2015 British Virgin Islands general election

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2015 British Virgin Islands general election
Flag of the British Virgin Islands.svg
  2011 8 June 2015 (2015-06-08) 2019  

13 of the 15 seats in the House of Assembly
7 seats needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
  D. Orlando Smith (cropped).jpg JulianFraser.jpg
Leader Orlando Smith Julian Fraser
Party NDP VIP
Last election52.91%, 9 seats38.34%, 4 seats
Seats won112
Seat changeIncrease2.svg 2Decrease2.svg 2
Popular vote21,52310,771
Percentage59.66%28.25%

Premier before election

Orlando Smith
NDP

Premier after election

Orlando Smith
NDP

General elections were held in the British Virgin Islands on 8 June 2015 to elect members to the House of Assembly. [1] The result was a landslide victory for the incumbent National Democratic Party (NDP) over the opposition Virgin Islands Party (VIP). [2] [3] No minor parties or independent candidates won any seats. Unusually, every single incumbent candidate who stood in their original seat was victorious. [4]

Contents

The supervisor of elections was Juliette Penn. Prior to polling day, the VIP had complained to Governor John Duncan of alleged irregularities relating to the conduct advance polling day. [5] In a statement the supervisor of elections acknowledged irregularities, but indicated that they were of a minor and technical nature, and were swiftly rectified once noticed. [6] The report of the international Election Observer Mission noted that the election "was peaceful and vibrant and saw high levels of public engagement." [7]

Background

The second sitting of the House of Assembly was dissolved for the election on 1 May 2015, [8] but the election date was not announced until 6 May 2015. [1]

Former premier, Ralph T. O'Neal, had warned of the possibility of the Government calling a snap election. [9] President of the opposition Virgin Islands Party, Carvin Malone, had predicted an election on 6 or 13 July 2015. [10] Although it became common parlance to refer to the election as a "snap" election in local media, [11] it is not entirely clear that it was. The ruling party announced candidates for an "upcoming election" over a month prior to dissolution of the House, [12] and all parties claimed that they had anticipated the announcement. [9] [13]

Former Premier Ralph O'Neal stepped down and did not contest the 2015 election, the first general election he has not contested since 1967. [9] He was the longest serving politician in the Territory's history, and had held the seat for Virgin Gorda and Anegada (now the 9th district, originally the 7th district) continuously since 1975.

Although political dynasties have not been a large feature of British Virgin Islands politics, the 2015 election witnessed descendants of each of the first three chief ministers of the territory standing for office. Lavity Stoutt's son, Preston, ran in the first district as an independent candidate. Willard Wheatley's grandson, Natalio, ran at-large for the People's Empowerment Party, and Cyril Romney's daughter, JoAnne, ran in the fourth district for the Virgin Islands Party. However each of those candidates eventually lost their election bid by some distance.

The 2015 also saw the largest number of female candidates in the Territory's history. [14] The NDP fielded three female candidates, the VIP fielded six, the PEP fielded one female candidate, and two of the declared independent candidates were female.

Main parties

The ruling National Democratic Party (NDP), led by Premier Orlando Smith, sought to defend its majority in the House. They were opposed by the opposition Virgin Islands Party (VIP), led by former Minister Julian Fraser. The NDP and the VIP each fielded a full slate of 13 candidates. Two minority parties also contested the election: the People's Empowerment Party (PEP), led by sitting member of the House, Alvin Christopher, which fielded 5 candidates; and the Progressive Coalition Movement (PCM) which fielded 3 candidates in total.

In addition, a number of independent candidates have declared an intention to stand, including three in the 9th District. The most notable of these was former deputy premier, Dancia Penn. [15] Only one candidate had been elected in the British Virgin Islands in the past 20 years running as an independent (Alvin Christopher).

Campaign

The election was noted for its highly negative tenor. A post-election report released afterwards by the Election Observer Mission to the Virgin Islands stated that voters described the 2015 campaign as the most negative they had ever witnessed. [7] The report noted: "This consisted of personal attacks and accusations, criticism and allegations of past performance of opponents and inflammatory and defamatory rhetoric, rather than a positive discussion of the major political issues. With a proliferation of partisan politics, these stakeholders noted a heightened divisiveness of the campaign, both for society at-large and within families." [7]

Even before the election had actually been called there were complaints about the nature of party political media advertisements, and allegations of using smear tactics. [16] There were allegations in the press of use of drones to follow candidates and film their movements, [17] and political parties were accused of abusing powers of patronage and acting like "gangs". [18]

On the day upon which the House of Assembly was dissolved for the election, the opposition Virgin Islands Party circulated documents which they claimed meant that the minister for education Myron Walwyn should have been stripped of his seat for failing to disclose his interest in companies which secured Government contracts. [19] [20]

