Opinion polling for the April 2019 Israeli legislative election

Last updated

In the run-up to the April 2019 Israeli legislative election, which was held on 9 April, [1] various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Israel. Results of such polls are displayed in this article, ranging from the previous legislative election, held on 17 March 2015, to the 2019 election.

Contents

Campaign period

Electoral threshold

Polls do not take the electoral threshold (currently 3.25%) into account in a uniform fashion. Some polls reported the number of seats each party would win purely according to the percentages, as though there were no threshold; others eliminated parties that polled below the threshold and distributed the 120 available Knesset seats only among those who passed it. As a result, parties that polled at or near the threshold can show [2] inconsistent results, bouncing between 0 and the minimum 3 or 4 seats. Polls may not add up to 120 seats due to rounding or omitted parties that drop out or do not poll consistently.

Graphs

These graphs show the polling trends from the time Knesset candidate lists were finalized on 21 February, until the day of the election. No polls were published from Friday before the election until the election date.

If more than one poll was conducted on the same day, the graphs show the average of the polls for that date.

Blocs

Legend

Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.

Parties

Polls

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest figure in each survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then both figures are shaded. Parties that fall below the threshold are denoted by the percentage of votes that they received (N%) instead of the seats they would have gotten. When a poll has no information on a certain party, that party is instead marked by a dash (–).

These tables list the polls published from the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018, [7] until election day.

Legend

Note: Political blocs do not necessarily determine the exact makeup of post-election coalitions.

