Next Nova Scotia general election

Last updated

42nd Nova Scotia general election
Flag of Nova Scotia.svg
←  2021 On or before 15 July 2025Next →
55 seats in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly
28 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  TimHouston.png
LIB
 CLAUDIA-LEADERSHOOT-WEB-10-HeadshotCropped.png
Leader Tim Houston Zach Churchill Claudia Chender
Party Progressive Conservative Liberal New Democratic
Leader since 27 October 2018 9 July 2022 25 June 2022
Leader's seat Pictou East Yarmouth Dartmouth South
Last election31 seats, 38.44%17 seats, 36.67%6 seats, 20.93%
Current seats33156
Seats neededSteady2.svgIncrease2.svg13Increase2.svg22
Incumbent Premier

Tim Houston
Progressive Conservative



The 42nd Nova Scotia general election will be held on or before 15 July 2025 to elect members to the 65th General Assembly of Nova Scotia. During the 2021 election, the Progressive Conservatives included a commitment in their platform to introduce fixed election dates in the province. Under amendments to the provincial Elections Act introduced and passed in October 2021, the first fixed election date following the 2021 Nova Scotia general election is set as 15 July 2025. [1] All subsequent elections will take place on the third Tuesday in July of the fourth calendar year following the previous election.

Contents

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2021–Present)
SeatBeforeChange
DateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberParty
Preston April 1, 2023 [9] Angela Simmonds █  Liberal ResignationAugust 8, 2023 Twila Grosse █  PC
Halifax Atlantic February 22, 2024 [10] Brendan Maguire █  Liberal Joined Progressive Conservative caucus█  PC
Pictou West April 12, 2024 [11] Karla MacFarlane █  PC ResignationMay 21, 2024 Marco MacLeod █  PC

Current standings

Standings in the 64th General Assembly [12]
AffiliationHouse members
2021 election resultsCurrent standings
Progressive Conservative 3133
Liberal 1715
New Democratic 66
Independent 11
Vacant00

Incumbents not running for reelection

The following MLAs announced that they would not run in the next general election:

Progressive Conservative

Candidates by constituency

Legend
bold denotes party leader
† denotes an incumbent who is not running for re-election or was defeated in a nomination contest

Annapolis Valley

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Annapolis Anthony Edmonds [16] Carman Kerr
Clare Ronnie LeBlanc
Digby-Annapolis Jill Balser
Hants West Melissa Sheehy-Richard
Kings North John Lohr [17] John Lohr
Kings South Keith Irving
Kings West Chris Palmer

South Shore

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Argyle Lorelei Murphy [18] Colton LeBlanc
Chester-St. Margaret's Danielle Barkhouse
Lunenburg Susan Corkum-Greek
Lunenburg West Becky Druhan
Queens Kim Masland
Shelburne Nolan Young
Yarmouth Zach Churchill

Fundy-Northeast

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United Independent
Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley Larry Harrison
Colchester North Tom Taggart
Cumberland North Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin [19] Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin
Cumberland South Liam MacDonald [19] Tory Rushton
Hants East John A. MacDonald
Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River Dave Ritcey

Central Halifax

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Clayton Park West Rafah DiCostanzo
Fairview-Clayton Park Patricia Arab
Halifax Armdale Jo-Ann Roberts [16] Ali Duale
Halifax Chebucto Gary Burrill
Halifax Citadel-Sable Island Lisa Lachance
Halifax Needham Suzy Hansen

Suburban Halifax

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Bedford Basin Kelly Regan
Bedford South Braedon Clark
Halifax Atlantic Brendan Maguire
Hammonds Plains-Lucasville Ben Jessome
Sackville-Cobequid Steve Craig†
Sackville-Uniacke Brad Johns
Timberlea-Prospect Iain Rankin
Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank Brian Wong [20] Brian Wong

Dartmouth/Cole Harbour/Eastern Shore

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Cole Harbour Tony Ince
Cole Harbour-Dartmouth Lorelei Nicoll
Dartmouth East Tim Halman
Dartmouth North Susan Leblanc
Dartmouth South Claudia Chender
Eastern Passage Barbara Adams
Eastern Shore Kent Smith
Preston Bobby Taylor [21] Twila Grosse

