Opinion polling for the 2015 French regional elections

Last updated

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French regional elections, which were held in two rounds on 6 and 13 December 2015.

Contents

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

National

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. EXG PCF PCF-PG-EELV EELV PS-PRG DVG ECO MoDem UDI LR-UDI-MoDem DVD DLF FN UPR DIV
2015 election 6 Dec 201550.09%1.54%4.06%2.80%3.83%23.43%1.85%0.59%0.39%0.01%26.84%0.66%3.81%27.73%(DIV)2.46%
Odoxa 3 Dec 20159452%7%4.5%22%29%2.5%30%1%2%
Harris Interactive 1–3 Dec 20151,0151%5%6%24%2%27%4%28%1%2%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–3 Dec 20151,10551%1%5%2%4%23%1%28%1%3.5%28.5%1%2%
Elabe 1–2 Dec 201596850%1%5%6.5%23%1%28%0.5%3%28.5%3.5%
Ipsos 29 Nov–2 Dec 20158,05351%1%4%7%23%1%28.5%0.5%3.5%29.5%0.5%1.5%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 201523,06152%1%4.5%6%22%1%29%0.5%3.5%30%1%1.5%
Harris Interactive 24–26 Nov 20151,0051%6%6%24%1%27%5%28%1%1%
Ifop 23–25 Nov 201592654%1%3%5%4%22%2%28%1%3%28%1%2%
Ipsos 21–24 Nov 201593955%1%4%7%22%1.5%29%0.5%3%30%1%1%
TNS Sofres 20–23 Nov 20151,5221.5%4%7%22%2%27%0.5%4%29%1%2%
OpinionWay 18–19 Nov 201598451%1%4%9%22%28%4%30%2%
Harris Interactive 17–19 Nov 20151,0112%5%7%26%1%25%5%27%1%1%
OpinionWay 13 Nov 20151%4%8%22%30%4%28%3%
Ipsos 30 Oct–2 Nov 201593660%1.5%5%3.5%3.5%20%1%1%32%4%26%2.5%
TNS Sofres 13–23 Oct 20152,2001%6%8%21%1%2%27%3%28%2%1%
Ifop 12–16 Oct 201524%31%26%
Elabe 13–14 Oct 201597260%0.5%5%8.5%23%1.5%0.5%30%3%26%2%
OpinionWay 7–9 Oct 201599355%2%5%3%3%23%31%2%28%3%
Odoxa 24–25 Sep 20159292%7%3%23%35%3%26%1%
Elabe 22–23 Sep 201598657%1.5%6%8.5%22.5%1.5%1.5%27%3%26%2.5%
Harris Interactive 29 Mar 20154,2861%7%7%20%5%7%25%2%22%4%
2010 election 21 Mar 201053.67%3.40%5.84%12.18%29.13%3.06%4.20%26.02%1.24%11.42%3.52%

Second round

Second round configurations were tested across all regions in France. In two regions, Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie and Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur, the left-wing list withdrew after the first round to block the National Front from winning control.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. PS-PRG-EELV-PCF-PG LR-UDI-MoDem FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201541.59%32.12%40.24%27.10%
Harris Interactive 6 Dec 20151,02934%35%31%
Odoxa 6 Dec 20152,19334%35%31%
59%41%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 201523,06134%36%30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201510,84233%36%31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201512,40836%36%28%
2010 election 14 Mar 201048.79%54.06%36.22%9.17%

Alsace-Champagne-Ardenne-Lorraine

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Wostyn
LO
Peron
PCF-PGMRC
Bélier
EELVPRG
Masseret
PS
Richert
LRUDIMoDem
Jacobelli
DLF
Wentzel
UPR
Trouillet
ULPMPLAEI
Philippot
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 201552.09%1.48%3.22%6.70%16.11%25.83%4.78%1.08%4.73%36.07%
Elabe 26–30 Nov 201592255%1%5%5%20%28%3%1%3%34%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,21852%1%5%5%16%29%3%1%5%35%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,2031%4%4%17%34%2.5%1%3.5%33%
Odoxa 2–5 Nov 20151,0011%6.5%6%19%30%2.5%1%2%32%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,1891%7%6%19%31%2.5%0.5%3%30%

Second round

After Jean-Pierre Masseret refused to withdraw his list in the second round, PS spokeswoman Corinne Narassiguin announced on 7 December that Masseret would "not have the socialist label" in the second round. [1]

