Opinion polling for the 2018 Czech presidential election

Last updated

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2018 Czech presidential election.

Contents

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size		 Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Jiří Hynek Petr Hannig Undecided
12 - 13 Jan 20181st round result—38.626.69.24.310.28.80.51.20.6—
9 - 11 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [1] 2,01438.529.010.05.58.56.00.51.01.00
3 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 1,50442.527.512.56.07.02.51.50.50.50
7 Jan 2018STEM [3] 1,01245.527.210.35.55.74.60.50.30.4
2 - 7 JanSTEM/MARK [4] 71529.019.014.04.05.09.01.02.01.026.0
5 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [5] 29.014.015.016.07.06.0———
3 - 5 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,01246.027.010.06.06.05.01.00.00.0
30 Dec 2017 - 4 Jan 2018Sanep [7] 1,85231.420.27.117.110.26.31.24.12.4
14 - 29 Dec 2017Phoenix Research [8] 1,26034.017.010.014.06.02.02.01.01.013.0
2 - 17 Dec 2017CVVM [9] 1,04932.021.510.52.53.04.01.51.01.023.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017Phoenix Research [10] 1,26031.017.08.015.04.01.02.01.01.020.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK [11] 72433.022.016.04.05.03.02.01.01.013.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 1,50443.528.511.57.05.02.01.51.00.50
11 Dec 2017STEM [6] 1,02742.028.011.04.07.05.02.00.01.0
23 - 26 Nov 2017Sanep [13] 12,89430.223.69.716.86.33.91.94.53.10
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14] 80041.530.516.54.02.52.51.00.51.00
1 - 15 Nov 2017STEM/MARK [15] 71531.022.017.04.04.03.02.02.0—15.0

Polls conducted in 2017

April - 7 November

January - April

Polls conducted in 2016

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls conducted in 2014

Opinion polls for the second round

Zeman vs Drahoš

DateAgencySample
size		 Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Undecided / Not votingLeading by %
26 - 27 Jan 20182nd round result51.448.62.8
26 - 27 Jan 2018Median Exit poll [43] 51.748.303.4
26 - 27 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14935.033.033.02.0
24 - 25 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14932.032.037.0tie
24 - 25 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,01546.045.03.41.0
22 - 25 Jan 2018TNS Kantar [45] 1,15645.546.08.50.5
22 - 23 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14930.033.038.03.0
23 January 2018A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect. [46] [47]
17 - 22 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [48] 41.539.219.32.3
17 - 19 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,00743.751.74.68.0
16 - 18 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [49] 1,52245.545.09.50.5
15 - 17 Jan 2018STEM/MARK [50] 1,07843.047.010.04.0
13 - 17 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [51] 95035.637.027.41.4
12 - 13 Jan 2018STEM/MARK [52] 2,56849.250.801.6
3 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 1,50444.048.57.54.5
2 - 7 JanSTEM/MARK [4] 71542.048.006.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 1,50445.045.010.0tie
11 Oct - 5 NovMedian [16] 90749.051.002.0
31 Aug - 21 SepMedian [20] 92844.555.5011.0
24 May - 25 June 2017Median [26] 90346.553.507.0
31 March - 21 April 2017Median [28] 95949.550.501.0
10 April 2017Médea Research [32] [33] 61.838.2023.6

Hypothetical polling

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, failed to secure nomination, or did not advance past the first round of the election.

Zeman vs Horáček

Zeman vs Topolánek

Zeman vs Fischer

Zeman vs Hilšer

Zeman vs Kulhánek

Zeman vs Hynek

Zeman vs Hannig

Drahoš vs Horáček

Drahoš vs Topolánek

Drahoš vs Fischer

Zeman vs Kubera

Zeman vs Švejnar

Zeman vs Pospíšil

Zeman vs Stropnický

Zeman vs Okamura

Zeman vs Wagnerová

Zeman vs Dlouhý

Zeman vs Jourová

Zeman vs Halík

Zeman vs Kolář

Drahoš vs Stropnický

Horáček vs Stropnický

Probability of being elected

Two agencies published trackers where they continually inferred the probability of election of the candidates.

Election potential

DateAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
2 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 49.043.031.515.522.011.59.56.08.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 48.041.528.514.521.59.58.04.55.5
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14] 45.041.537.09.511.56.55.03.02.5
Nov 2017STEM/MARK [55] 45.040.032.012.016.012.012.0-3.0

Acceptability of candidates

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size		 Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
24 dec - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK [56] 1,50447.060.038.010.040.038.020.013.020.0

Polls conducted before

Media Surveys

Since nominations were closed

DateAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Mirek Topolánek Michal Horáček Vratislav Kulhánek Pavel Fischer Jiří Hynek Marek Hilšer Petr Hannig Josef Toman
8 Jan 2018iDnes [57] 11.429.317.212.60.714.92.111.10.6—
7 Jan 2018info.cz [58] —14.773.78.9——————
8 Nov 2017Lidovky.cz [59] 16.851.413.66.20.73.12.83.70.70.8

Before nominations were closed

Other opinion polls

Multiple question

DateQuestionAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Marek Hilšer Pavel Fischer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek Do not know/Undecided
21 Dec 2017Which candidate would be able to achieve political agreementPhoenix Research [61] 24.015.08.016.0—————39.0

Other voting

DateVoting Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Marek Hilšer Pavel Fischer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
22 Jan 2018Young Social Democrats members poll [62] 18.381.7———————
6 Jan 2018Czech Pirate Party members poll [63] 4.021.017.03.040.05.00.00.00.0
4 Jan 2018President of countryside [64] 0.622.90.638.34.624.61.71.15.1
4 Jan 2018700 Entrepreneurs poll of the Czech Chamber of Commerce [65] 20.028.0—12.0—————
12 - 13 Dec 2017Student Election [66] 19.933.69.36.213.29.62.43.02.7
8 Dec 2017Young Social Democrats members poll [67] 9.256.32.35.718.48.00.00.00.0

