Solar cycle 25 | |
---|---|
Sunspot data | |
Start date | December 2019 |
End date | about 2030 |
Max count | 136.8 (smoothed) |
Max count month | February 2024 (progressive) [1] |
Min count | 1.8 |
Cycle chronology | |
Previous cycle | Solar cycle 24 (2008–2019) |
Solar cycle 25 is the current solar cycle, the 25th since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. It began in December 2019 with a minimum smoothed sunspot number of 1.8. [2] It is expected to continue until about 2030. [3] [4]
Widely varying predictions regarding the strength of cycle 25 ranged from very weak with suggestions of slow slide in to a Maunder minimum like state [5] [6] to a weak cycle similar to previous cycle 24 [7] and even a strong cycle. [8] [9] [10] Upton and Hathaway predicted that the weakness of cycle 25 would make it part of the Modern Gleissberg Minimum. [5]
The Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Panel predicted in December 2019 [11] that solar cycle 25 will be similar to solar cycle 24 , with the preceding solar cycle minimum in April 2020 (± 6 months), and the number of sunspots reaching a (smoothed) maximum of 115 in July 2025 (± 8 months). This prediction is in line with the current general agreement in the scientific literature, which holds that solar cycle 25 will be weaker than average (i.e. weaker than during the exceptionally strong Modern Maximum). [7] However, observations from 2020 to 2022, the first three years of the cycle, significantly exceed predicted values. [12]
Source | Date | Cycle max | Cycle start | Cycle end |
---|---|---|---|---|
Thompson, M.J. et al. [4] | August 2014 | Q4 2019 | ||
Zharkova, V. et al 2014, 2015. [13] (Northumbria U.) | October 2014 | 65 (80% of cycle 24) | ||
Upton, L.A. and Hathaway, D.H. [5] (Solar Observatories Group, Stanford University) | December 2018 | 78 (95% of cycle 24) | Late 2020 – Early 2021 | |
Xu, J.C. et al. [8] (Chinese Academy of Sciences) | August 2018 | 168.5 ± 16.3 (2024) | October 2020 | |
Bhowmik, P. and Nandy, D. [7] (IISER Kolkata) | December 2018 | 124 ± 15 (2023–2025) | 2020 | after 2031 |
Ozguc, A. et al. [9] (Harvard U-ty) | December 2018 | 154 ± 12 (2023.2±1.1) | ||
NOAA / SSRC [14] | April 2019 | 117 ± 23 (2023–2026) | mid-2019 – late 2020 | |
NASA [15] | June 2019 | 70 ± 29 (30–50% lower than Cycle 24 (2025)) | 2020 | |
NOAA / SSRC (update) [16] | December 2019 | 115 ± 10 (July 2025) | April 2020 (± 6 months) | |
Mcintosh et al. [17] [18] | June 2020 | 229 ± 25 | ||
Mcintosh et al. [17] [18] | December 2020 | 190 ± 20 | ||
National Center for Atmospheric Research [19] | December 2020 | 233 | ||
de Jager, C. and Duhau, S. [20] | December 2020 | 160 ± 8 (2025 ± 1) | ||
Actual, for comparison | Present | >141.3 | December 2019 | - |
As of April 2018, the Sun showed signs of a reverse magnetic polarity sunspot appearing and beginning this solar cycle. [21] It is typical during the transition from one cycle to the next to experience a period where sunspots of both polarities exist (during the solar minimum). The polarward reversed polarity sunspots suggested that a transition to cycle 25 was in process. [22] The first cycle 25 sunspot may have appeared in early April 2018 [23] [24] or even December 2016. [22]
In November 2019, two reversed polarity sunspots appeared, possibly signaling the onset of cycle 25. [25] [26]
Nandy et al., analyzed the polarity orientation of bipolar magnetic regions observed in December 2019 and concluded that magnetic regions with the underlying orientation of solar cycle 25 toroidal field component were brewing in the solar convection zone, representing early signs of the new cycle. [27]
Supersynoptic (time vs. solar latitude) map of the radial component of the solar magnetic field for cycles 24–25 based on observations from the Global Oscillations Network Group (GONG) shows magnetic activity of cycle 25 beginning November 2019 at about 30 degree latitudes in both solar hemispheres. [28] A more recent supersynoptic map is available. [29]
The following table gives the number of days so far in cycle 25 against the number up to the same point in cycle 24, which have passed various thresholds for the numbers of sunspots.
