Mabel F. Timlin

Last updated
Mabel Timlin
Mabel Timlin died 1976.jpg
Mabel Timlin
Born(1891-12-06)December 6, 1891
DiedSeptember 19, 1976(1976-09-19) (aged 84)
OccupationEconomist
Known forFirst tenured woman economics professor at a Canadian university

Mabel Timlin (December 6, 1891 - September 19, 1976) FRSC OC was a Canadian economist who in 1950, became the first tenured woman economics professor at a Canadian university. [1] Timlin was a pioneer in the field of economics and is best known for her work and interpretation of Keynesian theory, as well as Canadian immigration policy and post WWII monetary stabilization policy. In addition to her successful research career, Timlin was the first woman to serve as vice president (from 1953 to 1955) and president (from 1959 to 1960) of the Canadian Political Science Association. [2] She was also one of the first women and one of the very few Canadian economists to serve on the Executive Committee of the American Economic Association. [1]

Contents

Early life and education

Born in the state of Wisconsin, Timlin grew up in a small town and moved to Saskatchewan upon graduating high school, where she worked as a teacher until she was hired as a secretary at the University of Saskatchewan in 1921. [3]  It was there that she obtained an English degree after feeling disappointed by the courses offered by the Economics Department and concluded that she would be better off to teach herself, all while working as a full-time secretary. [3] Timlin then obtained her Ph.D. in economics at the University of Washington in 1940, and shortly thereafter published her dissertation "Keynesian Economics: A Synthesis" in 1942. [1] Her university teaching career began as an assistant professor in 1941, followed by the appointment to associate professor in 1946, and then full professor in 1950 at the University of Saskatchewan. [1]

Research

Timlin’s research greatly contributed to the fields of economic theory and immigration policy within Canada. [2] The reception of Timlin’s contribution to Keynesian economics helped to form the unique characteristics of the Canadian economic system. [4] Her work on Canadian immigration and monetary stabilization policies provided important implications for Canadian economic development and policy.

Keynesian economics

Mabel Timlin was responsible for introducing Keynesian economics to Canada. A key area of Timlin’s research surrounded The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money presented by John Maynard Keynes. Upon completion of her dissertation in 1940, the University of Toronto Press published her work under the title "Keynesian Economics" in 1942. [3] Timlin approached Keynes’s General Theory within a general equilibrium framework. The long-term interest rate presented in Keynes’s model is replaced by an analysis of the overall composition of interest rates and how it fits into the system’s equilibrium. [2]

Timlin proposed three main models in her work: a static Fundamental Model and two Supplementary Models. The Fundamental Model predicted that planned savings and investment would remain the same, however from one week to another, changes in income are attributed to the relative interest rate and the marginal propensity to consume. [5] The two Supplementary Models are essentially reversible, where in one Model the contracts for the services of factors of production are completed on Monday and on Tuesday the sales contracts are made. [4] The sequence is reversed in the second Supplementary Model. Timlin focused on the unstable equilibrium of a Keynesian system and highlighted the conditions in Week Two are a result of the equilibrium of Week One thus shifting its position. [4]

Timlin concluded with five main implications of her research on the Keynesian system. First, the structure of the interest rate complex is equally or even more important as the average level of interest rates to maintaining the employment level equilibrium. [6] Second, economic activity can be hindered by both high and low interest rate levels. [6] Third, human psychology and its unstable nature will limit the chance of reaching a stable equilibrium; high unemployment levels and low levels of interest could persist at the same time and indefinitely. [6] Fourth, the movement of money between active and inactive balances creates business cycles, even though the amount of money is given. [6] Lastly, unemployment is likely to be persistent in a monetary economy. [6] Timlin’s work had significant policy implications within Canada. She highlighted the importance of economic theory in creating policy, and deduced Keynesian economics to the Liberal Party of Canada. [4]