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Masseret
PS
Richert
LRUDI
MoDem
Philippot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201540.98%15.51%48.40%36.08%
Elabe 8–10 Dec 201592016%43%41%
Elabe 26–30 Nov 201592230%34.5%35.5%
56%44%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,21828%35%37%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,20326%39%35%
Odoxa 2–5 Nov 20151,00128%37%35%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,18930%37%33%

Aquitaine-Limousin-Poitou-Charentes

First round

The October 2015 BVA poll described the list led by Olivier Dartigolles as one of the French Communist Party, and the June 2015 Ifop poll offered the options of an extreme left, Left Front, and National Front lists without naming a list leader, and also described Samuel Morillon as the list leader for Debout la France.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Perchet
LO
Dartigolles
PCF-PG
Coutant
EELV
Rousset
PSPRG
Boussion
DVG
Pereira
ND
Daniel
FD
Camels
LRUDI-MoDem
Setze
DLF
Douet
UPR
Colombier
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201549.03%1.41%4.85%5.60%30.39%1.85%1.21%27.19%3.35%0.92%23.23%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,09851%1%7%5%27%0.5%1%29%2.5%1%26%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 20159010.5%6.5%6%28%1.5%2%28%2%0.5%25%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,2121%7%6%26%0.5%3%32%1.5%1%22%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,2001%5%5%36%1%30%2%20%
Ifop 5–6 Jun 20151,3032%8%9%30%29%2%19%1%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Rousset
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Camels
LRUDIMoDem
Colombier
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201542.22%44.27%34.06%21.67%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,09839%35%26%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 201590139%35%26%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,21239%37%24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,20046%33%21%
Ifop 5–6 Jun 20151,30349%33%18%

Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes

First round

The January 2015 Ifop poll did not specify list leaders, only parties, and mentioned an "extreme-left" list without reference to Lutte Ouvrière.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Gomez
LO
Cukierman
PCFMRC
Kohlhaas
EELVPG
Queyranne
PSPRG
MoDem Wauquiez
LRUDIMoDem
Lafond
NC
Rambaud
DLF
Fédèle
UPR
Boudot
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201551.09%1.25%5.39%6.90%23.93%31.73%1.56%2.85%0.87%25.52%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 20159001%5%7.5%24%31%1.5%2.5%0.5%27%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,97754%1.5%4.5%6%23%32%1%2.5%0.5%29%
Ifop 19–23 Nov 201582254%1%4%9%25%32%1%2%1%25%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20159311%6%7%21%32%2.5%3%0.5%27%
Elabe 18–21 Nov 201590455%1.5%3%7.5%27%30%1%2.5%1.5%26%
OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 201580553%1%6%6%25%30%1%2%1%28%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 20159081%4%10%26%32%2.5%0.5%24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20159002%7%8.5%24%35%2%21.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 20159031%4%10%26%35%1.5%0.5%22%
BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 20158230.5%3%15%23%7%30%2.5%19%
1%17%25.5%34.5%3%19%
Ifop 23–27 Jan 20151,0082%2%17%17%7%30%23%2%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Kohlhaas
EELVPGND
Queyranne
PSPRGEELVPGPCFMRC
Wauquiez
LRUDIMoDem
Boudot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201542.32%36.84%40.62%22.55%
Ifop 8–10 Dec 20151,08837%38%25%
Ifop-Fiducial 1–4 Dec 201590035%36%29%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,97736%37%27%
Ifop 19–23 Nov 201582237%37%26%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201593136%36%28%
Elabe 18–21 Nov 201590437%37%26%
OpinionWay 17–19 Nov 201580536%37%27%
Ifop-Fiducial 27–30 Oct 201590837%37%26%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201590037%40%23%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–15 Sep 201590337%39%24%
BVA 28 Aug–1 Sep 201582338%40%22%
18%25%36%21%

