2019 Dutch Senate election

Last updated

2019 Dutch Senate election
Flag of the Netherlands.svg
  2015 27 May 2019 [1] 2023  

All 75 seats in the Senate
38 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeader%Seats+/–
FvD Henk Otten 15.8712New
VVD Annemarie Jorritsma [2] 15.1112-1
CDA Ben Knapen [3] 11.419-3
GL Paul Rosenmöller 11.188+4
D66 Annelien Bredenoord [4] 8.757-3
PvdA Mei Li Vos 8.626-2
PVV Marjolein Faber 6.535-4
SP Tiny Kox 5.884-5
CU Mirjam Bikker 5.034+1
PvdD Niko Koffeman 3.783+1
50+ Martin van Rooijen 3.0320
SGP Peter Schalk 2.6020
OSF Gerben Gerbrandy 1.3110
Netherlands Senate 2019.svg
President of the Senate beforePresident of the Senate after
Anneke Broekers-Knol - 2017 (26189995419) (cropped).jpg Ankie Broekers-Knol
VVD
Jan Anthonie Bruijn
VVD
Jan Anthonie Bruijn.png

The 2019 election to the Senate of the Netherlands was held on 27 May 2019, two months after the provincial elections. [1]

Contents

Forum for Democracy, which took part for the first time, became the largest party. This was later undone by several party splits.

Electoral system

The Senate consists of 75 members elected every four years by the members of the States-Provincial of the country's twelve provinces, and, following a law change in 2017, electoral colleges representing the special municipalities of Bonaire, Sint Eustatius and Saba, [5] [6] who are in turn elected directly by the citizens two months earlier in the 2019 provincial and electoral college elections. The seats are distributed in one nationwide constituency using party-list proportional representation. [7]

The value of each elector's vote is determined by the population of the province or special municipality which the elector represents, at a ratio of approximately 1 vote per 100 residents.

ProvinceMembersPopulation [8] VotesValue per member
South Holland 553,674,14636,740668
North Holland 552,853,48829,095519
North Brabant 552,544,99525,465463
Gelderland 552,071,91320,735377
Utrecht 491,342,19413,426274
Overijssel 471,156,37311,562246
Limburg 471,116,12711,139237
Friesland 43647,7406,493151
Groningen 43584,0945,848136
Drenthe 41492,1794,920120
Flevoland 41416,4314,182102
Zeeland 39383,0733,82298
Bonaire 920,10419822
Sint Eustatius 53,138306
Saba 51,915204

Seat projections

Polling firmDate(s) VVD CDA D66 PVV SP PvdA GL CU PvdD SGP 50+ OSF DENK FVD Rutte III Support
ANP projection 21 Mar 2019129654794312001331–7
Ipsos exit poll 20 Mar 2019128764784313111031–7
Peil.nl exit poll 20 Mar 2019128665773322111229–9
Peil.nl 19 Mar 2019118675683222221128–10
I&O Research 15–18 Mar 2019118576694312211028–10
Kantar Public 14–17 Mar 201913766756432322930–8
I&O Research 8–12 Mar 201912857759322321928–10
Ipsos 8–11 Mar 201913759568342320828–10
I&O Research 22–26 Feb 2019117687510432321828–10
Ipsos 22–25 Feb 201912768559432321829–9
2015 election 26 May 201513121099843222138+1