Counts | SC 24 to end of 2013 | SC 24 to Oct 13 2013 | SC 25 to Oct 13 2024 |
---|---|---|---|
≥100 | 408 | 343 | 641 |
≥125 | 194 | 156 | 447 |
≥150 | 63 | 52 | 273 |
≥175 | 12 | 8 | 136 |
≥200 | 1 | 1 | 70 |
≥225 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
≥250 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
≥275 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
As at Oct 13, 2024, solar cycle 25 is averaging 40% more spots per day than solar cycle 24 at the same point in the cycle (Oct 13, 2013).
The strongest flares of Solar Cycle 25 (above M5.0 class) and related events
Class | Date | Sunspot region | Radio B. | SR Storm | CME | GM Storm |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
X9.05 | 2024-10-03 | 3842 | R3 | - | Yes | G2 |
X8.79 | 2024-05-14 | 3664 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X7.15 | 2024-10-01 | 3842 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X6.37 | 2024-02-23 | 3590 | R3 | - | No | - |
X5.89 | 2024-05-11 | 3664 | R3 | S2 | Yes | ? |
X5.01 | 2023‑12‑31 | 3536 | R3 | S1 | Yes | - |
X4.54 | 2024-09-14 | 3825 | R3 | S1 | Yes | G3 |
X4.52 | 2024-05-06 | 3663 | R3 | - | Yes | G5 |
X3.98 | 2024-05-10 | 3664 | R3 | S2 | Yes | G5 |
X3.48 | 2024-05-15 | 3664 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X3.38 | 2024-02-09 | 3575 | R3 | S2 | Yes | - |
X3.33 | 2024-10-24 | 3869 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X2.99 | 2024-05-15 | 3685 | R3 | S1 | Yes | ? |
X2.9 | 2024-05-27 | 3697 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X2.87 | 2023‑12‑14 | 3514 | R3 | S1 | Yes | G1 |
X2.56 | 2024-02-16 | 3576 | R3 | S0 | Yes | - |
X2.39 | 2024-11-06 | 3883 | R3 | - | Yes | G2 |
X2.28 | 2023‑02‑17 | 3229 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X2.25 | 2022‑04‑20 | 2992 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X2.25 | 2024-05-09 | 3664 | R3 | S2 | Yes | G5 |
X2.19 | 2024-10-07 | 3842 | R3 | S1 | Yes | ? |
X2.07 | 2023‑03‑03 | 3234 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X2.0 | 2024-07-16 | 3738 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X1.98 | 2023‑01‑09 | 3184 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.9 | 2024-02-21 | 3590 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.86 | 2024-10-26 | 3872 | R3 | S1 | Yes | ? |
X1.84 | 2024-10-09 | 3848 | R3 | S3 | Yes | G4 |
X1.72 | 2024-05-14 | 3664 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X1.7 | 2024-02-22 | 3590 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.69 | 2024-05-02 | 3663 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.63 | 2023‑08‑05 | 3386 | R3 | S1 | Yes | - |
X1.59 | 2021‑07‑03 | 2838 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.57 | 2024-07-29 | 3764 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.55 | 2024-06-10 | 3697 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X1.54 | 2024-05-11 | 3664 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.51 | 2022‑05‑10 | 3006 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.51 | 2023‑08‑07 | 3386 | R3 | S1 | Yes | - |
X1.45 | 2024-05-29 | 3697 | R3 | S0 | Yes | ? |
X1.43 | 2024-06-01 | 3697 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.38 | 2022‑03‑30 | 2975 | R3 | S1 | Yes | G1 |
X1.32 | 2024-05-05 | 3663 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.3 | 2024-09-12 | 3825 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.29 | 2024-05-05 | 3663 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.27 | 2023‑03‑29 | 3256 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.27 | 2024-07-14 | 3738 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.25 | 2024-05-14 | 3664 | R3 | - | Yes | ? |
