Solar cycles are nearly periodic 11-year changes in the Sun's activity that are based on the number of sunspots present on the Sun's surface. The first solar cycle conventionally is said to have started in 1755. The source data are the revised International Sunspot Numbers (ISN v2.0), as available at SILSO. [1] Sunspot counts exist since 1610 [2] but the cycle numbering is not well defined during the Maunder minimum. [3] It was proposed that one cycle might have been lost in the late 18th century, [4] but this remains not fully confirmed.
Solar cycles can be reconstructed indirectly, using the radiocarbon 14C proxy, for the last millennium. [5]
The smoothing is done using the traditional SIDC smoothing algorithm. [6] Using this algorithm, if the month in question is notated month 0, a weighted average is formed of months −6 to 6, where months −5 to 5 are given weightings of 1, and months −6 and 6 are given weightings of 0.5. Other smoothing formulas exist, and they usually give slightly different values for the amplitude and timings of the solar cycles. An example is the Meeus smoothing formula, [7] with related solar cycles characteristics available in this STCE news item. [8]
The start of solar cycle 25 was declared by SIDC on September 15, 2020 as being in December 2019. [9] This makes cycle 24 the only "11-year solar cycle" to have lasted precisely 11 years.
Solar cycle | Start (Min) (Y-M) | Min SSN (start of cycle) | Max (Y-M) | Max SSN | Ave spots per day | Time of Rise (Y-M) | Length (Y-M) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Solar cycle 1 | 1755 – Feb | 14.0 | 1761 – Jun | 144 | (70) | 6-4 | 11-4 |
Solar cycle 2 | 1766 – Jun | 18.6 | 1769 – Sep | 193 | (99) | 3-3 | 9-0 |
Solar cycle 3 | 1775 – Jun | 12.0 | 1778 – May | 264 | (111) | 2-11 | 9-3 |
Solar cycle 4 | 1784 – Sep | 15.9 | 1788 – Feb | 235 | (103) | 3-5 | 13-7 |
Solar cycle 5 | 1798 – Apr | 5.3 | 1805 – Feb | 82 | (38) | 6-10 | 12-3 |
Solar cycle 6 | 1810 – Jul | 0.0 | 1816 – May | 81 | (31) | 5-10 | 12-10 |
Solar cycle 7 | 1823 – May | 0.1 | 1829 – Nov | 119 | (63) | 6-6 | 10-6 |
Solar cycle 8 | 1833 – Nov | 12.2 | 1837 – Mar | 245 | (112) | 3-4 | 9-8 |
Solar cycle 9 | 1843 – Jul | 17.6 | 1848 – Feb | 220 | (99) | 4-7 | 12-5 |
Solar cycle 10 | 1855 – Dec | 6.0 | 1860 – Feb | 186 | 92 | 4-2 | 11-3 |
Solar cycle 11 | 1867 – Mar | 9.9 | 1870 – Aug | 234 | 89 | 3-5 | 11-9 |
Solar cycle 12 | 1878 – Dec | 3.7 | 1883 – Dec | 124 | 57 | 5-0 | 11-3 |
Solar cycle 13 | 1890 – Mar | 8.3 | 1894 – Jan | 147 | 65 | 3-10 | 11-10 |
Solar cycle 14 | 1902 – Jan | 4.5 | 1906 – Feb | 107 | 54 | 4-1 | 11-6 |
Solar cycle 15 | 1913 – Jul | 2.5 | 1917 – Aug | 176 | 73 | 4-1 | 10-1 |
Solar cycle 16 | 1923 – Aug | 9.3 | 1928 – Apr | 130 | 68 | 4-8 | 10-1 |
Solar cycle 17 | 1933 – Sep | 5.8 | 1937 – Apr | 199 | 96 | 3-7 | 10-5 |
Solar cycle 18 | 1944 – Feb | 12.9 | 1947 – May | 219 | 109 | 3-3 | 10-2 |
Solar cycle 19 | 1954 – Apr | 5.1 | 1958 – Mar | 285 | 129 | 3-11 | 10-6 |
Solar cycle 20 | 1964 – Oct | 14.3 | 1968 – Nov | 157 | 86 | 4-1 | 11-5 |
Solar cycle 21 | 1976 – Mar | 17.8 | 1979 – Dec | 233 | 111 | 3-9 | 10-6 |
Solar cycle 22 | 1986 – Sep | 13.5 | 1989 – Nov | 213 | 106 | 3-2 | 9-11 |
Solar cycle 23 | 1996 – Aug | 11.2 | 2001 – Nov | 180 | 82 | 5-3 | 12-4 |
Solar cycle 24 | 2008 – Dec | 2.2 | 2014 – Apr | 116 | 49 | 5-4 | 11-0 |
Solar cycle 25 | 2019 – Dec | 1.8 | (Apr 2024) | * Progr: 144 | Progr: SC25 (77) SC24 (55) | ||
