This biographical article is written like a résumé .(September 2023) |
William E. Halal | |
---|---|
Nationality | American |
Occupation(s) | Aerospace engineer, air force officer, professor, author, consultant, speaker, and entrepreneur |
Academic background | |
Education | BS, Aerospace Engineering Master of Business Administration PHD, Business and Economics |
Alma mater | University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley Purdue University |
Academic work | |
Institutions | George Washington University |
William E. Halal is an American aerospace engineer,air force officer,academic,author,consultant,and speaker. He is Professor Emeritus of Management,Technology &Innovation at George Washington University [1] as well as the Founder and President of TechCast,a web-based system that uses knowledge to forecast breakthroughs on emerging technologies and social trends. [2]
Halal is most known for his work in the areas of emerging technology,strategic planning,and innovation,with a particular focus on strategic foresight,social evolution,knowledge,intelligence,consciousness,and institutional change. His research has been featured in newspapers,including Newsweek and The Washington Post . [3] He is the author of seven books including The New Capitalism,Internal Markets,The Infinite Resource,Technology’s Promise,Beyond Knowledge and 21st Century Economics. [4]
Halal completed his Bachelor of Science in Aerospace Engineering from Purdue University in 1956. Later in 1970,he completed his Master of Business Administration from the University of California,Berkeley followed by a PHD in Social Sciences from the same institution in 1971. [1]
Halal began his academic career by joining San Francisco State University in 1970 while completing his Ph.D. This was followed by an appointment at the American University in 1971. In 1979,he joined George Washington University. He co-founded the Institute for Knowledge &Innovation as a joint effort between the GW School of Engineering and the School of Business. In 2010,he was appointed as Professor Emeritus of Management,Technology &Innovation at George Washington University. [1]
Halal is an Air Force veteran who served as an Aerospace Engineer on Apollo's Lunar Module and held the rank of Major during his time in the US Air Force. He is also the Founder and President of TechCast,a virtual think-tank that provides forecast and strategy reports related to critical global trends. [1]
Halal's research on innovation,organization design,and knowledge management has won him the 1977 Mitchell Prize and a medal from the Freedom Foundation. He has authored numerous publications spanning the areas of institutional change,strategic planning,and forecasting emerging technologies including articles in peer-reviewed journals and books. [5]
Halal has studied the digital revolution and the broader technology revolution covering all advances in science and technology. His work includes forecasting technical breakthroughs,social impacts and wild cards,as well as the resulting transformation of business,government and other social institutions. While analyzing the influence of information technology on the operation of corporations,Halal examined the idea of the electronic cottage,which facilitates remote work and fosters adaptable and dynamic business units,and explored the possibility of market mechanisms replacing bureaucratic hierarchies within corporations,allowing employees to function as partially autonomous entrepreneurs. [6]
Through a review of literature,Delphi survey,and interviews,his work presented a timeline of emerging technologies,including portable computers,superchips,public information networks,parallel processors,personal assistants,and expert systems,along with their projected economic impact,and graphically depicted the most plausible scenario anticipated to occur over the course of the next two decades. [7] He researched AI's impact on society,and concluded that the shift from knowledge-based to consciousness-related concerns,like beliefs and ideologies,could be essential to address the global crisis of maturity,which includes challenges like energy shortages,climate change,and weapons of mass destruction. [8]
Halal's research has focused on the interconnectedness of global crises,including climate change,energy shortages,terrorism,and weapons of mass destruction. It was suggested that these crises are indicative of a larger,systemic failure in the global order that appears to be unraveling slowly,and concluded that while the recovery process may be protracted and challenging,the critical nature of this event may present an opportunity to address systemic institutional inadequacies. [9] His investigation into the Global MegaCrisis revealed that a significant deterioration could occur,leading to disaster or gradual worsening of severe problems. To address this,he proposed sustainable practices,renewable energy,and global collaboration as viable measures. [10] His further research found that factors like climate change and financial instability posed a high risk of significant global disasters or even civilization collapse in several regions across the globe. The findings of the study also suggested that green business,e-commerce,alternative energy,climate control,and AI could play a significant role in promoting a sustainable future. [11]
