2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

←  2016 November 6, 2018 (2018-11-06) 2020  →
All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
Majority party Minority party   Party Republican Democratic Last election 16 11 Seats before 15 11 Seats won 14 13 Seat change 2 2 Popular vote 3,675,417 3,307,228 Percentage 52.35% 47.10% Swing 2.36% 1.89%
Results by district Results by county Republican   40–50%   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   80–90% Democratic   50–60%   60–70%   70–80%   90–100%

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from the state of Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The party primaries were held on August 28, 2018. ^[1]

The state congressional delegation changed from a 16–11 Republican majority to a slim 14–13 Republican majority, one short from a Democratic flip. These were seen as the most seats Democrats had attained in Florida since 1982. As noted in the vote table below, Florida does not count votes in uncontested races, so the votes in the four uncontested seats held by Democratic members of the House are not counted in the totals or percentages on this page, and each under counts the votes for Democrats in Florida.

Results summary

Statewide

Party		Candi- dates	Votes		Seats
			No.	%	No.	+/–	%
	Republican	22	3,675,417	52.35%	14	2	51.85%
	Democratic	27	3,307,228	47.10%	13	2	48.15%
	Independent	6	38,550	0.55%	0		0.00%
	Write-in	8	281	0.00%	0		0.00%
Total		63	7,021,476	100.00%	27		100.00%

Popular vote Republican   52.35% Democratic   47.10% Independent   0.55% Write-in   0.00%

House seats Republican   51.85% Democratic   48.15%

District

Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida by district: ^[2]

District	Republican		Democratic		Others		Total		Result
	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%
District 1	216,189	67.06%	106,199	32.94%	0	0.00%	322,388	100.00%	Republican hold
District 2	199,335	67.44%	96,233	32.56%	0	0.00%	295,568	100.00%	Republican hold
District 3	176,616	57.62%	129,880	42.38%	0	0.00%	306,496	100.00%	Republican hold
District 4	248,420	65.16%	123,351	32.35%	9,478	2.49%	381,249	100.00%	Republican hold
District 5	89,799	33.22%	180,527	66.78%	0	0.00	270,326	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 6	187,891	56.31%	145,758	43.69%	0	0.00%	333,649	100.00%	Republican hold
District 7	134,285	42.31%	183,113	57.69%	0	0.00%	317,398	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 8	218,112	60.50%	142,415	39.50%	0	0.00%	360,527	100.00%	Republican hold
District 9	124,565	41.98%	172,172	58.02%	0	0.00%	296,737	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 10	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	Democratic hold
District 11	239,395	65.14%	128,053	34.84%	58	0.02%	367,506	100.00%	Republican hold
District 12	194,564	58.09%	132,844	39.66%	7,510	2.24%	334,918	100.00%	Republican hold
District 13	134,254	42.36%	182,717	57.64%	0	0.00%	316,971	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 14	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	Democratic hold
District 15	151,380	53.02%	134,132	46.98%	20	0.01%	285,532	100.00%	Republican hold
District 16	197,483	54.56%	164,463	45.44%	0	0.00%	361,946	100.00%	Republican hold
District 17	193,326	62.26%	117,194	37.74%	0	0.00%	310,520	100.00%	Republican hold
District 18	185,905	54.30%	156,454	45.70%	0	0.00%	342,359	100.00%	Republican hold
District 19	211,465	62.27%	128,106	37.72%	36	0.01%	339,607	100.00%	Republican hold
District 20	0	0.00%	202,659	99.92%	165	0.08%	202,824	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 21	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	Democratic hold
District 22	113,049	37.98%	184,634	62.02%	0	0.00%	297,683	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 23	99,446	35.98%	161,611	58.48%	15,309	5.54%	276,366	100.00%	Democratic hold
District 24	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	–	Democratic hold
District 25	128,672	60.45%	84,173	39.55%	0	0.00%	212,845	100.00%	Republican hold
District 26	115,678	49.13%	119,797	50.87%	0	0.00%	235,475	100.00%	Democratic gain
District 27	115,588	45.76%	130,743	51.76%	6,255	2.48%	252,586	100.00%	Democratic gain
Total	3,675,417	52.35%	3,307,228	47.10%	38,831	0.55%	7,021,476	100.00%

District 1

2018 Florida's 1st congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Matt Gaetz Jennifer Zimmerman Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 216,189 106,199 Percentage 67.1% 32.9%

Gaetz:     50–60%     70–80%     80–90%Results by county Gaetz:     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%     80-90%     <90% Zimmerman:     50–60%     60–70%     70-80%     80-90%     <90%Results by precinct

U.S. Representative before election Matt Gaetz Republican Elected U.S. Representative Matt Gaetz Republican

See also: Florida's 1st congressional district

The 1st district stretches along the Emerald Coast and is located in the western Panhandle anchored by Pensacola, it also includes Fort Walton Beach, Navarre, and Wright. Incumbent Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+22.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Cris Dosev, businessman and candidate for this district in 2016
• John Mills, retired U.S. Navy pilot

Endorsements

Matt Gaetz

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, President of the United States ^[3]

Statewide officials

• Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas (1996–2007) and candidate for President of the United States in 2008 and 2016 ^[4]

Organizations

• Humane Society Legislative Fund ^[5]
• NRA Political Victory Fund ^[6]

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Gaetz (incumbent)	65,203	64.8
	Republican	Cris Dosev	30,433	30.2
	Republican	John Mills	4,992	5.0
Total votes			100,628	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Jennifer M. Zimmerman, pediatrician

Eliminated in primary

• Phil Ehr, U.S. Navy commander

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Jennifer M. Zimmerman	22,422	60.5
	Democratic	Phil Ehr	14,650	39.5
Total votes			37,072	100.0

General election

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Gaetz (incumbent)	216,189	67.1
	Democratic	Jennifer M. Zimmerman	106,199	32.9
Total votes			322,388	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

2018 Florida's 2nd congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Neal Dunn Bob Rackleff Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 199,335 96,233 Percentage 67.4% 32.6%

Dunn:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Rackleff:     50–60%Results by county Dunn:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Rackleff:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%Results by precinct

U.S. Representative before election Neal Dunn Republican Elected U.S. Representative Neal Dunn Republican

See also: Florida's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is located in the Big Bend region and is anchored by Panama City, and includes the suburbs of Tallahassee. Incumbent Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 67% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bob Rackleff, former Leon County Commissioner ^[9]

Eliminated in primary

• Brandon Peters, lawyer

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Brandon Peters	Bob Rackleff	Undecided
Bold Blue Campaigns (D-Peters)	August 21–23, 2018	407	–	47%	36%	17%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Bob Rackleff	29,395	50.8
	Democratic	Brandon Peters	28,483	49.2
Total votes			57,878	100.0

General election

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Neal Dunn (incumbent)	199,335	67.4
	Democratic	Bob Rackleff	96,233	32.6
Total votes			295,568	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

2018 Florida's 3rd congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Ted Yoho Yvonne Hayes Hinson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 176,616 129,880 Percentage 57.6% 42.4%

County results Yoho:     60–70%     70–80%     80–90% Hinson:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Ted Yoho Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ted Yoho Republican

See also: Florida's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida and includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Incumbent Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was elected to a third term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Judson Sapp, businessman ^[10]

Endorsements

Judson Sapp

State legislators

• Jim Horne, former state senator ^[11]

Local officials

• Rick Beseler, former Clay County sheriff ^[11]
• Van Royal, Green Cove Springs city council member ^[11]

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ted Yoho (incumbent)	54,848	76.3
	Republican	Judson Sapp	17,068	23.7
Total votes			71,916	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Yvonne Hayes Hinson, former Gainesville City Commissioner

Eliminated in primary

• Dushyant Gosai, educator
• Tom Wells, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Yvonne Hayes Hinson	31,655	59.5
	Democratic	Tom Wells	17,663	33.2
	Democratic	Dushyant Gosai	3,883	7.3
Total votes			53,201	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Yvonne Hayes Hinson (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ted Yoho (incumbent)	176,616	57.6
	Democratic	Yvonne Hayes Hinson	129,880	42.4
Total votes			306,496	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