Bourgogne-Franche-Comté

First round

The June 2015 Ifop poll was conducted for Alain Joyandet and featured Joyandet leading a list for The Republicans (LR) separate from a Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) list led by François Sauvadet without naming a Left Front list leader, whereas the June 2015 BVA poll was conducted for Sauvadet and featured a unified LR–UDI list.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Rocher
LO
Vermorel
PCF-PGMRC
Prudhomme
EELV
Dufay
PSPRG
Gonzalez
AEI
Grudler
MoDem
Sauvadet
UDI-LR
Joyandet
LRUDI
Thiébaut
DLF
Gallois
UPR
Montel
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 201549.44%1.51%4.62%3.92%22.99%2.14%3.26%24.00%5.17%0.92%31.48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,08453%2%7.5%3%22%0.5%4.5%24%4%0.5%32%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 201574850%1.5%8.5%7%19%0.5%3.5%26%3%1.5%30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20157972%8%3%20%0.5%5%27%2%0.5%32%
BVA 6–14 Oct 20158032%8%5%19%6%31%3%0%26%
Ifop 5–8 Jun 20158077%6%23%4%10% (UDI)25% (LR)2%23%
BVA 3–8 Jun 201593710%5%24%34%25%
10%5%24%33%25%

Second round

The November 2015 Ifop poll considered three scenarios: one in which the Democratic Movement (MoDem) did not secure enough support to be present in the second round, one in which it allied with the left, and one in which it allied with the right.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Dufay
PSPRGPCF-PGMRCEELV
Sauvadet
UDI-LR
Joyandet
LRUDI
MoDem
Montel
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201538.85%34.67%32.89%32.44%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,08435%33%32%
Ifop 20–24 Nov 201574835.5%34.5%30%
36% (MoDem)34%30%
35%36% (MoDem)29%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201579730%35%35%
BVA 6–14 Oct 201580334%36%30%
Ifop 5–8 Jun 201580739%40%21%
BVA 3–8 Jun 201593738%35%27%
39%34%27%

Brittany

First round

The October 2015 BVA poll tested a Left Front list led jointly by Xavier Compain and Sylvie Larue.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.RCBHamon
LO
Roblin
NPA
Compain
PCF-PG
Louail
EELV
Le Drian
PSPRG
Le Fur
LRUDIMoDem
Foucher
DLF
Gourvenec
UPR
Pennelle
FN
Troadec
MBPUDB
Deléon
PB
2015 election 6 Dec 201548.42%1.37%0.62%3.74%6.70%34.92%23.46%2.90%0.87%18.17%6.71%0.54%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,41852%1.5%1.5%6%5%29%24%2%1%22%7%1%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20158381%1.5%4.5%6%29%29%1.5%0.5%20%6%1%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 20159790.5%6.5%7.5%32%27%2%0.5%16%8%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20158062%1%1%4%7%26%30%2.5%0.5%16%9%1%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Le Drian
PSPRG
Le Fur
LRUDIMoDem
Pennelle
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201543.12%51.41%29.72%18.87%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,41845%33%22%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201583842%35%23%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201580646%36%18%
Ifop-Fiducial 13–15 Oct 201597946%36%18%

Centre-Val de Loire

First round

The September 2015 Ifop poll tested three scenarios: one in which Nicolas Sansu and Charles Fournier presented separate lists for the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens, respectively, and two other scenarios in which Sansu and Fournier led a unified list. The May 2015 OpinionWay poll described Marc Brynhole as leader of the Left Front list, and considered separate lists for the Union of Democrats and Independents led by Philippe Vigier and for the Union for a Popular Movement (UMP), later The Republicans, led by Guillaume Peltier.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Megdoud
LO
Sansu
PCF-PG
Fournier
EELV
Bonneau
PSPRG
Le Moine
FD
Fesneau
MoDem
Vigier
UDILRMoDem
Peltier
LR
Penloup
DLF
Fouquiau
UPR
Loiseau
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201550.46%1.70%4.59%6.60%24.31%26.25%4.58%1.48%30.48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,11953%1%8%4%22%29%3.5%1.5%31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20157941%9%5.5%20%34%3%0.5%27%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20158001%9%4%22%2%33%4%1%24%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 20157209%7%22%35%4%23%
15% (Sansu)23%35%4%23%
15% (Fournier)23%34%4%24%
OpinionWay 12–13 May 20159638%5%22%7%7% (UDI)24%25%2%

Second round

The May 2015 OpinionWay poll tested Guillaume Peltier as the leader of the list of the right in the second round.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Bonneau
PSPRG-EELV
Vigier
UDILRMoDem
Loiseau
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201540.78%35.42%34.58%30.00%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,11934%36%30%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201579430%39%31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201580033%40%27%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 201572036%40%24%
OpinionWay 12–13 May 201596335%38%27%
43%57%

