Opinion polling on the Nayib Bukele presidency

Last updated

Opinion polling has been conducted in El Salvador since September 2019, three months after President Nayib Bukele took office on 1 June 2019, to gauge public opinion of Bukele and his government. Despite negative reception from outside of El Salvador, [1] [2] [3] domestically, Bukele is considered to be one of the most popular presidents in Salvadoran history [4] as his approval ratings generally hover around 90 percent. [5] [6]

Contents

Presidential approval rating

Polling aggregates
Nayib Bukele's presidential approval rating
  Approves
  Disapproves
  Unsure/No Opinion
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		ApprovesDisapprovesUnsureLeadRef.
Cid-Gallup6–13 Nov 20231,20092.06.02.086.0 [7]
TResearchJun 20231,00092.95.31.887.6 [8]
TResearchMay 20231,00091.57.21.384.3 [8]
TResearchApr 20231,00090.77.02.383.7 [8]
TResearchMar 20231,00089.29.21.680.0 [8]
TResearchFeb 20231,00087.610.12.377.5 [8]
La Prensa GráficaFeb 20231,50091.06.92.184.1 [9]
Cid-Gallup16–27 Jan 20231,20090.04.06.086.0 [10]
TResearchJan 20231,00084.811.53.773.3 [8]
TResearchDec 20221,00080.114.85.165.3 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 2022–87.89.52.578.3 [11]
TResearchNov 20221,00081.613.94.567.7 [8]
TResearchOct 20221,00083.712.04.371.7 [8]
TResearchSept 20221,00082.013.24.868.8 [8]
TResearchAug 20221,00083.88.18.175.7 [8]
TResearchJul 20221,00082.78.98.473.8 [8]
TResearchJun 20221,00080.710.98.469.8 [8]
Funda UngoJun 2022–89.06.74.382.3 [12]
CIESCA30 May 20221,33891.63.25.288.4 [13]
Cid-Gallup26 Jan 20221,20084.012.04.072.0 [14]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2021–84.510.15.482.3 [12]
La Prensa Gráfica24–29 Nov 20211,52085.111.73.273.4 [15]
La Prensa Gráfica18–24 Aug 20211,50684.712.32.972.4 [16]
Cid-Gallup18 Aug 20211,20087.011.02.076.0 [17]
CIESCA24 May 2021–94.06.00.088.0 [18]
La Prensa Gráfica13–22 May 20211,10386.59.14.377.4 [19]
Cid-Gallup2–10 Mar 20211,20096.03.01.093.0 [20]
Cid-Gallup25 Nov–10 Dec 20201,20089.010.02.079.0 [21]
Funda UngoNov–Dec 2020 –91.16.22.784.9 [12]
Cid-Gallup7–16 Nov 20201,20096.0––– [22]
La Prensa Gráfica11–22 May 20201,40692.55.42.187.1 [23]
La Prensa Gráfica28 Feb 2020–85.910.43.775.5 [24]
La Prensa Gráfica10 Sept 2019–90.40.49.290.0 [25]

Polling on the gang crackdown

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		SupportOpposeUnsureLeadRef.
TResearchJun 20231,00092.45.12.587.3 [8]
TResearchMay 20231,00091.26.52.384.7 [8]
TResearchMay 20231,00090.96.62.584.3 [8]
CIESCAMay 2023–92.215.302.4986.91 [26]
TResearchApr 20231,00089.48.22.481.2 [8]
TResearchMar 20231,00088.910.60.578.3 [8]
Funda Ungo1–6 Mar 202350085.6––– [27]
TResearchFeb 20231,00085.212.22.683.0 [8]
Cid-GallupFeb 2023–92.0––– [28]
TResearchJan 20231,00082.113.94.068.2 [8]
TResearchDec 20221,00078.316.75.061.6 [8]
TResearchNov 20221,00079.115.95.063.2 [8]
TResearchOct 20221,00080.814.15.166.7 [8]
TResearchSept 20221,00079.715.25.164.5 [8]
UCASept 2022–75.9––– [29]
Cid-Gallup5 Sept 20221,20091.06.01.085.0 [30]
TResearchAug 20221,00083.513.92.669.6 [8]
TResearchJul 20221,00082.614.72.767.9 [8]
TResearchJun 20221,00074.616.39.158.3 [8]
CIESCA30 May 20221,33890.17.12.883.03 [31]

