16%	860,386		98.17%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		1,445		1.84%	16,060		1.83%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		78,362		69.24%	876,446		69.59%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		113,173			1,259,484			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [10]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLFP		30,600	55.06%		339,958	46.23%		2,289,857	44.95%
	UNP		22,872	41.15%		361,337	49.14%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLMP		2,108	3.79%		34,020	4.63%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		55,580		98.57%	735,315		98.49%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		806		1.43%	11,295		1.51%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		56,386		64.30%	746,610		67.53%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		87,693			1,105,583			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Kaduwela [11]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		27,963	48.80%		436,290	57.86%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		25,275	44.11%		274,476	36.40%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		3,338	5.83%		28,580	3.79%		273,428	4.19%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		721	1.26%		14,685	1.95%		249,460	3.83%
Valid Votes		57,297		98.76%	754,031		98.95%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		719		1.24%	7,990		1.05%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		58,016		79.47%	762,021		76.88%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		73,006			991,194			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kaduwela has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kaduwela is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Kaduwela		Colombo Electoral District		MAE [12]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [13]  %
2015		UPFA		UNP	8.78%		UNP	3.64%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	8.73%		UPFA	2.49%
2004		UPFA		UNP	8.93%		UPFA	5.36%
2001		UNP		UNP	6.99%		UNP	2.72%
2000		PA		UNP	5.55%		PA	1.70%
1994		PA		PA	4.76%		PA	6.76%
1989		UNP		UNP	6.24%		UNP	4.76%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/7		5/7		7.14%	7/7		3.92%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party			Kaduwela [14]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
			Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
		SLPFA		90,489	70.27%		674,603	57.04%		6,853,693	59.09%
		SJB		23,797	18.48%		387,145	32.73%		2,771,984	23.9%
		JJB		9,594	7.45%		67,600	5.72%		445,958	3.84%
		UNP		2,679	2.08%		30,875	2.61%		249,435	2.15%
		Other Parties (with < 1%)		2,211	1.72%		22,553	1.9%		1,227,859	11.02%
Valid Votes			128,770		68.32%	1,182,776		69.2%	11,598,936		71.32%
Rejected Votes			6,845		3.63%	81,034		4.74%	744,373		4.58%
Total Polled			135,615		71.96%	1,263,810		73.94%	12,343,309		75.89%
Registered Electors			188,469			1,709,209			16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [15]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		62,136	47.29%		474,063	39.25%		4,732,664	42.48%
	UNP		56,154	42.74%		640,743	53.04%		5,098,916	45.77%
	JVP		11,971	9.11%		81,391	6.74%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,128	0.86%		11,752	0.97%		93,045	0.84%
Valid Votes		131,389		97.30%	1,207,949		96.46%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		3,536		2.62%	43,372		3.46%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		135,029		77.89%	1,252,271		78.93%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		173,355			1,586,598			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [16]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		56,539	59.39%		480,896	51.23%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		23,546	24.73%		339,750	36.19%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		14,460	15.19%		110,683	11.79%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		652	0.68%		7,292	0.78%		48,240	0.60%
Valid Votes		95,197		95.72%	938,723		94.85%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		4,193		4.22%	50,354		5.09%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		99,450		62.65%	989,729		64.17%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		158,736			1,542,457			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [17]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		53,065	50.50%		414,688	39.20%		4,223,126	45.70%
	UNP		32,772	31.19%		441,841	41.77%		3,486,792	37.73%
	JHU		18,485	17.59%		190,618	18.02%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		749	0.71%		10,713	1.01%		90,868	0.98%
Valid Votes		105,071		96.94%	1,057,860		96.47%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		3,316		3.06%	38,605		3.52%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		108,393		75.46%	1,096,571		74.71%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		143,644			1,467,751			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [18]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		43,330	42.60%		546,417	51.62%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		39,238	38.58%		353,401	33.39%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		16,602	16.32%		117,404	11.09%		815,353	9.10%
	SU		1,541	1.52%		16,970	1.60%		50,665	0.57%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,001	0.98%		24,289	2.29%		510,616	5.70%
Valid Votes		101,712		96.93%	1,058,481		96.28%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		3,218		3.07%	40,901		3.72%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		104,930		77.41%	1,099,382		76.31%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		135,550			1,440,682			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [19]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		43,474	45.15%		394,146	38.86%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		35,792	37.17%		440,684	43.45%		3,451,765	40.12%
	JVP		11,268	11.70%		78,133	7.70%		518,725	6.03%
	SU		4,701	4.88%		49,671	4.90%		127,859	1.49%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,047	1.09%		51,586	5.09%		375,083	4.36%
Valid Votes		96,282		N/A	1,014,220		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [20]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		46,899	55.97%		469,642	50.94%		3,887,805	48.94%
	UNP		30,668	36.60%		385,100	41.77%		3,498,370	44.04%
	MEP		4,327	5.16%		42,734	4.64%		68,538	0.86%
	SLPF		1,541	1.84%		11,454	1.24%		90,078	1.13%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		357	0.43%		13,003	1.41%		51,995	0.65%
Valid Votes		83,792		96.53%	921,933		96.18%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		3,010		3.47%	36,635		3.82%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		86,802		76.70%	958,568		76.04%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		113,173			1,260,686			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Kaduwela [21]			Colombo Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		25,849	45.47%		374,530	51.67%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		21,306	37.48%		205,053	28.29%		1,785,369	31.90%
	MEP		7,241	12.74%		76,966	10.62%		90,480	1.62%
	USA		1,850	3.25%		31,873	4.40%		141,983	2.54%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		602	1.06%		36,420	5.02%		269,739	4.82%
Valid Votes		56,848		95.83%	724,842		95.36%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		2,473		4.17%	35,271		4.64%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		59,321		68.95%	760,113		69.87%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		86,029			1,087,891			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.6%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Kaduwela ^[1]

   Sinhalese (95.6%)

  Other (2.5%)

   Sri Lankan Tamil (1.9%)

Religion

The Kaduwela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.4%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Kaduwela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) ^[1]

Religion in Kaduwela ^[1]

   Buddhist (90.4%)

   Roman Catholic (5.0%)

   Other Christian (1.5%)

   Muslim (1.5%)

   Hindu (1.4%)

  Other (0.2%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kaduwela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
15. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
16. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
17. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
18. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
19. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
20. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
21. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.