Corsica

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Bucchini
PCF-PG
De Gentili
PS
Orsucci
CSD
Giacobbi
DVG
Zuccarelli
PRG
Talamoni
CL
Benedetti
Rinnovu
Simeoni
FC
Rossi
LRUDI-CCB
De Rocca Serra
LR
Santoni
DLF
Canioni
FN
2015 election 6 Dec 201540.34%5.56%3.25%4.13%18.42%3.15%7.73%2.58%17.62%13.17%12.70%1.12%10.58%
OpinionWay 24–28 Nov 201580140%7%4%4%13%4%8%1%19%14%14%1%11%
OpinionWay 27–30 Oct 201580543%7%4%4%12%5%8%1%18%12%16%1%12%

Île-de-France

First round

The October 2015 BVA poll tested both a French Communist Party list led by Pierre Laurent and a Left Party list led by Éric Coquerel. The BVA poll conducted from 22 to 24 September 2015 was conducted for the Socialist Party (PS), while the BVA survey fielded between 1 and 3 September 2015 was commissioned by Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The June 2015 Ifop poll tested a list led by Chantal Jouanno for the Union of Democrats and Independents (UDI) and specified an "extreme-left" list without naming a party or leader. The April 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the PS, and tested a joint Lutte Ouvrière and New Anticapitalist Party list led by Olivier Besancenot. The Ifop poll conducted from 31 March to 4 April 2015 tested two sets of scenarios: two with a divided right and centre, and the other two with the right and centre united behind Valérie Pécresse; it also tested only an "extreme-left" list without specifying a party or leader. The November 2014 Ifop poll did not specify "extreme-left", Left Front, or National Front list leaders, and proposed a joint list between the Democratic Movement (MoDem) and the UDI led by Jean-Christophe Lagarde as well as a unified list with Pécresse.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Arthaud
LO
Laurent
PCF-PG
Coquerel
PG
Cosse
EELVCap21
Bartolone
PSPRG
Huchon
PSPRG
De la Gontrie
PSPRG
Pereira
FD
Wehrling
MoDem
Jouanno
UDI
Pécresse
LRUDIMoDem
Sachs
NC
Véron
PLD
Dupont-Aignan
DLF
Asselineau
UPR
De Saint-Just
FN
Horsfall
UC
De Smet
FLUO
Bourchada
UDMF
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201554.10%1.40%6.63%8.03%25.19%30.51%0.63%0.76%6.57%0.94%18.41%0.23%0.30%0.40%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20154,05555%1%8%6%23%32%1%0.5%5.5%0.5%21%0.5%0.5%0.5%
Ifop 24–26 Nov 20158981%7%7.5%23%33%0.5%0.5%5.5%1%21%<0.5%<0.5%<0.5%
Elabe 20–25 Nov 201591355%1%7.5%7.5%23%30%1%0.5%6%0.5%21%0.5%1%0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20158000.5%7%7%23%33%0.5%<0.5%5%0.5%22%0.5%0.5%0.5%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201581559%1%7.5%6%22%33%1%0.5%5%1.5%22%0.5%<0.5%<0.5%
Odoxa 19–21 Nov 20151,0002%8%6%23%33%4%23%1%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00060%1%8.5%7%21%34%1%0.5%5%1%20%0.5%0.5%<0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Nov 20159021.5%7.5%9%25%32%6%0.5%18.5%
OpinionWay 3–6 Nov 201580155%2%7%7%22%35%<1%5%1%21%<1%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20158021%2%5%8%23%1%35%<0.5%8%17%
Odoxa 29 Sep–2 Oct 20151,0001%8%6%24%34%7%20%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 20159031%9.5%7.5%24%32%7%1%18%
BVA 22–24 Sep 20159012%7%9%25%31%8%18%
BVA 1–3 Sep 20158782%8%10%24%33%8%15%
Ifop 3–5 Jun 20159002%7%10%24%8%28%5%16%
Harris Interactive 10–14 Apr 20159002%6%8%21%5%10%25%4%19%
2%7%9%18%6%10%25%6%17%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 20159302%8%8%22%5%6%26%5%18%
2%10%8%20%5%6%26%5%18%
2%8%9%23%33%6%19%
2%9%9%22%33%6%19%
Ifop 30 Jan–2 Feb 20159119%21%12%23%6%19%
10%20%12%23%6%19%
Ifop 21–26 Nov 20141,7101.5%7.5%11%21%12% (Lagarde)23%6%18%
2%7.5%13%22%30%6.5%19%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Bartolone
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Huchon
PSPRGEELV-PCF-PG
De La Gontrie
PSPRGEELVPCF-PG
Pécresse
LRUDI
MoDem
De Saint-Just
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201545.54%42.18%43.80%14.02%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–10 Dec 20151,05540%42%18%
Elabe 7–9 Dec 201590541.5%41%17.5%
Odoxa 6–7 Dec 20151,20040%42%18%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20154,05538%40%22%
Ifop 24–26 Nov 201589837%39%24%
Elabe 20–25 Nov 201591337%39%24%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201580036%41%23%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201581536%40%24%
Odoxa 19–21 Nov 20151,00035%40%25%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00037%41%22%
Ifop-Fiducial 3–6 Nov 201590238%39%23%
OpinionWay 3–6 Nov 201580135%42%23%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201580239%41%20%
Odoxa 29 Sep–2 Oct 20151,00038%41%21%
Ifop 23–25 Sep 201590339%40%21%
BVA 22–24 Sep 201590141%39%20%
BVA 1–3 Sep 201587841%41%18%
Ifop 3–5 Jun 201590041%41%18%
Ifop-Fiducial 31 Mar–4 Apr 201593039%41%20%
39%41%20%
Ifop 21–26 Nov 20141,71038%41%21%

