2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey

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2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey
Flag of New Jersey.svg
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Turnout53.38%
  Robert Menendez official Senate portrait (cropped).jpg Bob Hugin.jpg
Nominee Bob Menendez Bob Hugin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote1,711,6541,357,355
Percentage54.01%42.83%
2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by county.svg
2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey results by congressional district.svg
2018 NJ Senate election by municipality.svg
NJ Senate 2018.svg
Menendez:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Hugin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Tie:     40–50%
     No votes
U.S. senator before election

Bob Menendez
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic

The 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Bob Menendez won reelection to a third term over Republican businessman Bob Hugin.

Contents

The candidate filing deadline was April 2, 2018, for Democratic and Republican candidates, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018. [1] The deadline for independent candidates was June 5, 2018. [2]

Despite the race being rated as a tossup by some political pundits, including The Cook Political Report , [3] Menendez was reelected by an 11.2% margin. However, Hugin was the first Republican Senate candidate to carry Atlantic and Gloucester counties since Clifford Case's landslide victory in 1972.

Democratic primary

While he never lost support from any major New Jersey officials, after a mistrial was declared in Senator Menendez's corruption trial, party figures across New Jersey lined up with public endorsements of his reelection bid, including the "full support" of Governor Phil Murphy. [4] He formally declared his intention to run for reelection on March 28, 2018, alongside Governor Murphy and Senator Cory Booker. [5]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in Primary

  • Lisa McCormick, activist and candidate for Union County Clerk in 2010 [7] [8]

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Results by county Map legend .mw-parser-output .legend{page-break-inside:avoid;break-inside:avoid-column}.mw-parser-output .legend-color{display:inline-block;min-width:1.25em;height:1.25em;line-height:1.25;margin:1px 0;text-align:center;border:1px solid black;background-color:transparent;color:black}.mw-parser-output .legend-text{} Menendez--70-80% Menendez--60-70% Menendez--50-60% McCormick--50-60% McCormick--60-70% NJ U.S. Senate Democratic primary, 2018.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Menendez—70–80%
  •   Menendez—60–70%
  •   Menendez—50–60%
  •   McCormick—50–60%
  •   McCormick—60–70%
Democratic primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 262,477 62.28%
Democratic Lisa McCormick158,99837.72%
Total votes421,475 100%

Republican primary

Bob Hugin launched his primary campaign on February 13 in Springfield. [14] He began advertising on television two weeks later, attacking Menendez on the airwaves, [15] and was soon considered the presumptive nominee. [16] His opponent, Brian Goldberg, attempted to connect himself to President Donald Trump and his supporters by inserting the President's abbreviated slogan, "MAGA", into his ballot slogans and aligning himself with other pro-Trump, anti-establishment candidates. [17] Goldberg also attacked Hugin's running mates, urging Republicans to write in the deceased Charlton Heston in primary races where a Republican congressional candidate was running unopposed. [18] Ultimately, Hugin won overwhelmingly with a majority of votes in each of the state's 21 counties. [19]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in Primary

  • Brian D. Goldberg, businessman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 [21] [22]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Bob Hugin
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Governors
Lieutenant Governors
U.S. Representatives
NJ State Legislators
Sheriffs
Mayors
Others
Organizations
  • Latino Leadership Alliance of New Jersey [62]
Newspapers

Results

Results by county Map legend Hugin--80-90% Hugin--70-80% Hugin--60-70% Hugin--50-60% NJ U.S. Senate Republican primary, 2018.svg
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Hugin—80–90%
  •   Hugin—70–80%
  •   Hugin—60–70%
  •   Hugin—50–60%
Republican primary results [13]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Bob Hugin 168,052 75.13%
Republican Brian Goldberg55,62424.87%
Total votes223,676 100%

Libertarian Party

Candidates

Endorsements

Murray Sabrin
U.S. Representatives

Green Party

Independents

Candidates

Withdrew

  • Muhammad Usman [69]

General election

Debates

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on hand
Bob Hugin (R)$30,289,561$27,714,323$2,575,238
Bob Menendez (D)$11,631,183$11,225,693$1,832,385
Source: Federal Election Commission [70]

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report [71] TossupOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections [72] Likely DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball [73] Likely DNovember 5, 2018
CNN [74] Lean DOctober 1, 2018
RealClearPolitics [75] Lean DOctober 3, 2018
Fox News [76] Lean DOctober 30, 2018

