Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency

Last updated

Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after Nayib Bukele took office as President of El Salvador on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador, [1] [2] [3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history [4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent. [5] [6]

Contents

Presidential approval rating

Polling aggregates
Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating
  Approves
  Disapproves
  Unsure/No Opinion
Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency.svg
Local regression of polls conducted
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		ApprovesDisapprovesUnsureLeadRef.
Cid-GallupNov 20241,20091.06.03.085.0 [7]
Cid-GallupSept 2024–89.04.07.085.0 [8]
Cid-GallupMay 2024–92.06.02.086.0 [7]
Cid-GallupJan 2024–92.05.03.087.0 [7]
Cid-Gallup6–13 Nov 20231,20092.06.02.086.0 [9]
Cid-GallupSept 2023–90.05.05.085.0 [7]
TResearchJun 20231,00092.95.31.887.6 [10]
Cid-GallupMay 2023–90.07.03.083.0 [7]
TResearchMay 20231,00091.57.21.384.3 [10]
TResearchApr 20231,00090.77.02.383.7 [10]
TResearchMar 20231,00089.29.21.680.0 [10]
TResearchFeb 20231,00087.610.12.377.5 [10]
La Prensa GráficaFeb 20231,50091.06.92.184.1 [11]
Cid-Gallup16–27 Jan 20231,20090.04.06.086.0 [12]
TResearchJan 20231,00084.811.53.773.3 [10]
TResearchDec 20221,00080.114.85.165.3 [10]
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 2022–87.89.52.578.3 [13]
TResearchNov 20221,00081.613.94.567.7 [10]
TResearchOct 20221,00083.712.04.371.7 [10]
TResearchSept 20221,00082.013.24.868.8 [10]
TResearchAug 20221,00083.88.18.175.7 [10]
TResearchJul 20221,00082.78.98.473.8 [10]
TResearchJun 20221,00080.710.98.469.8 [10]
Funda UngoJun 2022–89.06.74.382.3 [14]
CIESCA30 May 20221,33891.63.25.288.4 [15]
Cid-Gallup26 Jan 20221,20084.012.04.072.0 [16]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2021–84.510.15.482.3 [14]
La Prensa Gráfica24–29 Nov 20211,52085.111.73.273.4 [17]
La Prensa Gráfica18–24 Aug 20211,50684.712.32.972.4 [18]
Cid-Gallup18 Aug 20211,20087.011.02.076.0 [19]
CIESCA24 May 2021–94.06.00.088.0 [20]
La Prensa Gráfica13–22 May 20211,10386.59.14.377.4 [21]
Cid-Gallup2–10 Mar 20211,20096.03.01.093.0 [22]
Cid-Gallup25 Nov–10 Dec 20201,20089.010.02.079.0 [23]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2020 –91.16.22.784.9 [14]
Cid-Gallup7–16 Nov 20201,20096.0––– [24]
La Prensa Gráfica11–22 May 20201,40692.55.42.187.1 [25]
La Prensa Gráfica28 Feb 2020–85.910.43.775.5 [26]
La Prensa Gráfica10 Sept 2019–90.40.49.290.0 [27]

Polling on the gang crackdown

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		SupportOpposeUnsureLeadRef.
Cid-GallupSept 2024–83.012.05.071.0 [28]
Cid-GallupJan 2024–88.08.04.080.0 [28]
Cid-GallupSept 2023–84.012.04.072.0 [28]
TResearchJun 20231,00092.45.12.587.3 [10]
TResearchMay 20231,00091.26.52.384.7 [10]
TResearchMay 20231,00090.96.62.584.3 [10]
CIESCAMay 2023–92.215.302.4986.91 [29]
TResearchApr 20231,00089.48.22.481.2 [10]
TResearchMar 20231,00088.910.60.578.3 [10]
Funda Ungo1–6 Mar 202350085.6––– [30]
TResearchFeb 20231,00085.212.22.683.0 [10]
Cid-GallupFeb 2023–92.0––– [31]
TResearchJan 20231,00082.113.94.068.2 [10]
TResearchDec 20221,00078.316.75.061.6 [10]
TResearchNov 20221,00079.115.95.063.2 [10]
TResearchOct 20221,00080.814.15.166.7 [10]
TResearchSept 20221,00079.715.25.164.5 [10]
UCASept 2022–75.9––– [32]
Cid-Gallup5 Sept 20221,20091.06.01.085.0 [33]
TResearchAug 20221,00083.513.92.669.6 [10]
TResearchJul 20221,00082.614.72.767.9 [10]
TResearchJun 20221,00074.616.39.158.3 [10]
CIESCA30 May 20221,33890.17.12.883.03 [34]