Monetary policy

After her extensive work on Keynesian economics, Timlin devoted the rest of her research career to monetary and immigration policy within Canada. Her research on Canadian monetary policy surrounded the post World War II era, where she critiqued the Bank of Canada’s failure to employ Keynesian countercyclical stabilization policies during the inflation period of the Korean War. [7] Her paper titled "Recent Developments in Canadian Monetary Policy" indicated that expansionist policies undertaken by the Bank of Canada would have been more reasonable had the effects of increasing external prices and outputs on bank deposits and reserves been delayed until the inflation had resolved itself. [7]

Similarly, in Timlin’s paper Monetary Stabilization Policies and Keynesian Theory, she indicates that following WWII, the rate of investment should have been limited through increased yield flexibility on the securities flowing into the central banks’ portfolios. [8]

Immigration policy

Timlin published three main papers on Canadian immigration: "Economic Theory and Immigration Policy" (published in the Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science), "Does Canada Need More People?" (published in Oxford University Press) and "Canada's Immigration Policy, 1896-1920" (published in CJEPS). In "Economic Theory and Immigration Policy" she conveyed that economic theory can only get policymakers so far in formulating immigration policy and examining the direct effects of migration; quantitative analysis is required to identify patterns and deduce proper results. [2] In her second paper, "Does Canada Need More People?", Timlin examines both the effects of external and internal conditions on Canada’s ability to admit immigrants. [9] Timlin studied the short and long run absorptive capacity of Canada and argued that the extent to which the effects of a growing population will be felt will depend on Canada’s external economic relationships with the rest of the world. [2] She concluded the paper by emphasizing the importance of all nations selecting immigration policies that improve resource allocation for the whole world; a system of free migration with large-scale international trade is essential for economic development and maximizing efficiency within economies. [2]

Timlin’s third paper on immigration policy, Canada’s Immigration policy, 1896-1920, examined the transition to the 1910 Immigration Act with particular interest on the attitudes expressed by the Minister of the Interior, Clifford Sifton, and Sir Wilfrid Laurier. [2] Sifton believed that only agricultural immigrants were beneficial to the economy, and subsequently disapproved of Asian immigrants who did not settle on farmlands. [2] Timlin addressed the racial tensions associated with immigration in this paper, and claimed that the prejudices were uncalled for, transmuting a labour question into a racial question. [2]

Honours and awards

Positions held

Selected works

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">James Tobin</span> American economist (1918–2002)

James Tobin was an American economist who served on the Council of Economic Advisers and consulted with the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, and taught at Harvard and Yale Universities. He developed the ideas of Keynesian economics, and advocated government intervention to stabilize output and avoid recessions. His academic work included pioneering contributions to the study of investment, monetary and fiscal policy and financial markets. He also proposed an econometric model for censored dependent variables, the well-known tobit model.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Keynesian economics</span> Group of macroeconomic theories

Keynesian economics are the various macroeconomic theories and models of how aggregate demand strongly influences economic output and inflation. In the Keynesian view, aggregate demand does not necessarily equal the productive capacity of the economy. Instead, it is influenced by a host of factors – sometimes behaving erratically – affecting production, employment, and inflation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Macroeconomics</span> Study of an economy as a whole

Macroeconomics is a branch of economics that deals with the performance, structure, behavior, and decision-making of an economy as a whole. For example, using interest rates, taxes, and government spending to regulate an economy's growth and stability. This includes regional, national, and global economies.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Monetarism</span> School of thought in monetary economics

Monetarism is a school of thought in monetary economics that emphasizes the role of governments in controlling the amount of money in circulation. Monetarist theory asserts that variations in the money supply have major influences on national output in the short run and on price levels over longer periods. Monetarists assert that the objectives of monetary policy are best met by targeting the growth rate of the money supply rather than by engaging in discretionary monetary policy. Monetarism is commonly associated with neoliberalism.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Post-Keynesian economics</span> School of economic thought