X1.22 | 2023‑01‑06 | 3182 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.18 | 2024-05-31 | 3697 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.17 | 2022‑04‑17 | 2994 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.16 | 2023‑02‑11 | 3217 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.13 | 2022‑04‑30 | 2994 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.13 | 2022‑05‑03 | 3006 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.12 | 2024-03-23 | 3614 | R3 | S2 | Yes | G4 |
X1.12 | 2024-03-29 | 3615 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.12 | 2024-05-09 | 3664 | R3 | S2 | Yes | G5 |
X1.11 | 2023‑06‑20 | 3341 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.08 | 2023‑07‑02 | 3354 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.08 | 2024-05-08 | 3663 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.06 | 2022‑10‑02 | 3110 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.06 | 2023‑01‑10 | 3186 | R3 | - | Yes | - |
X1.04 | 2024-05-08 | 3663 | R3 | - | Yes | G5 |
X1.03 | 2024-06-01 | 3697 | R3 | ? | ? | ? |
X1.02 | 2024-05-08 | 3664 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.02 | 2024-05-12 | 3664 | R3 | - | No | - |
X1.0 | 2021‑10‑28 | 2887 | R3 | S1 | Yes | - |
M9.92 | 2024-07-28 | 3762 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.87 | 2024-05-08 | 3664 | R2 | - | Yes | G5 |
M9.82 | 2023‑11‑28 | 3500 | R2 | - | Yes | G3 |
M9.76 | 2024-03-28 | 3615 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.75 | 2024-06-08 | 3697 | R2 | S3 | Yes | ? |
M9.67 | 2022‑03‑31 | 2975 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M9.66 | 2022‑04‑21 | 2993 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M9.62 | 2023‑05‑16 | 3310 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.56 | 2024-06-10 | 3697 | R2 | - | Yes | ? |
M9.53 | 2023-04-30 | 3654 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.42 | 2024-03-30 | 3615 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M9.4 | 2024-07-30 | 3772 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M9.39 | 2024-03-30 | 3615 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M9.36 | 2024-06-23 | 3723 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.13 | 2024-05-04 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.10 | 2024-05-04 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M9.04 | 2024-02-10 | 3576 | R2 | S1 | Yes | - |
M8.96 | 2023‑05‑20 | 3311 | R2 | - | No | - |
M8.87 | 2024-05-11 | 3664 | R2 | S2 | Yes | - |
M8.77 | 2022‑10‑02 | 3110 | R2 | - | Yes | G1 |
M8.77 | 2024-07-29 | 3762 | R2 | - | Yes | ? |
M8.72 | 2023‑09‑21 | 3435 | R2 | - | Yes | G2 |
M8.69 | 2024-05-08 | 3664 | R2 | - | Yes | G5 |
M8.67 | 2022‑08‑29 | 3088 | R2 | - | No | - |
M8.62 | 2023‑02‑28 | 3234 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M8.42 | 2024-05-05 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M8.29 | 2024-05-07 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M8.24 | 2024-08-01 | 3772 | R2 | - | No | - |