Languedoc-Roussillon-Midi-Pyrénées

First round

The December and September 2015 OpinionWay polls were conducted for Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV). The July 2015 PollingVox survey proposed a list of Europe Ecology – The Greens and the Left Party led by Gérard Onesta, a list of the Socialist Party and French Communist Party led by Carole Delga, a miscellaneous left list led by Philippe Saurel supported by the Radical Party of the Left, and a list led by Louis Aliot under the banner of the Rassemblement bleu Marine. The Ifop poll conducted from 30 June to 2 July 2015 proposed separate lists for the Left Front led by Guilhem Sérieys and for the EELV led by Onesta.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Torremocha
LO
Sérieys
PCF-PG
Onesta
EELVPCF-PGPOC
Delga
PSPRGMRC
Saurel
DVG
Fabre
ND
Cavard
UDECap21
Canzian
AEICDC
Rochefort
MoDem
Reynié
LRUDIMoDem
Lempereur
DLF
Hirimiris
UPR
Aliot
FN
Martinez
FFS
2015 election 6 Dec 201547.73%1.81%10.26%24.41%5.00%0.83%1.70%18.84%3.91%0.71%31.83%0.69%
OpinionWay 1–2 Dec 20151,029<1%13%20%5%2%<1%22%4%1%32%1%
Ifop 28 Nov–1 Dec 20159051%9.5%20%6%1.5%2.5%23.5%3.5%1%31%0.5%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,07950%1%11%23%4%2%0.5%20%3.5%0.5%34%0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,0150.5%14%19%6%1%2%22%3%0.5%32%<0.5%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201581053%1%11%23%5%2%0.5%21%3.5%0.5%32%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Nov 20158990.5%12%21%6%1.5%2.5%0.5%22.5%2.5%1%29%1%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00152%2%10%24%5%1.5%0.5%21%3.5%1%31%0.5%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,0001%11%19%6%3%3%5%20%2%1%29%
Ifop 8–12 Oct 20159230.5%11%20%8%2%2.5%25%2%1%28%<0.5%
Ifop 10–14 Sep 201591616%21%7%26%3%27%
OpinionWay 3–8 Sep 20151,09046%16%22%8%24%3%27%
PollingVox 3–5 Jul 201581814%19%11%25%4%27%
Ifop 30 Jun–2 Jul 20159179%7%22%9%23%2%27%1%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Onesta
EELVPCF-PGPOCPSPRGMRC
Delga
PSPRGMRCEELVPCF-PGPOC
Saurel
DVG
Reynié
LRUDIMoDem
Aliot
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201537.98%44.81%21.32%33.87%
Ifop 8–10 Dec 20151,08643%22%35%
OpinionWay 1–2 Dec 20151,02938%29%33%
37%30%33%
Ifop 28 Nov–1 Dec 201590537%29%34%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,07940%26%34%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20151,01539%26%35%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201581040%27%33%
Ifop-Fiducial 10–13 Nov 201589940%29%31%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00141%28%31%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20151,00039%29%32%
Ifop 8–12 Oct 201592338%32%30%
Ifop 10–14 Sep 201591639%32%29%
OpinionWay 3–8 Sep 20151,09045%42%30%28%
45%41%31%28%
PollingVox 3–5 Jul 201581836%32%32%
Ifop 30 Jun–2 Jul 201591739%32%29%
31%11%29%29%