DatePolling firm Likud Labor Blue &
White
Kulanu Ra'am
Balad
Shas UTJ URWP Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Hadash
Ta'al
New
Right
Gesher Zehut L R
Outgoing Knesset [8] 29181110876555531N/A5466
16 Apr Election results [9] 35635448855460005565
9 Apr Channel 13 exit poll [10] 36736477444745466
9 Apr Channel 11 exit poll [11] 3683757754565664
9 Apr Channel 12 exit poll [12] [13] 33637466755566060
5 Apr Election silence starting end of Friday before election day. [14]
5 AprPanel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [15] 281128445674566(2.8%)65466
5 AprSmith/Maariv [16] 27929546764576(2.6%)55466
5 AprMaagar Mohot/Radio 103FM [17] 28931667777665466
4 AprSmith/Jerusalem Post [18] 27928546665565445664
4 AprMidgam/Yedioth Ahronoth [19] 261130545754576(2.2%)55763
4 AprMaagar Mohot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [20] 2710326(2%)586(2%)866(2%)65664
4 AprTNS/Kan [8] 3183054466(2.4%)686(2.9%)65664
4 AprMidgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [21] 261030545755576(2.6%)55664
4 AprMiskar [22] 311028(3.18%)4668(1.2%)577(2%)85466
3 AprPanels Politics/Walla! [23] 291030(2.9%)45674686(2.1%)55862
2-3 AprDialog/Haaretz [24] 301027545674575(2.8%)55367
2 AprPanel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [25] 29142845567(2.2%)565(2.9%)65862
31 MarPanels Politics/Channel 12 [26] 319304(2.1%)5654696(2.2%)55466
31 MarMidgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [27] 28832546654575(1.6%)55664
29 MarMaagar Mohot/Radio 103 FM [28] 298315677457655169
28 MarMidgam/Yedioth Ahronoth [29] 27931545754576(2.7%)55664
28 MarMaagar Mohot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [30] 288325(2%)6665666(1%)65268
28 MarSmith/Maariv [31] 29830446664577(3%)45466
28 MarPanel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [32] 30103044477(2.2%)575(2.3%)75664
28 MarDirect Polls/Makor Rishon [33] 3092944667(2.3%)687(1.5%)45664
27 MarPanels Politics/Walla! [34] 319304(1.9%)4774586(2.6%)55268
26 MarMidgam/Army Radio [35] 2810304(1.6%)6754585445763
26 MarTNS/Kan [36] 2883065675(2.1%)577(2.6%)65565
24-26 MarMiskar [37] 31730(3.1%)4669(2.4%)587(2.6%)75466
24 MarMidgam/Channel 12 [38] 281032(2.6%)46754475446159
24 MarPanel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [39] 28103154568(2.4%)575(1.6%)65763
22 MarPanels Politics/Maariv [40] 319304476569545466
22 MarMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [41] 26930444674655465862
22 MarSmith/Jerusalem Post [42] 27830546764586(2.8%)45565
20 MarMidgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [43] 271032445754486(1.6%)45862
20 MarPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [44] 2993154577(2.2%)576(2.3%)55664
19 MarPanels Politics/Walla! [45] 328294(2.5%)4675696(2.9%)45268
16-18 MarMiskar [46] 31829(2.3%)5669(1.4%)578(2.3%)65466
17 MarDirect Polls/Kan [47] 31930(2.1%)46664686(1.1%)45763
14 MarMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [48] 267335(2%)5775866(2%)55466
14 MarMidgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [49] 281031446774474(2.3%)45664
13 MarDirect Polls/Makor Rishon [50] 321032(2.7%)(2.6%)677(2.9%)697(1.7%)45763
11 MarPanel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Channel 13 [51] 28731455674676(2.3%)45664
8 MarMaagar Mohot/Radio 103FM [52] 2983556877965961
7-8 MarMidgam/iPanel/Yediot Ahronot [53] 291033446764575(2%)(3.1%)5961
7 MarDialog/Haaretz [54] 28103144578(2%)487(1.8%)45763
7 MarMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [55] 268334(2%)488(1%)898(2%)45862
5 MarTNS/Kan [56] 3073554575(2%)585(2%)45961
5 MarSmith/Channel 20 [57] 297314456645964(3%)6060
5 MarMidgam/Channel 12 [58] 3093654676(2.7%)485(2.2%)(2.0%)6159
5 MarPanels Politics/Walla! News [59] 318366(1.6%)477(2.8%)696(2.7%)(2.6%)5961
3 MarPanels Politics/Channel 12 [60] 308385(2.2%)477(2.1%)696(2.8%)(2.9%)6159
1-3 MarMiskar [61] [fn 5] 28527(2.3%)54511(1.3%)477(1.4%)74862
1 MarPanel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Channel 13 [62] 3063644677(2.3%)695(2.3%)(1.6%)6159
1 MarTNS/Kan [63] 2963755675(2%)677(3%)(3%)6159
1 MarMaagar Mohot/Radio 103FM & Maariv [64] [fn 5] 25737566106785760
28 FebPanels Politics/Maariv [65] 296355(1.5%)57745116(3.0%)(2.9%)5763
28 FebMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [66] 297384(1%)669(2%)678(2%)(3%)5862
27 FebNumber 10 Strategies/The Times of Israel [67] 29836444754478(1%)5961
24 FebMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [68] 31836(2%)(2%)778(3%)779(2%)(2%)5862
24 FebMidgam/iPanel/Yediot Ahronot [69] 29935455754476(3%)(3.1%)6060
22 FebMaagar Mochot/Radio 103 FM [70] 276344846745666258
21 FebPanels Politics/Maariv [71] 29735455764468(2.4%)(2.8%)5763
21 FebMidgam/Yediot Ahronot [72] 30836465654466(2.7%)(2.4%)6060
21 FebDirect polls/Makor Rishon [73] 32735(2.3%)(1.2%)57654118(2%)(1.6%)5763
21 FebDirect polls/Kan [74] 32835(1.9%)(2.1%)66654117(2.4%)(2.1%)5862
21 FebMidgam/Channel 12 [75] 30836465744466(3.1%)(2%)6060
21 FebPanel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Channel 13 [76] 2653644678541055961
21 FebDeadline for party lists to be submitted [77]