M8.23 | 2023‑09‑20 | 3435 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.92 | 2022‑09‑16 | 3098 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.92 | 2024-05-08 | 3664 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.88 | 2024-07-28 | 3766 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.79 | 2024-07-28 | 3762 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.75 | 2024-07-31 | 3772 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.68 | 2024-09-30 | 3842 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.48 | 2024-03-20 | 3615 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.47 | 2024-05-05 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.43 | 2024-03-10 | 3599 | R2 | S0 | Yes | - |
M7.43 | 2024-08-04 | 3768 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M7.35 | 2024-06-01 | 3697 | R2 | - | Yes | ? |
M7.3 | 2024-08-04 | 3775 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.29 | 2022‑04‑20 | 2992 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M7.27 | 2023‑05‑03 | 3293 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.25 | 2024-05-17 | 3685 | R2 | ? | Yes | ? |
M7.24 | 2022‑08‑26 | 3089 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M7.17 | 2024-05-08 | 3664 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.12 | 2023‑05‑01 | 3288 | R2 | - | No | - |
M7.1 | 2024-03-28 | 3615 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.97 | 2023‑07‑12 | 3372 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.97 | 2023‑12‑15 | 3514 | R2 | - | Yes | G1 |
M6.83 | 2023‑07‑11 | 3368 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.83 | 2024-01-29 | 3559 | R2 | S2 | Yes | - |
M6.77 | 2024-03-18 | 3615 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.73 | 2022‑08‑28 | 3088 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M6.66 | 2024-05-13 | 3664 | R2 | S2 | Yes | ? |
M6.57 | 2023‑05‑09 | 3296 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M6.51 | 2024-07-29 | 3772 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M6.5 | 2023‑05‑20 | 3311 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.5 | 2024-02-12 | 3576 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.39 | 2023‑02‑07 | 3213 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.36 | 2022‑12‑14 | 3165 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.35 | 2023‑02‑25 | 3229 | R2 | S1 | Yes | G3 |
M6.2 | 2022‑09‑16 | 3098 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.14 | 2024-03-28 | 3615 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.12 | 2024-06-06 | 3697 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.07 | 2024-08-01 | 3772 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.04 | 2024-07-31 | 3772 | R2 | - | No | - |
M6.03 | 2023‑01‑15 | 3191 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M6.01 | 2023‑09‑03 | 3413 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.97 | 2024-05-10 | 3664 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.86 | 2022‑10‑01 | 3110 | R2 | - | Yes | G1 |
M5.86 | 2023‑07‑11 | 3372 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.84 | 2023‑12‑14 | 3514 | R2 | - | Yes | G1 |
M5.8 | 2023‑03‑06 | 3243 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.76 | 2022‑05‑04 | 3004 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.76 | 2024-06-20 | 3719 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.74 | 2022‑12‑15 | 3165 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.73 | 2024-05-29 | 3691 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.72 | 2023‑07‑17 | 3363 | R2 | S2 | Yes | - |
M5.68 | 2023‑05‑20 | 3311 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.67 | 2023‑01‑11 | 3184 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.54 | 2022‑05‑19 | 3014 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.51 | 2023‑08‑06 | 3386 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.5 | 2022‑01‑20 | 2929 | R2 | S1 | Yes | - |