2018 Florida's 4th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate John Rutherford Ges Selmont Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 248,420 123,351 Percentage 65.2% 32.4%

County results Rutherford:     60–70%     70–80%

U.S. Representative before election John Rutherford Republican Elected U.S. Representative John Rutherford Republican

See also: Florida's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region and is made up of the Jacksonville metropolitan area including Jacksonville Beach and St. Augustine. Incumbent Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 70% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+17.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

• Rob Ficker ^[13]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ges Selmont, attorney

General election

Endorsements

Ges Selmont (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Rutherford (incumbent)	248,420	65.2
	Democratic	Ges Selmont	123,351	32.4
	Independent	Joceline Berrios	7,155	1.9
	Independent	Jason Bulger	2,321	0.6
	Write-in		2	0.0
Total votes			381,249	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

2018 Florida's 5th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Al Lawson Virginia Fuller Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 180,527 89,799 Percentage 66.8% 33.2%

County results Lawson:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80% Fuller     50–60%     60–70%     80–90%

U.S. Representative before election Al Lawson Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Al Lawson Democratic

See also: Florida's 5th congressional district

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida from the state capital, Tallahassee, to Jacksonville. Incumbent Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 64% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+12.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. Representative ^[14]

Eliminated in primary

• Alvin Brown, former mayor of Jacksonville

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Alvin Brown	Al Lawson	Undecided
University of North Florida	August 17–19, 2018	402	–	29%	48%	23%
St. Pete Polls	August 11–12, 2018	445	± 4.6%	27%	50%	23%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Al Lawson (incumbent)	53,990	60.3
	Democratic	Alvin Brown	35,584	39.7
Total votes			89,574	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Virginia Fuller, nurse and perennial candidate

General election

Endorsements

Al Lawson (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• End Citizens United ^[15]

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Al Lawson (incumbent)	180,527	66.8
	Republican	Virginia Fuller	89,799	33.2
Total votes			270,326	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6

2018 Florida's 6th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Michael Waltz Nancy Soderberg Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 187,891 145,758 Percentage 56.3% 43.7%

County results Waltz:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Ron DeSantis Republican Elected U.S. Representative Michael Waltz Republican

See also: Florida's 6th congressional district

The 6th district is located in the Surf Coast region and includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Deltona, and Palm Coast. Incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected to a third term with 59% of the vote in 2016. He did not run for re-election in 2018, rather opting to run for Governor of Florida. ^[16] The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Michael Waltz, former Green Beret ^[17]

Eliminated in primary

• Fred Costello, former state representative ^[18]
• John Ward, businessman ^[19]

Withdrawn

• Jimmy Johns, St. Johns County commissioner ^{[20] [21]}

Endorsements

Fred Costello

Statewide officials

• Pam Bondi, Florida Attorney General ^[22]

State legislators

• Richard Corcoran, speaker of the house of representatives ^[23]
• José R. Oliva, state representative ^[23]

Organizations

• NRA Political Victory Fund ^[24]

Michael Waltz

U.S. Representatives

• John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district ^[25]

Local officials

• Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief ^[26]
• Lenny Curry, Jacksonville mayor ^[27]
• Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair ^[28]
• David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff ^[29]
• Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff ^[26]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Fred Costello	Michael Waltz	John Ward	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 10, 2018	528	± 4.3%	16%	40%	21%	23%
St. Pete Polls	July 18, 2018	477	± 4.5%	21%	20%	21%	38%

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michael Waltz	32,916	42.4
	Republican	John Ward	23,593	30.4
	Republican	Fred Costello	21,074	27.2
Total votes			77,583	100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 6th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[30]

Candidates

Nominee

• Nancy Soderberg, former representative at the United Nations and former deputy national security advisor ^[31]

Eliminated in primary

• Stephen Sevigny, radiologist ^[32]
• John Upchurch, attorney ^[33]

Withdrawn

• Robert Coffman, commercial pilot ^[34]

Endorsements

Stephen Sevigny

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 756 ^[35]

Nancy Soderberg

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017) ^[36]

U.S. Representatives

• Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district ^[37]
• Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district ^[37]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district ^[37]
• Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district ^[37]
• Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district ^[37]

Labor unions

• AFSCME Florida ^[38]

Organizations

• Indivisible United Florida 6th district ^[39]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Stephen Sevigny	Nancy Soderberg	John Upchurch	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 17, 2018	407	± 4.9%	19%	50%	12%	20%
St. Pete Polls	July 18, 2018	420	± 4.8%	10%	30%	13%	46%

Debate

2018 Florida's 6th congressional district democratic primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Democratic	Democratic	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Stephen Sevigny	Nancy Soderberg	John Upchurch
1	Aug. 2, 2018	The Daytona Beach News-Journal		YouTube	P	P	P

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Nancy Soderberg	32,174	55.6
	Democratic	John Upchurch	13,088	22.6
	Democratic	Stephen Sevigny	12,633	21.8
Total votes			57,895	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Michael Waltz (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Donald Trump, President of the United States ^[40]

U.S. Representatives

• John Rutherford, U.S. Representative for Florida's 4th congressional district

Organizations

• With Honor Fund ^[41]

Local officials

• Craig Capri, Daytona Beach police chief ^[26]
• Lenny Curry, Mayor of Jacksonville
• Deborah Denys, Volusia County commission vice chair
• David Shoar, St. Johns County sheriff
• Mike Williams, Jacksonville sheriff ^[26]

Nancy Soderberg (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009–2017)

U.S. Representatives

• Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district ^[37]
• Val Demings, U.S. Representative from Florida's 10th congressional district ^[37]
• Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district ^[37]
• Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida's 21st congressional district ^[37]
• Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from Florida's 9th congressional district ^[37]

Labor unions

• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]
• Indivisible United Florida 6th district
• MoveOn ^[44]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Michael Waltz (R)	Nancy Soderberg (D)	Undecided
GQR Research (D)	October 1–4, 2018	400	± 4.9%	45%	45%	9%
St. Pete Polls	September 19, 2018	730	± 3.6%	47%	43%	10%
GQR Research (D)	September 4–6, 2018	400	± 4.9%	47%	46%	–

Debate

A debate was scheduled for September 25, but it was cancelled. ^{[45] [46]}

2018 Florida's 6th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Michael Waltz	Nancy Soderberg
1	Oct. 2, 2018	WESH	Greg Fox	YouTube	P	P

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Lean R	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Lean R	November 4, 2018

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michael Waltz	187,891	56.3
	Democratic	Nancy Soderberg	145,758	43.7
Total votes			333,649	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7

2018 Florida's 7th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Stephanie Murphy Mike Miller Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 183,113 134,285 Percentage 57.7% 42.3%

County results Murphy:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Stephanie Murphy Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy Democratic

See also: Florida's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is centered around downtown Orlando and the northern Orlando suburbs such as Sanford and Winter Park. Incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 51% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of Even.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Chardo Richardson, former president of the ACLU

Endorsements

Stephanie Murphy

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008 ^[55]

Labor unions

• AFL–CIO ^[56]
• Central Florida AFL–CIO ^[56]
• Florida Education Association ^[56]

Organizations

• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund ^[57]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[58]

Chardo Richardson

Organizations

• Justice Democrats ^[59]

Individuals

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator, community organizer, political activist and nominee for NY-14 in 2018 ^[60]

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)	49,060	86.2
	Democratic	Chardo Richardson	7,846	13.2
Total votes			56,906	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mike Miller, state representative ^[61]

Eliminated in primary

• Vennia Francois, policy advisor ^[62]
• Scott Sturgill, former Seminole County Soil & Water Conservation District Supervisor and state house candidate in 2014 ^[63]

Declined

• Bob Cortes, state representative ^[64]
• Joel Greenberg, Seminole County Tax Collector ^[65]
• David Simmons, state senator ^[66]

Endorsements

Mike Miller

U.S. Senators

• Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL) ^[67]