21 FebThe Joint List splits up. Hadash joins Ta'al as Balad runs with Ra'am. [78]
21 Feb Yesh Atid and Hosen L'Yisrael reach agreement to run as one list called Blue & White [79]
20 Feb The Jewish Home, Tkuma and Otzma Yehudit reach agreement to run as one list called URWP [80] [81]
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Ta'al Gesher Zehut Hosen-
Telem
L R
Current seats [82] 3018121110766555311N/AN/A5466
20 FebPanels Politics/Walla! News [83] 31951344755864196159
18 Feb Hatnuah announces withdrawal [84]
17 FebChannel 13 [85] 32571044654496245664
17 FebMidgam/Channel 12 [82] 301051256744577185763
16 FebDirect Polls/Kan [86] 301061045655586205763
15 FebMaagar Mochot/Radio 103 FM [87] 30871157685205961
14 Feb Meretz holds its primaries [88]
14 FebMaagar Mochot/i24 News/Israel Hayom [89] 3289124976545196456
13 FebDirect Polls/Kan [90] 301161145764106205862
12 FebMidgam/Labor [91] 30951166745774196060
12 FebPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [92] 3286115674587215862
11 Feb Labor holds its primaries [93]
9 FebMiskar/Srugim [94] [fn 5] 30496675203849
8 FebDirect Polls/Makor Rishon [95] 3275116745587235862
7 FebMidgam/Channel 12 [96] 3275115675587225763
7 FebPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [97] 32571045554496245664
7 FebPanels Politics/Walla! News [98] 3457135476566225862
6–7 FebMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [99] 355111469775216357
6 FebSmith/Channel 20 [100] 30561255656864226159
6 FebDirect Polls/Kan [101] 32661145655477225664
5 Feb Likud holds its primaries [102]
3–4 FebDialog/Haaretz [103] 30579556654754225664
3 Feb The Jewish Home chooses Rabbi Rafi Peretz as its leader [104]
1 FebPanels Politics/Maariv [105] 316512547455664205862
31 JanMaagar Mochot/i24News/Israel Hayom [106] [fn 5] 285995474744195055
30 JanPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [107] 30669456444684246159
30 JanMidgam/Channel 12 [108] 306611557444764215862
30 JanDirect Polls/Kan [109] 3186944645686235862
30 JanPanels Politics/Walla! News [110] 297712547455754195961
29 Jan Moshe Feiglin's Zehut party holds Israel's first open primaries [111]
29 Jan Hosen L'Yisrael announces they will run a joint list with Moshe Ya'alon's Telem party [112]
24 JanDirect Polls/Reshet Bet [113] 319611456456864155763
22 JanMidgam/Army Radio [114] 299613567455765135763
17 JanTeleseker/Saloona [115] 288121355744595155862
17 JanPanels Politics/Walla! [116] 338101554744594125466
16 JanTNS/Kan [117] 3171210656444576135763
16 JanMidgam/Channel 12 [118] 32961446765864135763
8 Jan Ta'al withdraws from the Joint List [119]
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher Hosen L R
8 JanPanels Politics/Walla! News [120] 328121355754584125466
5 JanShvakim Panorama/Israel Beitenu [121] 2681210577448664135763
4 JanMaagar Mochot/Radio 103 FM [122] 297101364745685125759
4 JanDirect Polls/Makor Rishon [123] 26101217456545104126060
4 JanPanels Politics/Maariv [124] 3081312557445114125466
3 JanSmith/Jerusalem Post [125] 30912116675695145763
3 JanMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [126] [fn 5] 28791366444685135756
2 JanTNS/Kan [127] 28712137675696145862
2 JanMidgam/iPanel/News Company [128] 3181210557545565125763
1 Jan Labor splits the Zionist Union alliance with Hatnuah [129]
DatePolling firm Likud Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher Hosen L R
30 DecSarid/Kan [130] 27912167476145136159
30 DecPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 10 [131] 308131165735585145664
30 DecMidgam/Channel 13 [132] 289121266745665145862
30 DecPanels Politics/Walla! [133] 2891315547446104115862
30 DecDirect Polls/Makor Rishon [134] 2591210457555144155565
29 Dec Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett break away from The Jewish Home to create a new party, the New Right [135]
27 DecFormer IDF General Chief of Staff Benny Gantz registers a new party, Hosen L'Yisrael [136]
27 DecMaagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [137] [138] 317121154711456155662
27 DecPanels Politics/Channel 12 [139] 319111554711455135862
26 DecThe government is dissolved [140]
25 DecMidgam/News Company [141] 291112115579654165961
25 DecSarid/Kan [142] 3010131364712474105763
25 DecPanel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [143] 30121215667107785466
27912126579666156060
25 DecPanels Politics/Walla! [144] 32111117648126855268
319111254711565145763
24–25 DecPanels Politics/Maariv [145] [146] 309111264711566135763
24 DecPrime Minister Netanyahu calls the election for 9 April 2019 [147]
16 DecMidgam/Channel 13 [148] 281012135579645166060
21 NovPanels Politics/Walla! [149] 30121317648136655367
30913105481246195763
20 NovMidgam/Army Radio [150] 3012121886798465268
19 NovPanel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [151] 2914141754698775961
271014124469865156258
17 NovMidgam/News Company [152] 30121218876106565367
14–15 NovSmith/Channel 20 [153] 29111216858118665169
14 NovPanels Politics/Maariv [154] 30111117758127665169
14 NovMidgam/News Company [155] 29111218867117655268
248121386710755155862
14 Nov Yisrael Beiteinu leaves the coalition government, down to just 61 MKs in support [7]