Nord-Pas-de-Calais-Picardie

First round

The October 2015 Harris Interactive poll was conducted for the French Communist Party (PCF), and the October 2015 BVA poll did not specify a list leader for Nous Citoyens. The September 2015 Odoxa poll offered an "extreme-left" list without noting a party or leader, and in one scenario proposed a common list of the Left Front and Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) led by Fabien Roussel and Sandrine Rousseau. The September 2015 Ifop poll offered three scenarios: one in which the Left Front was divided between Roussel (supported by the PCF) and Rousseau (supported by EELV, the Left Party, and New Deal), one in which the parties of the Left Front united behind Roussel while Rousseau ran only an EELV list, and one in which the Left Front and EELV joined a single list conducted by Pierre de Saintignon of the Socialist Party (PS). The September 2015 Odoxa poll and June 2015 OpinionWay and Ifop polls each described separate Left Front and EELV lists; the first did not specify the party or leader of an "extreme-left" list, and also proposed a scenario with a united PS–EELV list led by Saintignon. The June 2015 Ifop poll, which was conducted for EELV, did not specify an "extreme-left" list leader or party, and neither did it specify a list leader for the Left Front when not in alliance, in which case Sandrine Rousseau conducted the list. It also tested two unified PS–EELV list scenarios: one in which the list was led by Saintignon, and the other by Rousseau.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Pecqueur
LO
Roussel
PCF
Rousseau
EELVPGND
De Saintignon
PSPRGMRC
Vanlerenberghe
MoDem
Bertrand
LRUDIMoDemCPNT
Blondel
NC
Tanguy
DLF
Mascaro
UPR
Le Pen
FN
Gernigon
PFE
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201545.19%1.75%5.32%4.83%18.12%24.97%1.36%2.39%0.64%40.64%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,49449%1.5%3.5%6%20%25%1.5%2%0.5%40%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Nov 20159411.5%5.5%6.5%20%24%1%2%0.5%39%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20159022.5%5%6%17%24%1%2%0.5%42%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201580253%2%3.5%5%20%26%1%2%0.5%40%
OpinionWay 17–20 Nov 201580746%1%6%5%20%26%<1%2%<1%40%
Ifop 10–13 Nov 20159681.5%5.5%8%19%26%1%2%0.5%36.5%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 201599255%1%5%6%20%24%2%3%<0.5%40%
Ifop 20–23 Oct 20159781%4%9%19%26%1.5%1.5%<0.5%38%<0.5%
Harris Interactive 14–19 Oct 20151,0222%9%8%16%25%2%35%
BVA 6–14 Oct 20159031%5%8%15%25%2%2%42%
Odoxa 15–18 Sep 20159914%6%4%19%26%2%36%3%
4%9%21%26%1%37%2%
Ifop 9–14 Sep 20159242%5%10%18%28%2.5%34%0.5%
2%9% (FG)5% (EELV)17%28%3%35%1%
3%28% (PS–PRG–FG–EELV)30%3%35%1%
OpinionWay 25–29 Jun 20158254%5%8%18%26%1%32%6%
5%6%23% (PS–EELV)26%1%33%6%
Ifop 4–8 Jun 20158762%7% (FG)7% (EELV)18%5%28%2%31%
3%14% (EELV–FG)17%5%28%2%31%
2%7% (FG)23% (PS–PRG–EELV)5%28%3%32%
2%7% (FG)23% (EELV–PS–PRG)6%28%2%32%