Post-Keynesian economics is a school of economic thought with its origins in The General Theory of John Maynard Keynes, with subsequent development influenced to a large degree by Michał Kalecki, Joan Robinson, Nicholas Kaldor, Sidney Weintraub, Paul Davidson, Piero Sraffa and Jan Kregel. Historian Robert Skidelsky argues that the post-Keynesian school has remained closest to the spirit of Keynes' original work. It is a heterodox approach to economics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">IS–LM model</span> Macroeconomic model relating interest rates and asset market

IS–LM model, or Hicks–Hansen model, is a two-dimensional macroeconomic tool that shows the relationship between interest rates and assets market. The intersection of the "investment–saving" (IS) and "liquidity preference–money supply" (LM) curves models "general equilibrium" where supposed simultaneous equilibria occur in both the goods and the asset markets. Yet two equivalent interpretations are possible: first, the IS–LM model explains changes in national income when the price level is fixed in the short-run; second, the IS–LM model shows why an aggregate demand curve can shift. Hence, this tool is sometimes used not only to analyse economic fluctuations but also to suggest potential levels for appropriate stabilisation policies.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">New Keynesian economics</span> School of macroeconomics

New Keynesian economics is a school of macroeconomics that strives to provide microeconomic foundations for Keynesian economics. It developed partly as a response to criticisms of Keynesian macroeconomics by adherents of new classical macroeconomics.

This aims to be a complete article list of economics topics:

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stockholm School (economics)</span> School of economic thought (1930s)

The Stockholm School is a school of economic thought. It refers to a loosely organized group of Swedish economists that worked together, in Stockholm, Sweden primarily in the 1930s.

<i>The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money</i> 1936 book by John Maynard Keynes

The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money is a book by English economist John Maynard Keynes published in February 1936. It caused a profound shift in economic thought, giving macroeconomics a central place in economic theory and contributing much of its terminology – the "Keynesian Revolution". It had equally powerful consequences in economic policy, being interpreted as providing theoretical support for government spending in general, and for budgetary deficits, monetary intervention and counter-cyclical policies in particular. It is pervaded with an air of mistrust for the rationality of free-market decision making.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Liquidity trap</span> Situation described in Keynesian economics

A liquidity trap is a situation, described in Keynesian economics, in which, "after the rate of interest has fallen to a certain level, liquidity preference may become virtually absolute in the sense that almost everyone prefers holding cash rather than holding a debt which yields so low a rate of interest."

<span class="mw-page-title-main">John B. Taylor</span> American economist (born 1946)

John Brian Taylor is the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University, and the George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in Economics at Stanford University's Hoover Institution.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Edmund Phelps</span> American economist

Edmund Strother Phelps is an American economist and the recipient of the 2006 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Alvin Hansen</span> American economist

Alvin Harvey Hansen was an American economist who taught at the University of Minnesota and was later a chair professor of economics at Harvard University. Often referred to as "the American Keynes", he was a widely read popular author on economic issues, and an influential advisor to the government on economic policy. Hansen helped create the Council of Economic Advisors and the Social Security system. He is best remembered today for introducing Keynesian economics in the United States in the 1930s and 40s.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Permanent income hypothesis</span> Economic model explaining consumption pattern formation

The permanent income hypothesis (PIH) is a model in the field of economics to explain the formation of consumption patterns. It suggests consumption patterns are formed from future expectations and consumption smoothing. The theory was developed by Milton Friedman and published in his A Theory of Consumption Function, published in 1957 and subsequently formalized by Robert Hall in a rational expectations model. Originally applied to consumption and income, the process of future expectations is thought to influence other phenomena. In its simplest form, the hypothesis states changes in permanent income, rather than changes in temporary income, are what drive changes in consumption.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Neoclassical synthesis</span> Postwar academic movement in economics

