List of solar cycles

Last updated

Solar cycles are nearly periodic 11-year changes in the Sun's activity that are based on the number of sunspots present on the Sun's surface. The first solar cycle conventionally is said to have started in 1755. The source data are the revised International Sunspot Numbers (ISN v2.0), as available at SILSO. [1] Sunspot counts exist since 1610 [2] but the cycle numbering is not well defined during the Maunder minimum. [3] It was proposed that one cycle might have been lost in the late 18th century, [4] but this remains not fully confirmed.

Contents

Solar cycles can be reconstructed indirectly, using the radiocarbon 14C proxy, for the last millennium. [5]

The smoothing is done using the traditional SIDC smoothing algorithm. [6] Using this algorithm, if the month in question is notated month 0, a weighted average is formed of months −6 to 6, where months −5 to 5 are given weightings of 1, and months −6 and 6 are given weightings of 0.5. Other smoothing formulas exist, and they usually give slightly different values for the amplitude and timings of the solar cycles. An example is the Meeus smoothing formula, [7] with related solar cycles characteristics available in this STCE news item. [8]

The start of solar cycle 25 was declared by SIDC on September 15, 2020 as being in December 2019. [9] This makes cycle 24 the only "11-year solar cycle" to have lasted precisely 11 years.

Details of cycles 1 to 25

Solar cycleStart (Min)
(Y-M)
Min SSN
(start of cycle)
Max (Y-M)Max SSNAve spots
per day
Time of Rise
(Y-M)
Length (Y-M)
Solar cycle 1 1755 – Feb14.01761 – Jun144(70)6-411-4
Solar cycle 2 1766 – Jun18.61769 – Sep193(99)3-39-0
Solar cycle 3 1775 – Jun12.01778 – May264(111)2-119-3
Solar cycle 4 1784 – Sep15.91788 – Feb235(103)3-513-7
Solar cycle 5 1798 – Apr5.31805 – Feb82(38)6-1012-3
Solar cycle 6 1810 – Jul0.01816 – May81(31)5-1012-10
Solar cycle 7 1823 – May0.11829 – Nov119(63)6-610-6
Solar cycle 8 1833 – Nov12.21837 – Mar245(112)3-49-8
Solar cycle 9 1843 – Jul17.61848 – Feb220(99)4-712-5
Solar cycle 10 1855 – Dec6.01860 – Feb186924-211-3
Solar cycle 11 1867 – Mar9.91870 – Aug234893-511-9
Solar cycle 12 1878 – Dec3.71883 – Dec124575-011-3
Solar cycle 13 1890 – Mar8.31894 – Jan147653-1011-10
Solar cycle 14 1902 – Jan4.51906 – Feb107544-111-6
Solar cycle 15 1913 – Jul2.51917 – Aug176734-110-1
Solar cycle 16 1923 – Aug9.31928 – Apr130684-810-1
Solar cycle 17 1933 – Sep5.81937 – Apr199963-710-5
Solar cycle 18 1944 – Feb12.91947 – May2191093-310-2
Solar cycle 19 1954 – Apr5.11958 – Mar2851293-1110-6
Solar cycle 20 1964 – Oct14.31968 – Nov157864-111-5
Solar cycle 21 1976 – Mar17.81979 – Dec2331113-910-6
Solar cycle 22 1986 – Sep13.51989 – Nov2131063-29-11
Solar cycle 23 1996 – Aug11.22001 – Nov180825-312-4
Solar cycle 24 2008 – Dec2.22014 – Apr116495-411-0
Solar cycle 25 2019 – Dec1.8(Apr 2024)* Progr:
144
Progr:
SC25 (77)
SC24 (55)
Average9.0178.74.411.04

Unofficial cycles starting with a maximum

The following table is instead divided into (unofficial) cycles starting and ending with a maximum, for the purpose of indicating the number of spotless days associated with each minimum:

Solar CyclesStart (Maximum)Spotless days [10]
Solar cycle 10–111860 – Feb406
Solar cycle 11–121870 – Aug1028
Solar cycle 12–131883 – Dec736
Solar cycle 13–141894 – Jan934
Solar cycle 14–151906 – Feb1023
Solar cycle 15–161917 – Aug534
Solar cycle 16–171928 – Apr568
Solar cycle 17–181937 – Apr269
Solar cycle 18–191947 – May446
Solar cycle 19–201958 – Mar227
Solar cycle 20–211968 – Nov272
Solar cycle 21–221979 – Dec273
Solar cycle 22–231989 – Oct309
Solar cycle 23–242001 – Nov817
Solar cycle 24–252014 – Apr848

Comparison of cycles 24 and 25 by 13-month running averages

Following is a comparison of the growth of cycle 25 versus cycle 24, using the 13-month sunspot averages, beginning with the months of the respective minimums.