^Highest rating given

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Bob
Menendez (D)		Bob
Hugin (R)		Murray
Sabrin (L)		OtherUndecided
Change Research November 2–4, 20181,006–51%41%–––
Quinnipiac University October 29 – November 4, 20181,115± 4.0%55%40%–1%4%
Stockton University October 25–31, 2018598± 4.0%51%39%3%4%1%
Vox Populi Polling October 27–29, 2018814± 3.4%54%46%–––
Emerson College October 24–26, 2018659± 4.0%47%42%–4%7%
Rutgers-Eagleton Archived October 21, 2019, at the Wayback Machine October 12–19, 2018496 LV± 5.1%51%46%–1%2%
896 RV± 3.8%48%45%–1%5%
Quinnipiac University October 10–16, 2018873± 4.3%51%44%–0%5%
Monmouth University October 11–15, 2018527± 4.3%49%40%1%2% [77] 8%
National Research Inc. (R-Hugin) October 6–9, 2018600± 4.0%42%40%–––
YouGov October 2–5, 2018845–49%39%–4%8%
Quinnipiac University September 25 – October 2, 20181,058± 4.1%53%42%–0%5%
Vox Populi Polling September 29 – October 1, 2018794± 3.5%52%48%–––
Fairleigh Dickinson University September 26–30, 2018508 LV± 4.3%43%37%–1%19%
746 RV± 3.9%37%32%–1%29%
Stockton University September 19–27, 2018531± 4.3%45%43%3%5%2%
Quinnipiac University August 15–20, 2018908± 4.6%43%37%–2%16%
Gravis Marketing (L-Sabrin) August 14–15, 2018753± 3.6%40%30%7%–22%
Gravis Marketing July 6–10, 2018563± 4.1%43%41%––16%
Fairleigh Dickinson University May 16–21, 2018856± 3.5%28%24%–1%46%
Monmouth University April 6–10, 2018632± 3.9%53%32%–7%7%
Quinnipiac University March 8–12, 20181,052± 4.2%49%32%–1%15%
Hypothetical polling
Kean vs. Andrews
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rob
Andrews (D)		Thomas
Kean (R)		Undecided
Harper Polling March 24–25, 2013760± 3.6%17%33%50%
Codey vs. Kyrillos
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Richard
Codey (D)		Joe
Kyrillos (R)		Undecided
Harper Polling March 24–25, 2013760± 3.6%34%25%41%

Results

United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018 [78]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic Bob Menendez (incumbent) 1,711,654 54.01% -4.86%
Republican Bob Hugin 1,357,35542.83%+3.46%
Green Madelyn Hoffman25,1500.79%+0.32%
Libertarian Murray Sabrin 21,2120.67%+0.17%
Independent Natalie Rivera19,8970.63%N/A
Independent Tricia Flanagan16,1010.51%N/A
Independent Kevin Kimple9,0870.29%N/A
Independent Hank Schroeder8,8540.28%N/A
Total votes3,169,310 100% N/A
Democratic hold

Results by county

[79]

Results of the general election by municipality Map legend Menendez-->90% Menendez--80-90% Menendez--70-80% Menendez--60-70% Menendez--50-60% Menendez--<50% Hugin--<50% Hugin--50-60% Hugin--60-70% Hugin--70-80% Hugin--80-90% Hugin-->90% 2018 United States Senate election in New Jersey results map by municipality.svg
Results of the general election by municipality
Map legend
  •   Menendez—>90%
  •   Menendez—80–90%
  •   Menendez—70–80%
  •   Menendez—60–70%
  •   Menendez—50–60%
  •   Menendez—<50%
  •   Hugin—<50%
  •   Hugin—50–60%
  •   Hugin—60–70%
  •   Hugin—70–80%
  •   Hugin—80–90%
  •   Hugin—>90%
CountyMenendez %Menendez votesHugin %Hugin votesOther %Other votes
Atlantic 47.43%44,61748.85%45,9543.72%3,502
Bergen 54.69%188,23542.54%146,4062.77%9,542
Burlington 52.78%98,74943.96%82,2403.26%6,111
Camden 61.82%113,13734.58%63,2793.60%6,600
Cape May 35.78%14,55561.02%24,8233.20%1,299
Cumberland 48.29%19,38647.93%19,2443.78%1,517
Essex 76.52%194,06821.12%53,5372.36%6,028
Gloucester 46.41%52,30349.77%56,0903.82%4,309
Hudson 76.35%132,18020.84%36,0872.81%4,863
Hunterdon 39.29%24,82357.17%36,1163.54%2,195
Mercer 63.67%80,77332.50%41,2253.83%4,785
Middlesex 58.21%148,80638.64%98,7643.15%8,051
Monmouth 42.99%112,38353.79%140,6283.22%8,408
Morris 43.60%93,76353.38%114,7833.02%6,492
Ocean 33.72%75,59763.29%141,9022.99%6,723
Passaic 57.75%86,24239.10%58,3823.15%4,700
Salem 38.04%9,06057.47%13,6874.49%1,068
Somerset 51.67%70,35945.07%61,3733.26%4,450
Sussex 33.23%20,22961.96%37,7204.81%2,926
Union 64.22%117,93733.09%60,7582.69%4,938
Warren 35.59%14,45260.00%24,3574.41%1,794
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Results by congressional district

