Victory disease

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An example of victory disease and its catastrophic results: Napoleon's retreat from Moscow, painted by Adolph Northen in the 19th century Napoleons retreat from moscow.jpg
An example of victory disease and its catastrophic results: Napoleon's retreat from Moscow , painted by Adolph Northen in the 19th century
Diorama depicting the periscope-view from the US submarine USS Nautilus attacking a Japanese aircraft carrier at the Battle of Midway Diorama of USS Nautilus attacking japanese aircraft carrier.jpg
Diorama depicting the periscope-view from the US submarine USS Nautilus attacking a Japanese aircraft carrier at the Battle of Midway
Custer's last stand, 1877 Custer's Last Stand, 1877.png
Custer's last stand, 1877

Victory disease occurs in military history when complacency or arrogance, brought on by a victory or a series of victories, makes an engagement end disastrously for a commander and his forces. [1]

Contents

A commander may disdain the enemy, and believe his own invincibility, leading his troops to disaster. That commander may employ strategies that, if effective in earlier combats or maneuvers, prove catastrophic against a new or smarter enemy. The commander afflicted by "victory disease" may also fail to anticipate that a new enemy may use tactics different from those of old enemies. An overconfident commander may disregard military intelligence that would enable the commander to realize that new tactics are needed.

Though "victory disease" does not inevitably foretell defeat, it often precedes it. The term is also applied outside the military world in areas such as psychology, business, or marketing.

Origin

The origin of the term (戦勝病, senshoubyou, in Japanese [2] ) is associated[ how? ] with the Japanese advance in the Pacific Theater of World War II, where, after attacking Pearl Harbor in 1941, Japan won a series of nearly uninterrupted victories against the Allies in Southeast Asia and the Pacific. [3] [4]

Much of Japan's arrogance is attributed to the performance of Admiral Matome Ugaki. From overriding decisions to ignoring the evolving conflict in the Pacific, Ugaki's tactics incited tension and doubt in other Japanese military personnel before the Midway operation. [5]

Although the Japanese had planned to establish a perimeter and go on the defensive, victories encouraged them to continue expanding to an extent that strained logistics and the navy. This culminated in the Battle of Midway in 1942, a catastrophic defeat of the Japanese navy. All four Japanese aircraft carriers involved were sunk, and the hitherto unstoppable Japanese advance was blunted.[ citation needed ]

History

Pre-modern

19th century

20th century

See also

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References

  1. Karcher, Timothy M. (2003). "The Victory Disease". Military Review. 83 (4): 9–17. DTIC ADA512326.
  2. Stephan, John J. (2001). Hawaii Under the Rising Sun: Japan's Plans for Conquest After Pearl Harbor. University of Hawaii Press. ISBN   978-0-8248-2550-8.[ page needed ]
  3. Kennedy, David M. (1 March 1999). "Victory at Sea". The Atlantic.
  4. Bergerud, Eric M. (2001). Fire In The Sky: The Air War In The South Pacific. Basic Books. p. 18. ISBN   978-0-8133-3869-9.
  5. Boling, James L. (22 May 1997). Campaign Planning: A Doctrinal Assessment Through the Study of the Japanese Campaign of 1942 (Report). DTIC ADA331176.
  6. "Battle of Agincourt | Facts, Summary, & Significance | Britannica". www.britannica.com. Retrieved 2023-07-15.
  7. Alessandro Giorgi, Cronaca della Seconda Guerra Mondiale 1939-1945, Editoriale Lupo, Vicchio, Firenze, 2013, ISBN 978-8890874802
  8. Thorpe, D. R. (1 November 2006). "What we failed to learn from Suez". Daily Telegraph. London. Retrieved 5 July 2016.
  9. Varble, Derek (2003). The Suez Crisis 1956. London: Osprey. p. 84. ISBN   978-1-84176-418-4.