Numbers in brackets for cycle 25 indicate the minimum possible value for that month, assuming there are no more sunspots between now (Nov 7, 2024) and six months after the end of the month in question.

The table shows averages for each hemisphere and the average for the entire Sun.

Solar Cycle 24Solar Cycle 25
NorthSouthTotalTotalSouthNorth
Dec 20081.40.82.21.80.90.9Dec 2019
Jan 20091.60.92.52.21.30.9Jan 2020
Feb 20091.61.12.72.71.51.2Feb 2020
Mar 20091.71.22.93.01.51.5Mar 2020
Apr 20092.11.23.33.62.11.5Apr 2020
May 20092.31.23.55.63.91.6May 2020
Jun 20092.71.44.17.96.11.8Jun 2020
Jul 20093.61.95.59.07.31.7Jul 2020
Aug 20094.92.57.49.57.61.9Aug 2020
Sep 20096.53.09.5107.92.5Sep 2020
Oct 20097.33.311128.93.0Oct 2020
Nov 20098.13.612149.83.8Nov 2020
Dec 20098.44.31315105.1Dec 2020
Jan 20109.05.01417116.3Jan 2021
Feb 2010105.61619127.2Feb 2021
Mar 2010126.41922148.0Mar 2021
Apr 2010137.42125169.2Apr 2021
May 2010158.423261510May 2021
Jun 2010168.825281612Jun 2021
Jul 2010178.725311813Jul 2021
Aug 2010179.326352016Aug 2021
Sep 2010191029402218Sep 2021
Oct 2010231234452421Oct 2021
Nov 2010261339512724Nov 2021
Dec 2010281442563026Dec 2021
Jan 2011311546603228Jan 2022
Feb 2011341549653530Feb 2022
Mar 2011381654693731Mar 2022
Apr 2011441761733934Apr 2022
May 2011502069773938May 2022
Jun 2011542377814042Jun 2022
Jul 2011582684874146Jul 2022
Aug 2011602686934349Aug 2022
Sep 2011602787974651Sep 2022
Oct 2011592887994851Oct 2022
Nov 20115930891014953Nov 2022
Dec 20116033921075056Dec 2022
Jan 20125936951135459Jan 2023
Feb 20125841981185562Feb 2023
Mar 20125543981215467Mar 2023
Apr 20125144951235469Apr 2023
May 20124744911245668May 2023
Jun 20124542871255868Jun 2023
Jul 20124440841255867Jul 2023
Aug 20124441851245866Aug 2023
Sep 20124441851245965Sep 2023
Oct 20124541861255966Oct 2023
Nov 20124642881286167Nov 2023
Dec 20124543881296565Dec 2023
Jan 20134542871316863Jan 2024
Feb 20134442861377562Feb 2024
Mar 20134342841418260Mar 2024
Apr 20134242841448857Apr 2024
May 2013414687(145)May 2024
Jun 2013395291(139)Jun 2024
Jul 2013375895(129)Jul 2024
Aug 2013356499(118)Aug 2024
Sep 20133570105(109)Sep 2024
Oct 20133473107(99)Oct 2024
Nov 20133274107(86)Nov 2024
Dec 20133276108Dec 2024
Jan 20143376109Jan 2025
Feb 20143576111Feb 2025
Mar 20143678114Mar 2025
Apr 20143680116Apr 2025

Comparison of cycles 24 and 25 by daily spots

The following table gives the number of days so far in cycle 25 against the number up to the same point in cycle 24, which have passed various thresholds for the numbers of sunspots.

