Pathadumbara Polling Division

Pathadumbara
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°22′33″N80°41′41″E / 7.375718°N 80.694795°E / 7.375718; 80.694795
Country	Sri Lanka
Province	Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral District	Kandy Electoral District
Area
• Total	139.16 km2 (53.73 sq mi)
Population  (2012) [1]
• Total	115,019
• Density	827/km2 (2,140/sq mi)
ISO 3166 code	EC-04C

The Pathadumbara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Pathadumbara has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Pathadumbara is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year	Pathadumbara		Kandy Electoral District		MAE [2]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [3]  %
2019		NDF		SLPP	5.29%		SLPP	7.33%
2015		NDF		NDF	3.25%		NDF	6.53%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	4.27%		UPFA	7.93%
2005		UNP		UNP	5.51%		UPFA	11.41%
1999		PA		PA	11.83%		PA	10.29%
1994		PA		PA	3.91%		PA	9.49%
1988		UNP		UNP	2.30%		UNP	5.20%
1982		UNP		UNP	3.40%		UNP	7.85%
Matches/Mean MAE	6/8		7/8		4.97%	8/8		8.25%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [4]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	NDF		35,848	50.20%		417,355	44.64%		5,564,239	41.99%
	SLPP		32,057	44.89%		471,502	50.43%		6,924,255	52.25%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		2,070	2.90%		22,479	2.40%		345,452	2.61%
	NMPP		1,439	2.02%		23,539	2.52%		418,553	3.16%
Valid Votes		71,414		99.05%	934,875		99.04%	13,252,499		98.99%
Rejected Votes		684		0.95%	9,020		0.96%	135,452		1.01%
Total Polled		72,098		83.50%	943,895		84.89%	13,387,951		83.71%
Registered Electors		86,342			1,111,860			15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [5]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	NDF		37,840	57.79%		466,994	54.56%		6,217,162	51.28%
	UPFA		26,762	40.87%		378,585	44.23%		5,768,090	47.58%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		878	1.34%		10,329	1.21%		138,200	1.14%
Valid Votes		65,480		98.46%	855,908		98.73%	12,123,452		98.85%
Rejected Votes		1,023		1.54%	10,993		1.27%	140,925		1.15%
Total Polled		66,503		77.90%	866,901		79.71%	12,264,377		78.69%
Registered Electors		85,375			1,087,542			15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [6]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		28,628	49.61%		406,636	54.16%		6,015,934	57.88%
	NDF		27,692	47.99%		329,492	43.89%		4,173,185	40.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		1,383	2.40%		14,658	1.95%		204,494	1.97%
Valid Votes		57,703		98.57%	750,786		98.85%	10,393,613		99.03%
Rejected Votes		838		1.43%	8,700		1.15%	101,838		0.97%
Total Polled		58,541		74.40%	759,486		75.87%	10,495,451		66.70%
Registered Electors		78,688			1,001,074			15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [7]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		31,957	59.81%		387,150	54.33%		4,706,366	48.43%
	UPFA		20,610	38.57%		315,672	44.30%		4,887,152	50.29%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		866	1.62%		9,798	1.37%		123,521	1.27%
Valid Votes		53,433		98.37%	712,620		98.64%	9,717,039		98.88%
Rejected Votes		885		1.63%	9,817		1.36%	109,869		1.12%
Total Polled		54,318		75.63%	722,437		77.37%	9,826,908		69.51%
Registered Electors		71,823			933,754			14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [8]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		32,945	63.25%		308,187	50.29%		4,312,157	51.12%
	UNP		17,372	33.35%		276,360	45.10%		3,602,748	42.71%
	JVP		928	1.78%		15,512	2.53%		343,927	4.08%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		846	1.62%		12,752	2.08%		176,679	2.09%
Valid Votes		52,091		97.50%	612,811		97.29%	8,435,754		97.69%
Rejected Votes		1,338		2.50%	17,060		2.71%	199,536		2.31%
Total Polled		53,429		84.73%	629,871		77.61%	8,635,290		72.17%
Registered Electors		63,055			811,606			11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [9]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		23,082	52.61%		320,110	56.64%		4,709,205	62.28%