2024 re-election polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Would supportWould not supportUndecidedLeadRef.
Iudop-UCA11–29 Nov 20231,51269.924.35.845.6 [35]
TResearchJun 20231,00090.98.80.382.1 [10]
CEC-UFG27 May–1 Jun 20231,33475.612.511.963.1 [36]
CIESCAMay 2023–91.855.362.7986.49 [37]
TResearchMay 20231,00090.49.30.381.1 [10]
TResearchApr 20231,00091.27.51.383.7 [10]
TResearchMar 20231,00092.66.21.286.4 [10]
La Prensa Gráfica15–24 Feb 20231,50068.013.019.055.0 [38]
TResearch14–16 Feb 20231,00093.95.70.488.2 [10]
CEC-UFG4–8 Feb 20231,26362.219.018.843.2 [39]
TResearchJan 20231,00092.75.91.486.8 [10]
TResearchDec 20221,00093.74.81.588.9 [10]
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 20221,52064.617.917.546.7 [40]
TResearchNov 20221,00094.14.51.489.6 [10]
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22774.712.812.561.9 [41]
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22777.211.011.866.2 [41]
TResearchOct 20221,00094.83.91.390.9 [10]
TResearch17–19 Sept 20221,00094.34.41.489.9 [42]
CIESCA18 Sept 202225,62388.311.7–76.6 [43]
CEC-UFG10–14 Sept 20221,23158.923.115.035.8 [44]
CEC-UFG26 May 2022–72.2––– [45]