Central Nova

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Antigonish Michelle Thompson
Guysborough-Tracadie Greg Morrow
Pictou Centre Pat Dunn†
Pictou East Tim Houston [22] Tim Houston
Pictou West Marco MacLeod

Cape Breton

Electoral districtCandidatesIncumbent
PCLiberalNDPGreen United
Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier Kendra Coombes
Cape Breton East Brian Comer
Glace Bay-Dominion John White
Inverness Allan MacMaster
Northside-Westmount Fred Tilley
Richmond Trevor Boudreau
Sydney-Membertou Derek Mombourquette
Victoria-The Lakes Keith Bain†

Opinion polls

Voting intentions in Nova Scotia since the 2021 election

NS 42nd election polling.jpg

Polling firmDates conductedLink PC Liberal NDP Green OthersMargin of errorSample sizePolling methodLead
Narrative Research7–29 May 2024 [p 1] 50232232±4.9%400Telephone27
Narrative Research6–17 Feb 2024 [p 2] 49252051±4.9%400Telephone24
Narrative Research1–21 Nov 2023 [p 3] 52212231±4.9%400Telephone30
Narrative Research1–14 Aug 2023 [p 4] 47232442±4.9%400Telephone23
Narrative Research3–16 May 2023 [p 5] 39312451±4.9%400Telephone8
Narrative Research8–23 Feb 2023 [p 6] 46252442±4.6%450Telephone21
Narrative Research2–28 Nov 2022 [p 7] 42272551±4.0%605Telephone15
Narrative Research4–23 Aug 2022 [p 8] 43302241±4.0%585Telephone13
Angus Reid7–13 Jun 2022 [p 9] 46212732±5.0%330Online24
Narrative Research3–22 May 2022 [p 10] 42272541±5.0%380Telephone15
Abacus Data14–21 Apr 2022 [p 11] 393123N/A7±4.4%500Online8
Angus Reid10–15 Mar 2022 [p 12] 47252225±5.0%366Online22
Narrative Research8–23 Feb 2022 [p 13] 44272062±4.9%396Telephone17
Angus Reid7–12 Jan 2022 [p 14] 38282616±6.0%320Online10
MQO Research14–24 Nov 2021 [p 15] 41232753±4.9%400Telephone14
Narrative Research4–21 Nov 2021 [p 16] 42262453±4.2%557Telephone16
Angus Reid29 Sep – 3 Oct 2021 [p 17] 39213245N/A264Online7
2021 general election 17 Aug 2021 [p 18] 38.4336.6720.942.141.41—422,754—1.76
Polling firmDates conductedLinkOthersMargin of errorSample sizePolling methodLead
PC Liberal NDP Green

Related Research Articles

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Robert Stanfield</span> Canadian premier and opposition leader (1914–2003)

Robert Lorne Stanfield was a Canadian politician who served as the 17th premier of Nova Scotia from 1956 to 1967 and the leader of the Official Opposition and leader of the Progressive Conservative Party of Canada from 1967 to 1976.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Nova Scotia New Democratic Party</span> Political party in Canada

The Nova Scotia New Democratic Party is a social democratic, progressive provincial party in Nova Scotia, Canada. It is the provincial entity of the federal New Democratic Party (NDP). It was founded as the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation (CCF) in 1932, and became the New Democratic Party in 1961. It became the governing party of Nova Scotia following the 2009 Nova Scotia election, winning 31 seats in the Legislature, under the leadership of Premier Darrell Dexter. It is the first New Democratic Party in Atlantic Canada to form a government, and the second to form a government in a province east of Manitoba. The party lost government at the 2013 election, losing 24 seats, including Dexter's seat. Gary Burrill, the party’s leader from 2016 to 2022, is credited with bringing the party back to its left-wing roots. The party currently holds six seats in the Legislature and has been led by Claudia Chender since June 2022.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Nova Scotia Liberal Party</span> Political party in Nova Scotia, Canada

The Nova Scotia Liberal Party is a centrist provincial political party in Nova Scotia, Canada and the provincial section of the Liberal Party of Canada. The party currently forms the Official Opposition in Nova Scotia, under the leadership of Zach Churchill. The party was in power most recently from the 2013 election until the 2021 election.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia</span> Canadian political party

The Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia, is a moderate political party in Nova Scotia, Canada. Like most conservative parties in Atlantic Canada, it has been historically associated with the Red Tory faction of Canadian conservatism. The party is currently led by Pictou East MLA Tim Houston. The party won a majority government in the 2021 provincial election. The Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia and the Conservative Party of Canada are two separate entities.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2006 Nova Scotia general election</span>

The 2006 Nova Scotia general election was held on June 13, 2006 to elect members of the 60th House of Assembly of the Province of Nova Scotia, Canada.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Paul MacEwan</span> Canadian politician

Paul MacEwan was a politician from Cape Breton Island, Nova Scotia, Canada. His 33 years in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly made him the longest constinuous serving Member of the Legislative Assembly (MLA) in Nova Scotia history. He was a contentious politician, who seemed to court controversy. So much so, he was kicked out of the Nova Scotia New Democratic Party (NDP) while he was a sitting member of the assembly in 1980 and caused them to lose official party status without him. He formed his own political party, the Cape Breton Labour Party, to contest the 1984 provincial election. He served one-term as its leader, before the party disintegrated because of financial issues. He eventually joined the Liberal Party of Nova Scotia, and became a Liberal member of the legislature. In 1993, he became the Speaker of the House of Assembly. His term as the speaker was marked with many controversies around bias and partisanship. His final years in the legislature saw him take prominent roles as Party Whip for the Liberals. After several health issues, he decided to not run for office again in 2003. He retired and lived another 14 years before finally succumbing to health issues in 2017, at age 74 in Sydney.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Stephen McNeil</span> Canadian politician

Stephen McNeil is a Canadian politician who served as the 28th premier of Nova Scotia, from 2013 to 2021. He also represented the riding of Annapolis in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly from 2003 to 2021 and was the leader of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party from 2007 to 2021.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Chris d'Entremont</span> Canadian politician

Christopher André d'Entremont is a Canadian politician who has represented West Nova in the House of Commons since 2019, as a member of the Conservative Party. Before entering federal politics, he represented the Argyle-Barrington in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly from 2003 to 2019 as a member of the Nova Scotia Progressive Conservatives. D'Entremont was elected the deputy speaker and chair of Committees of the Whole in 2021 on a secret ballot. He is the first person of Acadian descent to serve as deputy speaker and the first Nova Scotian deputy speaker of the House of Commons of Canada since 1916.

Kelly Maureen Regan MLA is a Canadian politician who has served in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly since 2009, most recently as the MLA for Bedford Basin. She was first elected as the Member for Bedford-Birch Cove. Since is a member of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Atlantica Party</span> Political party in Canada

The Atlantica Party was a political party in the province of Nova Scotia, Canada. The party supported policies that are based on classical liberal principles such as laissez-faire "free market" economics, freedom of business, and freedom of the individual. The party also sought to increase citizen participation in all levels of government with additional oversight of current government structure.

Zachariah John Churchill is a Canadian politician from Nova Scotia. He serves as the member of the Nova Scotia House of Assembly for Yarmouth, first elected in 2010.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Tim Houston</span> Canadian politician

Timothy Jerome Houston is a Canadian politician who is the 30th and current premier of Nova Scotia since 2021. He was first elected to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly in the 2013 provincial election. A member of the Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia, he represents the electoral district of Pictou East. Houston also served as the leader of the opposition from 2018 to 2021. He and the Progressive Conservative party won a majority government in the 2021 Nova Scotia general election, becoming the first Progressive Conservative premier since 2009.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Karla MacFarlane</span> Canadian politician

Karla Michelle MacFarlane is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly in the 2013 provincial election. A member of the Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia, she represents the electoral district of Pictou West. MacFarlane is a graduate of Husson University in Maine with an associate degree in Business Communications. In 2016, MacFarlane was named "Legislator of the Year" at the non-profit Springtide Collective's Better Politics Awards. She was re-elected in the 2017 provincial election.

