Opinion polling for the 2018 Czech presidential election

Last updated

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2018 Czech presidential election.

Contents

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. However, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size
Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Jiří Hynek Petr Hannig Undecided
12 - 13 Jan 20181st round result38.626.69.24.310.28.80.51.20.6
9 - 11 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [1] 2,01438.529.010.05.58.56.00.51.01.00
3 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 1,50442.527.512.56.07.02.51.50.50.50
7 Jan 2018STEM [3] 1,01245.527.210.35.55.74.60.50.30.4
2 - 7 JanSTEM/MARK [4] 71529.019.014.04.05.09.01.02.01.026.0
5 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [5] 29.014.015.016.07.06.0
3 - 5 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,01246.027.010.06.06.05.01.00.00.0
30 Dec 2017 - 4 Jan 2018Sanep [7] 1,85231.420.27.117.110.26.31.24.12.4
14 - 29 Dec 2017Phoenix Research [8] 1,26034.017.010.014.06.02.02.01.01.013.0
2 - 17 Dec 2017CVVM [9] 1,04932.021.510.52.53.04.01.51.01.023.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017Phoenix Research [10] 1,26031.017.08.015.04.01.02.01.01.020.0
1 - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK [11] 72433.022.016.04.05.03.02.01.01.013.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 1,50443.528.511.57.05.02.01.51.00.50
11 Dec 2017STEM [6] 1,02742.028.011.04.07.05.02.00.01.0
23 - 26 Nov 2017Sanep [13] 12,89430.223.69.716.86.33.91.94.53.10
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14] 80041.530.516.54.02.52.51.00.51.00
1 - 15 Nov 2017STEM/MARK [15] 71531.022.017.04.04.03.02.02.015.0

Polls conducted in 2017

April - 7 November

January - April

Polls conducted in 2016

Polls conducted in 2015

Polls conducted in 2014

Opinion polls for the second round

Zeman vs Drahoš

DateAgencySample
size
Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Undecided / Not votingLeading by %
26 - 27 Jan 20182nd round result51.448.62.8
26 - 27 Jan 2018Median Exit poll [43] 51.748.303.4
26 - 27 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14935.033.033.02.0
24 - 25 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14932.032.037.0tie
24 - 25 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,01546.045.03.41.0
22 - 25 Jan 2018TNS Kantar [45] 1,15645.546.08.50.5
22 - 23 Jan 2018Median [44] 1,14930.033.038.03.0
23 January 2018A pre-election ban on opinion polling comes into effect. [46] [47]
17 - 22 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [48] 41.539.219.32.3
17 - 19 Jan 2018STEM [6] 1,00743.751.74.68.0
16 - 18 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [49] 1,52245.545.09.50.5
15 - 17 Jan 2018STEM/MARK [50] 1,07843.047.010.04.0
13 - 17 Jan 2018Phoenix Research [51] 95035.637.027.41.4
12 - 13 Jan 2018STEM/MARK [52] 2,56849.250.801.6
3 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 1,50444.048.57.54.5
2 - 7 JanSTEM/MARK [4] 71542.048.006.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 1,50445.045.010.0tie
11 Oct - 5 NovMedian [16] 90749.051.002.0
31 Aug - 21 SepMedian [20] 92844.555.5011.0
24 May - 25 June 2017Median [26] 90346.553.507.0
31 March - 21 April 2017Median [28] 95949.550.501.0
10 April 2017Médea Research [32] [33] 61.838.2023.6

Hypothetical polling

The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, failed to secure nomination, or did not advance past the first round of the election.

Zeman vs Horáček

Zeman vs Topolánek

Zeman vs Fischer

Zeman vs Hilšer

Zeman vs Kulhánek

Zeman vs Hynek

Zeman vs Hannig

Drahoš vs Horáček

Drahoš vs Topolánek

Drahoš vs Fischer

Zeman vs Kubera

Zeman vs Švejnar

Zeman vs Pospíšil

Zeman vs Stropnický

Zeman vs Okamura

Zeman vs Wagnerová

Zeman vs Dlouhý

Zeman vs Jourová

Zeman vs Halík

Zeman vs Kolář

Drahoš vs Stropnický

Horáček vs Stropnický

Probability of being elected

Two agencies published trackers where they continually inferred the probability of election of the candidates.

Election potential

DateAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
2 - 7 Jan 2018TNS Kantar & Median [2] 49.043.031.515.522.011.59.56.08.0
9 - 14 Dec 2017TNS Kantar & Median [12] 48.041.528.514.521.59.58.04.55.5
11 - 15 Nov 2017TNS Kantar & Median [14] 45.041.537.09.511.56.55.03.02.5
Nov 2017STEM/MARK [55] 45.040.032.012.016.012.012.0-3.0

Acceptability of candidates

Since nominations were closed

DateAgencySample
size
Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Pavel Fischer Marek Hilšer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
24 dec - 15 Dec 2017STEM/MARK [56] 1,50447.060.038.010.040.038.020.013.020.0

Polls conducted before

Media Surveys

Since nominations were closed

DateAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Mirek Topolánek Michal Horáček Vratislav Kulhánek Pavel Fischer Jiří Hynek Marek Hilšer Petr Hannig Josef Toman
8 Jan 2018iDnes [57] 11.429.317.212.60.714.92.111.10.6
7 Jan 2018info.cz [58] 14.773.78.9
8 Nov 2017Lidovky.cz [59] 16.851.413.66.20.73.12.83.70.70.8

Before nominations were closed

Other opinion polls

Multiple question

DateQuestionAgency Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Marek Hilšer Pavel Fischer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek Do not know/Undecided
21 Dec 2017Which candidate would be able to achieve political agreementPhoenix Research [61] 24.015.08.016.039.0

Other voting

DateVoting Miloš Zeman Jiří Drahoš Michal Horáček Mirek Topolánek Marek Hilšer Pavel Fischer Vratislav Kulhánek Petr Hannig Jiří Hynek
22 Jan 2018Young Social Democrats members poll [62] 18.381.7
6 Jan 2018Czech Pirate Party members poll [63] 4.021.017.03.040.05.00.00.00.0
4 Jan 2018President of countryside [64] 0.622.90.638.34.624.61.71.15.1
4 Jan 2018700 Entrepreneurs poll of the Czech Chamber of Commerce [65] 20.028.012.0
12 - 13 Dec 2017Student Election [66] 19.933.69.36.213.29.62.43.02.7
8 Dec 2017Young Social Democrats members poll [67] 9.256.32.35.718.48.00.00.00.0

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This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2023 Czech presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

References

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