Student polls

This table lists polls answered by Israeli college and university students.

DatePolling firm Likud Labor Blue &
White
Kulanu Ra'am
Balad
Shas UTJ URWP Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Hadash
Ta'al
New
Right
Gesher Zehut L R
Current seats [8] 29181110876555531N/A5466
31 Mar 2019Panels/National Union of Students [156] [157] 131447(1.9%)(2.8%)715(2.0%)7(1.1%)177644

20th Knesset

This table lists the polls published from the beginning of the 20th Knesset to the time that Yisrael Beiteinu left the government coalition in mid-November 2018.

Legend
DatePolling firm Likud Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Jewish
Home
Shas UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Orly
Levy
CO
25 Oct 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [158] 30121419710465856258
11 Oct 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [159] 31111315612586766852
7 Oct 2018Midgam/News Company [160] 32121218610575666554
2–3 Sep 2018Panels Politics/Keshet [161] 36111118611476557050
21 Aug 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [162] 33121120611476556753
30 Jul 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [163] 33121119610486566753
24 Jul 2018Midgam/News Company [164] 3015121978577556456
12 Jul 2018Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon [165] 33111120710476566753
8 Jul 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [166] [167] 35111217610485756852
4 Jul 2018Midgam/Yediot Ahronot [168] 3315121867576656456
25 Jun 2018Midgam/News Company [169] 3215121877676556555
8 Jun 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [170] 31131218611566756555
3 Jun 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [171] 34101216611586667050
1 Jun 2018Smith/Maariv [172] 3411121779568656951
9 May 2018Panels/Maariv [173] 3610121779476666951
9 May 2018Geocartography [fn 6] 4210?18?859???64?
9 May 2018Midgam/News Company [175] 3514121868476556654
1 May 2018Smith/Channel 20 [176] 32121219710476746654
29 Apr 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [177] 29111219712586746753
26 Apr 2018Geocartography/Israel Hayom [178] 349112069494776654
23 Apr 2018Midgam/News Company [179] 28141220610475686060
15 Apr 2018Panel Politics/Knesset Channel [180] 29101120912575756753
3 Apr 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [181] 32121321710455746357
29 Mar 2018Smith/Channel 20 [182] 30131219710575756456
22 Mar 2018Meretz leadership primary concludes with Tamar Zandberg's victory [183]
16 Mar 2018Geocartography/Israel Hayom [184] 391010205895776654
12 Mar 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [185] 2911132461156696357
12 Mar 2018Midgam/News Company [186] 30131221611474756258
11 Mar 2018Former defense minister Moshe Ya'alon announces his intention to form a new party and run in the next election [187]
8 Mar 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [188] 3011102471148786753
8 Mar 2018Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [189] 3410102461428576951
6 Mar 2018Independent MK Orly Levy announces her intention to form a new party and run in the next election [190]
4 Mar 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [191] 2912122471056786456
1 Mar 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [192] 2913102381148686654
28 Feb 2018Geocartography/Israel Hayom [193] 36101023511410567149
21–22 Feb 2018Midgam/News Company [194] 281512247957766357
21 Feb 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [195] 2715122381056776357
19 Feb 2018Geocartography/Israel Hayom [196] 341212207149667050
14 Feb 2018Smith/Maariv [197] 2815122271157766555
14 Feb 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Ten News [198] 2716112551157676159
14 Feb 2018Midgam/News Company [199] 2615122291157676456
1 Feb 2018Geocartography [200] 301382471257866951
21 Jan 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [201] 2415112581348576258
12 Jan 2018Panels Politics/Maariv [202] 2214112791348576159
10–11 Jan 2018Midgam/News Company [203] 2516122471167756357
28 Dec 2017Geocartography [204] 311392681247466654
25–27 Dec 2017Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon [205] 24121125111447576555
18–19 Dec 2017Geocartography [206] 24149277209556555
8 Dec 2017Geocartography [207] 3312131671469647545
4 Dec 2017News Company [208] 2418122261257776159