Brendan Oliver Maguire is a Canadian politician, who was elected to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly in the 2013 provincial election. Elected as a member of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party, he joined the Progressive Conservative Party of Nova Scotia in February 2024. He represents the electoral district of Halifax Atlantic.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">Iain Rankin</span> Canadian politician

Iain Thomas Rankin is a Canadian politician who served as the 29th premier of Nova Scotia from February 23, 2021, to August 31, 2021. He serves in the Nova Scotia House of Assembly for the Nova Scotia Liberal Party, representing the electoral district of Timberlea-Prospect. Rankin was first elected in the 2013 Nova Scotia general election and was re-elected in the 2017 general election. On February 6, 2021, Rankin was announced the Leader of the Nova Scotia Liberal Party.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2021 Nova Scotia general election</span>

The 2021 Nova Scotia general election was held on August 17, 2021, to elect members to the 64th General Assembly of Nova Scotia.

Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin is a Canadian politician. She was elected to the Nova Scotia House of Assembly in the 2017 provincial election. She is an Independent member and represents the electoral district of Cumberland North.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">2023 Prince Edward Island general election</span> Canadian provincial election

The 2023 Prince Edward Island general election was held to elect the members of the 67th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island on 3 April 2023. The election normally required by 2 October under Prince Edward Island's fixed election date legislation was called early by Premier Dennis King at his nomination meeting on 6 March.

<span class="mw-page-title-main">52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election</span> Future election for the Premier position in Newfoundland and Labrador

The 52nd Newfoundland and Labrador general election will take place on or before November 24, 2025 to elect members to the 51st General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.

The 2024 New Brunswick general election is scheduled to be held on or before October 21, 2024, according to the Legislative Assembly Act of 2017 which states that an election should be held every four years on the third Monday in October. It will be held to select 49 members of the Legislative Assembly of New Brunswick of the 61st New Brunswick legislature.

References

  1. ↑ Laroche, Jean (13 October 2021). "N.S. government sets third Tuesday in July as new fixed date for elections every 4 years". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 29 October 2021. Retrieved 29 October 2021.
  2. ↑ Grant, Taryn (23 October 2021). "Anthony Edmonds elected leader of N.S. Green Party". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 21 October 2022. Retrieved 21 October 2022.
  3. ↑ Burrill, Gary [@GaryBurrill] (9 November 2021). "One of the most important parts of leadership is knowing when the time has come for renewal, and knowing when to bring your own leadership to a conclusion. In my judgement, this is that time. (1/3)" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 November 2021– via Twitter.
  4. ↑ "New Registered Political Party In Nova Scotia". Elections Nova Scotia. 16 December 2021. Archived from the original on 17 December 2021. Retrieved 17 December 2021.
  5. ↑ Gorman, Michael (5 January 2022). "Iain Rankin to step down as N.S. Liberal Party leader". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 5 January 2022. Retrieved 5 January 2022.
  6. ↑ Gorman, Michael (25 June 2022). "Claudia Chender officially at helm of Nova Scotia NDP". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 28 June 2022. Retrieved 28 June 2022.
  7. ↑ Laroche, Jean [@larochecbc] (9 July 2022). "Former Ed minister Zack Churchill is the new ⁦@LiberalPartyNS leader" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 July 2022– via Twitter.
  8. ↑ Rickard, Kelli (15 March 2024). "Atlantica Party ending". CJLS-FM . Acadia Broadcasting . Retrieved 17 March 2024.
  9. ↑ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 28 January 2023. Retrieved 28 January 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  10. ↑ Cuthbertson, Richard; Gorman, Michael (22 February 2024). "N.S. Liberal MLA Brendan Maguire joining PCs, named minister of community services". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 22 February 2024. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
  11. ↑ "By-election Pending in Pictou West". Elections Nova Scotia . Retrieved 16 April 2024.
  12. ↑ "Nova Scotia Legislature". Nova Scotia Legislature. Archived from the original on 20 August 2021. Retrieved 2 September 2021.
  13. ↑ Gorman, Michael (9 March 2023). "Keith Bain to remain as Speaker during spring session of N.S. legislature". CBC News . Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  14. ↑ Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 15 September 2023. Retrieved 14 September 2023.
  15. ↑ Laroche, Jean (13 September 2023). "Cabinet ministers Pat Dunn and Steve Craig won't seek re-election". CBC Nova Scotia. Archived from the original on 15 September 2023. Retrieved 14 September 2023.
  16. 1 2 "Candidates". Green Party of Nova Scotia . Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  17. ↑ "John Lohr to represent Progressive Conservatives in Kings North". Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia . 5 June 2024. Retrieved 5 June 2024.
  18. ↑ "Lorelei Murphy Nominated as Liberal Candidate for Argyle". Liberal Party of Nova Scotia . 28 May 2024. Retrieved 2 June 2024.
  19. 1 2 "Candidates and Official Agents". Elections Nova Scotia . Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  20. ↑ "Brian Wong to represent Progressive Conservatives in Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank". Progressive Conservative Association of Nova Scotia . 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  21. ↑ "Bobby Taylor Preston Candidate". Facebook . Nova Scotians United. 19 April 2024. Retrieved 19 April 2024.
  22. ↑ "Tim Houston reoffering in Pictou East". SaltWire . SaltWire Network. 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.