CountsSC 24
to end of 2013
SC 24
to Nov 9, 2013
SC 25
to Nov 9, 2024
≥100408370668
≥125194174470
≥1506355290
≥175128152
≥2001183
≥2250031
≥2500012
≥275005

As at Nov 9, 2024, solar cycle 25 is averaging 40% more spots per day than solar cycle 24 at the same point in the cycle (Nov 9, 2013).

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Sunspot</span> Temporary spots on the Suns surface

Sunspots are temporary spots on the Sun's surface that are darker than the surrounding area. They are regions of reduced surface temperature caused by concentrations of magnetic flux that inhibit convection. Sunspots appear within active regions, usually in pairs of opposite magnetic polarity. Their number varies according to the approximately 11-year solar cycle.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Maunder Minimum</span> Period of low solar activity, 1645–1715

The Maunder Minimum, also known as the "prolonged sunspot minimum", was a period around 1645 to 1715 during which sunspots became exceedingly rare. During the 28-year period 1672–1699 within the minimum, observations revealed fewer than 50 sunspots. This contrasts with the typical 40,000–50,000 sunspots seen in modern times over a similar timespan.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar maximum</span> Regular period of greatest solar activity

Solar maximum is the regular period of greatest solar activity during the Sun's 11-year solar cycle. During solar maximum, large numbers of sunspots appear, and the solar irradiance output grows by about 0.07%. On average, the solar cycle takes about 11 years to go from one solar maximum to the next, with duration observed varying from 9 to 14 years.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle</span> Periodic change in the Suns activity

The solar cycle, also known as the solar magnetic activity cycle, sunspot cycle, or Schwabe cycle, is a nearly periodic 11-year change in the Sun's activity measured in terms of variations in the number of observed sunspots on the Sun's surface. Over the period of a solar cycle, levels of solar radiation and ejection of solar material, the number and size of sunspots, solar flares, and coronal loops all exhibit a synchronized fluctuation from a period of minimum activity to a period of a maximum activity back to a period of minimum activity.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Edward Walter Maunder</span> English astronomer studying sunspots (1851–1928)

Edward Walter Maunder was an English astronomer. His study of sunspots and the solar magnetic cycle led to his identification of the period from 1645 to 1715 that is now known as the Maunder Minimum.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar minimum</span> Regular period of least solar activity

Solar minimum is the regular period of least solar activity in the Sun's 11-year solar cycle. During solar minimum, sunspot and solar flare activity diminishes, and often does not occur for days at a time. On average, the solar cycle takes about 11 years to go from one solar minimum to the next, with duration observed varying from 9 to 14 years. The date of the minimum is described by a smoothed average over 12 months of sunspot activity, so identifying the date of the solar minimum usually can only happen 6 months after the minimum takes place.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Wolf number</span> Measure of sunspot activity

The Wolf number is a quantity that measures the number of sunspots and groups of sunspots present on the surface of the Sun. Historically, it was only possible to detect sunspots on the far side of the Sun indirectly using helioseismology. Since 2006, NASA's STEREO spacecrafts allow their direct observation.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Gnevyshev–Ohl rule</span>

The Gnevyshev–Ohl rule is an empirical rule according to which the sum of Wolf's sunspot numbers in odd cycles with preceding even cycles (E+O) are highly correlated and the correlation is lower if even cycles and preceding odd ones (O+E) are taken. Sometimes a simplified formulation of the rule is used, according to which the sums over odd cycles exceeds those of the preceding even cycles . The rule breaks down under certain conditions. In particular, it inverts sign across the Dalton minimum, but can be restored with the "lost cycle" in the end of the 18th century. The nature of the GO rule is still unclear.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 2</span> Solar activity from June 1766 to June 1775

Solar cycle 2 was the second solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 9 years, beginning in June 1766 and ending in June 1775. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 193.0, and the starting minimum was 18.6.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 1</span> Solar activity from February 1755 to June 1766

Solar cycle 1 was the first solar cycle during which extensive recording of solar sunspot activity took place. The solar cycle lasted 11.3 years, beginning in February 1755 and ending in June 1766. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 144.1, and the starting minimum was 14.0.