Results

Electors

Map showing the largest party by province in the 2019 provincial elections Statenverkiezingen Nederland 2019.svg
Map showing the largest party by province in the 2019 provincial elections
Results of the 20 March 2019 Dutch Provincial and Senate Electoral College elections
Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
Forum for Democracy 1,057,03014.5186New
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy 1,017,93713.9780–9
CDA-affiliated Christian Democratic Appeal 805,86211.0672–17
Bonaire Patriotic Union 1,5300.022New
Democratic Party (Sint Eustatius) 3660.015New
Total807,75811.0979–10
GroenLinks 783,00610.7561+31
PvdA-affiliated Labour Party 619,9068.5153–10
Bonaire Democratic Party 2,1660.033New
Total622,0728.5456–7
D66-affiliated Democrats 66 567,3637.7941–26
Bonaire People's Movement 3,0970.044New
Total570,4607.8345–22
Party for Freedom 504,9486.9340–26
Socialist Party 430,0965.9035–35
CU–SGP Christian Union 353,4434.8531+2
Reformed Political Party 179,8992.4714–4
CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant19,4660.271–1
Total552,8087.5946–3
Party for the Animals 317,1044.3520+2
50PLUS-affiliated 50PLUS 265,2153.6417+3
Party for the North 10,5270.142+1
Total275,7423.7919+4
OSF-affiliatedLocal Brabant25,4850.3510
Frisian National Party 23,6620.3240
Groningers' Interests18,5560.2530
Local Limburg18,4740.252+1
Elderly Party North Holland18,3070.250–1
Local Parties South Holland11,6480.160New
Local Parties Gelderland – Code Orange 11,0530.150New
Party for Zeeland 10,6190.152+1
Locally Strong9,3440.1310
U26 Municipalities6,5300.090New
Frisian Provincial Interests5,3450.070New
Total159,0232.1813+1
Denk 121,7531.674New
Code Orange 24,0470.330New
NIDA 11,3470.160New
Seniors Brabant9,6870.130New
Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant6,7190.090New
Independent Party Drenthe3,7770.050New
Natural Frisian2,9170.040New
Jesus Lives 2,3230.0300
Senior Interests1,4140.0200
Politically Active Elders1,2830.0200
Respect!9760.010New
Windward Islands People's Movement 5470.014New
Saba Labour Party 1100.001New
Total7,284,884100.00589+19
Valid votes7,284,88499.41
Invalid/blank votes43,0140.59
Total votes7,327,898100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,047,95056.16
Source: Kiesraad: European Netherlands (Provincial), Bonaire (EC), Saba (EC), Sint Eustatius (EC)

Senate

Rutte III lost its majority in the senate.

PartyUnweighted VoteWeighted VoteSeats
VotesFaithless electors %Votes %±ppTotal+/−
Forum for Democracy 87+114.8027,47315.87New12+12
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy 78-213.2726,15715.11–0.6812–1
Christian Democratic Appeal 76-312.9319,75611.41–4.209–3
GroenLinks 65+411.0519,36311.18+5.928+4
Democrats 66 50+58.5015,1548.75–3.007–3
Labour Party 56±09.5214,9218.62–2.436–2
Party for Freedom 38-26.4611,2986.53–5.055–4
Socialist Party 35±05.9510,1795.88–6.404–5
Christian Union 33+15.618,7075.03–0.584+1
Party for the Animals 20±03.406,5503.78+0.623+1
50PLUS 18–13.065,2513.03+0.572±0
Reformed Political Party 15+12.554,4932.60–0.382±0
Independent Senate Group 13±02.212,2651.31–0.261±0
DENK 4±00.681,5630.90New0±0
Blank list0±00.0000.00New0±0
Total valid votes588173,12175±0
Invalid votes1+10.0040.00±0.00
Votes cast / turnout589±0100.00173,125100.00±0.00
Abstentions0±00.0000.00±0.00
Registered voters589173,125
Sources [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14]

Results summary

Popular vote
FvD
14.51%
VVD
13.97%
CDA
11.09%
GL
10.75%
PvdA
8.54%
D66
7.83%
PVV
6.93%
SP
5.90%
CU
4.85%
PvdD
4.35%
50PLUS
3.64%
SGP
2.47%
OSF
2.18%
Denk
1.67%
CU-SGP (NB)
0.27%
Others
1.05%
Unweighted Electoral vote
FvD
14.80%
VVD
13.27%
CDA
12.93%
GL
11.05%
PvdA
9.52%
D66
8.50%
PVV
6.46%
SP
5.95%
CU
5.61%
PvdD
3.40%
50PLUS
3.06%
SGP
2.55%
OSF
2.21%
Denk
0.68%
Weighted Electoral vote
FvD
15.87%
VVD
15.11%
CDA
11.41%
GL
11.18%
D66
8.75%
PvdA
8.62%
PVV
6.53%
SP
5.88%
CU
5.03%
PvdD
3.78%
50PLUS
3.03%
SGP
2.60%
OSF
1.31%
Denk
0.90%

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