M5.49 | 2023‑12‑08 | 3511 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.47 | 2024-04-11 | 3639 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.46 | 2024-08-03 | 3775 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.41 | 2023‑03‑30 | 3256 | R2 | S0 | Yes | - |
M5.39 | 2022‑08‑26 | 3089 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.39 | 2023‑05‑19 | 3311 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.39 | 2024-07-31 | 3772 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.35 | 2024-07-13 | 3738 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.34 | 2024-06-12 | 3697 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.32 | 2022‑05‑04 | 3006 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.27 | 2022‑03‑04 | 3234 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.25 | 2022‑11‑07 | 3141 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.2 | 2023‑05‑20 | 3311 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.18 | 2024-02-07 | 3575 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.18 | 2024-05-07 | 3663 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.15 | 2023‑01‑10 | 3186 | R2 | S0 | Yes | - |
M5.12 | 2024-01-23 | 3559 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.09 | 2023‑02‑21 | 3234 | R2 | - | Yes | - |
M5.08 | 2022‑08‑16 | 3078 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.07 | 2024-07-13 | 3738 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.05 | 2024-07-17 | 3743 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.04 | 2023‑03‑05 | 3243 | R2 | - | No | - |
M5.02 | 2023‑05‑09 | 3296 | R2 | - | No | - |
Farside flares (above M5.0 class) observed by STIX [30]
Class | Date | Sunspot region | Class (seen from Earth) |
---|---|---|---|
X14 | 2024-07-22 | 3738 | - |
X12 | 2024-05-20 | 3664 | - |
X9 | 2023-07-16 | 3368 | - |
X9 | 2024-05-15 | 3664 | X3.48 |
X9 | 2024-05-15 | 3664 | - |
X7 | 2024-07-24 | 3738 | - |
X6 | 2023-01-03 | 3182 | C4.06 |
X6 | 2023-07-16 | 3368 | - |
X6 | 2023-12-31 | 3536 | X5.01 |
X6 | 2024-05-17 | 3664 | - |
X5 | 2024-05-16 | 3664 | - |
X5 | 2024-11-21 | 3889 | C5.99 |
X4 | 2023-09-08 | 3413 | - |
X4 | 2023-09-11 | 3413 | - |
X4 | 2024-08-04 | 3738 | - |
X3 | 2024-04-03 | ? | - |
X3 | 2024-06-11 | 3697 | - |
X3 | 2024-06-13 | 3697 | - |
X3 | 2024-06-17 | 3697 | - |
X2 | 2022-04-30 | 2994 | M1.99 |
X2 | 2023-07-10 | 3354 | - |
X2 | 2024-02-02 | ? | - |
X2 | 2024-05-14 | 3664 | X1.25 |
X1 | 2020-11-18 | 2786 | - |
X1 | 2022-05-01 | 2994 | C1.9 |
X1 | 2022-08-29 | 3088 | M8.68 |
X1 | 2022-08-30 | 3088 | M1.7 |
X1 | 2022-08-30 | 3088 | C7.18 |
X1 | 2022-09-29 | 3112 | C5.76 |
X1 | 2022-12-27 | 3180 | - |
X1 | 2023-05-14 | 3310 | - |
X1 | 2023-05-23 | 3323 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-07 | 3354 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-08 | 3354 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-13 | 3360 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-14 | 3372 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-18 | 3368 | - |
X1 | 2023-07-24 | ? | - |
X1 | 2024-05-25 | 3664 | - |
X1 | 2024-06-16 | 3697 | - |
X1 | 2024-07-24 | 3738 | - |
X1 | 2024-07-25 | 3738 | - |
X1 | 2024-07-27 | 3738 | - |
X1 | 2024-07-28 | 3738 | - |
X1 | 2024-08-02 | 3738 | M1.33 |
M9 | 2022-05-05 | 2994 | - |
M9 | 2022-08-29 | 3088 | M4.71 |
M9 | 2022-09-05 | 3088 | - |
M9 | 2022-09-11 | 3089 | - |
M9 | 2023-05-30 | 3323 | - |
