Nikaweratiya Polling Division

Nikaweratiya
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°45′46″N80°05′12″E / 7.762894°N 80.086628°E / 7.762894; 80.086628
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	North Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Kurunegala Electoral District
Area
• Total	627.34 km2 (242.22 sq mi)
Population  (2012) [1]
• Total	119,583
• Density	191/km2 (490/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-15B

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Nikaweratiya		Kurunegala Electoral District		MAE [2]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [3]  %
2019		SLPP		SLPP	1.41%		SLPP	3.66%
2015		UPFA		UPFA	2.06%		NDF	7.70%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	1.44%		UPFA	6.33%
2005		UPFA		UPFA	0.18%		UPFA	1.65%
1999		PA		PA	1.06%		PA	1.75%
1994		PA		PA	2.60%		PA	0.41%
1988		UNP		UNP	3.39%		UNP	2.89%
1982		UNP		UNP	0.52%		UNP	2.33%
Matches/Mean MAE	7/8		7/8		1.58%	8/8		3.34%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [4]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	SLPP		44,354	56.50%		652,278	57.90%		6,924,255	52.25%
	NDF		30,286	38.58%		416,961	37.01%		5,564,239	41.99%
	NMPP		2,194	2.79%		36,178	3.21%		418,553	3.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,673	2.13%		21,193	1.88%		345,452	2.61%
Valid Votes		78,507		99.40%	1,126,610		99.25%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		477		0.60%	8,522		0.75%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		78,984		84.92%	1,135,132		85.24%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		93,010			1,331,705			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [5]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		40,015	55.47%		556,868	53.46%		5,768,090	47.58%
	NDF		31,444	43.59%		476,602	45.76%		6,217,162	51.28%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		684	0.95%		8,154	0.78%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		72,143		99.10%	1,041,624		99.12%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		658		0.90%	9,285		0.88%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		72,801		76.71%	1,050,909		78.82%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		94,910			1,333,377			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [6]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		41,510	64.49%		582,784	63.08%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		21,830	33.91%		327,594	35.46%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,029	1.60%		13,515	1.46%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		64,369		99.33%	923,893		99.29%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		432		0.67%	6,644		0.71%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		64,801		73.72%	930,537		75.59%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		87,897			1,230,966			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [7]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		32,978	52.07%		468,507	52.26%		4,887,152	50.29%
	UNP		29,691	46.88%		418,809	46.72%		4,706,366	48.43%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		663	1.05%		9,181	1.02%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		63,332		99.17%	896,497		99.07%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		532		0.83%	8,458		0.93%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		63,864		76.30%	904,955		77.87%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		83,696			1,162,099			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [8]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		26,123	49.87%		377,483	50.77%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		23,694	45.23%		326,327	43.89%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		1,789	3.42%		27,354	3.68%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		777	1.48%		12,355	1.66%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		52,383		97.78%	743,519		97.99%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		1,191		2.22%	15,272		2.01%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		53,574		73.63%	758,791		75.83%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		72,758			1,000,624			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [9]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		30,415	61.99%		403,838	59.36%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		17,932	36.55%		266,740	39.21%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		720	1.47%		9,766	1.44%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		49,067		98.33%	680,344		98.48%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		834		1.67%	10,511		1.52%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		49,901		77.45%	690,855		76.97%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		64,434			897,539			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [10]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		11,988	54.52%		198,662	51.12%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLFP		9,536	43.37%		182,220	46.89%		2,289,857	44.95%
	SLMP		464	2.11%		7,717	1.99%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		21,988		98.94%	388,599		98.91%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		235		1.06%	4,281		1.09%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		22,223		39.27%	392,880		53.49%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		56,592			734,453			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [11]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		24,544	56.50%		345,769	55.77%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		17,307	39.84%		248,479	40.08%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		1,262	2.91%		21,835	3.52%		273,428	4.19%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		328	0.76%		3,895	0.63%		249,460	3.83%