Halal has also done research in progressive forms of corporate and economic change. His book,The New Capitalism,outlined how the Information Age is transforming business and society by extending Western ideals of free enterprise and democracy into corporations and other social institutions. [12] His other book Internal Markets described the evolution of organizational systems operating under principles of free enterprise rather than hierarchy and central planning. [13] A seminal article,The Collaborative Enterprise,presented survey data showing the emergence of a stakeholder model of the firm uniting principles of profitability with responsibility and how they form a competitive advantage. [14] Coauthored with Kenneth Taylor,21st Century Economics was published as an anthology containing essays by scholars anticipating political economy on this side of the Millennium. [15] He conducted a study,“Strategic Planning In the Fortune 500,” [16] sponsored by General Motors,and plotted the stages of technological development making up the Life Cycle of Evolution. [17]
His book,The New Capitalism,questioned current beliefs about the economy,society,and politics by discussing how certain unstoppable forces are influencing modern-day nations and institutions. [18] In his book review,Lawrence J. Lad,stated that The book is a rich and easy treatment of what's wrong with old capitalism and what's right about new capitalism in its flexible,client-centered symbiotic,network organized approach to business. The book also offers evidence of how the changes brought about by new capitalism affect other institutions,including healthcare,universities,the military,the legal system,public media,and organized religion. [19]
Halal's extensive research on knowledge,intelligence,and consciousness has helped organizations to better understand and leverage their knowledge assets,leading to improved performance and competitive advantage. While exploring the significance of knowledge management amidst the ever-evolving business landscapes,he presented a conceptual model,namely "organizational intelligence," which comprised not only of the individual knowledge of members but also the collective knowledge of an organization,and suggested that this framework can facilitate better knowledge management practices and enable more informed decision-making for organizations. [20]
In his evaluation of the present state and future of knowledge management,his study concluded that knowledge management has been evolving towards an organic paradigm,which prioritizes three central notions including "self-organizing systems","e-organizations",and "corporate communities",recommending that managers should cultivate these organic organizational structures,as they facilitate the natural generation and dissemination of knowledge with greater efficacy. [21] In his further research on knowledge management,he proposed the utilization of online learning and research systems,citing their resourcefulness for organizations in making well-informed forecasts,evaluating strategies,and reaching decisive conclusions. The study also highlighted their ability to collect implicit knowledge dispersed throughout the organization,thereby providing significant benefits to keep pace with the evolving market trends and maintain a competitive edge. [22] His latest book,Beyond Knowledge,was published in 2022. Drawing on a model of social evolution using historic data,the book shows how digital technology,smartphones,and AI are automating knowledge,thereby driving attention beyond knowledge into an Age of Consciousness.
Knowledge management (KM) is the collection of methods relating to creating,sharing,using and managing the knowledge and information of an organization. It refers to a multidisciplinary approach to achieve organizational objectives by making the best use of knowledge.
Knowledge transfer is the sharing or disseminating of knowledge and the providing of inputs to problem solving. In organizational theory,knowledge transfer is the practical problem of transferring knowledge from one part of the organization to another. Like knowledge management,knowledge transfer seeks to organize,create,capture or distribute knowledge and ensure its availability for future users. It is considered to be more than just a communication problem. If it were merely that,then a memorandum,an e-mail or a meeting would accomplish the knowledge transfer. Knowledge transfer is more complex because:
The knowledge economy, or knowledge-based economy,is an economic system in which the production of goods and services is based principally on knowledge-intensive activities that contribute to advancement in technical and scientific innovation. The key element of value is the greater dependence on human capital and intellectual property as the source of innovative ideas,information and practices. Organisations are required to capitalise on this "knowledge" in their production to stimulate and deepen the business development process. There is less reliance on physical input and natural resources. A knowledge-based economy relies on the crucial role of intangible assets within the organisations' settings in facilitating modern economic growth.
Futurists are people whose specialty or interest is futurology or the attempt to systematically explore predictions and possibilities about the future and how they can emerge from the present,whether that of human society in particular or of life on Earth in general.