Average | 9.0 | 178.7 | 4.4 | 11.04 |
The following table is instead divided into (unofficial) cycles starting and ending with a maximum, for the purpose of indicating the number of spotless days associated with each minimum:
Solar Cycles | Start (Maximum) | Spotless days [10] |
---|---|---|
Solar cycle 10–11 | 1860 – Feb | 406 |
Solar cycle 11–12 | 1870 – Aug | 1028 |
Solar cycle 12–13 | 1883 – Dec | 736 |
Solar cycle 13–14 | 1894 – Jan | 934 |
Solar cycle 14–15 | 1906 – Feb | 1023 |
Solar cycle 15–16 | 1917 – Aug | 534 |
Solar cycle 16–17 | 1928 – Apr | 568 |
Solar cycle 17–18 | 1937 – Apr | 269 |
Solar cycle 18–19 | 1947 – May | 446 |
Solar cycle 19–20 | 1958 – Mar | 227 |
Solar cycle 20–21 | 1968 – Nov | 272 |
Solar cycle 21–22 | 1979 – Dec | 273 |
Solar cycle 22–23 | 1989 – Oct | 309 |
Solar cycle 23–24 | 2001 – Nov | 817 |
Solar cycle 24–25 | 2014 – Apr | 848 |
Following is a comparison of the growth of cycle 25 versus cycle 24, using the 13-month sunspot averages, beginning with the months of the respective minimums.
Numbers in brackets for cycle 25 indicate the minimum possible value for that month, assuming there are no more sunspots between now (Nov 7, 2024) and six months after the end of the month in question.
The table shows averages for each hemisphere and the average for the entire Sun.
Solar Cycle 24 | Solar Cycle 25 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North | South | Total | Total | South | North | |||
Dec 2008 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | Dec 2019 | |
Jan 2009 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | Jan 2020 | |
Feb 2009 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | Feb 2020 | |
Mar 2009 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Mar 2020 | |
Apr 2009 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 1.5 | Apr 2020 | |
May 2009 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 3.5 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 1.6 | May 2020 | |
Jun 2009 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 7.9 | 6.1 | 1.8 | Jun 2020 | |
Jul 2009 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 1.7 | Jul 2020 | |
Aug 2009 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 9.5 | 7.6 | 1.9 | Aug 2020 | |
Sep 2009 | 6.5 | 3.0 | 9.5 | 10 | 7.9 | 2.5 | Sep 2020 | |
Oct 2009 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 11 | 12 | 8.9 | 3.0 | Oct 2020 | |
Nov 2009 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 12 | 14 | 9.8 | 3.8 | Nov 2020 | |
Dec 2009 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 5.1 | Dec 2020 | |
Jan 2010 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 14 | 17 | 11 | 6.3 | Jan 2021 | |
Feb 2010 | 10 | 5.6 | 16 | 19 | 12 | 7.2 | Feb 2021 | |
Mar 2010 | 12 | 6.4 | 19 | 22 | 14 | 8.0 | Mar 2021 | |
Apr 2010 | 13 | 7.4 | 21 | 25 | 16 | 9.2 | Apr 2021 | |
May 2010 | 15 | 8.4 | 23 | 26 | 15 | 10 | May 2021 | |
Jun 2010 | 16 | 8.8 | 25 | 28 | 16 | 12 | Jun 2021 | |
Jul 2010 | 17 | 8.7 | 25 | 31 | 18 | 13 | Jul 2021 | |
Aug 2010 | 17 | 9.3 | 26 | 35 | 20 | 16 | Aug 2021 | |
Sep 2010 | 19 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 22 | 18 | Sep 2021 | |
Oct 2010 | 23 | 12 | 34 | 45 | 24 | 21 | Oct 2021 | |
Nov 2010 | 26 | 13 | 39 | 51 | 27 | 24 | Nov 2021 | |
Dec 2010 | 28 | 14 | 42 | 56 | 30 | 26 | Dec 2021 | |
Jan 2011 | 31 | 15 | 46 | 60 | 32 | 28 | Jan 2022 | |