M9 | 2023-06-01 | 3310 | - |
M9 | 2023-07-15 | ? | - |
M9 | 2023-07-18 | 3368 | - |
M9 | 2024-07-23 | 3738 | - |
M8 | 2022-05-01 | 2994 | - |
M8 | 2022-05-10 | 2994 | - |
M8 | 2022-08-31 | 3088 | - |
M8 | 2022-09-10 | 3089 | - |
M8 | 2022-12-27 | 3180 | - |
M8 | 2023-05-14 | 3310 | - |
M8 | 2023-06-04 | ? | - |
M8 | 2023-01-10 | 3549 | C9.64 |
M8 | 2024-07-30 | 3738 | - |
M7 | 2022-01-12 | ? | - |
M7 | 2022-01-25 | ? | C3.79 |
M7 | 2022-05-05 | 2994 | - |
M7 | 2022-05-10 | 2994 | - |
M7 | 2022-08-30 | 3088 | C7.57 |
M7 | 2022-09-11 | 3089 | - |
M7 | 2023-01-10 | 3190 | - |
M7 | 2023-05-25 | 3323 | - |
M7 | 2023-07-11 | 3354 | - |
M7 | 2024-06-10 | ? | - |
M7 | 2024-06-17 | 3697 | - |
M6 | 2022-04-30 | 2994 | M4.82 |
M6 | 2022-05-01 | 2994 | - |
M6 | 2022-05-01 | 2994 | - |
M6 | 2022-05-05 | 2994 | - |
M6 | 2022-09-17 | 3098 | M2.61 |
M6 | 2023-02-14 | 3229 | - |
M6 | 2023-02-20 | 3234 | M4.43 |
M6 | 2023-07-07 | 3354 | - |
M6 | 2023-07-09 | 3354 | - |
M6 | 2023-07-09 | 3354 | - |
M6 | 2023-07-09 | 3354 | - |
M6 | 2023-07-11 | 3372 | M1.17 |
M6 | 2023-07-13 | 3360 | - |
M6 | 2023-07-19 | 3363 | M3.81 |
M6 | 2023-07-22 | 3363 | - |
M6 | 2023-10-31 | 3477 | - |
M6 | 2024-01-10 | 3549 | C7.01 |
M6 | 2024-06-13 | 3697 | - |
M6 | 2024-06-17 | 3697 | - |
M6 | 2024-07-29 | 3738 | - |
M5 | 2021-07-15 | ? | - |
M5 | 2022-04-19 | 2992 | M3.71 |
M5 | 2022-05-17 | 3014 | C9.91 |
M5 | 2022-08-29 | 3088 | M2.58 |
M5 | 2022-09-01 | 3088 | - |
M5 | 2022-09-14 | 3089 | - |
M5 | 2022-09-29 | 3112 | - |
M5 | 2022-12-28 | 3180 | C6.09 |
M5 | 2023-05-12 | 3310 | - |
M5 | 2023-05-16 | 3310 | - |
M5 | 2023-06-08 | ? | - |
M5 | 2023-07-16 | ? | - |
M5 | 2023-08-08 | 3387 | M3.67 |
M5 | 2023-08-08 | 3387 | - |
M5 | 2024-05-12 | 3685 | - |
M5 | 2024-05-14 | 3685 | - |
M5 | 2024-05-16 | 3664 | - |
M5 | 2024-05-16 | 3664 | - |
M5 | 2024-05-22 | 3664 | - |
M5 | 2024-06-28 | ? | - |
M5 | 2024-07-03 | ? | - |
M5 | 2024-07-24 | 3738 | - |
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On 29 May, the first C-class solar flares of Solar Cycle 25 took place, as well as the first M-class flare. Solar activity continued to increase in the following months, especially abruptly in October, with flares taking place on a near-daily basis by November. On 29 November, an M4.4 flare, the strongest of the cycle to date, took place, possibly indicating that the solar cycle would be more active than initially thought. [33]
On 8 December, a small coronal mass ejection was found heading directly towards Earth shortly after a strong C-class solar flare, hitting the planet on 9–10 December and causing bright aurorae at high latitudes. [34] [35]
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The first X-class solar flare of the cycle took place on 3 July, peaking at X1.59. [37]
On 22 July, a total of six different active regions were seen on the solar disk for the first time since 6 September 2017. [38]
On 9 October, a M1.6 class solar flare erupted sending a coronal mass ejection that hit Earth on 12 October, triggering a (moderate) G2 geomagnetic storm. [39]
The second X-class flare of the solar cycle erupted on 28 October, producing a CME and a S1 solar radiation storm. [40] Reports initially predicted that the CME could graze Earth, [40] however geomagnetic storms on 30–31 October only reached a moderate Kp index of 4. [41]
On 3 and 4 November, the Kp index reached 8−, equivalent to a G4 geomagnetic storm. [42] This was the most intense geomagnetic storm to hit Earth since September 2017.