Menendez won 6 of 12 congressional districts. Hugin, however, won the remaining 6, including five won by Democrats.

DistrictMenendezHuginRepresentative
1st 58%38% Donald Norcross
2nd 43%53% Jeff Van Drew
3rd 44%52% Andy Kim
4th 41%56% Chris Smith
5th 47%50% Josh Gottheimer
6th 56%41% Frank Pallone
7th 46%51% Tom Malinowski
8th 77%20% Albio Sires
9th 64%33% Bill Pascrell
10th 85%13% Donald Payne Jr.
11th 47%50% Mikie Sherrill
12th 63%34% Bonnie Watson Coleman

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References

  1. ↑ "United States Senate election in New Jersey, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Archived from the original on April 21, 2017. Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ↑ "2018 General Election Timeline" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. October 31, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.
  3. ↑ "2018 Senate Race ratings | the Cook Political Report". www.cookpolitical.com. Archived from the original on November 30, 2018. Retrieved January 11, 2022.
  4. ↑ "Gov-Elect Murphy breaks silence on Menendez". nj.com. November 17, 2017. Archived from the original on January 12, 2018. Retrieved January 11, 2018.
  5. ↑ "After a Year of Turmoil, Menendez Announces He Is Seeking Re-Election". The New York Times. March 28, 2018. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 11, 2018.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 Alfaro, Alyana (November 16, 2017). "Torricelli Will Not Primary Menendez in 2018". Observer.com. Archived from the original on November 17, 2017.
  7. ↑ "Lisa McCormick – Fighting back to protect democracy". lisamccormick.org. Archived from the original on February 8, 2018. Retrieved February 2, 2018.
  8. ↑ "DDHQ 2018 Senate Races Ratings – Democratic Seats (Part I)". Archived from the original on August 15, 2017. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  9. ↑ "Former Obama, Clinton campaign official to face Sen. Bob Menendez in primary". Archived from the original on December 9, 2017. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  10. ↑ Guild, Blair (December 4, 2017). "Former Clinton campaign staffer explores primary challenge to Sen. Bob Menendez". CBS News. Archived from the original on December 11, 2017. Retrieved December 10, 2017.
  11. ↑ Hutchins, Ryan (March 2, 2018). "Former Clinton, Obama staffer drops primary challenge against Menendez". Politico New Jersey. Archived from the original on March 5, 2018. Retrieved March 4, 2018.
  12. ↑ Jordan, Bob (April 1, 2015). "What does the future hold for Menendez's Senate seat?". App.com. Retrieved November 26, 2016.
  13. 1 2 "2018 New Jersey primary election results" (PDF). New Jersey Division of Elections. Retrieved June 4, 2019.
  14. ↑ "Hugin launches campaign to unseat Menendez". Save Jersey. February 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 17, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  15. ↑ "Hugin flexes money muscle, preempts Menendez with February TV Spot". Save Jersey. February 27, 2018. Archived from the original on June 17, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  16. ↑ "Menendez could be in for dogfight for Senate seat". ROINJ. May 25, 2018. Archived from the original on June 17, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  17. ↑ "GOP longshots Goldberg, Grossman team up at the Jersey Shore". Save Jersey. May 2018. Archived from the original on June 17, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  18. ↑ "N.J. Senate primary candidate: Write in "Charlton Heston" over GOP's House incumbents (and recruits)". Save Jersey. May 30, 2018. Archived from the original on June 17, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  19. ↑ "Official List Candidates for US Senate For PRIMARY ELECTION 06/05/2018" (PDF). New Jersey Department of State. July 20, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.
  20. ↑ "Menendez just got a top-tier Republican challenger in U.S. Senate race". February 12, 2018. Archived from the original on February 12, 2018. Retrieved February 13, 2018.
  21. ↑ "Goldberg Readies Second Run for U.S. Senate in 2018 -". savejersey.com. April 13, 2017. Archived from the original on April 27, 2017. Retrieved April 26, 2017.
  22. 1 2 "Singh to Run for U.S. Senate". insidernj.com. February 2018. Archived from the original on February 2, 2018. Retrieved February 1, 2018.
  23. ↑ "Federal Election Commission - New Jersey - Senate". September 20, 2017. Archived from the original on September 26, 2017. Retrieved September 26, 2017.