2024 re-election polling

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size		Would supportWould not supportUndecidedLeadRef.
Iudop-UCA11–29 Nov 20231,51269.924.35.845.6 [32]
TResearchJun 20231,00090.98.80.382.1 [8]
CEC-UFG27 May–1 Jun 20231,33475.612.511.963.1 [33]
CIESCAMay 2023–91.855.362.7986.49 [34]
TResearchMay 20231,00090.49.30.381.1 [8]
TResearchApr 20231,00091.27.51.383.7 [8]
TResearchMar 20231,00092.66.21.286.4 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica15–24 Feb 20231,50068.013.019.055.0 [35]
TResearch14–16 Feb 20231,00093.95.70.488.2 [8]
CEC-UFG4–8 Feb 20231,26362.219.018.843.2 [36]
TResearchJan 20231,00092.75.91.486.8 [8]
TResearchDec 20221,00093.74.81.588.9 [8]
La Prensa Gráfica16–21 Nov 20221,52064.617.917.546.7 [37]
TResearchNov 20221,00094.14.51.489.6 [8]
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22774.712.812.561.9 [38]
CEC-UFG27–31 Oct 20221,22777.211.011.866.2 [38]
TResearchOct 20221,00094.83.91.390.9 [8]
TResearch17–19 Sept 20221,00094.34.41.489.9 [39]
CIESCA18 Sept 202225,62388.311.7–76.6 [40]
CEC-UFG10–14 Sept 20221,23158.923.115.035.8 [41]
CEC-UFG26 May 2022–72.2––– [42]