1 Dec 2017Panels Politics/Maariv [209] 2517112571248566159
26 Nov 2017Ten News [210] 2417112491247576159
19 Nov 2017Walla News [211] 2719112171038776258
1 Nov 2017Ten News [212] 2619122271146585961
1 Nov 2017News Company [213] 2421122081248656258
28 Oct 2017Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [214] 2620122171036675860
17 Oct 2017Panels Politics [215] 2520112261347666159
21 Sep 2017Panels Politics [216] 2817112461248556357
22 Aug 2017Geocartography [217] 34131014101349677644
13 Aug 2017Panels [218] 2516112191258766654
6 Aug 2017Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 [219] 27–3120–221116–1879–105–678563-6952-56
3 Aug 2017Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon [220] 3016132091246556654
27 Jul 2017Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 [221] 2820101771367756852
23 Jul 2017Geocartography [222] 321810176959957050
21 Jul 2017Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post [223] 2419112291357556357
12 Jul 2017Geocartography/Kol Brama [224] 2919112181049456456
12 Jul 2017Panels/Walla [224] 2519122171258656357
11 Jul 2017Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 [225] 292481661456756753
11 Jul 2017Midgam/Channel 2 [226] 2520131881357656456
10 Jul 2017Second round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay's victory [227]
7 Jul 2017Panels/Maariv [228] 25–2616–171220–218–9125–6766–763-6654-57
5 Jul 2017Midgam/Channel 2 News [229] 28–2914–151320–2110–119567667-6555-53
5 Jul 2017Midgam Panel + Statnet/Walla News [230] 21–221813239–1011775560-6259
4 Jul 2017First round of Labor leadership election concludes with Avi Gabbay and Amir Peretz advancing to the second round [231]
26 May 2017Midgam/Channel 2 [232] 301213227977766753
26 May 2017Geocartography [233] [234] 2611132461149886456
27 Apr 2017Jewish Home leadership primaries concludes with Naftali Bennett's victory [235]
27 Apr 2017Geocartography/Radio 103FM [236] 2311132571369765655
22 Apr 2017Channel 22 [237] 2812132471077665655
5 Apr 2017Old Dialog/Channel 10 [238] 2710122961067676258
29 Mar 2017Walla [239] 2410122871367766456
24 Mar 2017Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post [240] 2510132871367756555
17 Mar 2017Channel 10 [241] 2610132561367776555
20 Jan 2017Panels [242] 239132671378776555
17 Jan 2017Channel 2 [243] 2411132671277766456
12 Jan 2017Walla [244] 249122761377966654
9 Jan 2017Geocartography/Globes [245] 2213132769610776060
5 Jan 2017Teleseker/Channel 1 [246] 2213122651476966357
1 Jan 2017Smith/Reshet Moreshet [247] 2813122271177766753
30 Dec 2016Statnet/Channel 10 [248] 2381227712871066753
2 Dec 2016Midgam/iPanel [249] 2510132571177876555
4 Nov 2016Smith/Reshet Bet [250] 2613132171277866753
2 Oct 2016Panels Politics/Maariv [251] 2210132761477956555
26 Sep 2016TNS/Channel 1 [252] 2112132561387966456
9 Sep 2016Geocartography/Channel 1 [253] 2311132761149976258
6 Sep 2016Midgam/iPanel/Channel 2 [254] 22131324614671056555
11 Aug 2016Maagar Mochot [255] 2710132161387967050
7 Aug 2016Geocartography [256] 2581322616711757248
3 Jun 2016Jerusalem Post/Smith Poll [257] 2715131971168866753
29 May 2016Geocartography/Kol Chai [258] 2781321714410887050
27 May 2016Smith/Reshet Bet [259] 2815131961078866753
25 May 2016Yisrael Beiteinu signs a coalition agreement with Likud to enter the government [260]
17 May 2016Geocartography/Channel 1 [261] 2711132468410985565
17 May 2016Panels Politics/Maariv [262] 26131118614771176060
16 May 2016Midgam/iPanel/Channel 2 [263] 2717131871067965763
16 May 2016Midgam/Statnet/Channel 10 [264] 2513142091266965862
25 Mar 2016Smith/Reshet Bet [265] 2617121971177865862
24 Mar 2016Dialog/Haaretz [266] 2715132071277756060
18 Mar 2016Maariv [267] 2615122161276965763
9 Mar 2016TNS/Channel 1 [268] 2515132161277865763
5 Mar 2016Midgam/Channel 2 [269] 2618131971167855763
26 Feb 2016Smith/Reshet Bet [270] 2719131871166765763
19 Feb 2016Panels Politics [271] 27151218612771065961
28 Jan 2016Maagar Mochot [272] 301813184986955763
21 Jan 2016Channel 10 [273] 27151416713771046159
1 Jan 2016Midgam/Yediot Ahronot [274] 2518131871267865763
30 Nov 2015Maagar Mochot [275] 312013155986855961
17 Mar 2015 Election results 302413111087665N/A6159
DatePolling Firm
Likud Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Jewish
Home
Shas UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Orly
Levy
CO