Solar cycle 4 was the fourth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 13.6 years, beginning in September 1784 and ending in April 1798. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 235.3, and the starting minimum was 15.9.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 5</span> Solar activity from April 1798 to August 1810

Solar cycle 5 was the fifth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.3 years, beginning in April 1798 and ending in August 1810. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 82.0, in February 1805, and the starting minimum was 5.3.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 6</span> Solar activity from August 1810 to May 1823

Solar cycle 6 was the sixth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.8 years, beginning in August 1810 and ending in May 1823. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 81.2, in May 1816, and the starting minimum was 0.0.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 7</span> Solar activity from May 1823 to November 1833

Solar cycle 7 was the seventh solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 10.5 years, beginning in May 1823 and ending in November 1833. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 119.2, and the starting minimum was 0.2.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 9</span> Solar activity from July 1843 to December 1855

Solar cycle 9 was the ninth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.4 years, beginning in July 1843 and ending in December 1855. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 219.9, and the starting minimum was 17.6. During the solar cycle minimum transit from solar cycle 9 to solar cycle 10, there were a total of 655 days with no sunspots.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 12</span> Solar activity from December 1878 to March 1890

Solar cycle 12 was the twelfth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 11.3 years, beginning in December 1878 and ending in March 1890. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 124.4, and the starting minimum was 3.7. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 12 to 13, there were a total of 736 days with no sunspots.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 13</span> Solar activity from March 1890 to January 1902

Solar cycle 13 was the thirteenth solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 11.8 years, beginning in March 1890 and ending in January 1902. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 146.5, and the starting minimum was 8.3. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 13 to 14, there were a total of 934 days with no sunspots.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 23</span> Solar activity from August 1996 to December 2008

Solar cycle 23 was the 23rd solar cycle since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. The solar cycle lasted 12.6 years, beginning in August 1996 and ending in December 2008. The maximum smoothed sunspot number observed during the solar cycle was 180.3, and the starting minimum was 11.2. During the minimum transit from solar cycle 23 to 24, there were a total of 817 days with no sunspots. Compared to the last several solar cycles, it was fairly average in terms of activity.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Solar cycle 25</span> Solar activity from 2019 to about 2030

Solar cycle 25 is the current solar cycle, the 25th since 1755, when extensive recording of solar sunspot activity began. It began in December 2019 with a minimum smoothed sunspot number of 1.8. It is expected to continue until about 2030.

Solar observation is the scientific endeavor of studying the Sun and its behavior and relation to the Earth and the remainder of the Solar System. Deliberate solar observation began thousands of years ago. That initial era of direct observation gave way to telescopes in the 1600s followed by satellites in the twentieth century.

References

  1. "Sunspot numbers". WDC-SILSO. Royal Observatory of Belgium. Retrieved 19 May 2017.
  2. Hathaway, D. (2015). "The solar cycle". Living Reviews in Solar Physics. 12 (1): 4. arXiv: 1502.07020 . Bibcode:2015LRSP...12....4H. doi:10.1007/lrsp-2015-4. PMC   4841188 . PMID   27194958.
  3. Usoskin; Mursula; Kovaltsov (2001). "Heliospheric modulation of cosmic rays and solar activity during the Maunder minimum". J. Geophys. Res. 106(A8) (A8): 16039. Bibcode:2001JGR...10616039U. doi: 10.1029/2000JA000105 .
  4. Usoskin; et al. (2009). "A solar cycle lost in 1793-1800: Early sunspot observations resolve the old mystery". Astrophys. J. Lett. 700 (2): L154. arXiv: 0907.0063 . Bibcode:2009ApJ...700L.154U. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/700/2/L154. S2CID   14882350.
  5. Usoskin; et al. (2021). "Solar cyclic activity over the last millennium reconstructed from annual 14C data". Astron. Astrophys. 649: A141. arXiv: 2103.15112 . doi:10.1051/0004-6361/202140711.
  6. "SIDC smoothing formula". WDC-SILSO. Royal Observatory of Belgium. Retrieved 19 May 2017.
  7. Meeus, J. (1958). "Une formule d'adoucissement pour l'activité solaire". Ciel et Terre. 74: 445. Bibcode:1958C&T....74..445M.
  8. "The solar cycle's new clothes". STCE. Royal Observatory of Belgium. Retrieved 8 July 2015.
  9. "December 2019 confirmed as starting point of the new solar activity cycle". SIDC.
  10. "Spotless Days Page". SILSO. Royal Observatory of Belgium. Retrieved 3 April 2017.