  24. ↑ Wildstein, David (February 13, 2018). "Pezzullo backs Hugin". PoliticsDW.com. Archived from the original on February 14, 2018. Retrieved February 13, 2018.
  25. ↑ "CD6 Flashpoint: Pezzullo Declares Challenge to Pallone". Insider NJ. March 4, 2018. Archived from the original on March 5, 2018. Retrieved March 11, 2018.
  26. ↑ "CONFIRMED: Singh will enter the GOP's NJ-02 primary »". February 16, 2018. Archived from the original on February 17, 2018. Retrieved February 17, 2018.
  27. ↑ Wildstein, David (January 26, 2018). "Ex-Sanders Democrat joins race for GOP Senate nod". PoliticsDW. Archived from the original on January 28, 2018. Retrieved January 27, 2018.
  28. ↑ Pizarro, Max (November 16, 2017). "Ciattarelli has Not Ruled out Running Against Menendez". Insider NJ. Archived from the original on November 18, 2017.
  29. ↑ Catalini, Michael (February 13, 2018). "GOP Senate hopeful jabs Menendez, distances self from Trump". AP. Archived from the original on February 14, 2018. Retrieved February 25, 2018.
  30. ↑ Pizarro, Max (January 20, 2018). "Doherty Says He'd Serve Again as Trump's NJ State Director". Insider NJ. Archived from the original on January 23, 2018. Retrieved January 22, 2018.
  31. 1 2 3 "Kean: Most popular choice for Chris Christie". Conservative Intelligence Briefing. Archived from the original on August 20, 2014. Retrieved November 18, 2014.
  32. ↑ "Lt. Gov. Kim Guadagno entering 2017 N.J. governor race". January 12, 2017. Archived from the original on July 30, 2017. Retrieved October 16, 2017.
  33. 1 2 "Senate Republican Leader Tom Kean Endorses Bob Hugin For Senate - Insider NJ". February 13, 2018. Archived from the original on February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
  34. 1 2 Hetrick, Christian (November 17, 2017). "The Republicans Who Could Challenge Menendez". Observer. Archived from the original on November 23, 2017. Retrieved November 22, 2017.
  35. ↑ "WATSON, JERRY B - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Archived from the original on January 8, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  36. ↑ Westhoven, William (February 3, 2018). "Jay Webber says he's 'all-in' for run to replace Frelinghuysen". Daily Record . Retrieved February 3, 2018.
  37. ↑ Donald J. Trump. "Bob Hugin, successful all of his life, would be a Great Senator from New Jersey. He has my complete and total Endorsement! Get out and Vote for Bob". Twitter. Archived from the original on November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  38. 1 2 "NJ Senate candidate Bob Hugin doesn't just support abortion, gay rights— he advertises it".
  39. ↑ "Menendez's Republican challenger: 'I'm offended' by senator's actions". February 13, 2018. Archived from the original on February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
  40. ↑ "Bob Hugin Announces GOP Candidacy for the U.S. Senate at Springfield Elks Club". Archived from the original on February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
  41. 1 2 "Puerto Rican Leaders Endorse Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. October 17, 2018. Archived from the original on October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  42. ↑ Leonard Lance. "Proud to be part of this morning's announcement in support of my friend Bob Hugin for U.S. Senate. Bob is a Marine Corps veteran & successful businessman who helped bring life-saving cures to market & thousands of jobs to NJ. We need Bob Hugin's leadership in the U.S. Senate". Twitter.
  43. ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter".
  44. ↑ "NJ article".[ permanent dead link ]
  45. 1 2 3 4 5 "Bob Hugin Declares his Candidacy for US Senate". Archived from the original on February 16, 2018. Retrieved February 16, 2018.
  46. ↑ "Bob Hugin Receives Morris County GOP Endorsements". March 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 27, 2018. Retrieved June 27, 2018.
  47. ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter".
  48. 1 2 3 "BobHugin on Twitter".
  49. ↑ "BobHugin on Twitter". Twitter.
  50. ↑ Carlos Rendo. "Bob and I grew up one block from each other in Union City, New Jersey and attended the same high school. I am proud to support this Union City native for the United States Senate!". Twitter.
  51. ↑ Ang Santos (October 23, 2018). "Former Democratic Freeholder Supports Hugin for US Senate". WBGO. Archived from the original on October 24, 2018. Retrieved October 24, 2018.