Scenario polls

If Netanyahu is indicted

DatePolling firm Likud Labor Blue &
White
Kulanu Ra'am
Balad
Shas UTJ URWP Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Hadash
Ta'al
New
Right
Gesher C
1 Mar 2019Maagar Mochot/Radio 103 FM [276] 257375661067860
27 Feb 2019Number 10 Strategies/Times of Israel [67] 25844686581055
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Ta'al Gesher Hosen C
22 Jan 2019Midgam/Army Radio [114] 25961466704657651455

Mergers

Multiple polls were published about hypothetical mergers, some of which eventually materialized during the pre-campaign, such as Gantz, Ya'alon, Ashkenazi and Lapid (Blue and White), or Jewish Home, Tkuma and Otzma Yehudit (Union of the Right-Wing Parties).

Likud and Yisrael Beiteinu
DatePolling firm Likud
+Yisrael
Beiteinu
Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Jewish
Home
Shas UTJ Meretz Gesher C
3 Jun 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [171] 36101216811586868
Hosen with Telem (Moshe Ya'alon)
DatePolling firm Likud Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh Atid Kulanu Shas UTJ Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New Right Gesher Hosen
+Telem
C
30 Dec 2018Midgam/Channel 13 [132] 2781212667456651656
Hosen with Hatnuah (Tzipi Livni)
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh Atid Kulanu Shas UTJ Hosen
with
Hatnuah
Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New Right Gesher C
2 Jan 2019News Company [128] 3181211557154556658
Hosen with Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid)
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
+
Hosen
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatn. Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Ta'al Gesher C
20 Feb 2019Panels Politics/Walla! News [83] 339534447558661
17 Feb 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [82] 3185324674457759
7 Feb 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [97] 325636466559662
6 Feb 2019Direct Polls/Kan [101] 3546354564546660
1 Feb 2019Panels Politics/Maariv [105] 32653254744566458
31 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [106] 30932484749
30 Jan 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [108] 31763055744566458
30563545744466456
30 Jan 2019Panel Politics/Walla! News [110] 27683354745575454
17 Jan 2019Teleseker/Saloona [115] 26712344574458454
17 Jan 2019Panels Politics/Walla! News [116] 33710284475558461
DatePolling firm Likud Zionist
Union
Joint
List
Yesh Atid
with
Benny Gantz
Kulanu Jewish
Home
Shas UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Gesher C
27 Dec 2018Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [137] 30812256104755657
27 Dec 2018Panels/Channel 12 [139] 31811305114745458
25 Dec 2018Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Ten News [143] 2791226795766655
25 Dec 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [144] 31911265114666557
16 Dec 2018Midgam/Channel 13 [148] 29101226595775555
Hosen with the Zionist Union
DatePolling firm Likud Zionist Union
with
Benny Gantz
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Jewish
Home
Shas UTJ Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz Gesher C
27 Dec 2018Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [137] 321612146114744760
25 Dec 2018Midgam/News Company [141] [277] 312512115105764458
21 Nov 2018Panels Politics/Walla News [149] 30261311513485560
17 Nov 2018Midgam/News Company [152] 26241214797664555
Hosen with Yesh Atid and Labor
DatePolling firm Likud Hosen
+Yesh Atid
+Labor
Joint
List
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New Right Gesher C
3 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [126] 32349654459456
Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Hosen
+Yesh Atid
+Ashkenazi
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New Right Ta'al Gesher C
7 Feb 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [96] 325536567458758
6-7 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [99] 35114255106661
Hosen with Yesh Atid, Labor, Telem, Hatnua, Ashkenazi, Barak
DatePolling firm Likud Hosen+
Yesh Atid+
Labor+
Telem+
Hatnuah+
Ashkenazi+
Barak
Joint
List
Kulanu Shas UTJ Jewish Home Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher C
17 Jan 2019Teleseker/Saloona [115] 2640114574449455
Hosen with Kulanu and Gabi Ashkenazi
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu+
Hosen+
Ashkenazi
Shas UTJ Jewish Home Hatnuah Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher C
8 Jan 2019Panels Politics/Walla! News [120] 328121218575458475
Union of right-wing parties
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Jewish Home
+Tkuma
+Yachad
+Otzma
Hatnuah Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher Hosen C
9 Feb 2019Miskar/Srugim [94] 3065139513724
3 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [126] 286913769446941159
Haredim
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas
+UTJ
Jewish
Home
Hatnuah Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Gesher Hosen C
16 Jan 2019TNS/Kan [117] 29712106134445761359
Yesh Atid and Hatnuah
DatePolling firm Likud Labor Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
+
Hatnuah
Kulanu Shas UTJ Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
Meretz New
Right
Ta'al Gesher Hosen
Yisrael
C
14-16 Jan 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [278] 328617467558641257
Labor and Meretz
DatePolling firm Likud Labor+
Meretz
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatnuah Jewish
Home
Yisrael
Beiteinu
New
Right
Ta'al Gesher Hosen
Yisrael
12 FebPanel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [92] 321471055748721
8 Feb 2019Teleseker [279] 2912795564465523
Multiple mergers
Labor and Meretz, Hosen with Yesh Atid and Gabi Ashkenazi, Jewish Home and Tkuma
DatePolling firm Likud Labor+
Meretz
Joint
List
Yesh
Atid
+
Hosen+
Ashkenazi
Kulanu Shas UTJ Hatn. Jewish
Home
+
Tkuma
Yisrael
Beiteinu
New
Right
Ta'al Gesher Zehut C
14 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [89] 2812932481165557
6-7 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [99] 34129345876560