	UNP		19,995	45.57%		235,519	41.68%		2,715,283	35.91%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		800	1.82%		9,488	1.68%		137,040	1.81%
Valid Votes		43,877		96.37%	565,117		97.55%	7,561,526		98.03%
Rejected Votes		1,652		3.63%	14,179		2.45%	151,706		1.97%
Total Polled		45,529		79.21%	579,296		77.85%	7,713,232		69.12%
Registered Electors		57,482			744,151			11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [10]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		20,902	57.19%		234,124	54.88%		2,569,199	50.43%
	SLFP		15,087	41.28%		186,187	43.65%		2,289,857	44.95%
	SLMP		557	1.52%		6,266	1.47%		235,701	4.63%
Valid Votes		36,546		98.36%	426,577		98.57%	5,094,754		98.24%
Rejected Votes		611		1.64%	6,167		1.43%	91,499		1.76%
Total Polled		37,157		76.23%	432,744		68.36%	5,186,256		55.87%
Registered Electors		48,741			633,030			9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party		Pathadumbara [11]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		22,158	63.56%		289,621	59.80%		3,450,815	52.93%
	SLFP		11,783	33.80%		178,647	36.89%		2,546,348	39.05%
	JVP		669	1.92%		12,493	2.58%		273,428	4.19%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		252	0.72%		3,536	0.73%		249,460	3.83%
Valid Votes		34,862		98.92%	484,297		99.07%	6,520,156		98.78%
Rejected Votes		382		1.08%	4,548		0.93%	80,470		1.22%
Total Polled		35,244		84.14%	488,845		89.44%	6,600,626		80.15%
Registered Electors		41,888			546,565			8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Pathadumbara has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Pathadumbara is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year	Pathadumbara		Kandy Electoral District		MAE [12]  %	Sri Lanka		MAE [13]  %
2015		UNP		UNP	3.89%		UNP	9.67%
2010		UPFA		UPFA	3.70%		UPFA	4.80%
2004		UNP		UNP	6.99%		UPFA	12.28%
2001		PA		UNP	6.70%		UNP	4.46%
2000		PA		PA	7.70%		PA	8.30%
1994		UNP		UNP	5.72%		PA	10.28%
1989		UNP		UNP	3.69%		UNP	8.97%
Matches/Mean MAE	4/7		5/7		5.48%	7/7		8.39%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [14]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		35,619	59.61%		440,761	55.61%		5,098,916	45.77%
	UPFA		20,822	34.85%		309,152	39.00%		4,732,664	42.48%
	JVP		1,779	2.98%		30,669	3.87%		544,154	4.88%
	CWC		944	1.58%		4,400	0.56%		17,107	0.15%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		591	0.99%		7,655	0.97%		82,981	0.74%
Valid Votes		59,755		94.56%	792,637		95.48%	11,140,333		95.35%
Rejected Votes		3,406		5.39%	37,065		4.46%	516,926		4.42%
Total Polled		63,195		74.02%	830,165		79.13%	11,684,111		77.66%
Registered Electors		85,375			1,049,160			15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [15]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UPFA		23,956	57.15%		339,819	60.81%		4,846,388	60.38%
	UNP		16,214	38.68%		192,798	34.50%		2,357,057	29.37%
	DNA		1,477	3.52%		23,728	4.25%		441,251	5.50%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		271	0.65%		2,459	0.44%		30,354	0.38%
Valid Votes		41,918		88.95%	558,804		90.49%	8,026,322		96.03%
Rejected Votes		5,177		10.99%	58,333		9.45%	581,465		6.96%
Total Polled		47,127		59.89%	617,559		61.70%	8,358,246		59.29%
Registered Electors		78,688			1,000,861			14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [16]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		26,230	57.60%		313,859	49.99%		3,486,792	37.73%
	UPFA		16,071	35.29%		268,131	42.71%		4,223,126	45.70%
	JHU		2,946	6.47%		42,192	6.72%		552,723	5.98%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		289	0.63%		3,684	0.59%		64,227	0.69%
Valid Votes		45,536		91.46%	627,866		93.24%	9,241,931		94.52%
Rejected Votes		4,250		8.54%	45,484		6.75%	534,452		5.47%
Total Polled		49,786		71.58%	673,380		76.47%	9,777,821		75.74%