Opinion poll sources

  1. ↑ "The PCs maintain a strong lead in terms of voter support, despite declining levels of satisfaction with the provincial government's performance" (PDF). Narrative Research. 6 June 2024. Retrieved 6 June 2024.
  2. ↑ "NS: The PCs maintain their lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 28 February 2024. Retrieved 1 March 2024.
  3. ↑ "NS: The PCs increase their lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 5 December 2023. Retrieved 5 December 2023.
  4. ↑ "A majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 August 2023. Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  5. ↑ "While a majority remain satisfied with the provincial government's performance, the PCs have less of a lead in terms of voter support" (PDF). Narrative Research. 24 May 2023. Retrieved 24 May 2023.
  6. ↑ "NS: Satisfaction with Houston government's performance has declined since last November, while voting intentions remain stable" (PDF). Narrative Research. 7 March 2023.
  7. ↑ "Satisfaction with Houston government's performance remains high and stable in NS" (PDF). Narrative Research. 1 December 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 December 2022. Retrieved 1 December 2022.
  8. ↑ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high and stable". Narrative Research. August 2022. Archived from the original on 31 August 2022. Retrieved 31 August 2022.
  9. ↑ "Atlantic Spotlight: Soaring inflation, floundering health-care systems leave East Coasters critical of governments". Angus Reid. 13 July 2022. Archived from the original on 14 July 2022. Retrieved 19 July 2022.
  10. ↑ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high, albeit slightly declined relative to three months ago" (PDF). Narrative Research. May 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 25 May 2022. Retrieved 15 June 2022.
  11. ↑ "State of the Province: How Do Nova Scotians Feel About the Provincial Government and Their Political Choices?". Abacus Data. April 2022. Archived from the original on 29 May 2022. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  12. ↑ "Provincial spotlight: Ontario, Alberta governments heavily criticized on nearly every aspect of provincial management". Angus Reid. March 2022. Archived from the original on 31 March 2022. Retrieved 31 March 2022.
  13. ↑ "Satisfaction with NS's Houston government's performance remains high" (PDF). Narrative Research. 2 March 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2 March 2022. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  14. ↑ "Spotlight on Provincial Politics: NDP edge PCPO in vote among Ontario voters, CAQ leads comfortably in Quebec" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. 20 January 2022. Archived (PDF) from the original on 20 January 2022. Retrieved 21 January 2022.
  15. ↑ "Fall/Winter 2021 Provincial Report Nova Scotia" (PDF). MQO Research. November 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 12 December 2021. Retrieved 12 December 2021.
  16. ↑ "High satisfaction with the performance of the newly-elected provincial government of Nova Scotia" (PDF). Narrative Research. 29 November 2021. Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 November 2021.
  17. ↑ "Spotlight on the Provinces: Concerns over health care, economy drive increasing dissatisfaction with governments" (PDF). Angus Reid. 27 October 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 27 October 2021. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
  18. ↑ "NS 2011 Election Results". Archived from the original on 8 October 2021. Retrieved 3 September 2021.
This page is based on this Wikipedia article
Text is available under the CC BY-SA 4.0 license; additional terms may apply.
Images, videos and audio are available under their respective licenses.