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In late March, sunspot region 2975 released X1.3 and M9.6 flares, the former causing a G1 geomagnetic storm on 31 March despite being near the solar limb. [43] The region rotated out of view of Earth on 5 April, but helioseismic measurements on April 8 showed it still active on the far side of the Sun. [44] On 12 April, a Coronal Mass Ejection on the far side likely erupted from the region, [45] with helioseismic measurements showing the region to have intensified since crossing over the limb. As the region began rotating into view from Earth, a possibly X-class flare occurred on 15 April. [46]
After rotating to the visible hemisphere of the Sun, the regions of the sunspot complex were designated 2993 through 2996. On 17 April, sunspot group 2994 released an X1.2 flare. [47] [48] However, the complex's activity subsided slightly in the next few days. [49] While crossing the solar limb, sunspot region 2992 emitted M7.3 and X2.2 flares, the latter being the strongest of the cycle up to that point. [49]
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On 24 March, an intense geomagnetic storm hit Earth unexpectedly, reaching a level of G4 and producing auroras as far south as New Mexico. A minor CME from an M1 flare was predicted to hit the day earlier, but the timing and intensity were unexpected. [51] Later, on 23 and 24 April, more G4 storms hit Earth, on the former day being tied with several days in solar cycle 24 for the strongest storm since 2005. [52] Auroras were visible as far south as San Antonio, Texas. [53]
On 14 December, a solar flare measuring X2.87 was recorded from sunspot region 3514, making it the strongest solar flare of the cycle for just 17 days, [54] as on 31 December, a solar flare measuring X5.0 was recorded from sunspot 3536. [55]
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On 9 February, region 3575 produced an X3.4 flare, the second strongest of the cycle up to that point, causing radiation levels to briefly exceed S2 over the following days. [57] On 12 February, after rotating to the far side of the Sun, the same region released a strong CME. As it was invisible from Earth, it was impossible to assess the flare's strength, but it nonetheless caused proton storm levels to briefly reach S2 again on February 12–13.
On 22 February, region 3590 produced a solar flare measuring X6.3. [58]
In May, the strongest solar storm in 20 years produced aurorae at far lower latitudes than usual. A few days later, on 14 May, region 3664 produced the strongest solar flare up to that point of the solar cycle, measuring X8.7. [59] [60]
On 20 May 2024, an X12 solar flare produced x-rays and gamma rays that hit Mars, while a coronal mass ejection launched a solar wind. [61]
On 1 October 2024, an X7.1 solar flare occurred in sunspot region 3842, followed by an X9.0 solar flare just two days later. [62]
A solar flare is a relatively intense, localized emission of electromagnetic radiation in the Sun's atmosphere. Flares occur in active regions and are often, but not always, accompanied by coronal mass ejections, solar particle events, and other eruptive solar phenomena. The occurrence of solar flares varies with the 11-year solar cycle.
Space weather is a branch of space physics and aeronomy, or heliophysics, concerned with the varying conditions within the Solar System and its heliosphere. This includes the effects of the solar wind, especially on the Earth's magnetosphere, ionosphere, thermosphere, and exosphere. Though physically distinct, space weather is analogous to the terrestrial weather of Earth's atmosphere. The term "space weather" was first used in the 1950s and popularized in the 1990s. Later, it prompted research into "space climate", the large-scale and long-term patterns of space weather.
A geomagnetic storm, also known as a magnetic storm, is a temporary disturbance of the Earth's magnetosphere caused by a solar wind shock wave.
The Solar cycle, also known as the solar magnetic activity cycle, sunspot cycle, or Schwabe cycle, is a periodic 11-year change in the Sun's activity measured in terms of variations in the number of observed sunspots on the Sun's surface. Over the period of a solar cycle, levels of solar radiation and ejection of solar material, the number and size of sunspots, solar flares, and coronal loops all exhibit a synchronized fluctuation from a period of minimum activity to a period of a maximum activity back to a period of minimum activity.
A coronal mass ejection (CME) is a significant ejection of plasma mass from the Sun's corona into the heliosphere. CMEs are often associated with solar flares and other forms of solar activity, but a broadly accepted theoretical understanding of these relationships has not been established.
A solar storm is a disturbance on the Sun, which can emanate outward across the heliosphere, affecting the entire Solar System, including Earth and its magnetosphere, and is the cause of space weather in the short-term with long-term patterns comprising space climate.