Preferred prime minister polls

Some opinion pollsters have asked voters which party leader they would prefer as Prime Minister. Their responses are given as percentages in the tables below.

DatePolling firm Benjamin
Netanyahu
Avi
Gabbay
Yair
Lapid
Avigdor
Liberman
Naftali
Bennett
Benny
Gantz
5 Apr 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [15] 4637
4 Apr 2019Midgam/Yedioth Ahronoth [19] 4132
4 Apr 2019TNS/Kan [8] 4435
4 Apr 2019Midgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [21] 3635
3 Apr 2019Panels Politics/Walla! [23] 4835
2 Apr 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [25] 4637
31 Mar 2019Panels Politics/Channel 12 [26] 5330
31 Mar 2019Midgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [27] 3836
28 Mar 2019Midgam/iPanel/Yediot Ahronot [29] 4130
28 Mar 2019Maagar Mohot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [30] 4636
28 Mar 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [32] 5136
27 Mar 2019Panels Politics/Walla! [34] 5330
26 Mar 2019Midgam/Army Radio [35] 4533
26 Mar 2019TNS/Kan [36] 4534
24 Mar 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [38] 3934
24 Mar 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [39] 4538
22 Mar 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [41] 4334
20 Mar 2019Midgam/iPanel/Channel 12 [43] 3634
20 Mar 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [44] 4142
19 Mar 2019Panels Politics/Walla! [45] 4628
14 Mar 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [48] 4437
14 Mar 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [49] 4031
11 Mar 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [51] 4737
7-8 Mar 2019Midgam/iPanel/Yediot Ahronot [53] 3831
7 Mar 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [55] 4238
5 Mar 2019TNS/Kan [56] 4539
5 Mar 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [58] 4034
1 Mar 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Statnet/Channel 13 [62] 4640
5430
28 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [66] 4336
27 Feb 2019Number 10 Strategies/The Times of Israel [67] 4139
24 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [68] 4536
21 Feb 2019Panels Politics/Maariv [71] 4836
21 Feb 2019Midgam/Yediot Ahronot [72] 36
21 Feb 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [75] 36
21 Feb 2019Panel HaMidgam Project/Statnet/Channel 13 [76] 4536
17 Feb 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [82] 3631
14 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [89] 332103621
12 Feb 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [92] 4636
7 Feb 2019Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 13 [97] 4835
7 Feb 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [96] 373926
6-7 Feb 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [99] 362102522
6 Feb 2019Smith/Channel 20 [100] 40922
1 Feb 2019Panels Politics/Maariv [105] 3529329
4441
5026
31 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom & i24 News [106] 38393322
30 Jan 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [108] 3635
30 Jan 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Channel 13 [107] 4242
5130
30 Jan 2019Direct Polls/Kan [109] 4741
4914
508
16 Jan 2019Midgam/Channel 12 [280] 3628
3821
16 Jan 2019TNS/Kan [117] 4231
11 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Radio 103 FM [122] 4451021
8 Jan 2019Panel Project HaMidgam/Channel 10 [281] 4138
4529
4 Jan 2019Panels Politics/Maariv [124] 4926
3 Jan 2019Smith/Jerusalem Post [125] 39495714
3 Jan 2019Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [126] 355102515
2 Jan 2019 TNS/Kan 402430
2 Jan 2019 Midgam/iPanel/News Company 3528
3817
DatePolling firm Benjamin Netanyahu Gideon Sa'ar Avi Gabbay Tzipi Livni Yair Lapid Moshe Kahlon Naftali Bennett Avigdor Liberman Moshe Ya'alon Benny Gantz Ehud Barak
30 Dec 2018Midgam/Channel 13 [132] 3629
27 Dec 2018Maagar Mochot/Israel Hayom [137] 3561053314
25 Dec 2018Sarid/Kan News [142] 377136313
25 Dec 2018Panels Politics/Walla! [144] 406912
21 Nov 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! 3663564211
14-15 Nov 2018 Smith/News 20 [ permanent dead link ]30498515
7 Oct 2018 Midgam/News company 38491512
25 Jun 2018 Midgam/News company 34395313
8 Jun 2018 Channel 10 3971364
12 Mar 2018 Knesset Channel 357491262
12 Mar 2018 Midgam/News company 368126
8 Mar 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! 391116
1 Mar 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! 37920
21 Jan 2018 Panels Politics/Walla! 331118
10-11 Jan 2018 Midgam/iPanel 3523
27-29 Dec 2017 Maagar Mochot/Makor Rishon 246186317
4 Dec 2017 News Company 3520
3919
1 Dec 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv 26918564
19 Nov 2017 Walla! 3171497
9 Nov 2017 Panels Politics/Maariv 361411453
28 Oct 2017 Channel 10 Archived 2018-01-06 at the Wayback Machine 281111536
17 Oct 2017 Panels Politics 331316462
21 Sep 2017 Panels Politics 15122361043
27 Jul 2017 Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 Archived 2018-01-06 at the Wayback Machine 32131477
21 Jul 2017 Panels/Maariv/Jerusalem Post 261214883
12 Jul 2017 Panels Politics/Walla! 351616773
11 Jul 2017 Panel HaMidgam Project/Channel 10 37141287
11 Jul 2017 Midgam/Channel 2 3413126
DatePolling firm Benjamin Netanyahu Gideon Sa'ar Isaac Herzog Yair Lapid Naftali Bennett Avigdor Liberman Moshe Ya'alon Gabi Ashkenazi Ehud Barak
26 May 2017 Midgam/Channel 2 35414569
5 Apr 2017 Old Dialog/Channel 10 231141854
12 Jan 2017 Walla! 3733
5 Jan 2017 Teleseker/Channel 1 234217564
30 Dec 2016 Statnet/Channel 10 2751579
21 Jan 2016 Channel 10 35911119