Very little campaigning focused on specific issues or ideology, and most candidates campaigned on a mixture of core competency and criticising past performance of opponents. Numerous candidates indulged in vague and unsubstantiated allegations of corruption against rivals. [21] [22] Most election speeches promised further development projects, [23] [24] [25] [26] and addressing the increasing cost of living was also a common theme. [27] [28] The VIP suggested potentially addressing cost of living through introducing price controls. [29] Campaigns also produced fairly routine promises of political patronage, [30] [31] and pandering to xenophobia. [32] [33] At the same time, at least one politician spoke of the need for nationality laws to be reformed so that children born in the Territory would be Virgin Islanders with full equality. [34]

The Government was criticised for signing a number of no-bid petty contracts with various local businesses in the last few days before the voting, [35] [36] although such practices are relatively commonplace in the British Virgin Islands.

Results

The ruling National Democratic Party won in convincing fashion, and had secured victory early in the night solely on the basis of the district seats (results for the at-large seats take longer to count and normally only come in the next day). In the event, the NDP won all four at-large seats as well to complete a landslide victory, becoming the first party to win back-to-back elections in the British Virgin Islands since the Virgin Islands Party achieved the feat in the 1999 general election. The NDP's margin of victory (9 seats) and share of the total votes cast (60.2%) were both records for an election.

The NDP held on to all four of the at-large positions, comfortably holding off the challenge from the VIP and independent candidate Dancia Penn. Myron Walwyn's 5,777 votes in the at-large seats set a record for the highest number of votes for an at-large candidate, as did his 16.0% of the votes cast. [37]

Iles Vierges britanniques Assemblee 2015.svg
PartyDistrictAt-largeTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
National Democratic Party 5,72562.63721,52359.66411+2
Virgin Islands Party 2,82830.94210,77129.8502–2
People's Empowerment Party 3173.4701,5214.2200New
People's Coalition Movement3080.8500New
Independents2712.9601,9565.42000
Speaker and Attorney General20
Total9,141100.00936,079100.004150
Valid votes9,14198.939,17098.71
Invalid/blank votes991.071201.29
Total votes9,240100.009,290100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,58568.0213,58568.38
Source: Election Centre, Election Centre

District seats

1st District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Andrew Fahie Virgin Islands Party 65265.40
Shaina Mary Ann Smith National Democratic Party 27727.78
Preston P. H. StouttIndependent686.82
Total997100.00
Valid votes99798.91
Invalid/blank votes111.09
Total votes1,008100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,47968.15

Incumbent Andrew Fahie successfully defended his first district seat, his fifth successive general election victory. The first district seat has now been in VIP hands since the 1971 general election. Shania Smith and Preston Stoutt each lost their second consecutive attempt to be elected to the House of Assembly.

2nd District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Melvin M. Turnbull National Democratic Party 60065.57
Elford W. Parsons People's Empowerment Party 29031.69
Rajah Smith Virgin Islands Party 252.73
Total915100.00
Valid votes91599.78
Invalid/blank votes20.22
Total votes917100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,38766.11

Political newcomer Melvin "Mitch" Turnbull Jr. comfortably won the second district seat from a field that consisted of three candidates contesting their first election. Longtime second district representative, Alvin Christopher, elected to stand at-large.

3rd District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Julian Fraser Virgin Islands Party 59651.51
Kevin C. Smith National Democratic Party 56148.49
Total1,157100.00
Valid votes1,15798.05
Invalid/blank votes231.95
Total votes1,180100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,62072.84

Incumbent and VIP party leader Julian Fraser successfully defended his seat with a narrow victory over Kevin "OJ" Smith for the second consecutive election, and for Fraser's fifth consecutive general election victory.

4th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Mark H. Vanterpool National Democratic Party 71782.60
Joann Romney Virgin Islands Party 15117.40
Total868100.00
Valid votes86897.75
Invalid/blank votes202.25
Total votes888100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,35865.39

Incumbent Mark Vanterpool successfully defended his seat, crushing political newcomer JoAnne "Roxie" Romney.

5th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Delores Christopher National Democratic Party 59058.30
Zoe Walcott-McMillan Virgin Islands Party 39939.43
Shabazz AbdulIndependent232.27
Total1,012100.00
Valid votes1,01299.51
Invalid/blank votes50.49
Total votes1,017100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,60763.29

Incumbent Delores Christopher successfully defended her seat, comfortably defeating Zoe Walcott-McMillan (who lost her third consecutive election) and independent candidate Abdul Shabazz.

6th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Alvera Maduro-Caines National Democratic Party 76573.21
Elvis J. Harrigan Virgin Islands Party 23722.68
Dion JenningsIndependent434.11
Total1,045100.00
Valid votes1,04598.86
Invalid/blank votes121.14
Total votes1,057100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,64164.41

Incumbent Alvera Maduro-Caines won the sixth district seat, easily defeating former legislator Elvis "Juggy" Harrigan (who lost his second consecutive election), and newcomer Dion Jennings.

