Kundasale Polling Division

Last updated
Kundasale
Kundasale Polling Division Sri Lanka.svg
Coordinates: 7°19′11″N80°42′10″E / 7.319743°N 80.702858°E / 7.319743; 80.702858
Country Sri Lanka
Province Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District Kandy Electoral District
Area
  Total79.12 km2 (30.55 sq mi)
Population
 (2012) [1]
  Total127,070
  Density1,606/km2 (4,160/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code EC-04F

The Kundasale Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Contents

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kundasale has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kundasale is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kundasale Kandy Electoral District MAE [2]  % Sri Lanka MAE [3]  %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.38% SLPP 1.27%
2015 NDF NDF 0.39% NDF 3.66%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.28% UPFA 2.35%
2005 UNP UNP 1.66% UPFA 4.19%
1999 PA PA 2.23% PA 3.66%
1994 PA PA 0.63% PA 6.21%
1988 UNP UNP 0.05% UNP 2.95%
1982 UNP UNP 0.72% UNP 3.96%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 1.29% 8/8 3.53%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 43,788 53.81% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 33,293 40.92% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,539 3.12% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,750 2.15% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 81,370 99.15% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 700 0.85% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 82,070 84.34% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 97,309 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 41,238 55.06% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 32,930 43.97% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 722 0.96% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 74,890 98.95% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 794 1.05% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 75,684 79.78% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 94,870 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,212 55.66% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,852 42.81% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 996 1.53% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 65,060 99.00% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 656 1.00% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 65,716 76.54% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,857 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,321 52.75% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 27,385 46.12% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 666 1.12% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 59,372 98.76% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 746 1.24% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 60,118 78.06% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 77,020 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,259 47.80% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,974 47.22% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,569 3.22% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 1.75% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 48,654 97.17% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,415 2.83% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 50,069 76.66% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 65,317 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,150 55.98% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,243 42.29% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 747 1.73% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,140 97.56% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,081 2.44% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,221 77.68% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,925 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,231 54.82% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,118 43.62% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 433 1.56% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 27,782 98.56% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 407 1.44% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 28,189 57.72% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,841 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale [11] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,421 58.78% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,898 37.12% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,138 3.28% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.82% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,743 98.99% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 355 1.01% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 35,098 84.95% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,314 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kundasale has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Kundasale is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kundasale Kandy Electoral District MAE [12]  % Sri Lanka MAE [13]  %
2015 UNP UNP 0.51% UNP 5.59%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.65% UPFA 3.77%
2004 UNP UNP 2.66% UPFA 3.76%
2001 UNP UNP 1.07% UNP 4.19%
2000 UNP PA 3.14% PA 2.42%
1994 UNP UNP 0.71% PA 4.26%
1989 UNP UNP 2.85% UNP 8.17%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 1.94% 7/7 4.59%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,355 54.83% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 26,637 39.10% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,250 4.77% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 892 1.31% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 68,134 96.15% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,695 3.80% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 70,865 74.70% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 94,870 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,070 57.32% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,282 35.80% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,775 6.10% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 356 0.78% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 45,483 90.43% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,783 9.51% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 50,298 58.58% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,857 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,807 46.89% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 23,918 45.21% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 3,896 7.36% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.54% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 52,907 93.62% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,607 6.38% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 56,514 75.57% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,784 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,815 53.75% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 18,908 37.90% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,355 6.73% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 809 1.62% 10,496 1.76% 129,347 1.44%
Valid Votes 49,887 93.60% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,413 6.40% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 53,300 75.73% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 70,383 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,106 44.45% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 21,906 44.05% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 2,315 4.65% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
CWC 967 1.94% 6,108 1.01% 22,985 0.27%
SU 898 1.81% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
NUA 883 1.78% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 657 1.32% 8,328 1.38% 138,824 1.61%
Valid Votes 49,732 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,434 51.39% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,461 46.87% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 756 1.73% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 43,651 94.72% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,434 5.28% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 46,085 80.96% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,925 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale [20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 9,594 64.41% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 4,206 28.24% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 685 4.60% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 295 1.98% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.78% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 14,896 92.40% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,225 7.60% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 16,121 33.76% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,758 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kundasale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (82.6%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Kundasale Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kundasale [1]

   Sinhalese (82.6%)
   Sri Lankan Tamil (8.0%)
   Moor (5.6%)
   Indian Tamil (3.3%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Kundasale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (81.4%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Kundasale Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Kundasale [1]

   Buddhist (81.4%)
   Hindu (9.6%)
   Muslim (5.9%)
   Roman Catholic (1.7%)
   Other Christian (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

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References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.