Feb 2011 | 34 | 15 | 49 | 65 | 35 | 30 | Feb 2022 | |
Mar 2011 | 38 | 16 | 54 | 69 | 37 | 31 | Mar 2022 | |
Apr 2011 | 44 | 17 | 61 | 73 | 39 | 34 | Apr 2022 | |
May 2011 | 50 | 20 | 69 | 77 | 39 | 38 | May 2022 | |
Jun 2011 | 54 | 23 | 77 | 81 | 40 | 42 | Jun 2022 | |
Jul 2011 | 58 | 26 | 84 | 87 | 41 | 46 | Jul 2022 | |
Aug 2011 | 60 | 26 | 86 | 93 | 43 | 49 | Aug 2022 | |
Sep 2011 | 60 | 27 | 87 | 97 | 46 | 51 | Sep 2022 | |
Oct 2011 | 59 | 28 | 87 | 99 | 48 | 51 | Oct 2022 | |
Nov 2011 | 59 | 30 | 89 | 101 | 49 | 53 | Nov 2022 | |
Dec 2011 | 60 | 33 | 92 | 107 | 50 | 56 | Dec 2022 | |
Jan 2012 | 59 | 36 | 95 | 113 | 54 | 59 | Jan 2023 | |
Feb 2012 | 58 | 41 | 98 | 118 | 55 | 62 | Feb 2023 | |
Mar 2012 | 55 | 43 | 98 | 121 | 54 | 67 | Mar 2023 | |
Apr 2012 | 51 | 44 | 95 | 123 | 54 | 69 | Apr 2023 | |
May 2012 | 47 | 44 | 91 | 124 | 56 | 68 | May 2023 | |
Jun 2012 | 45 | 42 | 87 | 125 | 58 | 68 | Jun 2023 | |
Jul 2012 | 44 | 40 | 84 | 125 | 58 | 67 | Jul 2023 | |
Aug 2012 | 44 | 41 | 85 | 124 | 58 | 66 | Aug 2023 | |
Sep 2012 | 44 | 41 | 85 | 124 | 59 | 65 | Sep 2023 | |
Oct 2012 | 45 | 41 | 86 | 125 | 59 | 66 | Oct 2023 | |
Nov 2012 | 46 | 42 | 88 | 128 | 61 | 67 | Nov 2023 | |
Dec 2012 | 45 | 43 | 88 | 129 | 65 | 65 | Dec 2023 | |
Jan 2013 | 45 | 42 | 87 | 131 | 68 | 63 | Jan 2024 | |
Feb 2013 | 44 | 42 | 86 | 137 | 75 | 62 | Feb 2024 | |
Mar 2013 | 43 | 42 | 84 | 141 | 82 | 60 | Mar 2024 | |
Apr 2013 | 42 | 42 | 84 | 144 | 88 | 57 | Apr 2024 | |
May 2013 | 41 | 46 | 87 | (145) | May 2024 | |||
Jun 2013 | 39 | 52 | 91 | (139) | Jun 2024 | |||
Jul 2013 | 37 | 58 | 95 | (129) | Jul 2024 | |||
Aug 2013 | 35 | 64 | 99 | (118) | Aug 2024 | |||
Sep 2013 | 35 | 70 | 105 | (109) | Sep 2024 | |||
Oct 2013 | 34 | 73 | 107 | (99) | Oct 2024 | |||
Nov 2013 | 32 | 74 | 107 | (86) | Nov 2024 | |||
Dec 2013 | 32 | 76 | 108 | Dec 2024 | ||||
Jan 2014 | 33 | 76 | 109 | Jan 2025 | ||||
Feb 2014 | 35 | 76 | 111 | Feb 2025 | ||||
Mar 2014 | 36 | 78 | 114 | Mar 2025 | ||||
Apr 2014 | 36 | 80 | 116 | Apr 2025 |
The following table gives the number of days so far in cycle 25 against the number up to the same point in cycle 24, which have passed various thresholds for the numbers of sunspots.
Counts | SC 24 to end of 2013 | SC 24 to Nov 9, 2013 | SC 25 to Nov 9, 2024 |
---|---|---|---|
≥100 | 408 | 370 | 668 |
≥125 | 194 | 174 | 470 |
≥150 | 63 | 55 | 290 |
≥175 | 12 | 8 | 152 |
≥200 | 1 | 1 | 83 |
≥225 | 0 | 0 | 31 |
≥250 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
≥275 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
As at Nov 9, 2024, solar cycle 25 is averaging 40% more spots per day than solar cycle 24 at the same point in the cycle (Nov 9, 2013).
Sunspots are temporary spots on the Sun's surface that are darker than the surrounding area. They are regions of reduced surface temperature caused by concentrations of magnetic flux that inhibit convection. Sunspots appear within active regions, usually in pairs of opposite magnetic polarity. Their number varies according to the approximately 11-year solar cycle.
The Maunder Minimum, also known as the "prolonged sunspot minimum", was a period around 1645 to 1715 during which sunspots became exceedingly rare. During the 28-year period 1672–1699 within the minimum, observations revealed fewer than 50 sunspots. This contrasts with the typical 40,000–50,000 sunspots seen in modern times over a similar timespan.