State legislators

• Jason Brodeur, state representative ^[68]
• Joe Gruters, state representative ^[69]
• Rene Plasencia, state representative ^[68]

Local officials

• Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner ^[68]
• Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner ^[68]
• John Horan, Seminole County commission chairman ^[70]

Scott Sturgill

U.S Representatives

• Sandy Adams, former U.S. Representative from Florida's 24th congressional district ^[71]
• John Boehner, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2011–2015), former U.S Representatives from Ohio's 8th congressional district (1991–2015) ^[72]

Statewide officials

• Carlos López-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida ^[73]

Local officials

• All five members of the Longwood city commission ^[74]
• Kevin Beary, former Orange County Sheriff ^[75]
• Dennis Lemma, Seminole County Sheriff ^[75]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Vennia Francois	Mike Miller	Scott Sturgill	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 20, 2018	321	± 5.5%	8%	42%	26%	24%

Primary results

Republican primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Miller	30,629	53.9
	Republican	Scott Sturgill	17,253	30.4
	Republican	Vennia Francois	8,950	15.8
Total votes			56,832	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Stephanie Murphy (D)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

• Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States 2009–2017; U.S. Senator from Delaware 1973–2009; candidate for President in 1988 and in 2008 ^[55]

Labor unions

• AFL–CIO ^[56]
• Central Florida AFL–CIO ^[56]
• Florida Education Association ^[56]
• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Blue Dog Coalition ^[76]
• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program ^[77]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]
• League of Conservation Voters Action Fund
• NARAL Pro-Choice America

Individuals

• Mark Kelly, retired astronaut, engineer, and U.S. Navy Captain ^[55]

Mike Miller (R)

U.S. Senators

• Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator (FL)

State legislators

• Jason Brodeur, state representative ^[68]
• Joe Gruters, state representative
• Rene Plasencia, state representative ^[68]

Organizations

• National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program ^[78]

Local officials

• Bob Dallari, Seminole County commissioner ^[68]
• Carlton Henley, Seminole County commissioner ^[68]
• John Horan, Seminole County commission chair

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Mike Miller (R)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 30, 2018	435	± 4.7%	47%	46%	7%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Lean D	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Likely D	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Safe D	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Likely D	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)	183,113	57.7
	Republican	Mike Miller	134,285	42.3
Total votes			317,398	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 8

2018 Florida's 8th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Bill Posey Sanjay Patel Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 218,112 142,415 Percentage 60.5% 39.5%

County results Posey:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Bill Posey Republican Elected U.S. Representative Bill Posey Republican

See also: Florida's 8th congressional district

The 8th district includes the Space Coast region and the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Vero Beach. Incumbent Republican Bill Posey, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 15th district from 2009 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+11.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Sanjay Patel, management consultant

General election

Endorsements

Sanjay Patel (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Justice Democrats ^[59]
• Our Revolution ^[79]

Results

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Posey (incumbent)	218,112	60.5
	Democratic	Sanjay Patel	142,415	39.5
Total votes			360,527	100.0
	Republican hold

District 9

2018 Florida's 9th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Darren Soto Wayne Liebnitzky Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 172,172 124,565 Percentage 58.0% 42.0%

County results Soto:     60–70% Liebnitzky:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Darren Soto Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Darren Soto Democratic

See also: Florida's 9th congressional district

The 9th district is located in inland Central Florida including Kissimmee, St. Cloud, and Winter Haven. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Alan Grayson, former U.S. Representative ^[80]

Endorsements

Darren Soto

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC ^[81]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Alan Grayson	Darren Soto	Undecided
SurveyUSA	August 2–6, 2018	512	± 5.4%	38%	45%	17%

Primary results

Democratic primary results, Florida 2018 ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Darren Soto (incumbent)	36,586	66.4
	Democratic	Alan Grayson	18,528	33.6
Total votes			55,114	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Wayne Liebnitzky, engineer and nominee for this seat in 2016

General election

Endorsements

Darren Soto (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus ^[82]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Darren Soto (D)	Wayne Liebnitzky (R)	Undecided
SurveyUSA	October 2–7, 2018	535	± 6.4%	48%	40%	11%

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2018 ^[8]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Darren Soto (incumbent)	172,172	58.0
	Republican	Wayne Liebnitzky	124,565	42.0
Total votes			296,737	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 10

2018 Florida's 10th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party   Candidate Val Demings Party Democratic Popular vote Unopposed Percentage N/a

U.S. Representative before election Val Demings Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Val Demings Democratic

See also: Florida's 10th congressional district

The 10th district is centered around Orlando and the surrounding suburbs such as Lockhart, Oak Ridge, and Zellwood. Incumbent Democrat Val Demings, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. She was elected with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic primary

Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.

Candidates

Nominee

• Val Demings, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Wade Darius, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results ^[7]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Val Demings (incumbent)	73,601	75.0
	Democratic	Wade Darius	24,534	25.0
Total votes			98,135	100.0

Republican primary

No Republicans filed.

General election

Incumbent Val Demings ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Demings was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Endorsements

Val Demings (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus ^[82]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Results

Florida's 10th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Val Demings (incumbent)	Unopposed	N/a
Total votes				N/a
	Democratic hold

District 11

2018 Florida's 11th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Daniel Webster Dana Cottrell Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 239,395 128,053 Percentage 65.2% 34.8%

County results Webster:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Daniel Webster Republican Elected U.S. Representative Daniel Webster Republican

See also: Florida's 11th congressional district

The 11th district is located in Central Florida and includes the southern suburbs of Ocala and Spring Hill, this district also includes the retirement community known as The Villages. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 8th district from 2011 to 2013 and the 10th district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 65% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+15.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Dana Cottrell, teacher

General election

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Daniel Webster (incumbent)	239,395	65.2
	Democratic	Dana Cottrell	128,053	34.8
	Independent	Luis Saldana (write-in)	58	0.0
Total votes			367,506	100.0
	Republican hold

District 12

2018 Florida's 12th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Gus Bilirakis Chris Hunter Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 194,564 132,844 Percentage 58.1% 39.7%

County results Bilirakis:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Gus Bilirakis Republican Elected U.S. Representative Gus Bilirakis Republican

See also: Florida's 12th congressional district

The 12th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Dade City, New Port Richey, and Palm Harbor. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 9th district from 2007 to 2013, was re-elected to a sixth term with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+8.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Chris Hunter, former federal prosecutor

Eliminated in primary

• Stephen Perenich, tax preparer
• Robert Tager, attorney and nominee for this seat in 2016

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Chris Hunter	31,761	65.3
	Democratic	Stephen Perenich	9,303	19.1
	Democratic	Robert Tager	7,597	15.6
Total votes			48,661	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Chris Hunter (D)

Organizations

• Blue Dog Coalition ^[76]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Gus Bilirakis (R)	Christopher Hunter (D)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	July 28, 2018	615	± 4.0%	49%	30%	21%

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)	194,564	58.1
	Democratic	Chris Hunter	132,844	39.7
	Independent	Angelika Purkis	7,510	2.2
Total votes			334,918	100.0
	Republican hold

District 13

2018 Florida's 13th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Charlie Crist George Buck Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 182,717 134,254 Percentage 57.6% 42.4%

Precinct results Crist:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90% Buck:     50–60%     60–70%     >90% Tie:     50%

U.S. Representative before election Charlie Crist Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Charlie Crist Democratic

See also: Florida's 13th congressional district

The 13th district is located in the Tampa Bay Area and includes Clearwater, Largo and Saint Petersburg. Incumbent Democrat Charlie Crist, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+2.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• George Buck, educator

Eliminated in primary

• Brad Sostack, navy veteran

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	George Buck	30,560	56.0
	Republican	Brad Sostack	24,013	44.0
Total votes			54,573	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Charlie Crist (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Blue Dog Coalition ^[76]
• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Frontline" Program ^[77]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Likely D	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Safe D	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Safe D	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Safe D	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Likely D	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Charlie Crist (incumbent)	182,717	57.6
	Republican	George Buck	134,254	42.4
Total votes			316,971	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 14

2018 Florida's 14th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party   Candidate Kathy Castor Party Democratic Popular vote Unopposed Percentage N/a

U.S. Representative before election Kathy Castor Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Kathy Castor Democratic

See also: Florida's 14th congressional district

The 14th district is centred around the city of Tampa and the immediate surrounding suburbs such as Lutz and Temple Terrace. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 11th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a sixth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+7.

