2004 United States Senate election in Florida

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2004 United States Senate election in Florida
Flag of Florida.svg
←  1998 November 2, 2004 2010  →
  Mel Martinez.jpg Betty Castor (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mel Martínez Betty Castor
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote3,672,8643,590,201
Percentage49.43%48.32%
2004 United States Senate election in Florida results map by county.svg
County results

Martinez:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%

Contents

Castor:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Bob Graham
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Mel Martínez
Republican

The 2004 United States Senate election in Florida took place on November 2, 2004 alongside other elections to the United States Senate in other states as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Graham decided to retire instead of seeking a fourth term. Graham made an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic presidential nomination. The primary elections were held on August 31, 2004. Republican Mel Martínez won the open seat with 49.4% of the vote to Democratic nominee Betty Castor's 48.3%. With a margin of 1.1%, this election was the closest race of the 2004 Senate election cycle. This was the first open-seat United States Senate election in Florida for this seat since 1974.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Results

County results Florida Senate D Primary 2004.svg
County results
Democratic primary results [1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Betty Castor 669,346 58.1%
Democratic Peter Deutsch321,92227.9%
Democratic Alex Penelas115,89810.1%
Democratic Bernard E. Klein45,3473.9%
Total votes1,152,513 100.0%

Republican primary

Martínez was supported by the Bush Administration.

Candidates

Results

County results Florida Senate R Primary 2004.svg
County results
Republican Primary results [2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mel Martínez 522,994 44.9%
Republican Bill McCollum360,47430.9%
Republican Doug Gallagher158,36013.6%
Republican Johnnie Byrd68,9825.9%
Republican Karen Saull20,3651.8%
Republican Sonya March17,8041.5%
Republican Larry Klayman13,2571.1%
Republican William Billy Kogut3,6950.3%
Total votes1,165,931 100.0%

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball [3] Lean R (flip)November 1, 2004

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin of
error		Betty
Castor (D)		Mel
Martínez (R)		OtherUndecided
Rasmussen Reports [ citation needed ]August 24500± 4.5%44%44%
Survey USA [ citation needed ]September 12602± 4.1%49%45%5%1%
Quinnipiac September 18–21, 2004819± 3.443%42%0%14%
Gallup [ citation needed ]September 18674± 4.0%51%45%0%4%
Survey USA [ citation needed ]October 1706± 3.8%46%50%3%1%
Quinnipiac October 1–5, 2004717± 3.747%48%0%5%
Mason-Dixon[ citation needed ]October 4625± 4.0%41%46%1%12%
UNF[ citation needed ]October 10641± 4.0%38%35%15%12%
Mason-Dixon[ citation needed ]October 14625± 4.0%45%45%1%9%
Survey USA [ citation needed ]October 15596± 4.1%47%49%3%1%
Quinnipiac October 15–19, 2004808± 3.547%47%0%5%
Research 2000[ citation needed ]October 1848%48%4%4%
Miami Herald [ citation needed ]October 19800± 3.5%44%44%
Survey USA [ citation needed ]October 22741± 3.7%50%47%
Insider Advantage [ citation needed ]October 22400± 5.0%44%46%
Quinnipiac October 22–26, 2004944± 3.246%49%0%5%
The New York Times [ citation needed ]October 23802± 3.0%47%44%0%10%
Mason Dixon[ citation needed ]October 26625± 4.0%46%47%6%
CNN/USA Today/Gallup [ citation needed ]October 281138± 4.0%48%46%5%
Quinnipiac University [ citation needed ]October 311098± 3.0%44%49%6%
Zogby International [ citation needed ]October 31600± 4.0%46%46%0%7%

Results

United States Senate election in Florida, 2004 [4]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Melquíades Rafael Martínez Ruiz 3,672,864 49.43% +11.9%
Democratic Elizabeth Castor3,590,20148.32%-14.15%
Veterans Dennis F. Bradley166,6422.24%+2.24%
Write-ins1870.00%+0.0%
Majority82,6631.11%-23.83%
Turnout 7,429,89470.92% [5] +24.08%
Total votes7,429,894 100.00% +3,529,732
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Related Research Articles

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References

  1. ↑ "Florida Department of State - Election Results". Archived from the original on October 3, 2011. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
  2. ↑ "Florida Department of State - Election Results". Archived from the original on October 3, 2011. Retrieved May 10, 2016.
  3. ↑ "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
  4. ↑ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  5. ↑ "Voter Registration - Yearly - Division of Elections - Florida Department of State". Archived from the original on December 5, 2016. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
Debates
Official campaign websites (archived)

Democrats

Republicans

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