Futures studies,futures research,futurism or futurology is the systematic,interdisciplinary and holistic study of social/technological advancement,and other environmental trends;often for the purpose of exploring how people will live and work in the future. Predictive techniques,such as forecasting,can be applied,but contemporary futures studies scholars emphasize the importance of systematically exploring alternatives. In general,it can be considered as a branch of the social sciences and an extension to the field of history. Futures studies seeks to understand what is likely to continue and what could plausibly change. Part of the discipline thus seeks a systematic and pattern-based understanding of past and present,and to explore the possibility of future events and trends.
Erich Jantsch was an Austrian-born American astrophysicist,engineer,educator,author,consultant and futurist,especially known for his work in the social systems design movement in Europe in the 1970s.
Strategic foresight is a planning-oriented discipline related to futures studies. In a business context,a more action-oriented approach has become well known as corporate foresight.
In futurology,especially in Europe,the term foresight has become widely used to describe activities such as:
Technology forecasting attempts to predict the future characteristics of useful technological machines,procedures or techniques. Researchers create technology forecasts based on past experience and current technological developments. Like other forecasts,technology forecasting can be helpful for both public and private organizations to make smart decisions. By analyzing future opportunities and threats,the forecaster can improve decisions in order to achieve maximum benefits. Today,most countries are experiencing huge social and economic changes,which heavily rely on technology development. By analyzing these changes,government and economic institutions could make plans for future developments. However,not all of historical data can be used for technology forecasting,forecasters also need to adopt advanced technology and quantitative modeling from experts’researches and conclusions.
A hybrid organization is an organization that mixes elements,value systems and action logics of various sectors of society,i.e. the public sector,the private sector and the voluntary sector. A more general notion of hybridity can be found in Hybrid institutions and governance.
Market environment and business environment are marketing terms that refer to factors and forces that affect a firm's ability to build and maintain successful customer relationships. The business environment has been defined as "the totality of physical and social factors that are taken directly into consideration in the decision-making behaviour of individuals in the organisation."
The Strategic Management Society (SMS) is a professional society for the advancement of strategic management. The society consists of nearly 3,000 members representing various backgrounds and perspectives from more than eighty different countries. Membership is composed of academics,business practitioners,and consultants. The society has been credited with being a factor in the development of strategic management as a legitimate field of scholarly endeavor. The SMS publishes the Strategic Management Journal,Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal and the Global Strategy Journal.
Entrepreneurship is the creation or extraction of economic value. With this definition,entrepreneurship is viewed as change,generally entailing risk beyond what is normally encountered in starting a business,which may include other values than simply economic ones.
Innovation management is a combination of the management of innovation processes,and change management. It refers to product,business process,marketing and organizational innovation. Innovation management is the subject of ISO 56000 series standards being developed by ISO TC 279.
The following outline is provided as an overview of and topical guide to futures studies:
Technology scouting is an element of technology management in which
Corporate foresight has been conceptualised by strategic foresight practitioners and academics working and/or studying corporations as a set of practices,a set of capabilities and an ability of a firm. It enables firms to detect discontinuous change early,interpret its consequences for the firm,and inform future courses of action to ensure the long-term survival and success of the company.
Human resource planning is a process that identifies current and future human resources needs for an organization to achieve its goals. Human resource planning should serve as a link between human resource management and the overall strategic plan of an organization. Ageing workers population in most western countries and growing demands for qualified workers in developing economies have underscored the importance of effective human resource planning.
Andy Hines is an American futurist,head of graduate studies in Foresight at the University of Houston,and author of several books on strategic foresight. Hines is a professional futurist,co-creator of the framework foresight method,Assistant Professor and Program Coordinator of the Graduate Program in Foresight at the University of Houston,Principal of foresight consulting firm Hinesight,and former organizational futurist at Kellogg Company and Dow Chemical. He has written extensively on futures studies,strategic foresight,foresight research methods,the role of organizational futurists,and the consumer landscape.
Horizon scanning (HS) or horizon scan is a method from futures studies,sometimes regarded as a part of foresight. It is the early detection and assessment of emerging technologies or threats for mainly policy makers in a domain of choice. Such domains include agriculture,environmental studies,health care,biosecurity,and food safety.
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