Castor was the only candidate in 2018, and so was unopposed in the Democratic primary and general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

No Republicans filed.

General election

Incumbent Kathy Castor ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Castor was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Endorsements

Kathy Castor (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Results

Florida's 14th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathy Castor (incumbent)	Unopposed	N/a
Total votes				N/a
	Democratic hold

District 15

2018 Florida's 15th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Ross Spano Kristen Carlson Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 151,380 134,132 Percentage 53.0% 47.0%

County results Spano:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Dennis Ross Republican Elected U.S. Representative Ross Spano Republican

See also: Florida's 15th congressional district

The 15th district is located in inland Central Florida and is anchored by Lakeland. The district also includes the eastern suburbs of Tampa such as Brandon and Riverview. Incumbent Republican Dennis Ross, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 12th district from 2011 to 2013, was retiring. ^[83]

Republican primary

Nominee

• Ross Spano, state representative for the 59th District

Eliminated in primary

• Neil Combee, former state representative for the 39th District
• Sean Harper, contractor
• Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive
• Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist

Withdrew

• Loretta "Leah Lax" Miller, former IDF officer ^[84]
• Curt Rogers
• Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative ^[85]

Declined

• Ben Albritton, state representative for the 56th district ^[85]
• Scott Franklin, Lakeland City Commissioner ^[86]
• Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County ^[85]
• Tom Lee, state senator for the 20th district, former President of the State Senate and nominee for Chief Financial Officer in 2006 ^[85]
• Seth McKeel, former state representative for the 40th district ^{[85] [87]}
• Kelli Stargel, state senator for the 22nd district ^{[85] [86]}

Endorsements

Neil Combee

State legislators

• Ben Albritton, State Representative from Florida (District 56) 2010–present ^[88]
• J. D. Alexander, State Senator from Florida (District 17) 2002–2012 ^[89]
• Mike La Rosa, State Representative from Florida (District 42) 2012–present ^[88]
• John Wood, State Representative from Florida (District 41) 2008–present ^[88]

Newspapers

• Tampa Bay Times ^[90] (primary only)

Declined to endorse

U.S. Representatives

• Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative from FL-15 2011–present ^[85] (endorsed Spano in general election)

Sheriffs

• Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County 2005–present ^[91] (endorsed Spano in general election)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Neil Combee	Sean Harper	Danny Kushmer	Ed Shoemaker	Ross Spano	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 24, 2018	404	± 4.9%	32%	6%	5%	8%	30%	–	20%
St. Pete Polls	August 11–12, 2018	360	± 5.2%	36%	4%	4%	5%	30%	–	22%
Strategic Government Consulting	August 7–8, 2018	508	± 4.3%	31%	4%	3%	4%	17%	–	40%
SurveyUSA	July 25–30, 2018	524	± 6.0%	20%	6%	7%	7%	26%	–	34%
St. Pete Polls	July 8, 2018	532	± 4.2%	20%	3%	2%	4%	32%	2% [92]	37%
St. Pete Polls	May 25–27, 2018	494	± 4.4%	23%	4%	4%	4%	29%	2% [92]	34%

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ross Spano	26,868	44.1
	Republican	Neil Combee	20,577	33.8
	Republican	Sean Harper	6,013	9.9
	Republican	Danny Kushmer	4,061	6.7
	Republican	Ed Shoemaker	3,377	5.5
Total votes			60,896	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Kristen Carlson, attorney

Eliminated in primary

• Andrew Learned, naval reserve officer
• Ray Pena, retired police officer

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kristen Carlson	Andrew Learned	Ray Peña	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	July 25–30, 2018	535	± 6.1%	31%	12%	12%	–	46%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)	June 14–17, 2018	401	± 4.9%	25%	14%	10%	6%	45%

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kristen Carlson	24,470	53.4
	Democratic	Andrew P. Learned	14,488	31.6
	Democratic	Raymond "Ray" Peña	6,895	15.0
Total votes			45,853	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Ross Spano (R)

U.S. Senators

• Marco Rubio, U.S. Senator from Florida 2011–present; candidate for President in 2016 ^[93]

U.S. Representatives

• Dennis Ross, incumbent U.S. Representative from FL-15 2011–present ^[94]

Statewide officials

• Pam Bondi, Attorney General of Florida 2011–present ^[93]

State legislators

• Jake Raburn, State Representative from Florida (District 57) 2012–present ^[88]

Sheriffs

• Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County 2005–present ^[94]

Kristen Carlson (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of Oct 17, 2018
Candidate (party)	Total receipts	Total disbursements	Cash on hand
Kristen Carlson (D)	$1,306,227	$1,065,973	$240,254
Ross Spano (R)	$587,719	$519,283	$68,435
Source: Federal Election Commission [95]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ross Spano (R)	Kristen Carlson (D)	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	November 5, 2018	1,194	± 2.8%	46%	44%	–	9%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 16–19, 2018	499	± 4.7%	43%	43%	–	14%
Remington (R)	October 17–18, 2018	1,369	± 2.64%	47%	41%	–	12%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)	October 16–18, 2018	400	± 4.9%	47%	47%	–	6%
SurveyUSA	October 9–14, 2018	591	± 4.6%	45%	45%	3% [lower-alpha 1]	7%
WPA Intelligence (R)	October 3–4, 2018	418	± 4.9%	46%	39%	–	15%
Bold Blue Campaigns (D)	September 22–27, 2018	500	± 4.5%	49%	46%	–	5%
GQR Research (D-Carlson)	September 4–8, 2018	400	± 4.9%	47%	48%	–	–

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Tilt R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Tossup	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Tossup	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Lean R	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ross Spano	151,380	53.0
	Democratic	Kristen Carlson	134,132	47.0
	Independent	Dave Johnson (write-in)	15	0.0
	Independent	Jeffrey G. Rabinowitz (write-in)	3	0.0
	Independent	Alek Bynzar (write-in)	2	0.0
Total votes			285,532	100.0
	Republican hold

District 16

2018 Florida's 16th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Vern Buchanan David Shapiro Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 197,483 164,463 Percentage 54.6% 45.4%

County results Buchanan:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Vern Buchanan Republican Elected U.S. Representative Vern Buchanan Republican

See also: Florida's 16th congressional district

The 16th district is located in the Suncoast region and includes Bradenton, Sarasota, and some Tampa suburbs such as FishHawk. Incumbent Republican Vern Buchanan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 13th district from 2007 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a sixth term with 60% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Florida's 16th district is one of the 20 Republican held seats included in the second round of seats targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[30]

Candidates

Nominee

• David Shapiro, attorney

Eliminated in primary

• Jan Schneider, attorney

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Shapiro	34,787	54.7
	Democratic	Jan Schneider	28,811	45.3
Total votes			63,598	100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Florida's 26th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Vern Buchanan	David Shapiro
1	Oct. 23, 2018	WWSB-TV	Alan Cohn	C-SPAN	P	P

Endorsements

David Shapiro (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Vern Buchanan (R)	David Shapiro (D)	Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)	October 4–7, 2018	400	± 4.9%	52%	42%	5%
University of North Florida	September 30 – October 2, 2018	499	–	49%	40%	11%
St. Pete Polls	October 1, 2018	1,248	± 2.8%	50%	43%	6%
ALG Research (D-Shapiro)	August 22–26, 2018	400	± 4.9%	48%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls	July 28, 2018	681	± 3.8%	44%	35%	22%
Public Policy Polling (D)	April 16–17, 2018	655	± 3.8%	49%	37%	14%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Likely R	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Lean R	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vern Buchanan (incumbent)	197,483	54.6
	Democratic	David Shapiro	164,463	45.4
Total votes			361,946	100.0
	Republican hold

District 17

2018 Florida's 17th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Greg Steube Allen Ellison Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 193,326 117,194 Percentage 62.3% 37.7%

County results Steube:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Tom Rooney Republican Elected U.S. Representative Greg Steube Republican

See also: Florida's 17th congressional district

The 17th district comprises most of the Florida Heartland, including the cities of Sebring and Okeechobee, as well as parts of the Suncoast, such as North Port and Port Charlotte. Incumbent Republican Tom Rooney, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 16th district from 2009 to 2013, retired. He was re-elected to a fifth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Rooney announced on February 19, 2018, that he will retire from Congress and not seek re-election in 2018. ^{[96] [97]}

Candidates

Nominee

• Greg Steube, state senator for the 23rd district ^[98]

Eliminated in primary

• Bill Akins, veteran
• Julio Gonzalez, state representative

Endorsements

Greg Steube

Organizations

• Club for Growth

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Akins	Julio Gonzalez	Greg Steube	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R-CFG)	August 8–9, 2018	300	± 5.7%	5%	16%	39%	40%

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Greg Steube	48,963	62.4
	Republican	Bill Akins	15,133	19.3
	Republican	Julio Gonzalez	14,402	18.3
Total votes			78,498	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• April Freeman, businesswoman, nominee for the 19th district in 2014 and for this seat in 2016 ^[99]

Eliminated in primary

• Bill Pollard, respiratory therapist ^[100]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	April Freeman	33,376	77.0
	Democratic	Bill Pollard	9,976	23.0
Total votes			43,352	100.0

General election

Campaign

The Democratic nominee April Freeman died on September 24, 2018, six weeks before the election. Allen Ellison was chosen to be the Democratic nominee. ^[101]

Endorsements

Greg Steube (R)

Organizations

• House Freedom Caucus ^[102]
• With Honor Fund ^[41]

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Greg Steube	193,326	62.3
	Democratic	Allen Ellison	117,194	37.7
Total votes			310,520	100.0
	Republican hold

District 18

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Brian Mast Lauren Baer Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 185,905 156,454 Percentage 54.3% 45.7%

County results Mast:     50–60%     60–70% Baer:     50-60%

U.S. Representative before election Brian Mast Republican Elected U.S. Representative Brian Mast Republican

See also: Florida's 18th congressional district

The 18th district is located in the Treasure Coast region and includes Stuart, Port St. Lucie, and the northern Palm Beach suburbs such as Jupiter and Palm Beach Gardens. Incumbent Republican Brian Mast, who had represented the district since 2017, was elected with 54% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Dave Cummings, educator
• Mark Freeman, businessman

Debate

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district republican primary debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Republican	Republican
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Dave Cummings	Mark Freeman	Brian Mast
1	Aug. 3, 2018	WPTV-TV	Michael Williams	YouTube (Part 1) YouTube (Part 2)	P	P	P

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Mast (incumbent)	55,427	77.7
	Republican	Mark Freeman	8,081	11.3
	Republican	Dave Cummings	7,871	11.0
Total votes			71,379	100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 18th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[103]

Candidates

Nominee

• Lauren Baer, attorney and former U.S. State Department official ^[104]

Eliminated in primary

• Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 ^[105]

Declined

• Dave Aronberg, Palm Beach County State Attorney and former state senator ^{[106] [104]} (endorsed Baer) ^[107]
• Jonathan Chane, attorney and candidate for this seat in 2016 ^{[108] [ dead link ]}(endorsed Baer) ^[109]
• Corinna Robinson, retired Army major and nominee for South Dakota's at-large congressional district in 2014 ^[110]

Endorsements

Lauren Baer

U.S. representatives

• Ted Deutch, U.S. representative from Florida's 22nd congressional district ^{[111] [lower-alpha 2]}
• Patrick Murphy, former U.S. representative from this district (2013–2017) ^[112]

State legislators

• Kevin Rader, state senator ^[109]
• Matt Willhite, state representative ^[109]

Local officials

• Jeri Muoio, mayor of West Palm Beach ^[109]

Individuals

• Rosie O'Donnell, actress ^[113]

Organizations

• LGBTQ Victory Fund ^[114]
• NARAL Pro-Choice America ^[115]

Labor unions

• AFL-CIO Florida chapter ^[116]
• American Federation of Government Employees ^[117]
• American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees ^[117]
• American Postal Workers Union ^[117]
• Amalgamated Transit Union ^[117]
• International Alliance of Theatrical Stage Employees ^[117]
• International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers ^[117]
• Service Employees International Union ^[117]

Pam Keith

Organizations

• Florida NOW ^[118]
• Justice Democrats ^[59]
• VoteVets ^[119]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lauren Baer	34,922	60.3
	Democratic	Pam Keith	23,007	39.7
Total votes			57,929	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Brian Mast (R)

Organizations

• National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program ^[120]
• With Honor Fund ^[41]

Lauren Baer (D)

Federal executive branch officials

• Joe Biden, former Vice President of the United States ^[121]
• John Kerry, former Secretary of State of the United States ^[122]

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]
• MoveOn ^[44]

Debate

2018 Florida's 18th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Brian Mast	Lauren Baer
1	October 15, 2018	WPTV-TV	Michael Williams	C-SPAN	P	P

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Brian Mast (R)	Lauren Baer (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D)	October 27–29, 2018	475	–	53%	44%	–
Global Strategy Group (D)	September 26–30, 2018	600	± 4.9%	48%	45%	–
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 17–19, 2018	533	–	46%	43%	10%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Brian Mast (R)	Democratic challenger (D)	Other	Undecided
IMGE Insights (R) Archived 2018-07-31 at the Wayback Machine	July 9–12, 2018	400	–	50%	40%	–	10%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Likely R	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Lean R	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Lean R	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Mast (incumbent)	185,905	54.3
	Democratic	Lauren Baer	156,454	45.7
Total votes			342,359	100.0
	Republican hold

District 19

2018 Florida's 19th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Francis Rooney David Holden Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 211,465 128,106 Percentage 62.3% 37.7%

County results Rooney:     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Francis Rooney Republican Elected U.S. Representative Francis Rooney Republican

See also: Florida's 19th congressional district

The 19th district is located in Southwestern Florida and includes Bonita Springs, Cape Coral, and Naples. Incumbent Republican Francis Rooney, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+13.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• David Holden, financial adviser

Eliminated in primary

• Todd James Truax, healthcare administrator

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Holden	24,390	67.9
	Democratic	Todd James Truax	11,513	32.1
Total votes			35,903	100.0

General election

Endorsements

David Holden (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Indivisible ^[123]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Francis Rooney (R)	David Holden (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D-Holden)	September 10–12, 2018	468	± 4.0%	51%	42%	7%

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Francis Rooney (incumbent)	211,465	62.3
	Democratic	David Holden	128,106	37.7
	Independent	Pete Pollard (write-in)	36	0.0
Total votes			339,607	100.0
	Republican hold

District 20

2018 Florida's 20th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party   Candidate Alcee Hastings Party Democratic Popular vote 202,659 Percentage 99.9%

U.S. Representative before election Alcee Hastings Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Alcee Hastings Democratic

See also: Florida's 20th congressional district

The 20th district stretches from inland South Florida with many protected areas of the Everglades and Belle Glade to the Miami metro area and includes parts of West Palm Beach & Fort Lauderdale, and Miramar. Incumbent Democrat Alcee Hastings, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 23rd district from 1993 to 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a thirteenth term with 80% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+31.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, healthcare executive

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alcee Hastings (incumbent)	50,315	73.6
	Democratic	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick	18,031	26.4
Total votes			68,346	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Alcee Hastings (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alcee Hastings (incumbent)	202,659	99.9
	Independent	Jay Bonner (write-in)	165	0.1
Total votes			202,824	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 21

2018 Florida's 21st congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party   Candidate Lois Frankel Party Democratic Popular vote Unopposed Percentage N/a

U.S. Representative before election Lois Frankel Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Lois Frankel Democratic

See also: Florida's 21st congressional district

The 21st district is located in the Miami metro area and includes the West Palm Beach suburbs, such as Greenacres and Wellington, as well as Boynton Beach and Delray Beach. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 22nd district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a third term with 63% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+9.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. Representative

General election

Incumbent Lois Frankel ran unopposed in the general election. As such, no election for the position was held, and Frankel was declared the winner automatically by the Board of Elections for the State of Florida.

Endorsements

Lois Frankel (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus ^[82]
• End Citizens United ^[15]

Results

Florida's 21st congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lois Frankel (incumbent)	Unopposed	N/a
Total votes				N/a
	Democratic hold

District 22

2018 Florida's 22nd congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Ted Deutch Nicolas Kimaz Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 184,634 113,049 Percentage 62.0% 38.0%

County results Deutch:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Ted Deutch Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Ted Deutch Democratic

See also: Florida's 22nd congressional district

The 22nd district is located in the Miami metro area and includes Boca Raton and Parkland, the site of the Stoneman Douglas High School shooting. Also, this district includes significant portions of Fort Lauderdale and Pompano Beach. Incumbent Democrat Ted Deutch, who had represented the district since 2017 and previously represented the 19th district from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st district from 2013 to 2017, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Jeff Fandl, businessman

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Deutch (incumbent)	52,628	86.5
	Democratic	Jeff Fandl	8,207	13.5
Total votes			60,835	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Nicolas Kimaz, businessman

Eliminated in primary

• Javier Manjarres, blogger
• Eddison Walters, real estate investor

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Nicolas Kimaz	13,939	41.0
	Republican	Javier Manjarres	11,552	33.9
	Republican	Eddison Walters	8,545	25.1
Total votes			34,036	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Ted Deutch (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• End Citizens United ^[15]

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Deutch (incumbent)	184,634	62.0
	Republican	Nicolas Kimaz	113,049	38.0
Total votes			297,683	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 23

2018 Florida's 23rd congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Nominee Debbie Wasserman Schultz Joe Kaufman Tim Canova Party Democratic Republican Independent Popular vote 161,611 99,446 13,697 Percentage 58.5% 30.6% 5.0%

Schultz:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Debbie Wasserman Schultz Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Debbie Wasserman Schultz Democratic

See also: Florida's 23rd congressional district

The 23rd district is located in the Miami metro area, including Plantation, Sunrise, and Weston. Incumbent Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 20th district from 2005 to 2013, ran for re-election. She was re-elected to a seventh term with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+11.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. Representative

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Joe Kaufman, counter-terrorism researcher, founder of Americans Against Hate, candidate for this seat 2012 and nominee in 2014 & 2016

Eliminated in primary

• Carlos Reyes, lawyer
• Carla Spalding, navy veteran, nurse and Independent candidate for the 18th district in 2016

Endorsements

Carlos Reyes

Newspapers

• Miami Herald ^[124]

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Joe Kaufman	11,304	44.7
	Republican	Carlos Reyes	8,508	33.7
	Republican	Carla Spalding	5,453	21.6
Total votes			25,265	100.0

Independents

Tim Canova, who lost in the 2016 primary to Wasserman Schultz by a 57% to 43% margin, ran as an independent in the 2018 general election. ^{[125] [126]} Don Endriss also ran as an independent candidate.

General election

Endorsements

Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)	161,611	58.5
	Republican	Joe Kaufman	99,446	36.0
	Independent	Tim Canova	13,697	5.0
	Independent	Don Endriss	1,612	0.6
Total votes			276,366	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 24

2018 Florida's 24th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party   Candidate Frederica Wilson Party Democratic Popular vote Unopposed Percentage N/a

U.S. Representative before election Frederica Wilson Democratic Elected U.S. Representative Frederica Wilson Democratic

See also: Florida's 24th congressional district

The 24th district includes parts of Miami and its northern suburbs such as North Miami Beach and Miami Gardens. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 17th district from 2011 to 2013, was re-elected to a fourth term unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+34.

Democratic primary

Because no write-in candidates or candidates of other parties filed to run in this district, the Democratic primary was open to all voters.

Candidates

Nominee

• Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Ricardo de la Fuente, entrepreneur

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Frederica Wilson (incumbent)	65,894	83.7
	Democratic	Ricardo de la Fuente	12,833	16.3
Total votes			78,727	100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Withdrawn

• Louis E. Sola, U.S. Army veteran ^[127]

General election

Both candidates were removed from the ballot which was cited for the recount in the Florida gubernatorial and United States Senate elections. ^{[128] [129]}

Results

Incumbent Frederica Wilson won unopposed in the general election

Endorsements

Frederica Wilson (D)

Labor unions

• Communications Workers of America ^[130]
• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Frederica Wilson (incumbent)	Unopposed	N/a
Total votes				N/a
	Democratic hold

District 25

2018 Florida's 25th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Majority party Minority party   Candidate Mario Diaz-Balart Mary Barzee Flores Party Republican Democratic Popular vote 128,672 84,173 Percentage 60.5% 39.5%

County results Diaz-Balart:     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. Representative before election Mario Diaz-Balart Republican Elected U.S. Representative Mario Diaz-Balart Republican

See also: Florida's 25th congressional district

The 25th district includes the western Miami suburbs, such as Hialeah and Miami Lakes, and goes across the northern border of the Everglades to eastern Naples suburbs of Golden Gate and Immokalee. The district also extends upward into the Florida Heartland including Clewiston and LaBelle. Incumbent Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 21st district from 2011 to 2013 as well as a different version of the 25th from 2003 to 2011, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to an eighth term with 62% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Florida's 25th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[103]

Candidates

Nominee

• Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida Judge ^[131]

Withdrawn

• Annisa Karim, Lee County Department of Parks & Recreation manager (endorsed Flores) ^[132]
• Alina Valdes, doctor and nominee for this seat in 2016 (endorsed Flores) ^[133]

Endorsements

Mary Barzee Flores

Organizations

• EMILY's List ^{[134] [135]}
• League of Conservation Voters ^[136]
• Progressive Democrats of America ^[137]

General election

Endorsements

Mario Díaz-Balart (R)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Mary Barzee Flores (D)

Organizations

• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]
• MoveOn ^[44]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mario Díaz-Balart (R)	Mary Barzee-Flores (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 17–19, 2018	541	–	41%	36%	22%
Public Policy Polling (D)	May 21–23, 2018	670	–	46%	39%	15%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Safe R	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Likely R	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Lean R	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Likely R	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Likely R	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent)	128,672	60.4
	Democratic	Mary Barzee Flores	84,173	39.6
Total votes			212,845	100.0
	Republican hold

District 26

2018 Florida's 26th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Nominee Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Carlos Curbelo Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 119,797 115,678 Percentage 50.9% 49.1%

Mucarsel-Powell:     50–60% Curbelo:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Carlos Curbelo Republican Elected U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell Democratic

See also: Florida's 26th congressional district

The 26th district is centered on the Miami suburb of Homestead, includes most of the Everglades National Park, and extends downward into the Florida Keys, including Key West and Marathon. Incumbent Republican Carlos Curbelo, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected to a second term with 53% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary

• Souraya Faas, television personality

Endorsements

Carlos Curbelo

Organizations

• Humane Society Legislative Fund ^[138]

Newspapers

• Miami Herald ^[124]

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Carlos Curbelo (incumbent)	29,506	84.0
	Republican	Souraya Faas	5,629	16.0
Total votes			35,135	100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 26th district was included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[103]

Candidates

Nominee

• Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, businesswoman and nominee for the 23rd Senate district in 2016 ^[139]

Eliminated in primary

• Demetries Grimes, U.S. Navy veteran

Declined

• Steve Smith, businessman ^[140]

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	20,997	63.5
	Democratic	Demetries Grimes	12,095	36.5
Total votes			33,092	100.0

General election

Debate

2018 Florida's 26th congressional district debate

No.	Date	Host	Moderator	Link	Republican	Democratic
Key:  P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited  W  Withdrawn
					Carlos Curbelo	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
1	Oct. 21, 2018	WPLG-TV		C-SPAN	P	P

Endorsements

Carlos Curbelo (R)

Organizations

• National Republican Congressional Committee "Patriot" Program ^[120]

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• Congressional Progressive Caucus ^[82]
• Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Red to Blue" Program ^[42]
• EMILY's List ^[43]
• End Citizens United ^[15]
• MoveOn ^[44]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos Curbelo (R)	Debbie Mucarsel- Powell (D)	Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 19–24, 2018	499	± 4.9%	44%	45%	11%
Mason-Dixon	October 3–9, 2018	625	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
GBA Strategies (D)	September 27 – October 1, 2018	500	± 4.4%	48%	50%	–
GQR Research (D-Mucarsel-Powell)	September 23–27, 2018	511	± 4.9%	48%	49%	–
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 17–19, 2018	511	–	44%	45%	11%
NYT Upshot/Siena College	September 13–17, 2018	509	± 5.0%	47%	44%	9%
GBA Strategies (D)	July 16–22, 2018	500	± 4.4%	48%	41%	–
DCCC (D)	March 17–22, 2018	418	± 4.9%	45%	40%	–

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Carlos Curbelo (R)	Democratic opponent (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	November 8–9, 2017	522	± 4.3%	39%	53%	8%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Lean R	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Tossup	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Tossup	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Tossup	November 2, 2018

Results

Mucarsel-Powell defeated Curbelo, becoming the first Ecuadorian American and first South American-born immigrant to serve as a member of the U.S. Congress.

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	119,797	50.9
	Republican	Carlos Curbelo (incumbent)	115,678	49.1
Total votes			235,475	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

District 27

2018 Florida's 27th congressional district election

←  2016 2020  →

Nominee Donna Shalala Maria Elvira Salazar Party Democratic Republican Popular vote 130,743 115,588 Percentage 51.8% 45.8%

Donna Shalala:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Republican Elected U.S. Representative Donna Shalala Democratic

See also: Florida's 27th congressional district

The 27th district is located in the Miami metro area, including Coral Gables, Kendall, Miami Beach, and portions of Miami. Incumbent Republican Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented the 18th district from 1989 to 2013, retired from office in 2018. ^[141] She was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+5.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist ^[142]

Eliminated in primary

• Elizabeth Adadi, U.S. Army veteran
• Bruno Barreiro, Miami-Dade County Commissioner ^[143]
• Angie Chirino, songwriter (daughter of Cuban-American musician Willy Chirino) ^[144]
• Mike Ohevzion, businessman
• Maria Peiro, educator and candidate for this district in 2016 ^[143]
• Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera, former Doral City Councilwoman ^[145]
• Gina Sosa, filmmaker

Withdrawn

• Stephen Marks, political consultant (endorsed Donna Shalala, remained on ballot) ^[146]
• Raquel Regalado, former Miami-Dade School Board member and candidate for Mayor of Miami-Dade County in 2016 ^{[147] [148]}

Declined

• Jeb Bush Jr., son of former governor Jeb Bush ^[149]
• Carlos Curbelo, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 26th district ^[150]
• Miguel Díaz de la Portilla, former state senator ^[147]
• José Félix Díaz, state representative ^[147]
• Art Estopinan, former chief of staff to U.S. Representative Ileana Ros-Lehtinen ^[149]
• Anitere Flores, state senator ^{[147] [148] [151]}
• René García, state senator ^{[147] [152]}
• Carlos López-Cantera, Lieutenant Governor of Florida and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 ^{[147] [148] [149] [153]}
• Ed MacDougall, former mayor of Cutler Bay and candidate for this seat in 2014 ^[154]
• Jeanette Núñez, state representative ^[148]
• Juan C. Zapata, former Miami-Dade County Commissioner ^[147]

Endorsements

Bettina Rodriguez Aguilera

Newspapers

• Miami Herald ^[124]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bruno Barreiro	Maria Elvira Salazar	Other	Undecided
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)	August 14–16, 2018	300	± 5.7%	16%	40%	17% [155]	27%
Magellan Strategies (R-Barreiro)	June 11–12, 2018	401	± 4.9%	10%	24%	0% [156]	67%

Primary results

Republican primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Maria Elvira Salazar	15,812	40.5
	Republican	Bruno Barreiro	10,026	25.7
	Republican	Maria Peiro	3,120	8.0
	Republican	Stephen Marks	2,733	7.0
	Republican	Angie Chirino	2,677	6.9
	Republican	Bettina Rodriguez-Aguilera	1,684	4.3
	Republican	Mike Ohevzion	1,467	3.8
	Republican	Elizabeth Adadi	775	2.0
	Republican	Gina Sosa	760	1.9
Total votes			39,054	100.0

Democratic primary

Florida's 27th district has been included on the initial list of Republican-held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018. ^[103]

Candidates

Nominee

• Donna Shalala, former U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services and former president of the University of Miami ^[157]

Eliminated in primary

• Matt Haggman, Miami program director of the Knight Foundation and former Miami Herald reporter ^[158]
• Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser and candidate for state house in 2010 and 2014 ^[159]
• David Richardson, state representative ^[160]
• Kristen Rosen Gonzalez, Miami Beach city commissioner ^{[161] [162]}

Withdrawn

• Mary Barzee Flores, attorney and former Eleventh Judicial Circuit Court of Florida judge (running for FL-25) ^[163]
• Scott Fuhrman, businessman and candidate for Congress in 2016 ^[164]
• José Javier Rodríguez, state senator ^[165]
• Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner ^[166]

Declined

• Alberto Carvalho, Miami-Dade County Public Schools Superintendent ^{[167] [168]}
• Francisco Cerezo, attorney ^[169]
• Manny Diaz, former mayor of Miami ^[147]
• Cindy Lerner, former mayor of Pinecrest and former state representative ^[147]
• Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach ^[147]
• Daniella Levine Cava, Miami-Dade County Commissioner ^[147]
• Jimmy Morales, Miami Beach City Manager ^[147]
• Mark Person ^[147]
• Marc Sarnoff, former Miami City Commissioner ^[147]

Endorsements

David Richardson

Organizations

• LGBTQ Victory Fund ^[114]
• SAVE Dade ^[170]

Individuals

• Scott Fuhrman, businessman and nominee for this seat in 2016 ^[171]

Michael Hepburn

Organizations

• Brand New Congress
• Justice Democrats ^[59]

Individuals

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, educator, community organizer, and political activist of Puerto Rican ancestry; nominee for NY-14 in 2018 ^[172]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Matt Haggman	Michael Hepburn	David Richardson	Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez	Donna Shalala	Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)	August 10–16, 2018	600	± 4.0%	10%	2%	18%	9%	36%	25%
Frederick Polls (D-Richardson)	August 6–7, 2018	300	± 5.6%	9%	4%	20%	7%	32%	28%
RABA Research (D-Haggman)	August 2–5, 2018	433	± 4.7%	16%	4%	15%	11%	26%	27%
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)	June 2–8, 2018	600	± 4.0%	5%	2%	16%	8%	43%	26%

Primary results

Democratic primary results

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Donna Shalala	14,153	31.9
	Democratic	David Richardson	12,191	27.5
	Democratic	Kristen Rosen-Gonzalez	7,783	17.5
	Democratic	Matt Haggman	7,510	16.9
	Democratic	Michael Hepburn	2,723	6.1
Total votes			44,360	100.0

General election

Endorsements

Maria Elvira Salazar (R)

Organizations

• BIPAC ^[173]
• National Republican Congressional Committee "Young Guns" Program ^[78]

Donna Shalala (D)

Labor unions

• International Brotherhood of Boilermakers ^[12]