See also

References

  1. ↑ O'Boyle, Brendan (29 April 2020). "Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  2. ↑ Kitroeff, Natalie (5 May 2020). "Young Leader Vowed Change in El Salvador but Wields Same Heavy Hand". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  3. ↑ Crane, Emily (22 September 2021). "El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator"". New York Post . Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  4. ↑ Galdámez, Eddie (9 March 2022). "Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele". elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  5. ↑ Linthicum, Kate (16 May 2021). "El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  6. ↑ Galdámez, Eddie (22 February 2021). "Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador". Global Voices. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  7. 1 2 3 4 5 Hernández, Silvia (27 November 2024). "Nueve de cada 10 Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele, Según CID Gallup" [9 Out of Every 10 Salvadorans Approves the Government of President Nayib Bukele, According to CID Gallup]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). El Salvador. Retrieved 28 November 2024.
  8. ↑ Hernández, Silvia (3 October 2024). "9 de Cada 10 Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [9 Out of Every 10 Salvadorans Approve the Government of President Nayib Bukele]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). El Salvador. Retrieved 3 October 2024.
  9. ↑ Martínez, Verónica (17 November 2023). "92% Aprueba la Labor Presidencial de Bukele: «Un Valor Alto a Nivel Internacional», Afirma el Gerente Cid Gallup" [92% Approve Bukele's President of Work: "High Value at the International Level", Affirms Poll from Cid Gallup]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 November 2023.
  10. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Penna C., Carlos (November 2022). "Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Años de Gobierno 93% lo Aprueba" [Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Years of Government 93% Approve]. TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2022.
  11. ↑ "LPG Datos | Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación" [LPG Statistics | Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). 15 March 2023. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  12. ↑ "Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia" [Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party]. El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 February 2023. Retrieved 2 February 2023.
  13. ↑ Segura, Edwin (12 December 2022). "Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación" [Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2022.
  14. 1 2 3 "Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022" [Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022](PDF). Funda Ungo (in Spanish). September 2022. p. 7. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  15. ↑ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%" [91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022– via Twitter.
  16. ↑ "CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management] (in Spanish). ElSalvadorgram.com. 26 January 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  17. ↑ Segura, Edwin (15 November 2021). "Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval" [Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  18. ↑ Segura, Edwin (3 September 2021). "Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed" [Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  19. ↑ "Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación" [Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval] (in Spanish). El Mundo.sv. 18 August 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  20. ↑ "Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta" [President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey]. El Salvador gram (in Spanish). Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  21. ↑ Segura, Edwin (1 June 2021). "Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación" [Bukele with 86.5% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  22. ↑ "98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia" [98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic] (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  23. ↑ "Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión" [Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management]. 102Nueve (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  24. ↑ "Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup" [Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll]. La Pagina (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  25. ↑ "¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!" [90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!]. fubtolcentroamericano (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 25 May 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  26. ↑ "Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación" [President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval]. Twitter (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  27. ↑ "Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento" [Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent]. VOA (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 10 September 2019. Archived from the original on 5 December 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  28. 1 2 3 Crespín, Verónica (3 October 2024). "El 84% de Salvadoreños a Favor de la Continuidad del Régimen de Excepción, Según Cid Gallup" [84% of Salvadorans In Favor of Continuing the State of Exception, According to Cid-Gallup]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 3 October 2024.
  29. ↑ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2023). "Los salvadoreños aprueban con un 92.2% el #RegimenDeExcepcion medida implementada por el gobierno del presidente @nayibbukele" [Salvadorans approve the #StateofException medium implemented by the government of president @nayibbukelewith 92.2%] (Tweet). Retrieved 30 May 2023– via Twitter.
  30. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (27 March 2023). "Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta" [Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
  31. ↑ Renteria, Nelson; Kinosian, Sarah (15 February 2023). "El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets". Reuters . Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  32. ↑ Murphy, Matt (4 December 2022). "El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown". BBC News. Reuters . Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  33. ↑ "La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad" [The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security]. Cid-Gallup (in Spanish). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  34. ↑ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas" [90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 September 2022– via Twitter.
  35. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (6 December 2023). "70% Avala que Bukele haya Presentado Candidatura Presidencial: Encuesta UCA" [70% Support Bukele Has Presented a Presidential Candidacy: UCA Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 December 2023.
  36. ↑ Villarroel, Gabriela (6 June 2023). "El 75.6% Apoya la Reelección de Bukele de 2024, Según Encuesta de la UFG" [75.6% Support the Re-Election of Bukele in 2024, According to Poll from UFG]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  37. ↑ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (31 May 2023). "Tercera entrega: Los salvadoreños aprueban la reelección del presidente @nayibbukele en un 91.85%" [Third poll: Salvadorans approve the re-election of president @nayibbukele with 91.85%.] (Tweet). Retrieved 31 May 2023– via Twitter.
  38. ↑ Rentiera, Nelson (14 March 2023). "Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Re-Election, Poll Shows". Reuters . San Salvador, El Salvador . Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  39. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (16 February 2023). "62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG" [62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  40. ↑ Segura, Edwin (14 December 2022). "LPG Datos | Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial" [LPG Statistics: | Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2022.
  41. 1 2 Magaña, Yolanda (10 November 2022). "Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG" [Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 November 2022.
  42. ↑ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (20 September 2022). "Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022– via Twitter.
  43. ↑ "88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele" [88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election]. Contrapunto.com.sv (in Spanish). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  44. ↑ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (30 September 2022). "Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022– via Twitter.
  45. ↑ Genoves, Alessia (26 May 2022). "Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG" [72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection]. Contra Punto (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 17 October 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
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