7th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Kedrick Pickering National Democratic Party 60775.31
Oleanvine Pickering-Maynard Virgin Islands Party 19924.69
Total806100.00
Valid votes80699.75
Invalid/blank votes20.25
Total votes808100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,27263.52

Incumbent and Deputy Premier Kedrick Pickering easily defended his seat in the seventh district against newcomer Oleanvine Pickering-Maynard.

8th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Marlon A. Penn National Democratic Party 93783.51
McLloyd Owen Walters Virgin Islands Party 18516.49
Total1,122100.00
Valid votes1,12298.94
Invalid/blank votes121.06
Total votes1,134100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,58771.46

Incumbent Marlon Penn successfully defended his seat in the eight district, crushing newcomer McLloyd Walters. Penn's 943 votes were a record for a district seat in a British Virgin Islands election.

9th District
CandidatePartyVotes%
Hubert O'Neal National Democratic Party 67155.05
Elton Sprauve Virgin Islands Party 38431.50
Albert WheatleyIndependent635.17
Stephanie Faulkner-WilliamsIndependent373.04
Vernon VanterpoolIndependent373.04
Faye Reese People's Empowerment Party 272.21
Total1,219100.00
Valid votes1,21999.03
Invalid/blank votes120.97
Total votes1,231100.00
Registered voters/turnout1,63475.34

Contesting his sixth general election (and fifth in the same district), Hubert O'Neal overcame a crowded field, and finally for the first time won the ninth district seat formerly occupied by the now-retired Ralph O'Neal for the preceding 40 years.

At-large seats

CandidatePartyVotes%
Myron Walwyn National Democratic Party 5,77716.01
Orlando Smith National Democratic Party 5,75315.95
Ronnie W. Skelton National Democratic Party 5,33314.78
Archibald C. Christian National Democratic Party 4,66012.92
Karl Dawson Virgin Islands Party 3,4209.48
Irene Penn-O'Neal Virgin Islands Party 2,9058.05
Sharie De Castro Virgin Islands Party 2,6767.42
Dancia Penn Independent1,8375.09
Charmaine Rosan-Bunbury Virgin Islands Party 1,7704.91
Alvin Christopher People's Empowerment Party 8942.48
Natalio Wheatley People's Empowerment Party 4701.30
Khoy SmithPeople's Coalition Movement1580.44
Lorie A. Rymer People's Empowerment Party 1570.44
Rawle Richard HannibaldIndependent1190.33
Edmund Gregory MaduroPeople's Coalition Movement860.24
Ishmael BrathwaitePeople's Coalition Movement640.18
Total36,079100.00
Valid votes9,17098.71
Invalid/blank votes1201.29
Total votes9,290100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,58568.38

Aftermath

Subsequent to the election, Julian Fraser as leader of the VIP congratulated his opponents and pledged to work with the elected Government. [38] Dr Smith echoed those sentiments on behalf of the NDP. [39] Natalio Wheatley gave a statement on behalf of the PEP pledging to continue the work of the party despite its failure at the polls. [40] Leading independent candidate and former Deputy Premier Dancia Penn also made a statement expressing her disappointment about how bitter and divisive the campaign was, and expressing a hope the politicians would show "more unity, fairness, respect and dignity and that they can build a happier and more harmonious country together." [41]

Shortly after the election fresh rumours began to circulate about Dr Smith's possible retirement, and once against Dr Smith spoke to scotch the rumours. [42] Dr Smith turned 71 a couple of months after the election.

After the election political commentators also weighed in on possible reasons for the scale of the VIP's defeat. Suggested reasons included:

After the election the embarrassment for the VIP continued when the two elected candidates (Julian Fraser and Andrew Fahie) were unable to agree which of them should be appointed Leader of the Opposition (each candidate preferring themselves). [47] Governor John Duncan indicated that if no consensus was reached by 20 July 2015 then he would take appropriate advice and choose himself from the available candidates. No consensus was reached, and so the Governor appointed Fraser as opposition leader. [48]

Government formation

As leader of the party with the largest number of overall seats, Orlando Smith was appointed premier and invited to form a government under the Constitution. He announced an unchanged cabinet, stating "in order to finish the work that have we started, the ministerial architecture will remain in tact[ sic ], that is, Ministers will remain with their assigned portfolios." [49]

Accordingly, the post-election cabinet will remain:

Cabinet of the British Virgin Islands [50]
OfficeMembersNotes
Premier Orlando Smith Minister of Finance and Tourism
Governor John Duncan
MinistersKedrick Pickering
Ronnie Skelton
Mark Vanterpool
Myron Walwyn
Minister for Natural Resources and Labour
Minister for Health and Social Development
Minister for Communications and Works
Minister for Education and Culture
Attorney General Baba AzizEx-officio, non-voting
Cabinet SecretarySandra Ward

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