  52. ↑ "Another Jersey Democrat Announces Endorsement of Hugin for Senate". Shore News Network. September 13, 2018. Archived from the original on September 13, 2018. Retrieved September 13, 2018.
  53. ↑ Nikita Biryukov (August 27, 2018). "Brick Democratic councilman endorses Hugin". New Jersey Globe. Archived from the original on August 29, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  54. ↑ David Wildstein (September 18, 2018). "Democratic mayor backs Hugin". New Jersey Globe. Archived from the original on September 19, 2018. Retrieved September 19, 2018.
  55. 1 2 3 "Former Independent and Democrat Elected Officials of Union County Back Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. October 19, 2018. Archived from the original on October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  56. ↑ Daniel Nee (September 5, 2018). "Democratic Ocean County Freeholder Candidate Endorses GOP Senate Hopeful". Brick Shorebeat. Archived from the original on September 6, 2018. Retrieved September 6, 2018.
  57. ↑ "Former Democrat Mayor Endorses Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. October 10, 2018. Archived from the original on October 11, 2018. Retrieved October 10, 2018.
  58. ↑ "Millennial Democratic Leader Endorses Hugin". Insider NJ. October 4, 2018. Archived from the original on October 9, 2018. Retrieved October 8, 2018.
  59. ↑ "Donald Trump Jr. On Twitter: "NJ has a clear choice. Stick with Menendez who will always be dogged by serious ethics questions, or back GOP challenger, Bob Hugin, a Marine Corps veteran and the former chief of a large and very successful business. Seems like a no brainer. #nj #njpol"". Archived from the original on October 22, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  60. ↑ "Former Democrat Mayor Endorses Hugin". Bob Hugin for Senate. September 25, 2018. Archived from the original on September 29, 2018. Retrieved September 28, 2018.
  61. ↑ "Bob Hugin is the Republican New Jersey needs". July 31, 2018. Archived from the original on August 1, 2018. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
  62. ↑ Matt Rooney (October 25, 2018). "NJSEN: Leading N.J. Latino group dumps Menendez, endorses Hugin". The Save Jersey Blog . Archived from the original on October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 25, 2018.
  63. ↑ "Editorial Board: We endorse Bob Hugin for U.S. Senate". Burlington County Times . October 26, 2018. Archived from the original on October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 26, 2018.
  64. ↑ "New Jersey should vote out corrupt Menendez". New York Post . October 27, 2018. Archived from the original on October 28, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  65. ↑ "Sabrin to Seek Libertarian Party Nomination for U.S. Senate - Insider NJ". January 25, 2018. Archived from the original on January 26, 2018. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  66. ↑ "Ron Paul endorses Murray Sabrin for US Senator from NJ". Libertarian Party. July 16, 2018. Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. Retrieved August 17, 2018.
  67. ↑ Biryukov, Nikita (July 17, 2018). "20 years later, Hoffman again running with the Green Party". New Jersey Globe. Archived from the original on August 8, 2018. Retrieved August 7, 2018.
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  71. ↑ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  72. ↑ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
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  74. ↑ "Key Races: Senate". Archived from the original on June 14, 2018. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  75. ↑ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Archived from the original on July 9, 2018. Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  76. ↑ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News . Archived from the original on July 4, 2018. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  77. ↑ Madelyn Hoffman (G) with 1%, other with 1%
  78. ↑ "Official List Candidates for US Senate For GENERAL ELECTION 11/06/2018" (PDF). Secretary of State of New Jersey. December 3, 2018. Retrieved December 28, 2018.
  79. ↑ "Official Site of The State of New Jersey". NJ DOS - Division of Elections - 2018 Election Results. New Jersey Department of State. Archived from the original on September 11, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
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