Second round

The November 2015 BVA poll tested two duels, the second of which specified a scenario in which the PS supported the list of the right.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.De Saintignon
PSPRGMRC-EELVPCF-PG
Bertrand
LRUDIMoDemCPNT
Marine Le Pen
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201538.76%57.77%42.23%
BVA 9–10 Dec 201590853%47%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–10 Dec 20151,09154%46%
TNS Sofres 7–8 Dec 201580553%47%
Odoxa 6–8 Dec 20151,27452%48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20152,49430%30%40%
Ifop-Fiducial 25–28 Nov 201594150.5%49.5%
30%28%42%
48%52%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201590248%52%
49% (PS)51%
26%30%44%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201580229%30%41%
OpinionWay 17–20 Nov 201580750%50%
27%30%43%
46%54%
Ifop 10–13 Nov 201596853%47%
31%31%38%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 201599230%29%41%
Ifop 20–23 Oct 201597830%31%39%
Harris Interactive 14–19 Oct 20151,02232%31%37%
BVA 6–14 Oct 201590348%52%
25%29%46%
Odoxa 15–18 Sep 201599129%32%39%
Ifop 9–14 Sep 201592432%33%35%
OpinionWay 25–29 Jun 201582531%32%37%

Normandy

First round

The February 2015 OpinionWay poll was commissioned by Debout la France, and did not specify a list leader for the Left Front or an "extreme-left" list (for which no party was specified).

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Le Manach
LO
Jumel
PCF-PG
Soubien
EELV
Mayer-Rossignol
PSPRG
Lecoeur
ND
Morin
UDILRMoDem
Calbrix
DLF
Loutre
UPR
Bay
FN
Others
2015 election 6 Dec 201550.05%1.83%7.04%6.14%23.52%0.78%27.91%4.14%0.93%27.71%
Ifop 2–3 Dec 20157887.5%6.5%19%31%29%
Odoxa 27–30 Nov 20159801%7%5%23%2%28%2%2%30%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,22252%0.5%7%5%20.5%2%31%2.5%0.5%31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20158101%9%5%21%1%31%2%<0.5%30%
BVA 6–14 Oct 20158001%9%7%23%32%1%0%27%
OpinionWay Feb 20151,0052%6%9%22%29%5%22%5%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Mayer-Rossignol
PSPRGEELV-PCF-PG
Morin
UDILRMoDem
Bay
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201540.92%36.08%36.42%27.50%
Ifop 2–3 Dec 201578834%37%29%
BVA 8–10 Dec 201577636%36%28%
Odoxa 27–30 Nov 201598035%34%31%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,22234%35%31%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201581034%33%33%
BVA 6–14 Oct 201580034%36%30%

Pays de la Loire

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Le Beller
LO
Terrien
EXG
Pagano
PCFMRC
Bringuy
EELV
Clergeau
PSPRG
Le Gal La Salle
MEI
Retailleau
LRUDIMoDem
Bayle
DLF
Parisot
UPR
Gannat
FN
Denigot
UDBMBP
2015 election 6 Dec 201550.03%1.47%0.17%3.33%7.82%25.75%33.49%4.09%1.26%21.35%1.27%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,64255%1.5%0.5%2%6%27%32%4%1%25%1.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20157950.5%0.5%4%6%24%38%1.5%<0.5%23%2.5%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20158001%6%7%23%5%36%2%16%4%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Clergeau
PSPRG-EELVPCFMRC
Retailleau
LRUDIMoDem
Gannat
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201542.75%37.56%42.70%19.74%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,64237%39%24%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201579534%42%24%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201580037%45%18%

Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur

First round

The October 2015 BVA poll also named Jean-Marc Coppola as a list leader for the joint Europe Ecology – The Greens (EELV) and Left Front list alongside Sophie Camard, while the June 2015 proposed two separate lists, a Left Front list led by Coppola and an EELV list led by Camard, without naming list leaders for "extreme-left", Democratic Movement (MoDem), or Debout la France lists.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Bonnet
LO
Coppola
PCF-PG
Camard
EELVPCF-PG
Castaner
PSPRGMRC
Jarny
ND
Governatori
AEI
MoDem Estrosi
LRUDIMoDem
Chuisano
DLF
Romani
UPR
Maréchal-Le Pen
FN
Bompard
LS
2015 election 6 Dec 201548.06%1.48%6.54%16.59%0.64%4.05%26.47%1.95%0.61%40.55%1.12%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,73349%1%7.5%16%1%1.5%30%2%0.5%40%0.5%
Ifop 25–27 Nov 20159070.5%8%18%2%1.5%29%1.5%<0.5%39%0.5%
BVA 17–23 Nov 20158081%8%16%0.5%2%28%1%0.5%42%1%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201583051%1%8%16%1%1%30%2%0.5%40%0.5%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Nov 20159190.5%8.5%19%2%1%30%1.5%<0.5%37%0.5%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00054%1%8%16%1%2%32%2%0.5%37%0.5%
OpinionWay 10–12 Nov 201583352%1%8%18%1%2%31%2%<1%37%<1%
Ifop 13–17 Oct 20159150.5%11.5%18%1.5%32%1.5%<0.5%34%1%
Odoxa 12–16 Oct 20159271.5%10%18%2%30%2%0.5%35%1%
BVA 6–15 Oct 20157981%10%16%2%32%2%36%1%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jun 20159051%7%7% (EELV)17%5%29%2%32%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Castaner
PSPRGMRCEELVPCF-PG
Estrosi
LRUDIMoDem
Maréchal-Le Pen
FN
2015 election 13 Dec 201539.69%54.78%45.22%
BVA 8–10 Dec 201582851%49%
Ifop-Fiducial 8–9 Dec 20151,08952%48%
Harris Interactive 7–9 Dec 20151,00051%49%
TNS Sofres 7–8 Dec 201580354%46%
Odoxa 6–8 Dec 20151,29952%48%
Ipsos 20–29 Nov 20151,73325%34%41%
Ifop 25–27 Nov 201590727%34%39%
BVA 17–23 Nov 201580850%50%
25%32%43%
Ipsos 19–21 Nov 201583025%34%41%
Ifop-Fiducial 17–20 Nov 201591929%33%38%
Ipsos 10–13 Nov 20151,00026%36%38%
OpinionWay 10–12 Nov 201583352%48%
27%35%38%
43%57%
Ifop 13–17 Oct 201591528%36%36%
Odoxa 12–16 Oct 201592729%34%37%
BVA 6–15 Oct 201579827%36%37%
Ifop-Fiducial 23–26 Jun 201590532%35%33%

Guadeloupe

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Nomertin
CO
Plaisir
CIPPA
Cadoce
PCG
Lurel
PS
Chalus
GUSR
Bernier
LRUDIMoDem
Seymour
AG
Yoyotte
Nofrap
Viennet
FN
Myre-Quidal
UPLG
2015 election 6 Dec 201552.79%1.42%1.85%0.92%41.09%43.55%4.49%3.18%1.58%1.40%0.50%
Qualistat 21–28 Oct 20155653%3%2%41%43%6%1%1%

French Guiana

First round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Létard
WalwariEELV
Taubira
PPG
Tien-Liong
MDES
Fabien Canavy
MDES
Chantal Berthelot
PSG
Rodolphe Alexandre
GR
Rémy-Louis Budoc
LR
Muriel Icaré Nourel
UG
Sylvio Létard
DIG
2015 election 6 Dec 201557.38%7.10%0.97%30.24%5.71%8.49%42.34%3.08%1.59%0.48%
Qualistat 16–28 Nov 20155046%4%23%7%13%43%2%2%1%

Réunion

First round

Hugues Maillot was tested as list leader for Debout la France in the September 2015 Ipsos poll.

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs.Payet
LO
Bello
PLRPSEELV
Lebreton
PSPCR
Ratenon
ARCP
Robert
MoDem
Robert
LRUDIOR
Victoria
LR
Morel
DLF
Appadoo
UPR
Grondin
FN
Boyer
NR
Payet
Demorun
Allamèle
DIV
Mouen
MCP
2015 election 6 Dec 201555.55%0.48%23.80%7.12%1.69%20.32%40.36%1.02%0.37%0.48%2.39%0.52%1.47%
Abaksys 23–28 Nov 20151,2570.1%32.5%9.8%1.9%17.9%35.0%0.6%0.3%0.0%1.0%0.2%0.5%
Abaksys 15–22 Oct 20151,1770.0%31.5%8.3%0.7%17.9%38.9%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.2%0.7%0.0%0.4%0.0%
Ipsos 8–15 Sep 20155021%34.5%8%1%15%38%2%2.5%1%1%

Second round

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Abs. Bello
PLRPSEELVMoDemPCR
Robert
LRUDIOR
2015 election 13 Dec 201544.72%47.31%52.69%
Ipsos 8–10 Dec 201561846.5%53.5%

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References

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