Notes

  1. 1 2 Kulanu is a centre to centre-right party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government. [3]
  2. 1 2 Zehut is a right-libertarian party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government. [4]
  3. 1 2 Blue & White expressed its intention not to form a coalition with Ra'am-Balad or Hadash-Ta'al. [5]
  4. 1 2 Gesher is a centrist party that expressed openness to serve in either a Likud- or Blue & White-led government. [6]
  5. 1 2 3 4 5 Results of this poll are before redistribution of surplus votes, therefore total seats are less than 120.
  6. Survey partially released by Army Radio. [174]

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References

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  18. Gil Hoffman (5 April 2019). "'Post' poll predicts easy win for Right". Jerusalem Post. Retrieved 6 April 2019.
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  36. 1 2 "סקר כאן חדשות: גדל הפער בין נתניהו לגנץ בשאלת ההתאמה לראשות הממשלה". Kan (in Hebrew). 27 March 2019. Retrieved 27 March 2019.
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  41. 1 2 "סקר "ישראל היום" וערוץ i24NEWS: כחול לבן נחלשת, גשר מעל אחוז החסימה". Israel Hayom (in Hebrew). 22 March 2019.
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  43. 1 2 "Channel 12 Poll: Blue & White 32, Likud 27, Labor 10, Hadash-Taal 8, UTJ 7, HaYamin HeHadash 6; Right-Religious Bloc 62". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 20 March 2019.
  44. 1 2 "Channel 13 Poll: Blue & White 31, Likud 29, Labor 9, 3 tied at 7; Right-Religious Bloc 64". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 20 March 2019.
  45. 1 2 "Walla Poll: Likud 32, Blue & White 29, Hadash Taal 9, Labor 8, URL 7; Right Religious 68". Jeremy's Knesset Insider. 19 March 2019.
  46. "המדגם של ישראל - 16-18.3.19" (PDF) (in Hebrew). Central Elections Committee. Retrieved 6 April 2019.
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