Coronal holes are regions of the Sun's corona that emit low levels of ultraviolet and X-ray radiation compared to their surroundings. They are composed of relatively cool and tenuous plasma permeated by magnetic fields that are open to interplanetary space. Compared to the corona's usual closed magnetic field that arches between regions of opposite magnetic polarity, the open magnetic field of a coronal hole allows solar wind to escape into space at a much quicker rate. This results in decreased temperature and density of the plasma at the site of a coronal hole, as well as an increased speed in the average solar wind measured in interplanetary space.
Solar cycle 24 is the most recently completed solar cycle, the 24th since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. It began in December 2008 with a minimum smoothed sunspot number of 2.2, and ended in December 2019. Activity was minimal until early 2010. It reached its maximum in April 2014 with a 23 months smoothed sunspot number of 81.8. This maximum value was substantially lower than other recent solar cycles, down to a level which had not been seen since cycles 12 to 15 (1878-1923).
The Carrington Event was the most intense geomagnetic storm in recorded history, peaking on 1–2 September 1859 during solar cycle 10. It created strong auroral displays that were reported globally and caused sparking and even fires in telegraph stations. The geomagnetic storm was most likely the result of a coronal mass ejection (CME) from the Sun colliding with Earth's magnetosphere.
The March 1989 geomagnetic storm occurred as part of severe to extreme solar storms during early to mid March 1989, the most notable being a geomagnetic storm that struck Earth on March 13. This geomagnetic storm caused a nine-hour outage of Hydro-Québec's electricity transmission system. The onset time was exceptionally rapid. Other historically significant solar storms occurred later in 1989, during a very active period of solar cycle 22.
Solar cycle 22 was the 22nd solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 9.9 years, beginning in September 1986 and ending in August 1996. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 212.5, and the starting minimum was 13.5. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 22 to 23, there were a total of 309 days with no sunspots.
Solar cycle 23 was the 23rd solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.6 years, beginning in August 1996 and ending in December 2008. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 180.3, and the starting minimum was 11.2. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 23 to 24, there were a total of 817 days with no sunspots. Compared to the last several solar cycles, it was fairly average in terms of activity.
The three-day May 1921 geomagnetic storm, also known as the New York Railroad Storm, was caused by the impact of an extraordinarily powerful coronal mass ejection on Earth's magnetosphere. It occurred on 13–15 May as part of solar cycle 15, and was the most intense geomagnetic storm of the 20th century.
The Bastille Day solar storm was a powerful solar storm on 14–16 July 2000 during the solar maximum of solar cycle 23. The storm began on the national day of France, Bastille Day. It involved a solar flare, a solar particle event, and a coronal mass ejection which caused a severe geomagnetic storm.
The solar storm of 2012 was a solar storm involving an unusually large and strong coronal mass ejection that occurred on July 23, 2012. It missed Earth by a margin of roughly nine days, as the Sun's equator rotates around its own axis once over a period of about 25 days.
Solar phenomena are natural phenomena which occur within the atmosphere of the Sun. They take many forms, including solar wind, radio wave flux, solar flares, coronal mass ejections, coronal heating and sunspots.
The solar storms of August 1972 were a historically powerful series of solar storms with intense to extreme solar flare, solar particle event, and geomagnetic storm components in early August 1972, during solar cycle 20. The storm caused widespread electric- and communication-grid disturbances through large portions of North America as well as satellite disruptions. On 4 August 1972 the storm caused the accidental detonation of numerous U.S. naval mines near Haiphong, North Vietnam. The coronal mass ejection (CME)'s transit time from the Sun to the Earth is the fastest ever recorded.
The solar storms of May 2024 were a series of powerful solar storms with extreme solar flares and geomagnetic storm components that occurred from 10–13 May 2024 during solar cycle 25. The geomagnetic storm was the most powerful to affect Earth since March 1989, and produced aurorae at far more equatorial latitudes than usual in both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres.