2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election

Last updated

2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election
Flag of Wyoming.svg
  2014 November 6, 2018 2022  
Turnout73.45% registered Increase2.svg 10.08%
41.16% of total population Increase2.svg 7.16%
  Mark Gordon of Wyoming.jpg Mary A. Throne at Campbell County League of Women Voters' General Election Candidates' Forum in Gillette, Wyoming (cropped).jpg
Nominee Mark Gordon Mary Throne
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote136,41255,965
Percentage67.12%27.54%

2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
WY Governor 2018.svg
Wy 2018.svg
Gordon:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Throne:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
     No votes

Governor before election

Matt Mead
Republican

Elected Governor

Mark Gordon
Republican

The 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican governor Matt Mead was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. Republican nominee Mark Gordon defeated Democratic nominee Mary Throne by nearly 40 percentage points. [1] This was the only time since 1978 that a candidate from the President's party was elected governor of Wyoming.

Contents

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Foster Friess
Federal officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Sam Galeotos
Federal elected officials
State legislators
Individuals
  • Ray Hunkins, Republican nominee for Governor in 2006
Mark Gordon
Federal elected officials
State elected officials
State legislators
Individuals
Organizations
Harriet Hageman
State legislators

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Foster
Friess
Sam
Galeotos
Mark
Gordon
Harriet
Hageman
Taylor
Haynes
OtherUndecided
University of Wyoming August 17–19, 201835720%10%26%18%9%1% [35] 15%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 11–14, 20181,775± 2.4%21%10%20%16%6%8% [36] 20%
University of Wyoming June 18–20, 2018596± 4.0%6%14%19%11%10%1% [35] 35%

Results

Results by county:
.mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{}
Gordon--50-60%
Gordon--40-50%
Gordon--30-40%
Gordon--<30%
Friess--<30%
Friess--30-40%
Hageman--<30%
Hageman--30-40%
Hageman--40-50% 2018 WY gubernatorial Republican primary.svg
Results by county:
  Gordon—50–60%
  Gordon—40–50%
  Gordon—30–40%
  Gordon—<30%
  Friess—<30%
  Friess—30–40%
  Hageman—<30%
  Hageman—30–40%
  Hageman—40–50%
Republican primary results [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mark Gordon 38,951 33.0
Republican Foster Friess29,84225.3
Republican Harriet Hageman25,05221.2
Republican Sam Galeotos14,55412.3
Republican Taylor Haynes6,5115.5
Republican Bill Dahlin1,7631.5
n/a Under votes1,2691.1
Republican Write-ins1130.0
n/a Over votes460.0
Total votes118,101 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominated

Declared

  • Ken Casner, candidate for governor in 2002 [40]
  • Michael Allen Green, nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2000 [40]
  • Rex Wilde, candidate for governor in 2010 [40]

Declined

Endorsements

Mary Throne
Federal executive officers
State executive officers
State legislators
Individuals
  • Mickey Babcock, Wyoming activist and Founder/Director of The Equipoise Fund [47]
  • Ryan Greene, author, businessman, and nominee for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2016 [48]
Organizations
  • Greater Cheyenne Chamber of Commerce [49]
  • Wyoming Education Association [50]
Newspapers

Results

Results by county:
Throne--80-90%
Throne--70-80%
Throne--60-70%
Throne--50-60% 2018 WY gubernatorial Democratic primary.svg
Results by county:
  Throne—80–90%
  Throne—70–80%
  Throne—60–70%
  Throne—50–60%
Democratic primary results [37]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mary Throne 12,948 66.5
Democratic Michael Green2,39112.3
n/a Under votes1,3857.1
Democratic Kenneth Casner1,2136.2
Democratic Rex Wilde1,2016.2
Democratic Write-ins3231.7
n/a Over votes130.0
Total votes19,474 100.0

Independents and third parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [52] Safe ROctober 26, 2018
The Washington Post [53] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight [54] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report [55] Safe RNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [56] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics [57] Safe RNovember 4, 2018
Daily Kos [58] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Fox News [59] [lower-alpha 1] Likely RNovember 5, 2018
Politico [60] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Governing [61] Safe RNovember 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mark
Gordon (R)
Mary
Throne (D)
Rex
Rammell (C)
Lawrence
Struempf (L)
Undecided
Change Research November 2–4, 201885861%27%6%4%

Results

Wyoming gubernatorial election, 2018 [62]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Republican Mark Gordon 136,412 67.12% +7.73%
Democratic Mary Throne 55,96527.54%+0.29%
Constitution Rex Rammell 6,7513.32%N/A
Libertarian Lawrence Struempf3,0101.48%-0.93%
Write-in 1,1000.54%-4.52%
Total votes203,238 100.00% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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References

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Official campaign websites