Valid Votes		43,441		99.28%	619,978		99.13%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		314		0.72%	5,431		0.87%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		43,755		86.70%	625,409		86.00%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		50,467			727,202			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Nikaweratiya		Kurunegala Electoral District		MAE [12]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [13]  %
2015		UPFA		UPFA	1.72%		UNP	4.45%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	0.43%		UPFA	3.04%
2004		UPFA		UPFA	1.77%		UPFA	6.03%
2001		UNP		UNP	0.87%		UNP	3.76%
2000		PA		PA	0.56%		PA	2.37%
1994		PA		PA	3.29%		PA	3.23%
1989		UNP		UNP	1.76%		UNP	4.46%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/7		6/7		1.48%	7/7		3.90%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [14]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		33,344	51.44%		474,124	49.29%		4,732,664	42.48%
	UNP		28,849	44.50%		441,275	45.87%		5,098,916	45.77%
	JVP		2,337	3.61%		41,077	4.27%		544,154	4.88%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		295	0.46%		5,496	0.57%		83,041	0.75%
Valid Votes		64,825		94.17%	961,972		95.39%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		3,973		5.77%	46,036		4.56%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		68,836		72.53%	1,008,459		79.63%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		94,910			1,266,443			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [15]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		28,687	63.66%		429,316	63.91%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		14,677	32.57%		213,713	31.81%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		1,486	3.30%		26,440	3.94%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		213	0.47%		2,288	0.34%		34,779	0.43%
Valid Votes		45,063		89.95%	671,757		92.58%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		4,975		9.93%	53,130		7.32%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		50,098		57.00%	725,566		59.08%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		87,897			1,228,044			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [16]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		29,545	54.65%		412,157	51.95%		4,223,126	45.70%
	UNP		22,885	42.33%		340,768	42.95%		3,486,792	37.73%
	JHU		1,427	2.64%		37,459	4.72%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		209	0.39%		2,976	0.38%		64,640	0.70%
Valid Votes		54,066		92.92%	793,360		95.14%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		4,086		7.02%	40,261		4.83%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		58,185		72.07%	833,908		76.54%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		80,736			1,089,482			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [17]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		27,615	49.85%		382,768	48.59%		4,086,026	45.62%
	PA		23,120	41.74%		332,775	42.24%		3,330,815	37.19%
	JVP		4,204	7.59%		63,652	8.08%		815,353	9.10%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		458	0.83%		8,533	1.08%		133,770	1.49%
Valid Votes		55,397		94.26%	787,728		95.35%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		3,376		5.74%	38,451		4.65%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		58,773		75.81%	826,179		78.98%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		77,522			1,046,102			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [18]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		25,831	48.23%		358,794	48.75%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		22,752	42.48%		308,106	41.86%		3,451,765	40.12%
	JVP		2,607	4.87%		40,780	5.54%		518,725	6.03%
	NUA		827	1.54%		11,927	1.62%		185,593	2.16%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		784	1.46%		14,604	1.98%		201,684	2.34%
	PP		754	1.41%		1,817	0.25%		19,830	0.23%
Valid Votes		53,555		N/A	736,028		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [19]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		28,351	55.37%		366,856	51.87%		3,887,805	48.94%
	UNP		22,471	43.88%		332,547	47.02%		3,498,370	44.04%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		385	0.75%		7,876	1.11%		158,616	2.00%
Valid Votes		51,207		95.59%	707,279		95.92%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		2,365		4.41%	30,071		4.08%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		53,572		83.14%	737,350		82.15%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		64,434			897,580			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Nikaweratiya [20]			Kurunegala Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		19,342	59.03%		314,724	58.51%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		10,653	32.51%		195,526	36.35%		1,785,369	31.90%
	ELJP		1,315	4.01%		13,759	2.56%		67,723	1.21%
	USA		1,022	3.12%		11,059	2.06%		141,983	2.54%
	MEP		437	1.33%		2,848	0.53%		90,480	1.62%
Valid Votes		32,769		92.81%	537,916		94.02%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		2,539		7.19%	34,212		5.98%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		35,308		63.25%	572,128		72.88%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		55,823			784,991			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.7%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Nikaweratiya ^[1]

   Sinhalese (91.7%)

   Moor (7.9%)

  Other (0.4%)

Religion

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.0%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) ^[1]

Religion in Nikaweratiya ^[1]

   Buddhist (90.0%)

   Muslim (8.0%)

   Roman Catholic (1.5%)

  Other (0.5%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.