The neoclassical synthesis (NCS), neoclassical–Keynesian synthesis, or just neo-Keynesianism was a neoclassical economics academic movement and paradigm in economics that worked towards reconciling the macroeconomic thought of John Maynard Keynes in his book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money (1936). It was formulated most notably by John Hicks (1937), Franco Modigliani (1944), and Paul Samuelson (1948), who dominated economics in the post-war period and formed the mainstream of macroeconomic thought in the 1950s, 60s, and 70s.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">New classical macroeconomics</span> School of thought in macroeconomics

New classical macroeconomics, sometimes simply called new classical economics, is a school of thought in macroeconomics that builds its analysis entirely on a neoclassical framework. Specifically, it emphasizes the importance of rigorous foundations based on microeconomics, especially rational expectations.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Paul Davidson (economist)</span> American macroeconomist (born 1930)

Paul Davidson is an American macroeconomist who has been one of the leading spokesmen of the American branch of the post-Keynesian school in economics. He is a prolific writer and has actively intervened in important debates on economic policy from a position critical of mainstream economics.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">History of macroeconomic thought</span> Aspect of history

Macroeconomic theory has its origins in the study of business cycles and monetary theory. In general, early theorists believed monetary factors could not affect real factors such as real output. John Maynard Keynes attacked some of these "classical" theories and produced a general theory that described the whole economy in terms of aggregates rather than individual, microeconomic parts. Attempting to explain unemployment and recessions, he noticed the tendency for people and businesses to hoard cash and avoid investment during a recession. He argued that this invalidated the assumptions of classical economists who thought that markets always clear, leaving no surplus of goods and no willing labor left idle.

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé is a German economist who currently works as a professor of economics at Columbia University. Schmitt-Grohé's research has been focused on macroeconomics as well as fiscal and monetary policy in open and closed economies. In 2004 she was awarded the Bernacer prize, for her research of monetary stabilization policies.

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Cicarelli, James; Cicarelli, Julianne (2003). Distinguished Women Economists. Greenwood Publishing Group. ISBN   9780313303319.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Ainley, Marianne Gosztonyi (1999-04-01). "Mabel F. Timlin, 1891-1976: A Woman Economist in The World of Men". Atlantis: Critical Studies in Gender, Culture & Social Justice. 23 (2): 28–38. ISSN   1715-0698.
  3. 1 2 3 Spafford, Duff (1977). "In Memoriam: Mabel F. Timlin". The Canadian Journal of Economics. 10 (2): 279–281. ISSN   0008-4085. JSTOR   134444.
  4. 1 2 3 4 Forstater, M. (2008-03-31). Keynes for the Twenty-First Century: The Continuing Relevance of The General Theory. Springer. ISBN   9780230611139.
  5. Wilson, Tom (1943). "Review of Keynesian Economics". The Economic Journal. 53 (210/211): 224–226. doi:10.2307/2226324. ISSN   0013-0133. JSTOR   2226324.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Mabel F. Timlin (1948). Keynesian Economics.
  7. 1 2 Timlin, Mabel F. (1953). "Recent Developments in Canadian Monetary Policy". The American Economic Review. 43 (2): 42–53. ISSN   0002-8282. JSTOR   1831469.
  8. Hansen, Alvin H. (1955). "Post-Keynesian Economics". The American Economic Review. 45 (3): 360–372. ISSN   0002-8282. JSTOR   782.
  9. Timlin, Mabel Frances (1951). Does Canada Need More People?. Oxford University Press.
  10. Timlin, Mabel F. (1947). "General Equilibrium Analysis and Public Policy: A Rejoinder". The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science. 13 (2): 285–287. doi:10.2307/137459. ISSN   0315-4890. JSTOR   137459.
  11. Timlin, Mabel F. (1950). "Economic Theory and Immigration Policy". The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science. 16 (3): 375–382. doi:10.2307/137810. ISSN   0315-4890. JSTOR   137810.
  12. Timlin, Mabel F. (1960). "Canada's Immigration Policy, 1896-1910". The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science. 26 (4): 517–532. doi:10.2307/138931. ISSN   0315-4890. JSTOR   138931.