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This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2023 Czech presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

References

  1. ↑ "V týdnu před volbami měla jasno necelá polovina lidí. Největší potenciál si držel Zeman". ČT24 (in Czech). Česká televize. Retrieved 13 January 2018.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Průzkum pro ČT: Zemanův potenciál atakuje 50 procent, s Drahošem by však ve 2. kole prohrál". ČT24 (in Czech). Česká televize. Retrieved 9 January 2018.
  3. ↑ "Prezidentský průzkum: Zeman vítězí u voličů s nižším vzděláním". TV Nova. 7 January 2018. Retrieved 7 January 2018.
  4. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 "Miloše Zemana má šanci porazit ve druhém kole více kandidátů". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. 8 January 2018. Retrieved 8 January 2018.
  5. ↑ "Duel Horáček vs. Fischer: Havel taky "nic" neuměl, k čemu referenda a ajťáci na vojně?". Blesk.cz. 4 January 2018. Retrieved 5 January 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 "Před prezidentskými volbami 2018" (PDF). STEM. Retrieved 8 April 2018.
  7. ↑ "Nové informace: Pane Drahoši, pozor. Možná budete v..." Parlamentní Listy. Retrieved 8 January 2018.
  8. ↑ "Prezidentský průzkum: Zeman, Horáček i Fischer posílili, Topolánek ztratil". Blesk.cz. 30 December 2017. Retrieved 30 December 2017.
  9. ↑ Červenka, Jan. "Preference prezidentských kandidátů v prosinci 2017 - Centrum pro výzkum veřejného mínění". cvvm.soc.cas.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 22 December 2017.
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  12. 1 2 3 "Průzkum pro ČT: Zemana by nyní volilo 43,5 procenta lidí. Druhý Drahoš oslovil 28,5 procenta voličů". ČT24 (in Czech). Česká televize. Retrieved 17 December 2017.
  13. ↑ "Přituhuje. Hodně. Nový průzkum před válkou o Hrad: Ve vedení stále Zeman, ale je zde velké překvapení". Parlamentní listy. Retrieved 30 November 2017.
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  15. ↑ "Mirek Topolánek zatím prezidentskými kartami nezamíchal". stemmark.cz (in Czech). STEM/MARK a.s. Retrieved 20 November 2017.
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  19. ↑ "Kdo bude prezidentem? Ženy chtějí Horáčka, mladí Drahoše, senioři Zemana". Lidovky.cz. 11 October 2017. Retrieved 11 October 2017.
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  33. 1 2 3 4 "Souboj o Hrad".
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  35. ↑ "Exkluzivní průzkum pro deník Blesk | Phoenix research".
  36. ↑ "Drsný průzkum: Babiš vše drtí, Okamura nastupuje, TOP 09 v pytli. V Boji o Hrad jasně Zeman, Stropnický mizérie". Parlamentní Listy. Retrieved 6 February 2017.
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  44. 1 2 3 "Vývoj volebních postojů a vnímání kandidátů v předvolebním týdnu" (PDF). Median.cz. Retrieved 28 January 2018.
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  46. ↑ "Poslední den pro průzkumy: Drahoše chce 47 %, Zemana 43 %, desetina ještě váhá". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 22 January 2018. Retrieved 23 October 2020.
  47. ↑ Polls conducted after the ban were released after election.
  48. ↑ "Prezidentské volby 2018: Poslední průzkum: Zeman těsně vede. Volby ovlivní debaty i pasivita voličů, míní expert". Blesk.cz. Retrieved 22 January 2018.
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  50. ↑ "Průzkum STEM/MARK: Drahoše chce 47 procent, Zemana 43, desetina voličů ještě váhá". Forum 24 (in Czech). Retrieved 22 January 2018.
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  52. ↑ "Drahoš spoléhá na voliče neúspěšných. Nemalá část z nich ale pomůže Zemanovi, ukázal průzkum". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 17 January 2018. Retrieved 17 January 2018.
  53. 1 2 3 4 5 6 "Výzkum před prezidentskými volbami 2. vlna" (PDF). Česká televize. Retrieved 5 January 2018.
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  55. ↑ "Průzkum: Zemana za prezidenta víc lidí nechce, než chce. Přesto je favorit". IDnes (in Czech). Retrieved 22 November 2017.
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  58. ↑ "Prezidentské volby 2018: Vítězem hlasování čtenářů je Topolánek". Info.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 7 January 2018.
  59. ↑ "Čtenáři Lidovky.cz chtějí za prezidenta Drahoše. Zvítězil jasně před Zemanem a Topolánkem". Lidovky.cz. 8 November 2017. Retrieved 8 November 2017.
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  62. ↑ "Mladí sociální demokraté i ve druhém kole volby podporují Jiřího Drahoše". ČSSD (in Czech). Retrieved 14 March 2022.
  63. ↑ "Anketa: prezidentské volby 2018 - 1. kolo" (in Czech).
  64. ↑ "Titul Prezident pro venkov získal od sedláků Mirek..." nase-voda.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 4 January 2018.
  65. ↑ "U podnikatelů by uspěl Jiří Drahoš před Zemanem a Topolánkem". Novinky.cz. Retrieved 4 January 2018.
  66. ↑ "Ve studentských prezidentských volbách vyhrál Drahoš, na druhém místě skončil Zeman". Aktuálně.cz (in Czech). 13 December 2017. Retrieved 13 December 2017.
  67. ↑ "Mladí sociální demokraté: Mladí sociální demokraté volí Jiřího Drahoše". mladi.cz. Retrieved 10 December 2017.
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