Solar maximum is the regular period of greatest solar activity during the Sun's 11-year solar cycle. During solar maximum, large numbers of sunspots appear, and the solar irradiance output grows by about 0.07%. On average, the solar cycle takes about 11 years to go from one solar maximum to the next, with duration observed varying from 9 to 14 years.
The solar cycle, also known as the solar magnetic activity cycle, sunspot cycle, or Schwabe cycle, is a nearly periodic 11-year change in the Sun's activity measured in terms of variations in the number of observed sunspots on the Sun's surface. Over the period of a solar cycle, levels of solar radiation and ejection of solar material, the number and size of sunspots, solar flares, and coronal loops all exhibit a synchronized fluctuation from a period of minimum activity to a period of a maximum activity back to a period of minimum activity.
Edward Walter Maunder was an English astronomer. His study of sunspots and the solar magnetic cycle led to his identification of the period from 1645 to 1715 that is now known as the Maunder Minimum.
Solar minimum is the regular period of least solar activity in the Sun's 11-year solar cycle. During solar minimum, sunspot and solar flare activity diminishes, and often does not occur for days at a time. On average, the solar cycle takes about 11 years to go from one solar minimum to the next, with duration observed varying from 9 to 14 years. The date of the minimum is described by a smoothed average over 12 months of sunspot activity, so identifying the date of the solar minimum usually can only happen 6 months after the minimum takes place.
The Wolf number is a quantity that measures the number of sunspots and groups of sunspots present on the surface of the Sun. Historically, it was only possible to detect sunspots on the far side of the Sun indirectly using helioseismology. Since 2006, NASA's STEREO spacecrafts allow their direct observation.
The Gnevyshev–Ohl rule is an empirical rule according to which the sum of Wolf's sunspot numbers in odd cycles with preceding even cycles (E+O) are highly correlated and the correlation is lower if even cycles and preceding odd ones (O+E) are taken. Sometimes a simplified formulation of the rule is used, according to which the sums over odd cycles exceeds those of the preceding even cycles . The rule breaks down under certain conditions. In particular, it inverts sign across the Dalton minimum, but can be restored with the "lost cycle" in the end of the 18th century. The nature of the GO rule is still unclear.
Solar cycle 2 was the second solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 9 years, beginning in June 1766 and ending in June 1775. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 193.0, and the starting minimum was 18.6.
Solar cycle 1 was the first solar cycle during which extensive recording of solar sunspot activity took place. The solar cycle lasted 11.3 years, beginning in February 1755 and ending in June 1766. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 144.1, and the starting minimum was 14.0.
Solar cycle 4 was the fourth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 13.6 years, beginning in September 1784 and ending in April 1798. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 235.3, and the starting minimum was 15.9.
Solar cycle 5 was the fifth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.3 years, beginning in April 1798 and ending in August 1810. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 82.0, in February 1805, and the starting minimum was 5.3.
Solar cycle 6 was the sixth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.8 years, beginning in August 1810 and ending in May 1823. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 81.2, in May 1816, and the starting minimum was 0.0.
Solar cycle 7 was the seventh solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 10.5 years, beginning in May 1823 and ending in November 1833. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 119.2, and the starting minimum was 0.2.
Solar cycle 9 was the ninth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.4 years, beginning in July 1843 and ending in December 1855. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 219.9, and the starting minimum was 17.6. During the solar cycle minimum transit from solar cycle 9 to solar cycle 10, there were a total of 655 days with no sunspots.
Solar cycle 12 was the twelfth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 11.3 years, beginning in December 1878 and ending in March 1890. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 124.4, and the starting minimum was 3.7. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 12 to 13, there were a total of 736 days with no sunspots.
Solar cycle 13 was the thirteenth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 11.8 years, beginning in March 1890 and ending in January 1902. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 146.5, and the starting minimum was 8.3. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 13 to 14, there were a total of 934 days with no sunspots.
Solar cycle 23 was the 23rd solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.6 years, beginning in August 1996 and ending in December 2008. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 180.3, and the starting minimum was 11.2. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 23 to 24, there were a total of 817 days with no sunspots. Compared to the last several solar cycles, it was fairly average in terms of activity.
Solar cycle 25 is the current solar cycle, the 25th since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. It began in December 2019 with a minimum smoothed sunspot number of 1.8. It is expected to continue until about 2030.
Solar observation is the scientific endeavor of studying the Sun and its behavior and relation to the Earth and the remainder of the Solar System. Deliberate solar observation began thousands of years ago. That initial era of direct observation gave way to telescopes in the 1600s followed by satellites in the twentieth century.