Registered Electors		69,554			880,634			12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [17]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		19,911	47.35%		233,637	39.23%		3,330,815	37.19%
	UNP		19,461	46.28%		314,297	52.77%		4,086,026	45.62%
	JVP		2,071	4.92%		37,146	6.24%		815,353	9.10%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		609	1.45%		10,496	1.76%		129,347	1.44%
Valid Votes		42,052		93.20%	595,576		93.40%	8,955,844		94.77%
Rejected Votes		3,069		6.80%	42,103		6.60%	494,009		5.23%
Total Polled		45,121		67.02%	637,679		76.03%	9,449,878		76.03%
Registered Electors		67,327			838,687			12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [18]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	PA		24,235	55.16%		282,282	46.66%		3,899,329	45.33%
	UNP		13,805	31.42%		243,623	40.27%		3,451,765	40.12%
	NUA		3,277	7.46%		32,023	5.29%		185,593	2.16%
	JVP		1,016	2.31%		21,565	3.56%		518,725	6.03%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		630	1.43%		8,328	1.38%		138,824	1.61%
	SU		521	1.19%		10,999	1.82%		127,859	1.49%
	CWC		454	1.03%		6,108	1.01%		22,985	0.27%
Valid Votes		43,938		N/A	604,928		N/A	8,602,617		N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [19]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		25,471	58.21%		301,824	52.35%		3,498,370	44.04%
	PA		17,816	40.72%		267,683	46.43%		3,887,805	48.94%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		467	1.07%		7,045	1.22%		175,576	2.21%
Valid Votes		43,754		94.12%	576,552		94.89%	7,943,688		95.20%
Rejected Votes		2,731		5.88%	31,019		5.11%	400,395		4.80%
Total Polled		46,485		80.87%	607,571		81.67%	8,344,095		74.75%
Registered Electors		57,482			743,939			11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party		Pathadumbara [20]			Kandy Electoral District			Sri Lanka
		Votes		%	Votes		%	Votes		%
	UNP		17,031	64.76%		204,973	61.72%		2,838,005	50.71%
	SLFP		6,979	26.54%		105,977	31.91%		1,785,369	31.90%
	SLMC		1,740	6.62%		14,697	4.43%		202,016	3.61%
	USA		476	1.81%		5,147	1.55%		141,983	2.54%
	Other Parties (with < 1%)		73	0.28%		1,315	0.40%		67,723	1.21%
Valid Votes		26,299		93.27%	332,109		93.69%	5,596,468		93.87%
Rejected Votes		1,897		6.73%	22,374		6.31%	365,563		6.13%
Total Polled		28,196		59.10%	354,483		56.42%	5,962,031		63.60%
Registered Electors		47,713			628,317			9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Pathadumbara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (66.0%), a significant Moor population (18.3%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (11.8%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Pathadumbara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) ^[1]

Ethnicity in Pathadumbara ^[1]

   Sinhalese (66.0%)

   Moor (18.3%)

   Indian Tamil (11.8%)

   Sri Lankan Tamil (3.6%)

  Other (0.3%)

Religion

The Pathadumbara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (65.2%), a significant Muslim population (18.6%) and a significant Hindu population (13.8%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Pathadumbara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) ^[1]

Religion in Pathadumbara ^[1]

   Buddhist (65.2%)

   Muslim (18.6%)

   Hindu (13.8%)

   Roman Catholic (1.7%)

  Other (0.8%)

References

1. "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Pathadumbara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Pathadumbara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Pathadumbara and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Pathadumbara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
14. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
15. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
16. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
17. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
18. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
19. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
20. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.