Organizations

• EMILY's List ^[43]
• MoveOn ^[44]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Maria Elvira Salazar (R)	Donna Shalala (D)	Mayra Joli (I)	Undecided
ALG Research (D)	October 25–28, 2018	500	± 4.4%	44%	49%	–	–
NYT Upshot/Siena College	October 15–19, 2018	542	± 5.0%	37%	44%	4%	15%
ALG Research (D-Shalala)	October 11–14, 2018	500	± 4.4%	39%	44%	–	10%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)	October 11–14, 2018	400	–	50%	41%	–	–
Mason-Dixon	October 1–6, 2018	625	± 4.0%	44%	42%	1%	13%
McLaughlin & Associates (R-Salazar)	September 10–13, 2018	400	± 4.9%	51%	42%	–	7%
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D-Shalala)	August 29 – September 2, 2018	600	± 4.0%	42%	46%	8%	4%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)	February 12–14, 2018	620	± 3.9%	39%	54%	–	7%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report [47]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Inside Elections [48]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [49]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
RCP [50]	Tossup	November 5, 2018
Daily Kos [51]	Lean D (flip)	November 5, 2018
538 [52]	Likely D (flip)	November 7, 2018
CNN [53]	Tossup	October 31, 2018
Politico [54]	Tossup	November 2, 2018

Results

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2018

Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Donna Shalala	130,743	51.8
	Republican	Maria Elvira Salazar	115,588	45.8
	Independent	Mayra Joli	6,255	2.5
Total votes			252,586	100.0
	Democratic gain from Republican

See also

• 2018 United States House of Representatives elections
• 2018 United States elections

Notes

1. "Another candidate with 3%
2. Numbered as the 19th from 2010 to 2013 and the 21st from 2013 to 2017

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149. Mazzei, Patricia (May 8, 2017). "Republicans reach out to Lopez-Cantera, Bush Jr. to gauge interest in Ros-Lehtinen's seat". Miami Herald . Retrieved May 8, 2017.
150. Rodriguez, Joanna [@joannamrod] (May 1, 2017). ".@carloslcurbelo is committed to his constituents in #FL26. No plans to run for #FL27" (Tweet). Retrieved May 6, 2017– via Twitter.
151. Mazzei, Patricia (May 15, 2017). "Two Republicans say no to running for Ros-Lehtinen's seat". Miami Herald . Retrieved May 16, 2017.
152. Perry, Mitch (May 15, 2017). "Rene Garcia opts not to run for CD 27 seat". Florida Politics. Retrieved May 16, 2017.
153. Mazzei, Patricia (August 20, 2017). "Lopez-Cantera says no to Miami run for Congress". Miami Herald . Retrieved August 20, 2017.
154. Caputo, Marc (May 23, 2017). "Regalado joins race to fill Ros-Lehtinen's congressional seat". Politico . Retrieved August 20, 2017.
155. All other candidates combined for 17%.
156. All other candidates did not receive over 1% support.
157. Daugherty, Alex; Smiley, David (March 5, 2018). "Donna Shalala is running for Congress in bid to replace Ros-Lehtinen". Miami Herald . Retrieved March 5, 2018.
158. Mazzei, Patricia; Daugherty, Alex (August 1, 2017). "Seventh Democrat enters race to replace Republican Ros-Lehtinen". Miami Herald . Retrieved August 1, 2017.
159. "Bahamian American, Michael A. Hepburn Running For Congress". South Florida Caribbean News. April 5, 2017. Retrieved April 6, 2017.
160. Klas, Mary Ellen (June 6, 2017). "Exclusive: Legislature's financial sleuth, David Richardson, to run for Ros-Lehtinen's open congressional seat". Miami Herald . Retrieved June 6, 2017.
161. Flechas, Joey (April 13, 2017). "Miami Beach commissioner files to run against Ros-Lehtinen". Miami Herald . Retrieved April 15, 2017.
162. Scicchitano, Paul (April 30, 2017). "Miami Beach Commissioner Kicks Off Congressional Run". Miami Beach Patch . Retrieved May 1, 2017.
163. Caputo, Marc (May 3, 2018). "Barzee Flores switches races, challenges Mario Diaz-Balart". Politico PRO.
164. Daugherty, Alex (June 6, 2017). "Democrat running for Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's open seat drops out". Miami Herald .
165. Caputo, Marc (April 11, 2018). "Rodríguez drops out of Miami congressional race, boosts Democratic chances of capturing state Senate". Politico .
166. Flechas, Joey; Smiley, David (April 11, 2018). "Miami Commissioner Ken Russell dropping out of congressional race". Miami Herald .
167. Mazzei, Patricia (May 5, 2017). "Is Miami-Dade schools chief thinking of running for Congress?". Miami Herald . Retrieved May 6, 2017.
168. Mazzei, Patricia (May 11, 2017). "Quelling candidacy chatter, Carvalho vows to remain Miami-Dade schools chief". Miami Herald . Retrieved May 13, 2017.
169. Caputo, Marc (May 10, 2017). "Obama Democrats buzz about Miami lawyer's possible bid for Ros-Lehtinen's seat". Politico . Retrieved May 13, 2017.
170. Rothaus, Steve (July 17, 2017). "Early endorsement: LGBTQ-rights group SAVE picks Richardson to succeed Ros-Lehtinen". Miami Herald . Retrieved August 20, 2017.
171. Perry, Mitch (July 13, 2017). "Big get: Scott Fuhrman backing David Richardson in CD 27". Florida Politics. Retrieved August 20, 2017.
172. "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Makes an Endorsement in South Florida". Sunshine State News. August 20, 2018. Retrieved August 26, 2018.
173. "2018 House Endorsements". bipacaction.org. BIPAC Action Fund. Archived from the original on February 2, 2020. Retrieved July 31, 2023.

External links

• Candidates at Vote Smart
• Candidates at Ballotpedia
• Campaign finance at FEC
• Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
• Florida Election Results - New York Times

Official campaign websites District 1 Matt Gaetz (R) for Congress Jennifer Zimmerman (D) for Congress District 2 Neal Dunn (R) for Congress Bob Rackleff (D) for Congress District 3 Yvonne Hayes Hinson (D) for Congress Ted Yoho (R) for Congress Archived 2018-07-24 at the Wayback Machine District 4 Joceline Berrios (I) for Congress Jason Bulger (I) for Congress John Rutherford (R) for Congress Ges Selmont (D) for Congress Archived 2018-07-24 at the Wayback Machine District 5 Virginia Fuller (R) for Congress Archived 2018-07-24 at the Wayback Machine Al Lawson (D) for Congress District 6 Nancy Soderberg (D) for Congress Archived 2017-08-24 at the Wayback Machine Michael Waltz (R) for Congress Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine District 7 Mike Miller (R) for Congress Stephanie Murphy (D) for Congress District 8 Sanjay Patel (D) for Congress Bill Posey (R) for Congress District 9 Wayne Liebnitzky (R) for Congress Darren Soto (D) for Congress District 10 Val Demings (D) for Congress District 11 Dana Cottrell (D) for Congress Daniel Webster (R) for Congress District 12 Gus Bilirakis (R) for Congress Chris Hunter (D) for Congress Angelika Purkis (I) for Congress District 13 George Buck (R) for Congress Charlie Crist (D) for Congress Archived 2023-03-11 at the Wayback Machine District 14 Kathy Castor (D) for Congress District 15 Kristen Carlson (D) for Congress Ross Spano (R) for Congress District 16 Vern Buchanan (R) for Congress David Shapiro (D) for Congress District 17 Allen Ellison (D) for Congress Greg Steube (R) for Congress District 18 Lauren Baer (D) for Congress Brian Mast (R) for Congress District 19 David Holden (D) for Congress Francis Rooney (R) for Congress District 20 Alcee Hastings (D) for Congress District 21 Lois Frankel (D) for Congress District 22 Ted Deutch (D) for Congress Archived 2020-07-11 at the Wayback Machine Nicolas Kimaz (R) for Congress District 23 Tim Canova (I) for Congress Archived 2017-08-24 at the Wayback Machine Don Endriss (I) for Congress Joe Kaufman (R) for Congress Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) for Congress District 24 Frederica Wilson (D) for Congress District 25 Mario Díaz-Balart (R) for Congress Mary Barzee Flores (D) for Congress District 26 Carlos Curbelo (R) for Congress Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) for Congress District 27 María Elvira Salazar (R) for Congress Donna Shalala (D) for Congress