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References

  1. ↑ O'Boyle, Brendan (29 April 2020). "Behind Nayib Bukele's "Shocking" Turn". Americas Quarterly. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  2. ↑ Kitroeff, Natalie (5 May 2020). "Young Leader Vowed Change in El Salvador but Wields Same Heavy Hand". The New York Times. ISSN   0362-4331 . Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  3. ↑ Crane, Emily (22 September 2021). "El Salvador's president declares himself world's "coolest dictator"". New York Post . Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  4. ↑ Galdámez, Eddie (9 March 2022). "Nayib Bukele Approval Rating. Majority of Salvadorans approve of Bukele". elsalvadorinfo.net. El Salvador Info. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  5. ↑ Linthicum, Kate (16 May 2021). "El Salvador's Millennial President is a Man with One Vision: Power". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  6. ↑ Galdámez, Eddie (22 February 2021). "Despite Claims of Authoritarianism, President Bukele's Popularity Continues to be Strong in El Salvador". Global Voices. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  7. ↑ Martínez, Verónica (17 November 2023). "92% Aprueba la Labor Presidencial de Bukele: «Un Valor Alto a Nivel Internacional», Afirma el Gerente Cid Gallup" [92% Approve Bukele's President of Work: "High Value at the International Level", Affirms Poll from Cid Gallup]. La Noticia SV (in Spanish). Retrieved 17 November 2023.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 Penna C., Carlos (November 2022). "Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Años de Gobierno 93% lo Aprueba" [Jun/23 El Salvador: 4 Years of Government 93% Approve]. TResearch (in Spanish). Retrieved 26 November 2022.
  9. ↑ "LPG Datos | Bukele Arranca 2023 con 91% de Aprobación" [LPG Statistics | Bukele Starts 2023 with 91% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). 15 March 2023. Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  10. ↑ "Cid Gallup: 90 % Aprueba a Bukele y 56 % No Tiene Partido Político de Preferencia" [Cid-Gallup: 90% Approves Bukele and 56% Do Not Have a Preferred Political Party]. El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 February 2023. Retrieved 2 February 2023.
  11. ↑ Segura, Edwin (12 December 2022). "Bukele Cierra su Tercer Año y Medio de Festión con 88 % de Aprobación" [Bukele Closes His Third Year and a Half with 88% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 12 December 2022.
  12. 1 2 3 "Evaluación de al Gestión Gubernamental y Temas de Actualidad del 2022" [Evaluation of Gubernatorial Management and Actual Topics of 2022](PDF). Funda Ungo (in Spanish). September 2022. p. 7. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  13. ↑ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "Los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión Presidencial. 91.63%" [91.63% of Salvadoran Approve of the Presidential Management] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022– via Twitter.
  14. ↑ "CID Gallup Dice que el 84% de los Salvadoreños Aprueba la Gestión del Presidente Nayib Bukele" [GID Gallup Says that 84% of Salvadorans Approve of President Nayib Bukele's Management] (in Spanish). ElSalvadorgram.com. 26 January 2022. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  15. ↑ Segura, Edwin (15 November 2021). "Bukele Halfway Through His Term with High Approval" [Bukele Llega a la Mitad de su Gestión con Alta Aprobación]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  16. ↑ Segura, Edwin (3 September 2021). "Bukele Approval, Almost Unscathed" [Aprobación de Bukele, Casi Indemne]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  17. ↑ "Cid-Gallup: Bukele con un 87% de Aprobación" [Cid-Gallup: Bukele with 87% Approval] (in Spanish). El Mundo.sv. 18 August 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  18. ↑ "Presidente Bukele Recibe Aprobación del 94% de Salvadoreños en sus 2 Años de Gobierno, Según Encuesta" [President Bukele Receives Approval from 94% of Salvadorans in His 2 Years of Government, According to Survey]. El Salvador gram (in Spanish). Centro de Investigaciones, Estudios Sociales de Centroamérica. 24 May 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  19. ↑ Segura, Edwin (1 June 2021). "Bukele con 86.5% de Aprobación" [Bukele with 86.5% Approval]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  20. ↑ "98 por Ciento de los Salvadoreños Aprueban la Gestión de Bukele Ante la Pandemia" [98 Percent of Salvadorans Approve Bukele's Management Due to the Pandemic] (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 11 March 2021. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  21. ↑ "Encuesta de Cid-Gallup Ubica a Nayib Bukele con el 90% de Aprobación Aún Año de Gestión" [Cid-Gallup Poll Locates Nayib Bukele with 90% Approval Still Year in Management]. 102Nueve (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 16 December 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  22. ↑ "Aprobación del Presidente Nayib Bukele Sube al 96% en el País, Según Última Encuesta de Cid-Gallup" [Approval of President Nayib Bukele Rises to 96% in the Country, According to the Latest Cid-Gallup Poll]. La Pagina (in Spanish). Cid-Gallup. 