Next Saxony state election

2029 Saxony state election

←  2024 2029
All 120 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 61 seats needed for a majority
Party CDU AfD BSW Last election 41 seats, 31.90% 40 seats, 30.63% 15 seats, 11.82%   Party SPD Greens Left Last election 10 seats, 7.33% 7 seats, 5.11% 6 seats, 4.47%   Party FW Last election 1 seats, 2.26%
Incumbent Government 2nd Kretschmer cabinet CDU–Greens–SPD

The next election to the Landtag of Saxony is scheduled for 2029.

Background

In the 2024 Saxony state election, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) managed to retain its position as the largest party despite slight losses in vote share. The election saw the emergence of new political forces with the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) entering the state parliament for the first time, capturing 12% of the vote and 15 seats. The incumbent coalition, which included the CDU, Greens, and SPD, lost its majority due to significant losses for the Greens, who barely crossed the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary representation. ^[1]

The formation of a new government proved challenging. Initially, there were attempts to form a blackberry coalition consisting of the CDU, BSW, and SPD, but these talks failed due to disagreements on state finances, migration policies, and the War in Ukraine. ^[2] Eventually, a minority coalition between the CDU and SPD was negotiated, with Michael Kretschmer of the CDU being re-elected as Minister-President on December 18, 2024. ^[3] This coalition, however, depended on support from other parties for legislative measures, as it held only 51 seats out of the 120 available, 10 short of a majority.

Opinion polls

Party polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	AfD	BSW	SPD	Grüne	Linke	FW	FDP	Others	Lead
Civey	21 Jan – 4 Feb 2025	?	33	33	8	5	7	6	2	1	5	Tie
Civey	23 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025	2,501	32	36	7	5	7	4	2	2	5	4
2024 state election	1 Sep 2024	–	31.9	30.6	11.8	7.3	5.1	4.5	2.3	0.9	5.6	1.3

References

1. Öffentlichkeitsarbeit, Referat Kommunikation und. "Wahlergebnisse - Wahlen - sachsen.de". www.wahlen.sachsen.de (in German). Retrieved 13 February 2025.
2. tagesschau.de. "Sondierung zwischen CDU, BSW und SPD in Sachsen gescheitert". tagesschau.de (in German). Retrieved 13 February 2025.
3. tagesschau.de. "Kretschmer als Ministerpräsident in Sachsen wiedergewählt". tagesschau.de (in German). Retrieved 13 February 2025.