Opinion polling for the 2008 Austrian legislative election

Last updated

2008 Austrian legislative election
Flag of Austria.svg
  2006 28 September 2008 2013  

183 seats in the National Council of Austria
92 seats were needed for a majority
 First partySecond partyThird party
  Werner Faymann Wien08-2008a.jpg Wilhelm Molterer 20080908h.jpg Strache8.jpg
Leader Werner Faymann Wilhelm Molterer Heinz-Christian Strache
Party SPÖ ÖVP FPÖ
Leader since200820072005
Leader's seat9 Vienna 4D Traunviertel 9D Vienna South
Last election68 seats, 35.34%66 seats, 34.33%21 seats, 11.04%
Seats won575134
Seat changeDecrease2.svg 11Decrease2.svg 15Increase2.svg 13
Popular vote1,430,2061,269,656857,029
Percentage29.26%25.98%17.54%
SwingDecrease2.svg 6.08%Decrease2.svg 8.35%Increase2.svg 6.50%

 Fourth partyFifth partySixth party
  Jorg Haider 28082008.jpg Alexander Van der Bellen1.jpg Heide Schmidt Wien2008.jpg
Leader Jörg Haider Alexander Van der Bellen Heide Schmidt
Party BZÖ Greens LiF
Leader since200819972008
Leader's seat2A Klagenfurt 9F Vienna North-West 9F Vienna North-West
Last election7 seats, 4.11%21 seats, 11.05%did not contest on their own
Seats won21200
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 14Decrease2.svg 1Steady2.svg 0
Popular vote522,933509,936102,249
Percentage10.70%10.43%2.09%
SwingIncrease2.svg 6.59%Decrease2.svg 0.62%Increase2.svg 2.09%

Chancellor before election

Alfred Gusenbauer
SPÖ

Elected Chancellor

Werner Faymann
SPÖ

A legislative snap election for the National Council in Austria was held on 28 September 2008. [1] The previous election was held on 1 October 2006. The election (the 24th in Austrian history) was caused by the withdrawal of Austrian People's Party leader Wilhelm Molterer from the governing grand coalition (led by the Social Democratic Party of Austria) on 7 July 2008. [2] Due to dissatisfaction with the grand coalition and the two main parties, it was widely expected to be a realigning election, with gains for the opposition and up to seven parties expected to be in the National Council after the election. [3] [4] [5] [6] The losses for the government parties (both the SPÖ and the ÖVP had the worst election result in history) resulted in strong gains for the far right, while neither the Liberal Forum nor the Citizens' Forum Austria (both of which were considered to have chances of gaining seats) gained as much as 2% of the vote, defying earlier expectations. The result of the election was seen as strong for the far-right and in support of Eurosceptics. [7]

Contents

Molterer resigned as party chairman as a result of the losses suffered by the ÖVP and was replaced by environment minister Josef Pröll; the Greens' federal spokesman Alexander Van der Bellen (in office since 1997) also resigned and was replaced by his deputy, Eva Glawischnig. Due to the LIF's failure to enter parliament on its own, LIF founder Heide Schmidt and financier Hans-Peter Haselsteiner both declared their complete withdrawal from politics, and the LIF's fate was seen as uncertain. Shortly after the election, BZÖ leader and Carinthian governor Jörg Haider died in a car accident.

Opinion polling

AgencyDate SPÖ ÖVP GRÜNE FPÖ BZÖ LIF FRITZKPÖRETTÖDCOthersSKÖMATIN
Election 20062006-10-0135.334.311.511.04.1SPÖ1.03.1
OGM Archived 2008-08-04 at the Wayback Machine 2008-06-21333314164~#
market 2008-07-022733142132~#
Fessel-GfK 2008-07-08283514203~#
market 2008-07-092633142241~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-29 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-102732161942~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-29 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-102123141852722(2)(4)
Integral 2008-07-1228311416452~#
OGM 2008-07-133033141832~#
Gallup Archived 2008-08-03 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-1724261619526~#
Humaninstitut 2008-07-1725281119215~#
IMAS 2008-07-1924291520453~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-29 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-25273016195~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-29 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-2525291415746~#
OGM 2008-07-29253013174452~#
IMAS 2008-07-29252915186~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-15 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-3123261517757~#
Fessel-GfK 2008-08-04252912–1317–182–33–44–5~#
market 2008-08-0726291420334~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-19 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-0826261419636~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-16 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-1427281517535~#
OGM 2008-08-1626311317444~#
market 2008-08-20262714205341~#
IMAS 2008-08-2027–2927–2912–1417–196–87–9~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-12 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-24252615186442~#
market 2008-08-27282613204333~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-05 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-28272612195443~#
IFES 2008-08-2926261615548~#
IMAS 2008-08-2926–2825–2712–1417–196–83–43–41–21–20–1~#
Fessel-GfK 2008-08-3028261217>44<9~#
OGM 2008-08-31272812186432~#
market 2008-09-0328251220533112~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-08 at the Wayback Machine 2008-09-04282712176433~#
Humaninstitut 2008-09-04321912191044~#
OGM 2008-09-06292712177422~#
GMK 2008-09-0830271118634~#
market 2008-09-10292711187323~#
Fessel-GfK 2008-09-1125.828.51712.76.72.11.23.31.51.2~#
Gallup Archived 2008-09-14 at the Wayback Machine 2008-09-12282712166434~#
IFES 2008-09-12272713175434~#
Spectra 2008-09-1228–3126–2911–1315–177–92–41–3~#
OGM 2008-09-13282612188422~#
Integral 2008-09-16282812187422~#
market 2008-09-16292611206323~#
Gallup 2008-09-18282612178432~#
OGM 2008-09-20292611188422~#
market 2008-09-23292710198322~#
IFES 2008-09-26272712167524~#
Gallup 2008-09-26292712178322~#
Results2008-09-2829.326.010.417.510.72.11.80.80.70.60.9~#