18 November 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  23. ↑ "¡90% de Aprobación para Nayib Bukele en El Salvador!" [90% Approval for Nayib Bukele in El Salvador!]. fubtolcentroamericano (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 25 May 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  24. ↑ "Presidente Nayib Bukele Conserva Alta Aprobación" [President Nayib Bukele Conserves High Approval]. Twitter (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 28 February 2020. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  25. ↑ "Estudio: Presidente Nayib de El Salvador Tiene Aprobación Popular del 90,4 por Ciento" [Study: President Nayib Bukele of El Salvador has Popular Approval of 90.4 Percent]. VOA (in Spanish). La Prensa Gráfica. 10 September 2019. Retrieved 30 May 2022.
  26. ↑ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2023). "Los salvadoreños aprueban con un 92.2% el #RegimenDeExcepcion medida implementada por el gobierno del presidente @nayibbukele" [Salvadorans approve the #StateofException medium implemented by the government of president @nayibbukelewith 92.2%] (Tweet). Retrieved 30 May 2023– via Twitter.
  27. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (27 March 2023). "Mayoría Aprueba Régimen de Excepción Pero no con Capturas Sin Orden de Arresto: Encuesta" [Majority Approve of State of Excpetion But not with Captures Without Arrest Orders: Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 27 March 2023.
  28. ↑ Renteria, Nelson; Kinosian, Sarah (15 February 2023). "El Salvador Vows Gang Crackdown Will Go On as Citizens Cheer Safer Streets". Reuters . Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  29. ↑ Murphy, Matt (4 December 2022). "El Salvador: Thousands of Troops Surround City in Gang Crackdown". BBC News. Reuters . Retrieved 22 March 2023.
  30. ↑ "La Población Aprueba as Labores Realizadas en el Campo de la Seguridad" [The Population Approves as Works Carried Out in the Field of Security]. Cid-Gallup (in Spanish). 5 September 2022. Retrieved 5 September 2022.
  31. ↑ CIESCA Central America [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (30 May 2022). "El 90.13%, de los salvadoreños, aprueba el régimen de excepción y la lucha en contra de las pandillas" [90.13% of Salvadorans approve the state of emergency and the war against the gangs.] (Tweet) (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 September 2022– via Twitter.
  32. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (6 December 2023). "70% Avala que Bukele haya Presentado Candidatura Presidencial: Encuesta UCA" [70% Support Bukele Has Presented a Presidential Candidacy: UCA Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 December 2023.
  33. ↑ Villarroel, Gabriela (6 June 2023). "El 75.6% Apoya la Reelección de Bukele de 2024, Según Encuesta de la UFG" [75.6% Support the Re-Election of Bukele in 2024, According to Poll from UFG]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 6 June 2023.
  34. ↑ CIESCA CENTROAMERICA [@CIESCA_OFICIAL] (31 May 2023). "Tercera entrega: Los salvadoreños aprueban la reelección del presidente @nayibbukele en un 91.85%" [Third poll: Salvadorans approve the re-election of president @nayibbukele with 91.85%.] (Tweet). Retrieved 31 May 2023– via Twitter.
  35. ↑ Rentiera, Nelson (14 March 2023). "Despite Constitutional Ban, Salvadoran Leader Heavily Favored for Re-Election, Poll Shows". Reuters . San Salvador, El Salvador . Retrieved 15 March 2023.
  36. ↑ Magaña, Yolanda (16 February 2023). "62.2% de Salvadoreños Están de Acuerdo con la Reelección de Bukele: Encuesta UFG" [62.2% of Salvadorans Are in Agreement of Bukele's Reelection: UFG Poll]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 February 2023.
  37. ↑ Segura, Edwin (14 December 2022). "LPG Datos | Salvadoreños a Favor de Extender Mandato Presidencial" [LPG Statistics: | Salvadorans in Favor of Extending Presidential Mandate]. La Prensa Gráfica (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 December 2022.
  38. 1 2 Magaña, Yolanda (10 November 2022). "Mayoría Apoya la Reelección Inmediata de Bukele Según Encuesta de UFG" [Majority Support the Immediate Reelection of Bukele According to Poll by UFG]. El Mundo (in Spanish). Retrieved 10 November 2022.
  39. ↑ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (21 September 2022). "Would you vote for the re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative) if he decides to run?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022– via Twitter.
  40. ↑ "88.3% de la Población, a Favor de Reelección de Bukele" [88.3% in Favor of Bukele's Re-Election]. Contrapunto.com.sv (in Spanish). 19 September 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
  41. ↑ America Elects [@AmericaElige] (30 September 2022). "Do you agree or disagree with the possible re-election of President Nayib Bukele (NI, conservative)?" (Tweet). Retrieved 16 October 2022– via Twitter.
  42. ↑ Genoves, Alessia (26 May 2022). "Reelección de Bukele Piden 72.2% de la Población, según UFG" [72.2% of the Populations Asks for Bukele's Reelection]. Contra Punto (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 17 October 2022. Retrieved 16 October 2022.
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