~ Failed to collect the required signatures.
# Decided not to contest the election.

Kanzlerfrage (chancellor question)
AgencyDate Faymann
(SPÖ)
Molterer
(ÖVP)
Van der Bellen
(GRÜNE)
Strache
(FPÖ)
Haider
(BZÖ)
Schmidt
(LIF)
Dinkhauser
(FRITZ)
market 2008-07-092629
Gallup Archived 2008-09-29 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-104031
OGM 2008-07-13191810113*
Gallup Archived 2008-08-03 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-173831
Gallup Archived 2008-08-28 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-253930
Gallup Archived 2008-09-15 at the Wayback Machine 2008-07-314223
Gallup [ permanent dead link ]2008-08-094526
Gallup Archived 2008-09-16 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-094027
OGM 2008-08-1722191286
Gallup Archived 2008-09-12 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-244225
market 2008-08-273520
Gallup Archived 2008-09-05 at the Wayback Machine 2008-08-284627
OGM 2008-08-312118128624
market 2008-09-033521
Gallup Archived 2008-09-08 at the Wayback Machine 2008-09-044528
OGM 2008-09-062417128843
market 2008-09-103520
Gallup Archived 2008-09-14 at the Wayback Machine 2008-09-124731
Spectra 2008-09-1228171110943
OGM 2008-09-132215911943
market 2008-09-163323
Gallup 2008-09-184532
OGM 2009-09-202316810942

* Westenthaler was polled instead of Haider before it was announced that Westenthaler would not be the leading candidate.

Koalitionsfrage (coalition question)
AgencyDate SPÖ–ÖVP ÖVP–SPÖ SPÖ–GRÜNE ÖVP–GRÜNESPÖ–FPÖ(–BZÖ)ÖVP–FPÖ(–BZÖ)
OGM14 July 20087991369
Gallup4 August 200816°16°271879
OGM5 September 200810101191113
Gallup 15 September 200818°18°2013175

° The two types of grand coalition were not polled separately.

State polls

StateAgencyDateSPÖÖVPGRÜNEFPÖBZÖLIFFRITZOthers
Salzburg IFG 2008-07-1023371117543
Salzburg IFG 2008-09-11273111157324
Upper Austria Spectra 2008-08-0228–3026–2813–1516–184–61–36–8
Vienna OEKONSULT 2008-08-1739.2016.0417.0820.183.234.27
Kanzlerfrage (chancellor question)
StateAgencyDate Faymann  (SPÖ) Molterer  (ÖVP) Strache  (FPÖ) Van der Bellen  (GRÜNE) Haider  (BZÖ)
Upper Austria Spectra [ permanent dead link ]2008-08-024426
Koalitionsfrage (coalition question)
StateAgencyDateSPÖ–ÖVPSPÖ–GRÜNEÖVP–GRÜNESPÖ–FPÖ(–BZÖ)ÖVP–FPÖ(–BZÖ)
Salzburg IFG 10 July 2008161722919
Salzburg IFG 11 September 20082611181110

References

  1. "28. September als Neuwahltermin fix" (in German). Orf.at. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  2. "BBC NEWS | World | Europe | Austria ruling coalition crumbles". News.bbc.co.uk. 7 July 2008. Archived from the original on 19 December 2008. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  3. Bronner Online AG. "derStandard.at". Derstandard.at. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  4. "Die Zeit ist reif für einen Umbruch « DiePresse.com". Diepresse.com. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  5. "Datum 7-8/08 – Seiten der Zeit: Hajek bloggt: Die Unentschlossenen. Das geheime Wesen". Datum.at. Archived from the original on 25 December 2010. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  6. "Listenrekord bei NR-Wahlen | kurier.at". Kurier.at. Archived from the original on February 27, 2012. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
  7. Pancevski, Bojan (29 September 2008). "Far Right storms election as Austrians back anti-EU rhetoric – Times Online". The Times. London. Archived from the original on October 11, 2011. Retrieved 26 November 2008.
Political parties